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Reconstruction of interaction network between random events is a critical problem arising from statistical physics and politics to sociology, biology, and psychology, and beyond. The Ising model lays the foundation for this reconstruction process, but finding the underlying Ising model from the least amount of observed samples in a computationally efficient manner has been historically challenging for half a century. By using the idea of sparsity learning, we present a approach named SIMPLE that has a dominant sample complexity from theoretical limit. Furthermore, a tuning-free algorithm is developed to give a statistically consistent solution of SIMPLE in polynomial time with high probability. On extensive benchmarked cases, the SIMPLE approach provably reconstructs underlying Ising models with global optimality. The application on the U.S. senators voting in the last six congresses reveals that both the Republicans and Democrats noticeably assemble in each congresses; interestingly, the assembling of Democrats is particularly pronounced in the latest congress.

Large Language models (LLMs) possess the capability to engage In-context Learning (ICL) by leveraging a few demonstrations pertaining to a new downstream task as conditions. However, this particular learning paradigm suffers from high instability stemming from substantial variances induced by factors such as the input distribution of selected examples, their ordering, and prompt formats. In this work, we demonstrate that even when all these factors are held constant, the random selection of examples still results in high variance. Consequently, we aim to explore the informative ability of data examples by quantifying the Information Gain (IG) obtained in prediction after observing a given example candidate. Then we propose to sample those with maximum IG. Additionally, we identify the presence of template bias, which can lead to unfair evaluations of IG during the sampling process. To mitigate this bias, we introduce Calibration Before Sampling strategy. The experimental results illustrate that our proposed method can yield an average relative improvement of 14.3% across six classification tasks using three LLMs.

We present a new approach, the Topograph, which reconstructs underlying physics processes, including the intermediary particles, by leveraging underlying priors from the nature of particle physics decays and the flexibility of message passing graph neural networks. The Topograph not only solves the combinatoric assignment of observed final state objects, associating them to their original mother particles, but directly predicts the properties of intermediate particles in hard scatter processes and their subsequent decays. In comparison to standard combinatoric approaches or modern approaches using graph neural networks, which scale exponentially or quadratically, the complexity of Topographs scales linearly with the number of reconstructed objects. We apply Topographs to top quark pair production in the all hadronic decay channel, where we outperform the standard approach and match the performance of the state-of-the-art machine learning technique.

In modern communication systems, efficient and reliable information dissemination is crucial for supporting critical operations across domains like disaster response, autonomous vehicles, and sensor networks. This paper introduces a Multi-Agent Reinforcement Learning (MARL) approach as a significant step forward in achieving more decentralized, efficient, and collaborative solutions. We propose a Partially Observable Stochastic Game (POSG) formulation for information dissemination empowering each agent to decide on message forwarding independently, based on their one-hop neighborhood. This constitutes a significant paradigm shift from traditional heuristics based on Multi-Point Relay (MPR) selection. Our approach harnesses Graph Convolutional Reinforcement Learning, employing Graph Attention Networks (GAT) with dynamic attention to capture essential network features. We propose two approaches, L-DGN and HL-DGN, which differ in the information that is exchanged among agents. We evaluate the performance of our decentralized approaches, by comparing them with a widely-used MPR heuristic, and we show that our trained policies are able to efficiently cover the network while bypassing the MPR set selection process. Our approach is a first step toward supporting the resilience of real-world broadcast communication infrastructures via learned, collaborative information dissemination.

To ensure privacy protection and alleviate computational burden, we propose a Poisson-subsampling based distributed estimation procedure for the Cox model with massive survival datasets from multi-centered, decentralized sources. The proposed estimator is computed based on optimal subsampling probabilities that we derived and enables transmission of subsample-based summary level statistics between different storage sites with only one round of communication. For inference, the asymptotic properties of the proposed estimator were rigorously established. An extensive simulation study demonstrated that the proposed approach is effective. The methodology was applied to analyze a large dataset from the U.S. airlines.

Across a wide array of disciplines, many researchers use machine learning (ML) algorithms to identify a subgroup of individuals, called exceptional responders, who are likely to be helped by a treatment the most. A common approach consists of two steps. One first estimates the conditional average treatment effect or its proxy using an ML algorithm. They then determine the cutoff of the resulting treatment prioritization score to select those predicted to benefit most from the treatment. Unfortunately, these estimated treatment prioritization scores are often biased and noisy. Furthermore, utilizing the same data to both choose a cutoff value and estimate the average treatment effect among the selected individuals suffer from a multiple testing problem. To address these challenges, we develop a uniform confidence band for experimentally evaluating the sorted average treatment effect (GATES) among the individuals whose treatment prioritization score is at least as high as any given quantile value, regardless of how the quantile is chosen. This provides a statistical guarantee that the GATES for the selected subgroup exceeds a certain threshold. The validity of the proposed methodology depends solely on randomization of treatment and random sampling of units without requiring modeling assumptions or resampling methods. This widens its applicability including a wide range of other causal quantities. A simulation study shows that the empirical coverage of the proposed uniform confidence bands is close to the nominal coverage when the sample is as small as 100. We analyze a clinical trial of late-stage prostate cancer and find a relatively large proportion of exceptional responders with a statistical performance guarantee.

We investigate the problem of stochastic, combinatorial multi-armed bandits where the learner only has access to bandit feedback and the reward function can be non-linear. We provide a general framework for adapting discrete offline approximation algorithms into sublinear $\alpha$-regret methods that only require bandit feedback, achieving $\mathcal{O}\left(T^\frac{2}{3}\log(T)^\frac{1}{3}\right)$ expected cumulative $\alpha$-regret dependence on the horizon $T$. The framework only requires the offline algorithms to be robust to small errors in function evaluation. The adaptation procedure does not even require explicit knowledge of the offline approximation algorithm -- the offline algorithm can be used as a black box subroutine. To demonstrate the utility of the proposed framework, the proposed framework is applied to diverse applications in submodular maximization. The new CMAB algorithms for submodular maximization with knapsack constraints outperform a full-bandit method developed for the adversarial setting in experiments with real-world data.

We study the dynamic pricing problem where the demand function is nonparametric and H\"older smooth, and we focus on adaptivity to the unknown H\"older smoothness parameter $\beta$ of the demand function. Traditionally the optimal dynamic pricing algorithm heavily relies on the knowledge of $\beta$ to achieve a minimax optimal regret of $\widetilde{O}(T^{\frac{\beta+1}{2\beta+1}})$. However, we highlight the challenge of adaptivity in this dynamic pricing problem by proving that no pricing policy can adaptively achieve this minimax optimal regret without knowledge of $\beta$. Motivated by the impossibility result, we propose a self-similarity condition to enable adaptivity. Importantly, we show that the self-similarity condition does not compromise the problem's inherent complexity since it preserves the regret lower bound $\Omega(T^{\frac{\beta+1}{2\beta+1}})$. Furthermore, we develop a smoothness-adaptive dynamic pricing algorithm and theoretically prove that the algorithm achieves this minimax optimal regret bound without the prior knowledge $\beta$.

Human intelligence thrives on the concept of cognitive synergy, where collaboration and information integration among different cognitive processes yield superior outcomes compared to individual cognitive processes in isolation. Although Large Language Models (LLMs) have demonstrated promising performance as general task-solving agents, they still struggle with tasks that require intensive domain knowledge and complex reasoning. In this work, we propose Solo Performance Prompting (SPP), which transforms a single LLM into a cognitive synergist by engaging in multi-turn self-collaboration with multiple personas. A cognitive synergist refers to an intelligent agent that collaborates with multiple minds, combining their individual strengths and knowledge, to enhance problem-solving and overall performance in complex tasks. By dynamically identifying and simulating different personas based on task inputs, SPP unleashes the potential of cognitive synergy in LLMs. We have discovered that assigning multiple, fine-grained personas in LLMs elicits better problem-solving abilities compared to using a single or fixed number of personas. We evaluate SPP on three challenging tasks: Trivia Creative Writing, Codenames Collaborative, and Logic Grid Puzzle, encompassing both knowledge-intensive and reasoning-intensive types. Unlike previous works, such as Chain-of-Thought, that solely enhance the reasoning abilities in LLMs, SPP effectively elicits internal knowledge acquisition abilities, reduces hallucination, and maintains strong reasoning capabilities. Code, data, and prompts can be found at: //github.com/MikeWangWZHL/Solo-Performance-Prompting.git.

Detecting carried objects is one of the requirements for developing systems to reason about activities involving people and objects. We present an approach to detect carried objects from a single video frame with a novel method that incorporates features from multiple scales. Initially, a foreground mask in a video frame is segmented into multi-scale superpixels. Then the human-like regions in the segmented area are identified by matching a set of extracted features from superpixels against learned features in a codebook. A carried object probability map is generated using the complement of the matching probabilities of superpixels to human-like regions and background information. A group of superpixels with high carried object probability and strong edge support is then merged to obtain the shape of the carried object. We applied our method to two challenging datasets, and results show that our method is competitive with or better than the state-of-the-art.