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We provide a Copula-based approach to test the exogeneity of instrumental variables in linear regression models. We show that the exogeneity of instrumental variables is equivalent to the exogeneity of their standard normal transformations with the same CDF value. Then, we establish a Wald test for the exogeneity of the instrumental variables. We demonstrate the performance of our test using simulation studies. Our simulations show that if the instruments are actually endogenous, our test rejects the exogeneity hypothesis approximately 93% of the time at the 5% significance level. Conversely, when instruments are truly exogenous, it dismisses the exogeneity assumption less than 30% of the time on average for data with 200 observations and less than 2% of the time for data with 1,000 observations. Our results demonstrate our test's effectiveness, offering significant value to applied econometricians.

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線性回歸(gui)是利用數理統計(ji)中回歸(gui)分(fen)析(xi),來確定兩種或(huo)兩種以上(shang)變量間相(xiang)互依賴的定量關系的一種統計(ji)分(fen)析(xi)方法,運(yun)用十分(fen)廣泛。其表達形式(shi)為(wei)y = w'x+e,e為(wei)誤差服(fu)從均值為(wei)0的正態分(fen)布。

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Augmented Reality (AR) provides a safe and low-cost option for hazardous safety training that allows for the visualization of aspects that may be invisible, such as radiation. Effectively visually communicating such threats in the environment around the user is not straightforward. This work describes visually encoding radiation using the spatial awareness mesh of an AR Head Mounted Display. We leverage the AR device's GPUs to develop a real time solution that accumulates multiple dynamic sources and uses stencils to prevent an environment being over saturated with a visualization, as well as supporting the encoding of direction explicitly in the visualization. We perform a user study (25 participants) of different visualizations and obtain user feedback. Results show that there are complex interactions and while no visual representation was statistically superior or inferior, user opinions vary widely. We also discuss the evaluation approaches and provide recommendations.

Advanced Audio-Visual Speech Recognition (AVSR) systems have been observed to be sensitive to missing video frames, performing even worse than single-modality models. While applying the dropout technique to the video modality enhances robustness to missing frames, it simultaneously results in a performance loss when dealing with complete data input. In this paper, we investigate this contrasting phenomenon from the perspective of modality bias and reveal that an excessive modality bias on the audio caused by dropout is the underlying reason. Moreover, we present the Modality Bias Hypothesis (MBH) to systematically describe the relationship between modality bias and robustness against missing modality in multimodal systems. Building on these findings, we propose a novel Multimodal Distribution Approximation with Knowledge Distillation (MDA-KD) framework to reduce over-reliance on the audio modality and to maintain performance and robustness simultaneously. Finally, to address an entirely missing modality, we adopt adapters to dynamically switch decision strategies. The effectiveness of our proposed approach is evaluated and validated through a series of comprehensive experiments using the MISP2021 and MISP2022 datasets. Our code is available at //github.com/dalision/ModalBiasAVSR

Big models have achieved revolutionary breakthroughs in the field of AI, but they might also pose potential concerns. Addressing such concerns, alignment technologies were introduced to make these models conform to human preferences and values. Despite considerable advancements in the past year, various challenges lie in establishing the optimal alignment strategy, such as data cost and scalable oversight, and how to align remains an open question. In this survey paper, we comprehensively investigate value alignment approaches. We first unpack the historical context of alignment tracing back to the 1920s (where it comes from), then delve into the mathematical essence of alignment (what it is), shedding light on the inherent challenges. Following this foundation, we provide a detailed examination of existing alignment methods, which fall into three categories: Reinforcement Learning, Supervised Fine-Tuning, and In-context Learning, and demonstrate their intrinsic connections, strengths, and limitations, helping readers better understand this research area. In addition, two emerging topics, personal alignment, and multimodal alignment, are also discussed as novel frontiers in this field. Looking forward, we discuss potential alignment paradigms and how they could handle remaining challenges, prospecting where future alignment will go.

Investigating the increasingly popular domain of short video consumption, this study focuses on the impact of Opinion Polarization (OP), a significant factor in the digital landscape influencing public opinions and social interactions. We analyze OP's effect on viewers' perceptions and behaviors, finding that traditional feedback metrics like likes and watch time fail to fully capture and measure OP. Addressing this gap, our research utilizes Electroencephalogram (EEG) signals to introduce a novel, non-invasive approach for evaluating neural responses to OP, affecting perception and cognition. Empirical analysis reveals OP's considerable impact on viewers' emotions, evidenced by changes in brain activity. Our findings also highlight the potential of EEG data in predicting exposure to polarized short video content, offering a new perspective on the dynamics of short video consumption and a unique method for quantifying OP's effects.

Typologically diverse benchmarks are increasingly created to track the progress achieved in multilingual NLP. Linguistic diversity of these data sets is typically measured as the number of languages or language families included in the sample, but such measures do not consider structural properties of the included languages. In this paper, we propose assessing linguistic diversity of a data set against a reference language sample as a means of maximising linguistic diversity in the long run. We represent languages as sets of features and apply a version of the Jaccard index suitable for comparing sets of measures. In addition to the features extracted from typological data bases, we propose an automatic text-based measure, which can be used as a means of overcoming the well-known problem of data sparsity in manually collected features. Our diversity score is interpretable in terms of linguistic features and can identify the types of languages that are not represented in a data set. Using our method, we analyse a range of popular multilingual data sets (UD, Bible100, mBERT, XTREME, XGLUE, XNLI, XCOPA, TyDiQA, XQuAD). In addition to ranking these data sets, we find, for example, that (poly)synthetic languages are missing in almost all of them.

Multi-modal AI systems will likely become a ubiquitous presence in our everyday lives. A promising approach to making these systems more interactive is to embody them as agents within physical and virtual environments. At present, systems leverage existing foundation models as the basic building blocks for the creation of embodied agents. Embedding agents within such environments facilitates the ability of models to process and interpret visual and contextual data, which is critical for the creation of more sophisticated and context-aware AI systems. For example, a system that can perceive user actions, human behavior, environmental objects, audio expressions, and the collective sentiment of a scene can be used to inform and direct agent responses within the given environment. To accelerate research on agent-based multimodal intelligence, we define "Agent AI" as a class of interactive systems that can perceive visual stimuli, language inputs, and other environmentally-grounded data, and can produce meaningful embodied action with infinite agent. In particular, we explore systems that aim to improve agents based on next-embodied action prediction by incorporating external knowledge, multi-sensory inputs, and human feedback. We argue that by developing agentic AI systems in grounded environments, one can also mitigate the hallucinations of large foundation models and their tendency to generate environmentally incorrect outputs. The emerging field of Agent AI subsumes the broader embodied and agentic aspects of multimodal interactions. Beyond agents acting and interacting in the physical world, we envision a future where people can easily create any virtual reality or simulated scene and interact with agents embodied within the virtual environment.

Rishi Bommasani,Drew A. Hudson,Ehsan Adeli,Russ Altman,Simran Arora,Sydney von Arx,Michael S. Bernstein,Jeannette Bohg,Antoine Bosselut,Emma Brunskill,Erik Brynjolfsson,Shyamal Buch,Dallas Card,Rodrigo Castellon,Niladri Chatterji,Annie Chen,Kathleen Creel,Jared Quincy Davis,Dora Demszky,Chris Donahue,Moussa Doumbouya,Esin Durmus,Stefano Ermon,John Etchemendy,Kawin Ethayarajh,Li Fei-Fei,Chelsea Finn,Trevor Gale,Lauren Gillespie,Karan Goel,Noah Goodman,Shelby Grossman,Neel Guha,Tatsunori Hashimoto,Peter Henderson,John Hewitt,Daniel E. Ho,Jenny Hong,Kyle Hsu,Jing Huang,Thomas Icard,Saahil Jain,Dan Jurafsky,Pratyusha Kalluri,Siddharth Karamcheti,Geoff Keeling,Fereshte Khani,Omar Khattab,Pang Wei Kohd,Mark Krass,Ranjay Krishna,Rohith Kuditipudi,Ananya Kumar,Faisal Ladhak,Mina Lee,Tony Lee,Jure Leskovec,Isabelle Levent,Xiang Lisa Li,Xuechen Li,Tengyu Ma,Ali Malik,Christopher D. Manning,Suvir Mirchandani,Eric Mitchell,Zanele Munyikwa,Suraj Nair,Avanika Narayan,Deepak Narayanan,Ben Newman,Allen Nie,Juan Carlos Niebles,Hamed Nilforoshan,Julian Nyarko,Giray Ogut,Laurel Orr,Isabel Papadimitriou,Joon Sung Park,Chris Piech,Eva Portelance,Christopher Potts,Aditi Raghunathan,Rob Reich,Hongyu Ren,Frieda Rong,Yusuf Roohani,Camilo Ruiz,Jack Ryan,Christopher Ré,Dorsa Sadigh,Shiori Sagawa,Keshav Santhanam,Andy Shih,Krishnan Srinivasan,Alex Tamkin,Rohan Taori,Armin W. Thomas,Florian Tramèr,Rose E. Wang,William Wang,Bohan Wu,Jiajun Wu,Yuhuai Wu,Sang Michael Xie,Michihiro Yasunaga,Jiaxuan You,Matei Zaharia,Michael Zhang,Tianyi Zhang,Xikun Zhang,Yuhui Zhang,Lucia Zheng,Kaitlyn Zhou,Percy Liang
Rishi Bommasani,Drew A. Hudson,Ehsan Adeli,Russ Altman,Simran Arora,Sydney von Arx,Michael S. Bernstein,Jeannette Bohg,Antoine Bosselut,Emma Brunskill,Erik Brynjolfsson,Shyamal Buch,Dallas Card,Rodrigo Castellon,Niladri Chatterji,Annie Chen,Kathleen Creel,Jared Quincy Davis,Dora Demszky,Chris Donahue,Moussa Doumbouya,Esin Durmus,Stefano Ermon,John Etchemendy,Kawin Ethayarajh,Li Fei-Fei,Chelsea Finn,Trevor Gale,Lauren Gillespie,Karan Goel,Noah Goodman,Shelby Grossman,Neel Guha,Tatsunori Hashimoto,Peter Henderson,John Hewitt,Daniel E. Ho,Jenny Hong,Kyle Hsu,Jing Huang,Thomas Icard,Saahil Jain,Dan Jurafsky,Pratyusha Kalluri,Siddharth Karamcheti,Geoff Keeling,Fereshte Khani,Omar Khattab,Pang Wei Kohd,Mark Krass,Ranjay Krishna,Rohith Kuditipudi,Ananya Kumar,Faisal Ladhak,Mina Lee,Tony Lee,Jure Leskovec,Isabelle Levent,Xiang Lisa Li,Xuechen Li,Tengyu Ma,Ali Malik,Christopher D. Manning,Suvir Mirchandani,Eric Mitchell,Zanele Munyikwa,Suraj Nair,Avanika Narayan,Deepak Narayanan,Ben Newman,Allen Nie,Juan Carlos Niebles,Hamed Nilforoshan,Julian Nyarko,Giray Ogut,Laurel Orr,Isabel Papadimitriou,Joon Sung Park,Chris Piech,Eva Portelance,Christopher Potts,Aditi Raghunathan,Rob Reich,Hongyu Ren,Frieda Rong,Yusuf Roohani,Camilo Ruiz,Jack Ryan,Christopher Ré,Dorsa Sadigh,Shiori Sagawa,Keshav Santhanam,Andy Shih,Krishnan Srinivasan,Alex Tamkin,Rohan Taori,Armin W. Thomas,Florian Tramèr,Rose E. Wang,William Wang,Bohan Wu,Jiajun Wu,Yuhuai Wu,Sang Michael Xie,Michihiro Yasunaga,Jiaxuan You,Matei Zaharia,Michael Zhang,Tianyi Zhang,Xikun Zhang,Yuhui Zhang,Lucia Zheng,Kaitlyn Zhou,Percy Liang

AI is undergoing a paradigm shift with the rise of models (e.g., BERT, DALL-E, GPT-3) that are trained on broad data at scale and are adaptable to a wide range of downstream tasks. We call these models foundation models to underscore their critically central yet incomplete character. This report provides a thorough account of the opportunities and risks of foundation models, ranging from their capabilities (e.g., language, vision, robotics, reasoning, human interaction) and technical principles(e.g., model architectures, training procedures, data, systems, security, evaluation, theory) to their applications (e.g., law, healthcare, education) and societal impact (e.g., inequity, misuse, economic and environmental impact, legal and ethical considerations). Though foundation models are based on standard deep learning and transfer learning, their scale results in new emergent capabilities,and their effectiveness across so many tasks incentivizes homogenization. Homogenization provides powerful leverage but demands caution, as the defects of the foundation model are inherited by all the adapted models downstream. Despite the impending widespread deployment of foundation models, we currently lack a clear understanding of how they work, when they fail, and what they are even capable of due to their emergent properties. To tackle these questions, we believe much of the critical research on foundation models will require deep interdisciplinary collaboration commensurate with their fundamentally sociotechnical nature.

Recent years have seen important advances in the quality of state-of-the-art models, but this has come at the expense of models becoming less interpretable. This survey presents an overview of the current state of Explainable AI (XAI), considered within the domain of Natural Language Processing (NLP). We discuss the main categorization of explanations, as well as the various ways explanations can be arrived at and visualized. We detail the operations and explainability techniques currently available for generating explanations for NLP model predictions, to serve as a resource for model developers in the community. Finally, we point out the current gaps and encourage directions for future work in this important research area.

This work addresses a novel and challenging problem of estimating the full 3D hand shape and pose from a single RGB image. Most current methods in 3D hand analysis from monocular RGB images only focus on estimating the 3D locations of hand keypoints, which cannot fully express the 3D shape of hand. In contrast, we propose a Graph Convolutional Neural Network (Graph CNN) based method to reconstruct a full 3D mesh of hand surface that contains richer information of both 3D hand shape and pose. To train networks with full supervision, we create a large-scale synthetic dataset containing both ground truth 3D meshes and 3D poses. When fine-tuning the networks on real-world datasets without 3D ground truth, we propose a weakly-supervised approach by leveraging the depth map as a weak supervision in training. Through extensive evaluations on our proposed new datasets and two public datasets, we show that our proposed method can produce accurate and reasonable 3D hand mesh, and can achieve superior 3D hand pose estimation accuracy when compared with state-of-the-art methods.

Deep Convolutional Neural Networks (CNNs) are a special type of Neural Networks, which have shown state-of-the-art results on various competitive benchmarks. The powerful learning ability of deep CNN is largely achieved with the use of multiple non-linear feature extraction stages that can automatically learn hierarchical representation from the data. Availability of a large amount of data and improvements in the hardware processing units have accelerated the research in CNNs and recently very interesting deep CNN architectures are reported. The recent race in deep CNN architectures for achieving high performance on the challenging benchmarks has shown that the innovative architectural ideas, as well as parameter optimization, can improve the CNN performance on various vision-related tasks. In this regard, different ideas in the CNN design have been explored such as use of different activation and loss functions, parameter optimization, regularization, and restructuring of processing units. However, the major improvement in representational capacity is achieved by the restructuring of the processing units. Especially, the idea of using a block as a structural unit instead of a layer is gaining substantial appreciation. This survey thus focuses on the intrinsic taxonomy present in the recently reported CNN architectures and consequently, classifies the recent innovations in CNN architectures into seven different categories. These seven categories are based on spatial exploitation, depth, multi-path, width, feature map exploitation, channel boosting and attention. Additionally, it covers the elementary understanding of the CNN components and sheds light on the current challenges and applications of CNNs.

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