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In this work, we introduce a novel framework which combines physics and machine learning methods to analyse acoustic signals. Three methods are developed for this task: a Bayesian inference approach for inferring the spectral acoustics characteristics, a neural-physical model which equips a neural network with forward and backward physical losses, and the non-linear least squares approach which serves as benchmark. The inferred propagation coefficient leads to the room impulse response (RIR) quantity which can be used for relocalisation with uncertainty. The simplicity and efficiency of this framework is empirically validated on simulated data.

The Fisher information matrix is a quantity of fundamental importance for information geometry and asymptotic statistics. In practice, it is widely used to quickly estimate the expected information available in a data set and guide experimental design choices. In many modern applications, it is intractable to analytically compute the Fisher information and Monte Carlo methods are used instead. The standard Monte Carlo method produces estimates of the Fisher information that can be biased when the Monte-Carlo noise is non-negligible. Most problematic is noise in the derivatives as this leads to an overestimation of the available constraining power, given by the inverse Fisher information. In this work we find another simple estimate that is oppositely biased and produces an underestimate of the constraining power. This estimator can either be used to give approximate bounds on the parameter constraints or can be combined with the standard estimator to give improved, approximately unbiased estimates. Both the alternative and the combined estimators are asymptotically unbiased so can be also used as a convergence check of the standard approach. We discuss potential limitations of these estimators and provide methods to assess their reliability. These methods accelerate the convergence of Fisher forecasts, as unbiased estimates can be achieved with fewer Monte Carlo samples, and so can be used to reduce the simulated data set size by several orders of magnitude.

In order to achieve unbiased and efficient estimators of causal effects from observational data, covariate selection for confounding adjustment becomes an important task in causal inference. Despite recent advancements in graphical criterion for constructing valid and efficient adjustment sets, these methods often rely on assumptions that may not hold in practice. We examine the properties of existing graph-free covariate selection methods with respect to both validity and efficiency, highlighting the potential dangers of producing invalid adjustment sets when hidden variables are present. To address this issue, we propose a novel graph-free method, referred to as CMIO, adapted from Mixed Integer Optimization (MIO) with a set of causal constraints. Our results demonstrate that CMIO outperforms existing state-of-the-art methods and provides theoretically sound outputs. Furthermore, we present a revised version of CMIO capable of handling the scenario in the absence of causal sufficiency and graphical information, offering efficient and valid covariate adjustments for causal inference.

Transformers have demonstrated outstanding performance in many applications of deep learning. When applied to time series data, transformers require effective position encoding to capture the ordering of the time series data. The efficacy of position encoding in time series analysis is not well-studied and remains controversial, e.g., whether it is better to inject absolute position encoding or relative position encoding, or a combination of them. In order to clarify this, we first review existing absolute and relative position encoding methods when applied in time series classification. We then proposed a new absolute position encoding method dedicated to time series data called time Absolute Position Encoding (tAPE). Our new method incorporates the series length and input embedding dimension in absolute position encoding. Additionally, we propose computationally Efficient implementation of Relative Position Encoding (eRPE) to improve generalisability for time series. We then propose a novel multivariate time series classification (MTSC) model combining tAPE/eRPE and convolution-based input encoding named ConvTran to improve the position and data embedding of time series data. The proposed absolute and relative position encoding methods are simple and efficient. They can be easily integrated into transformer blocks and used for downstream tasks such as forecasting, extrinsic regression, and anomaly detection. Extensive experiments on 32 multivariate time-series datasets show that our model is significantly more accurate than state-of-the-art convolution and transformer-based models. Code and models are open-sourced at \url{//github.com/Navidfoumani/ConvTran}.

Deep neural networks (DNNs) trained to minimize a loss term plus the sum of squared weights via gradient descent corresponds to the common approach of training with weight decay. This paper provides new insights into this common learning framework. We characterize the kinds of functions learned by training with weight decay for multi-output (vector-valued) ReLU neural networks. This extends previous characterizations that were limited to single-output (scalar-valued) networks. This characterization requires the definition of a new class of neural function spaces that we call vector-valued variation (VV) spaces. We prove that neural networks (NNs) are optimal solutions to learning problems posed over VV spaces via a novel representer theorem. This new representer theorem shows that solutions to these learning problems exist as vector-valued neural networks with widths bounded in terms of the number of training data. Next, via a novel connection to the multi-task lasso problem, we derive new and tighter bounds on the widths of homogeneous layers in DNNs. The bounds are determined by the effective dimensions of the training data embeddings in/out of the layers. This result sheds new light on the architectural requirements for DNNs. Finally, the connection to the multi-task lasso problem suggests a new approach to compressing pre-trained networks.

Instrumental variable (IV) methods are used to estimate causal effects in settings with unobserved confounding, where we cannot directly experiment on the treatment variable. Instruments are variables which only affect the outcome indirectly via the treatment variable(s). Most IV applications focus on low-dimensional treatments and crucially require at least as many instruments as treatments. This assumption is restrictive: in the natural sciences we often seek to infer causal effects of high-dimensional treatments (e.g., the effect of gene expressions or microbiota on health and disease), but can only run few experiments with a limited number of instruments (e.g., drugs or antibiotics). In such underspecified problems, the full treatment effect is not identifiable in a single experiment even in the linear case. We show that one can still reliably recover the projection of the treatment effect onto the instrumented subspace and develop techniques to consistently combine such partial estimates from different sets of instruments. We then leverage our combined estimators in an algorithm that iteratively proposes the most informative instruments at each round of experimentation to maximize the overall information about the full causal effect.

Modelling in biology must adapt to increasingly complex and massive data. The efficiency of the inference algorithms used to estimate model parameters is therefore questioned. Many of these are based on stochastic optimization processes which waste a significant part of the computation time due to their rejection sampling approaches. We introduce the Fixed Landscape Inference MethOd (\textit{flimo}), a new likelihood-free inference method for continuous state-space stochastic models. It applies deterministic gradient-based optimization algorithms to obtain a point estimate of the parameters, minimizing the difference between the data and some simulations according to some prescribed summary statistics. In this sense, it is analogous to Approximate Bayesian Computation (ABC). Like ABC, it can also provide an approximation of the distribution of the parameters. Three applications are proposed: a usual theoretical example, namely the inference of the parameters of g-and-k distributions; a population genetics problem, not so simple as it seems, namely the inference of a selective value from time series in a Wright-Fisher model; and simulations from a Ricker model, representing chaotic population dynamics. In the two first applications, the results show a drastic reduction of the computational time needed for the inference phase compared to the other methods, despite an equivalent accuracy. Even when likelihood-based methods are applicable, the simplicity and efficiency of \textit{flimo} make it a compelling alternative. Implementations in Julia and in R are available on \url{//metabarcoding.org/flimo}. To run \textit{flimo}, the user must simply be able to simulate data according to the chosen model.

Estimating causal effects from observational data is a central problem in many domains. A general approach is to balance covariates with weights such that the distribution of the data mimics randomization. We present generalized balancing weights, Neural Balancing Weights (NBW), to estimate the causal effects of an arbitrary mixture of discrete and continuous interventions. The weights were obtained through direct estimation of the density ratio between the source and balanced distributions by optimizing the variational representation of $f$-divergence. For this, we selected $\alpha$-divergence as it presents efficient optimization because it has an estimator whose sample complexity is independent of its ground truth value and unbiased mini-batch gradients; moreover, it is advantageous for the vanishing-gradient problem. In addition, we provide the following two methods for estimating the balancing weights: improving the generalization performance of the balancing weights and checking the balance of the distribution changed by the weights. Finally, we discuss the sample size requirements for the weights as a general problem of a curse of dimensionality when balancing multidimensional data. Our study provides a basic approach for estimating the balancing weights of multidimensional data using variational $f$-divergences.

The concept of causality plays an important role in human cognition . In the past few decades, causal inference has been well developed in many fields, such as computer science, medicine, economics, and education. With the advancement of deep learning techniques, it has been increasingly used in causal inference against counterfactual data. Typically, deep causal models map the characteristics of covariates to a representation space and then design various objective optimization functions to estimate counterfactual data unbiasedly based on the different optimization methods. This paper focuses on the survey of the deep causal models, and its core contributions are as follows: 1) we provide relevant metrics under multiple treatments and continuous-dose treatment; 2) we incorporate a comprehensive overview of deep causal models from both temporal development and method classification perspectives; 3) we assist a detailed and comprehensive classification and analysis of relevant datasets and source code.

Since hardware resources are limited, the objective of training deep learning models is typically to maximize accuracy subject to the time and memory constraints of training and inference. We study the impact of model size in this setting, focusing on Transformer models for NLP tasks that are limited by compute: self-supervised pretraining and high-resource machine translation. We first show that even though smaller Transformer models execute faster per iteration, wider and deeper models converge in significantly fewer steps. Moreover, this acceleration in convergence typically outpaces the additional computational overhead of using larger models. Therefore, the most compute-efficient training strategy is to counterintuitively train extremely large models but stop after a small number of iterations. This leads to an apparent trade-off between the training efficiency of large Transformer models and the inference efficiency of small Transformer models. However, we show that large models are more robust to compression techniques such as quantization and pruning than small models. Consequently, one can get the best of both worlds: heavily compressed, large models achieve higher accuracy than lightly compressed, small models.