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This paper addresses the overwhelming computational resources needed with standard numerical approaches to simulate architected materials. Those multiscale heterogeneous lattice structures gain intensive interest in conjunction with the improvement of additive manufacturing as they offer, among many others, excellent stiffness-to-weight ratios. We develop here a dedicated HPC solver that benefits from the specific nature of the underlying problem in order to drastically reduce the computational costs (memory and time) for the full fine-scale analysis of lattice structures. Our purpose is to take advantage of the natural domain decomposition into cells and, even more importantly, of the geometrical and mechanical similarities among cells. Our solver consists in a so-called inexact FETI-DP method where the local, cell-wise operators and solutions are approximated with reduced order modeling techniques. Instead of considering independently every cell, we end up with only few principal local problems to solve and make use of the corresponding principal cell-wise operators to approximate all the others. It results in a scalable algorithm that saves numerous local factorizations. Our solver is applied for the isogeometric analysis of lattices built by spline composition, which offers the opportunity to compute the reduced basis with macro-scale data, thereby making our method also multiscale and matrix-free. The solver is tested against various 2D and 3D analyses. It shows major gains with respect to black-box solvers; in particular, problems of several millions of degrees of freedom can be solved with a simple computer within few minutes.

Sample size determination for cluster randomised trials (CRTs) is challenging as it requires robust estimation of the intra-cluster correlation coefficient (ICC). Typically, the sample size is chosen to provide a certain level of power to reject the null hypothesis in a hypothesis test. This relies on the minimal clinically important difference (MCID) and estimates for the standard deviation, ICC and possibly the coefficient of variation of the cluster size. Varying these parameters can have a strong effect on the sample size. In particular, it is sensitive to small differences in the ICC. A relevant ICC estimate is often not available, or the available estimate is imprecise. If the ICC used is far from the unknown true value, this can lead to trials which are substantially over- or under-powered. We propose a hybrid approach using Bayesian assurance to find the sample size for a CRT with a frequentist analysis. Assurance is an alternative to power which incorporates uncertainty on parameters through a prior distribution. We suggest specifying prior distributions for the standard deviation, ICC and coefficient of variation of the cluster size, while still utilising the MCID. We illustrate the approach through the design of a CRT in post-stroke incontinence. We show assurance can be used to find a sample size based on an elicited prior distribution for the ICC, when a power calculation discards all information in the prior except a single point estimate. Results show that this approach can avoid misspecifying sample sizes when prior medians for the ICC are very similar but prior distributions exhibit quite different behaviour. Assurance provides an understanding of the probability of success of a trial given an MCID and can be used to produce sample sizes which are robust to parameter uncertainty. This is especially useful when there is difficulty obtaining reliable parameter estimates.

This paper examines the effectiveness of several forecasting methods for predicting inflation, focusing on aggregating disaggregated forecasts - also known in the literature as the bottom-up approach. Taking the Brazilian case as an application, we consider different disaggregation levels for inflation and employ a range of traditional time series techniques as well as linear and nonlinear machine learning (ML) models to deal with a larger number of predictors. For many forecast horizons, the aggregation of disaggregated forecasts performs just as well survey-based expectations and models that generate forecasts using the aggregate directly. Overall, ML methods outperform traditional time series models in predictive accuracy, with outstanding performance in forecasting disaggregates. Our results reinforce the benefits of using models in a data-rich environment for inflation forecasting, including aggregating disaggregated forecasts from ML techniques, mainly during volatile periods. Starting from the COVID-19 pandemic, the random forest model based on both aggregate and disaggregated inflation achieves remarkable predictive performance at intermediate and longer horizons.

This paper addresses target localization with an online active learning algorithm defined by distributed, simple and fast computations at each node, with no parameters to tune and where the estimate of the target position at each agent is asymptotically equal in expectation to the centralized maximum-likelihood estimator. ISEE.U takes noisy distances at each agent and finds a control that maximizes localization accuracy. We do not assume specific target dynamics and, thus, our method is robust when facing unpredictable targets. Each agent computes the control that maximizes overall target position accuracy via a local estimate of the Fisher Information Matrix. We compared the proposed method with a state of the art algorithm outperforming it when the target movements do not follow a prescribed trajectory, with x100 less computation time, even when our method is running in one central CPU.

The action of a noise operator on a code transforms it into a distribution on the respective space. Some common examples from information theory include Bernoulli noise acting on a code in the Hamming space and Gaussian noise acting on a lattice in the Euclidean space. We aim to characterize the cases when the output distribution is close to the uniform distribution on the space, as measured by R{\'e}nyi divergence of order $\alpha \in [1,\infty]$. A version of this question is known as the channel resolvability problem in information theory, and it has implications for security guarantees in wiretap channels, error correction, discrepancy, worst-to-average case complexity reductions, and many other problems. Our work quantifies the requirements for asymptotic uniformity (perfect smoothing) and identifies explicit code families that achieve it under the action of the Bernoulli and ball noise operators on the code. We derive expressions for the minimum rate of codes required to attain asymptotically perfect smoothing. In proving our results, we leverage recent results from harmonic analysis of functions on the Hamming space. Another result pertains to the use of code families in Wyner's transmission scheme on the binary wiretap channel. We identify explicit families that guarantee strong secrecy when applied in this scheme, showing that nested Reed-Muller codes can transmit messages reliably and securely over a binary symmetric wiretap channel with a positive rate. Finally, we establish a connection between smoothing and error correction in the binary symmetric channel.

This paper addresses pandemic statistics from a management perspective. Both input and output are easy to understand. Focus is on operations and cross border communication. To be able to work with simple available data some new missing data issues have to be solved from a mathematical statistical point of view. We illustrate our approach with data from France collected during the recent Covid-19 pandemic. Our new benchmark method also introduces a potential new division of labour while working with pandemic statistics allowing crucial input to be fed to the model via prior knowledge from external experts.

In this paper, we investigate the physical layer security capabilities of reconfigurable intelligent surface (RIS) empowered wireless systems. In more detail, we consider a general system model, in which the links between the transmitter (TX) and the RIS as well as the links between the RIS and the legitimate receiver are modeled as mixture Gamma (MG) random variables (RVs). Moreover, the link between the TX and eavesdropper is also modeled as a MG RV. Building upon this system model, we derive the probability of zero-secrecy capacity as well as the probability of information leakage. Finally, we extract the average secrecy rate for both cases of TX having full and partial channel state information knowledge.

The forecasting and computation of the stability of chaotic systems from partial observations are tasks for which traditional equation-based methods may not be suitable. In this computational paper, we propose data-driven methods to (i) infer the dynamics of unobserved (hidden) chaotic variables (full-state reconstruction); (ii) time forecast the evolution of the full state; and (iii) infer the stability properties of the full state. The tasks are performed with long short-term memory (LSTM) networks, which are trained with observations (data) limited to only part of the state: (i) the low-to-high resolution LSTM (LH-LSTM), which takes partial observations as training input, and requires access to the full system state when computing the loss; and (ii) the physics-informed LSTM (PI-LSTM), which is designed to combine partial observations with the integral formulation of the dynamical system's evolution equations. First, we derive the Jacobian of the LSTMs. Second, we analyse a chaotic partial differential equation, the Kuramoto-Sivashinsky (KS), and the Lorenz-96 system. We show that the proposed networks can forecast the hidden variables, both time-accurately and statistically. The Lyapunov exponents and covariant Lyapunov vectors, which characterize the stability of the chaotic attractors, are correctly inferred from partial observations. Third, the PI-LSTM outperforms the LH-LSTM by successfully reconstructing the hidden chaotic dynamics when the input dimension is smaller or similar to the Kaplan-Yorke dimension of the attractor. This work opens new opportunities for reconstructing the full state, inferring hidden variables, and computing the stability of chaotic systems from partial data.

In large-scale systems there are fundamental challenges when centralised techniques are used for task allocation. The number of interactions is limited by resource constraints such as on computation, storage, and network communication. We can increase scalability by implementing the system as a distributed task-allocation system, sharing tasks across many agents. However, this also increases the resource cost of communications and synchronisation, and is difficult to scale. In this paper we present four algorithms to solve these problems. The combination of these algorithms enable each agent to improve their task allocation strategy through reinforcement learning, while changing how much they explore the system in response to how optimal they believe their current strategy is, given their past experience. We focus on distributed agent systems where the agents' behaviours are constrained by resource usage limits, limiting agents to local rather than system-wide knowledge. We evaluate these algorithms in a simulated environment where agents are given a task composed of multiple subtasks that must be allocated to other agents with differing capabilities, to then carry out those tasks. We also simulate real-life system effects such as networking instability. Our solution is shown to solve the task allocation problem to 6.7% of the theoretical optimal within the system configurations considered. It provides 5x better performance recovery over no-knowledge retention approaches when system connectivity is impacted, and is tested against systems up to 100 agents with less than a 9% impact on the algorithms' performance.

Hashing has been widely used in approximate nearest search for large-scale database retrieval for its computation and storage efficiency. Deep hashing, which devises convolutional neural network architecture to exploit and extract the semantic information or feature of images, has received increasing attention recently. In this survey, several deep supervised hashing methods for image retrieval are evaluated and I conclude three main different directions for deep supervised hashing methods. Several comments are made at the end. Moreover, to break through the bottleneck of the existing hashing methods, I propose a Shadow Recurrent Hashing(SRH) method as a try. Specifically, I devise a CNN architecture to extract the semantic features of images and design a loss function to encourage similar images projected close. To this end, I propose a concept: shadow of the CNN output. During optimization process, the CNN output and its shadow are guiding each other so as to achieve the optimal solution as much as possible. Several experiments on dataset CIFAR-10 show the satisfying performance of SRH.