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In probabilistic modelling, joint distributions are often of more interest than their marginals, but the standard composition of stochastic channels is defined by marginalization. Recently, the notion of 'copy-composition' was introduced in order to circumvent this problem and express the chain rule of the relative entropy fibrationally, but while that goal was achieved, copy-composition lacked a satisfactory origin story. Here, we supply such a story for two standard probabilistic tools: directed and undirected graphical models. We explain that (directed) Bayesian networks may be understood as "stochastic terms" of product type, in which context copy-composition amounts to a pull-push operation. Likewise, we show that (undirected) factor graphs compose by copy-composition. In each case, our construction yields a double fibration of decorated (co)spans. Along the way, we introduce a useful bifibration of measure kernels, to provide semantics for the notion of stochastic term, which allows us to generalize probabilistic modelling from product to dependent types.

The Fredholm integral equations of the first kind is a typical ill-posed problem, so that it is usually difficult to obtain its analytical minimal-norm solution. This paper gives a closed-form minimal-norm solution for the degenerate kernel equations based on the H-HK formulation. Furthermore, it has been shown that the structure of solutions to degenerate kernel equations and matrix equations are consistent. Subsequently, the obtained results are extended to non-degenerate integral equations. Finally, the validity and applicability of the proposed method are demonstrated by some examples.

We consider Maxwell eigenvalue problems on uncertain shapes with perfectly conducting TESLA cavities being the driving example. Due to the shape uncertainty the resulting eigenvalues and eigenmodes are also uncertain and it is well known that the eigenvalues may exhibit crossings or bifurcations under perturbation. We discuss how the shape uncertainties can be modelled using the domain mapping approach and how the deformation mapping can be expressed as coefficients in Maxwell's equations. Using derivatives of these coefficients and derivatives of the eigenpairs, we follow a perturbation approach to compute approximations of mean and covariance of the eigenpairs. For small perturbations these approximations are faster and more accurate than sampling or surrogate model strategies. For the implementation we use an approach based on isogeometric analysis, which allows for straightforward modelling of the domain deformations and computation of the required derivatives. Numerical experiments for a three-dimensional 9-cell TESLA cavity are presented.

In these notes we propose and analyze an inertial type method for obtaining stable approximate solutions to nonlinear ill-posed operator equations. The method is based on the Levenberg-Marquardt (LM) iteration. The main obtained results are: monotonicity and convergence for exact data, stability and semi-convergence for noisy data. Regarding numerical experiments we consider: i) a parameter identification problem in elliptic PDEs, ii) a parameter identification problem in machine learning; the computational efficiency of the proposed method is compared with canonical implementations of the LM method.

General ridge estimators are typical linear estimators in a general linear model. The class of them include some shrinkage estimators in addition to classical linear unbiased estimators such as the ordinary least squares estimator and the weighted least squares estimator. We derive necessary and sufficient conditions under which two general ridge estimators coincide. In particular, two noteworthy conditions are added to those from previous studies. The first condition is given as a seemingly column space relationship to the covariance matrix of the error term, and the second one is based on the biases of general ridge estimators. Another problem studied in this paper is to derive an equivalence condition such that equality between two residual sums of squares holds when general ridge estimators are considered.

Nonparametric estimators for the mean and the covariance functions of functional data are proposed. The setup covers a wide range of practical situations. The random trajectories are, not necessarily differentiable, have unknown regularity, and are measured with error at discrete design points. The measurement error could be heteroscedastic. The design points could be either randomly drawn or common for all curves. The estimators depend on the local regularity of the stochastic process generating the functional data. We consider a simple estimator of this local regularity which exploits the replication and regularization features of functional data. Next, we use the ``smoothing first, then estimate'' approach for the mean and the covariance functions. They can be applied with both sparsely or densely sampled curves, are easy to calculate and to update, and perform well in simulations. Simulations built upon an example of real data set, illustrate the effectiveness of the new approach.

We consider the two-sample testing problem for networks, where the goal is to determine whether two sets of networks originated from the same stochastic model. Assuming no vertex correspondence and allowing for different numbers of nodes, we address a fundamental network testing problem that goes beyond simple adjacency matrix comparisons. We adopt the stochastic block model (SBM) for network distributions, due to their interpretability and the potential to approximate more general models. The lack of meaningful node labels and vertex correspondence translate to a graph matching challenge when developing a test for SBMs. We introduce an efficient algorithm to match estimated network parameters, allowing us to properly combine and contrast information within and across samples, leading to a powerful test. We show that the matching algorithm, and the overall test are consistent, under mild conditions on the sparsity of the networks and the sample sizes, and derive a chi-squared asymptotic null distribution for the test. Through a mixture of theoretical insights and empirical validations, including experiments with both synthetic and real-world data, this study advances robust statistical inference for complex network data.

Genome assembly is a prominent problem studied in bioinformatics, which computes the source string using a set of its overlapping substrings. Classically, genome assembly uses assembly graphs built using this set of substrings to compute the source string efficiently, having a tradeoff between scalability and avoiding information loss. The scalable de Bruijn graphs come at the price of losing crucial overlap information. The complete overlap information is stored in overlap graphs using quadratic space. Hierarchical overlap graphs [IPL20] (HOG) overcome these limitations, avoiding information loss despite using linear space. After a series of suboptimal improvements, Khan and Park et al. simultaneously presented two optimal algorithms [CPM2021], where only the former was seemingly practical. We empirically analyze all the practical algorithms for computing HOG on real and random datasets, where the optimal algorithm [CPM2021] outperforms the previous algorithms as expected, though at the expense of extra memory. However, it uses non-intuitive approach and non-trivial data structures. We present arguably the most intuitive algorithm, using only elementary arrays, which is also optimal. Our algorithm empirically proves even better for both time and memory over all the algorithms, highlighting its significance in both theory and practice. We further explore the applications of hierarchical overlap graphs to solve various forms of suffix-prefix queries on a set of strings. Loukides et al. [CPM2023] recently presented state-of-the-art algorithms for these queries. However, these algorithms require complex black-box data structures and are seemingly impractical. Our algorithms, despite failing to match the state-of-the-art algorithms theoretically, answer different queries ranging from 0.01-100 milliseconds for a data set having around a billion characters.

There has been a resurgence of interest in the asymptotic normality of incomplete U-statistics that only sum over roughly as many kernel evaluations as there are data samples, due to its computational efficiency and usefulness in quantifying the uncertainty for ensemble-based predictions. In this paper, we focus on the normal convergence of one such construction, the incomplete U-statistic with Bernoulli sampling, based on a raw sample of size $n$ and a computational budget $N$ in the same order as $n$. Under a minimalistic third moment assumption on the kernel, we offer an accompanying Berry-Esseen bound of the natural rate $1/\sqrt{\min(N, n)}$ that characterizes the normal approximating accuracy involved. Our key techniques include Stein's method specialized for the so-called Studentized nonlinear statistics, and an exponential lower tail bound for non-negative kernel U-statistics.

Structured additive distributional copula regression allows to model the joint distribution of multivariate outcomes by relating all distribution parameters to covariates. Estimation via statistical boosting enables accounting for high-dimensional data and incorporating data-driven variable selection, both of which are useful given the complexity of the model class. However, as known from univariate (distributional) regression, the standard boosting algorithm tends to select too many variables with minor importance, particularly in settings with large sample sizes, leading to complex models with difficult interpretation. To counteract this behavior and to avoid selecting base-learners with only a negligible impact, we combined the ideas of probing, stability selection and a new deselection approach with statistical boosting for distributional copula regression. In a simulation study and an application to the joint modelling of weight and length of newborns, we found that all proposed methods enhance variable selection by reducing the number of false positives. However, only stability selection and the deselection approach yielded similar predictive performance to classical boosting. Finally, the deselection approach is better scalable to larger datasets and led to a competitive predictive performance, which we further illustrated in a genomic cohort study from the UK Biobank by modelling the joint genetic predisposition for two phenotypes.