Large-sample Bayesian analogs exist for many frequentist methods, but are less well-known for the widely-used 'sandwich' or 'robust' variance estimates. We review existing approaches to Bayesian analogs of sandwich variance estimates and propose a new analog, as the Bayes rule under a form of balanced loss function, that combines elements of standard parametric inference with fidelity of the data to the model. Our development is general, for essentially any regression setting with independent outcomes. Being the large-sample equivalent of its frequentist counterpart, we show by simulation that Bayesian robust standard error estimates can faithfully quantify the variability of parameter estimates even under model misspecification -- thus retaining the major attraction of the original frequentist version. We demonstrate our Bayesian analog of standard error estimates when studying the association between age and systolic blood pressure in NHANES.
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Stabbing Planes (also known as Branch and Cut) is a proof system introduced very recently which, informally speaking, extends the DPLL method by branching on integer linear inequalities instead of single variables. The techniques known so far to prove size and depth lower bounds for Stabbing Planes are generalizations of those used for the Cutting Planes proof system. For size lower bounds these are established by monotone circuit arguments, while for depth these are found via communication complexity and protection. As such these bounds apply for lifted versions of combinatorial statements. Rank lower bounds for Cutting Planes are also obtained by geometric arguments called protection lemmas. In this work we introduce two new geometric approaches to prove size/depth lower bounds in Stabbing Planes working for any formula: (1) the antichain method, relying on Sperner's Theorem and (2) the covering method which uses results on essential coverings of the boolean cube by linear polynomials, which in turn relies on Alon's combinatorial Nullenstellensatz. We demonstrate their use on classes of combinatorial principles such as the Pigeonhole principle, the Tseitin contradictions and the Linear Ordering Principle. By the first method we prove almost linear size lower bounds and optimal logarithmic depth lower bounds for the Pigeonhole principle and analogous lower bounds for the Tseitin contradictions over the complete graph and for the Linear Ordering Principle. By the covering method we obtain a superlinear size lower bound and a logarithmic depth lower bound for Stabbing Planes proof of Tseitin contradictions over a grid graph.
This paper considers the epistemic justification for a simplicity preference in inductive inference that may be obtained from the machine learning framework of statistical learning theory. Uniting elements from both earlier arguments suggesting and rejecting such a justification, the paper spells out a qualified means-ends and model-relative justificatory argument, built on statistical learning theory's central mathematical learning guarantee for the method of empirical risk minimization.
Rational best approximations (in a Chebyshev sense) to real functions are characterized by an equioscillating approximation error. Similar results do not hold true for rational best approximations to complex functions in general. In the present work, we consider unitary rational approximations to the exponential function on the imaginary axis, which map the imaginary axis to the unit circle. In the class of unitary rational functions, best approximations are shown to exist, to be uniquely characterized by equioscillation of a phase error, and to possess a super-linear convergence rate. Furthermore, the best approximations have full degree (i.e., non-degenerate), achieve their maximum approximation error at points of equioscillation, and interpolate at intermediate points. Asymptotic properties of poles, interpolation nodes, and equioscillation points of these approximants are studied. Three algorithms, which are found very effective to compute unitary rational approximations including candidates for best approximations, are sketched briefly. Some consequences to numerical time-integration are discussed. In particular, time propagators based on unitary best approximants are unitary, symmetric and A-stable.
The ensemble Kalman inversion (EKI), a recently introduced optimisation method for solving inverse problems, is widely employed for the efficient and derivative-free estimation of unknown parameters. Specifically in cases involving ill-posed inverse problems and high-dimensional parameter spaces, the scheme has shown promising success. However, in its general form, the EKI does not take constraints into account, which are essential and often stem from physical limitations or specific requirements. Based on a log-barrier approach, we suggest adapting the continuous-time formulation of EKI to incorporate convex inequality constraints. We underpin this adaptation with a theoretical analysis that provides lower and upper bounds on the ensemble collapse, as well as convergence to the constraint optimum for general nonlinear forward models. Finally, we showcase our results through two examples involving partial differential equations (PDEs).
In this note we prove almost sure unisolvence of RBF interpolation on randomly distributed sequences by a wide class of polyharmonic splines (including Thin-Plate Splines), without polynomial addition.
Deep learning techniques have dominated the literature on aspect-based sentiment analysis (ABSA), achieving state-of-the-art performance. However, deep models generally suffer from spurious correlations between input features and output labels, which hurts the robustness and generalization capability by a large margin. In this paper, we propose to reduce spurious correlations for ABSA, via a novel Contrastive Variational Information Bottleneck framework (called CVIB). The proposed CVIB framework is composed of an original network and a self-pruned network, and these two networks are optimized simultaneously via contrastive learning. Concretely, we employ the Variational Information Bottleneck (VIB) principle to learn an informative and compressed network (self-pruned network) from the original network, which discards the superfluous patterns or spurious correlations between input features and prediction labels. Then, self-pruning contrastive learning is devised to pull together semantically similar positive pairs and push away dissimilar pairs, where the representations of the anchor learned by the original and self-pruned networks respectively are regarded as a positive pair while the representations of two different sentences within a mini-batch are treated as a negative pair. To verify the effectiveness of our CVIB method, we conduct extensive experiments on five benchmark ABSA datasets and the experimental results show that our approach achieves better performance than the strong competitors in terms of overall prediction performance, robustness, and generalization. Code and data to reproduce the results in this paper is available at: //github.com/shesshan/CVIB.
Neural networks are powerful tools in various applications, and quantifying their uncertainty is crucial for reliable decision-making. In the deep learning field, the uncertainties are usually categorized into aleatoric (data) and epistemic (model) uncertainty. In this paper, we point out that the existing popular variance attenuation method highly overestimates aleatoric uncertainty. To address this issue, we propose a new estimation method by actively de-noising the observed data. By conducting a broad range of experiments, we demonstrate that our proposed approach provides a much closer approximation to the actual data uncertainty than the standard method.
In spatial blind source separation the observed multivariate random fields are assumed to be mixtures of latent spatially dependent random fields. The objective is to recover latent random fields by estimating the unmixing transformation. Currently, the algorithms for spatial blind source separation can only estimate linear unmixing transformations. Nonlinear blind source separation methods for spatial data are scarce. In this paper we extend an identifiable variational autoencoder that can estimate nonlinear unmixing transformations to spatially dependent data and demonstrate its performance for both stationary and nonstationary spatial data using simulations. In addition, we introduce scaled mean absolute Shapley additive explanations for interpreting the latent components through nonlinear mixing transformation. The spatial identifiable variational autoencoder is applied to a geochemical dataset to find the latent random fields, which are then interpreted by using the scaled mean absolute Shapley additive explanations. Finally, we illustrate how the proposed method can be used as a pre-processing method when making multivariate predictions.
Hybrid Gibbs samplers represent a prominent class of approximated Gibbs algorithms that utilize Markov chains to approximate conditional distributions, with the Metropolis-within-Gibbs algorithm standing out as a well-known example. Despite their widespread use in both statistical and non-statistical applications, very little is known about their convergence properties. This article introduces novel methods for establishing bounds on the convergence rates of hybrid Gibbs samplers. In particular, we examine the convergence characteristics of hybrid random-scan Gibbs and data augmentation algorithms. Our analysis reveals that the absolute spectral gap of a reversible hybrid chain can be bounded based on the absolute spectral gap of the exact Gibbs chain and the absolute spectral gaps of the Markov chains employed for conditional distribution approximations. The new techniques are applied to four algorithms: a random-scan Metropolis-within-Gibbs sampler, a hybrid proximal sampler, random-scan Gibbs samplers with block updates, and a hybrid slice sampler.
Although measuring held-out accuracy has been the primary approach to evaluate generalization, it often overestimates the performance of NLP models, while alternative approaches for evaluating models either focus on individual tasks or on specific behaviors. Inspired by principles of behavioral testing in software engineering, we introduce CheckList, a task-agnostic methodology for testing NLP models. CheckList includes a matrix of general linguistic capabilities and test types that facilitate comprehensive test ideation, as well as a software tool to generate a large and diverse number of test cases quickly. We illustrate the utility of CheckList with tests for three tasks, identifying critical failures in both commercial and state-of-art models. In a user study, a team responsible for a commercial sentiment analysis model found new and actionable bugs in an extensively tested model. In another user study, NLP practitioners with CheckList created twice as many tests, and found almost three times as many bugs as users without it.
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