It is often desirable to summarise a probability measure on a space $X$ in terms of a mode, or MAP estimator, i.e.\ a point of maximum probability. Such points can be rigorously defined using masses of metric balls in the small-radius limit. However, the theory is not entirely straightforward: the literature contains multiple notions of mode and various examples of pathological measures that have no mode in any sense. Since the masses of balls induce natural orderings on the points of $X$, this article aims to shed light on some of the problems in non-parametric MAP estimation by taking an order-theoretic perspective, which appears to be a new one in the inverse problems community. This point of view opens up attractive proof strategies based upon the Cantor and Kuratowski intersection theorems; it also reveals that many of the pathologies arise from the distinction between greatest and maximal elements of an order, and from the existence of incomparable elements of $X$, which we show can be dense in $X$, even for an absolutely continuous measure on $X = \mathbb{R}$.
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We introduce a new setting, the category of $\omega$PAP spaces, for reasoning denotationally about expressive differentiable and probabilistic programming languages. Our semantics is general enough to assign meanings to most practical probabilistic and differentiable programs, including those that use general recursion, higher-order functions, discontinuous primitives, and both discrete and continuous sampling. But crucially, it is also specific enough to exclude many pathological denotations, enabling us to establish new results about both deterministic differentiable programs and probabilistic programs. In the deterministic setting, we prove very general correctness theorems for automatic differentiation and its use within gradient descent. In the probabilistic setting, we establish the almost-everywhere differentiability of probabilistic programs' trace density functions, and the existence of convenient base measures for density computation in Monte Carlo inference. In some cases these results were previously known, but required detailed proofs with an operational flavor; by contrast, all our proofs work directly with programs' denotations.
Spatial Gaussian process regression models typically contain finite dimensional covariance parameters that need to be estimated from the data. We study the Bayesian estimation of covariance parameters including the nugget parameter in a general class of stationary covariance functions under fixed-domain asymptotics, which is theoretically challenging due to the increasingly strong dependence among spatial observations. We propose a novel adaptation of the Schwartz's consistency theorem for showing posterior contraction rates of the covariance parameters including the nugget. We derive a new polynomial evidence lower bound, and propose consistent higher-order quadratic variation estimators that satisfy concentration inequalities with exponentially small tails. Our Bayesian fixed-domain asymptotics theory leads to explicit posterior contraction rates for the microergodic and nugget parameters in the isotropic Matern covariance function under a general stratified sampling design. We verify our theory and the Bayesian predictive performance in simulation studies and an application to sea surface temperature data.
We consider ill-posed inverse problems where the forward operator $T$ is unknown, and instead we have access to training data consisting of functions $f_i$ and their noisy images $Tf_i$. This is a practically relevant and challenging problem which current methods are able to solve only under strong assumptions on the training set. Here we propose a new method that requires minimal assumptions on the data, and prove reconstruction rates that depend on the number of training points and the noise level. We show that, in the regime of "many" training data, the method is minimax optimal. The proposed method employs a type of convolutional neural networks (U-nets) and empirical risk minimization in order to "fit" the unknown operator. In a nutshell, our approach is based on two ideas: the first is to relate U-nets to multiscale decompositions such as wavelets, thereby linking them to the existing theory, and the second is to use the hierarchical structure of U-nets and the low number of parameters of convolutional neural nets to prove entropy bounds that are practically useful. A significant difference with the existing works on neural networks in nonparametric statistics is that we use them to approximate operators and not functions, which we argue is mathematically more natural and technically more convenient.
This paper introduces a new extragradient-type algorithm for a class of nonconvex-nonconcave minimax problems. It is well-known that finding a local solution for general minimax problems is computationally intractable. This observation has recently motivated the study of structures sufficient for convergence of first order methods in the more general setting of variational inequalities when the so-called weak Minty variational inequality (MVI) holds. This problem class captures non-trivial structures as we demonstrate with examples, for which a large family of existing algorithms provably converge to limit cycles. Our results require a less restrictive parameter range in the weak MVI compared to what is previously known, thus extending the applicability of our scheme. The proposed algorithm is applicable to constrained and regularized problems, and involves an adaptive stepsize allowing for potentially larger stepsizes. Our scheme also converges globally even in settings where the underlying operator exhibits limit cycles.
Gibbs sampling methods are standard tools to perform posterior inference for mixture models. These have been broadly classified into two categories: marginal and conditional methods. While conditional samplers are more widely applicable than marginal ones, they may suffer from slow mixing in infinite mixtures, where some form of truncation, either deterministic or random, is required. In mixtures with random number of components, the exploration of parameter spaces of different dimensions can also be challenging. We tackle these issues by expressing the mixture components in the random order of appearance in an exchangeable sequence directed by the mixing distribution. We derive a sampler that is straightforward to implement for mixing distributions with tractable size-biased ordered weights, and that can be readily adapted to mixture models for which marginal samplers are not available. In infinite mixtures, no form of truncation is necessary. As for finite mixtures with random dimension, a simple updating of the number of components is obtained by a blocking argument, thus, easing challenges found in trans-dimensional moves via Metropolis-Hastings steps. Additionally, sampling occurs in the space of ordered partitions with blocks labelled in the least element order, which endows the sampler with good mixing properties. The performance of the proposed algorithm is evaluated in a simulation study.
(Neal and Hinton, 1998) recast maximum likelihood estimation of any given latent variable model as the minimization of a free energy functional $F$, and the EM algorithm as coordinate descent applied to $F$. Here, we explore alternative ways to optimize the functional. In particular, we identify various gradient flows associated with $F$ and show that their limits coincide with $F$'s stationary points. By discretizing the flows, we obtain practical particle-based algorithms for maximum likelihood estimation in broad classes of latent variable models. The novel algorithms scale to high-dimensional settings and perform well in numerical experiments.
Tensor networks are nowadays the backbone of classical simulations of quantum many-body systems and quantum circuits. Most tensor methods rely on the fact that we can eventually contract the tensor network to obtain the final result. While the contraction operation itself is trivial, its execution time is highly dependent on the order in which the contractions are performed. To this end, one tries to find beforehand an optimal order in which the contractions should be performed. However, there is a drawback: the general problem of finding the optimal contraction order is NP-complete. Therefore, one must settle for a mixture of exponential algorithms for small problems, e.g., $n \leq 20$, and otherwise hope for good contraction orders. For this reason, previous research has focused on the latter part, trying to find better heuristics. In this work, we take a more conservative approach and show that tree tensor networks accept optimal linear contraction orders. Beyond the optimality results, we adapt two join ordering techniques that can build on our work to guarantee near-optimal orders for arbitrary tensor networks.
The problems of selecting partial correlation and causality graphs for count data are considered. A parameter driven generalized linear model is used to describe the observed multivariate time series of counts. Partial correlation and causality graphs corresponding to this model explain the dependencies between each time series of the multivariate count data. In order to estimate these graphs with tunable sparsity, an appropriate likelihood function maximization is regularized with an l1-type constraint. A novel MCEM algorithm is proposed to iteratively solve this regularized MLE. Asymptotic convergence results are proved for the sequence generated by the proposed MCEM algorithm with l1-type regularization. The algorithm is first successfully tested on simulated data. Thereafter, it is applied to observed weekly dengue disease counts from each ward of Greater Mumbai city. The interdependence of various wards in the proliferation of the disease is characterized by the edges of the inferred partial correlation graph. On the other hand, the relative roles of various wards as sources and sinks of dengue spread is quantified by the number and weights of the directed edges originating from and incident upon each ward. From these estimated graphs, it is observed that some special wards act as epicentres of dengue spread even though their disease counts are relatively low.
This paper focuses on the analysis of conforming virtual element methods for general second-order linear elliptic problems with rough source terms and applies it to a Poisson inverse source problem with rough measurements. For the forward problem, when the source term belongs to $H^{-1}(\Omega)$, the right-hand side for the discrete approximation defined through polynomial projections is not meaningful even for standard conforming virtual element method. The modified discrete scheme in this paper introduces a novel companion operator in the context of conforming virtual element method and allows data in $H^{-1}(\Omega)$. This paper has {\it three} main contributions. The {\it first} contribution is the design of a conforming companion operator $J$ from the {\it conforming virtual element space} to the Sobolev space $V:=H^1_0(\Omega)$, a modified virtual element scheme, and the \textit{a priori} error estimate for the Poisson problem in the best-approximation form without data oscillations. The {\it second} contribution is the extension of the \textit{a priori} analysis to general second-order elliptic problems with source term in $V^*$. The {\it third} contribution is an application of the companion operator in a Poisson inverse source problem when the measurements belong to $V^*$. The Tikhonov's regularization technique regularizes the ill-posed inverse problem, and the conforming virtual element method approximates the regularized problem given a finite measurement data. The inverse problem is also discretised using the conforming virtual element method and error estimates are established. Numerical tests on different polygonal meshes for general second-order problems, and for a Poisson inverse source problem with finite measurement data verify the theoretical results.
Image segmentation is still an open problem especially when intensities of the interested objects are overlapped due to the presence of intensity inhomogeneity (also known as bias field). To segment images with intensity inhomogeneities, a bias correction embedded level set model is proposed where Inhomogeneities are Estimated by Orthogonal Primary Functions (IEOPF). In the proposed model, the smoothly varying bias is estimated by a linear combination of a given set of orthogonal primary functions. An inhomogeneous intensity clustering energy is then defined and membership functions of the clusters described by the level set function are introduced to rewrite the energy as a data term of the proposed model. Similar to popular level set methods, a regularization term and an arc length term are also included to regularize and smooth the level set function, respectively. The proposed model is then extended to multichannel and multiphase patterns to segment colourful images and images with multiple objects, respectively. It has been extensively tested on both synthetic and real images that are widely used in the literature and public BrainWeb and IBSR datasets. Experimental results and comparison with state-of-the-art methods demonstrate that advantages of the proposed model in terms of bias correction and segmentation accuracy.
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