The dynamics of cellular pattern formation is crucial for understanding embryonic development and tissue morphogenesis. Recent studies have shown that human dermal fibroblasts cultured on liquid crystal elastomers can exhibit an increase in orientational alignment over time, accompanied by cell proliferation, under the influence of the weak guidance of a molecularly aligned substrate. However, a comprehensive understanding of how this order arises remains largely unknown. This knowledge gap may be attributed, in part, to a scarcity of mechanistic models that can capture the temporal progression of the complex nonequilibrium dynamics during the cellular alignment process. The orientational alignment occurs primarily when cells reach a high density near confluence. Therefore, for accurate modeling, it is crucial to take into account both the cell-cell interaction term and the influence from the substrate, acting as a one-body external potential term. To fill in this gap, we develop a hybrid procedure that utilizes statistical learning approaches to extend the state-of-the-art physics models for quantifying both effects. We develop a more efficient way to perform feature selection that avoids testing all feature combinations through simulation. The maximum likelihood estimator of the model was derived and implemented in computationally scalable algorithms for model calibration and simulation. By including these features, such as the non-Gaussian, anisotropic fluctuations, and limiting alignment interaction only to neighboring cells with the same velocity direction, this model quantitatively reproduce the key system-level parameters--the temporal progression of the velocity orientational order parameters and the variability of velocity vectors, whereas models missing any of the features fail to capture these temporally dependent parameters.
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ACM/IEEE第23屆模型驅動工程語言和系統國際會議，是模型驅動軟件和系統工程的首要會議系列，由ACM-SIGSOFT和IEEE-TCSE支持組織。自1998年以來，模型涵蓋了建模的各個方面，從語言和方法到工具和應用程序。模特的參加者來自不同的背景，包括研究人員、學者、工程師和工業專業人士。MODELS 2019是一個論壇，參與者可以圍繞建模和模型驅動的軟件和系統交流前沿研究成果和創新實踐經驗。今年的版本將為建模社區提供進一步推進建模基礎的機會，并在網絡物理系統、嵌入式系統、社會技術系統、云計算、大數據、機器學習、安全、開源等新興領域提出建模的創新應用以及可持續性。
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Obtaining continuously updated predictions is a major challenge for personalised medicine. Leveraging combinations of parametric regressions and machine learning approaches, the personalised online super learner (POSL) can achieve such dynamic and personalised predictions. We adapt POSL to predict a repeated continuous outcome dynamically and propose a new way to validate such personalised or dynamic prediction models. We illustrate its performance by predicting the convection volume of patients undergoing hemodiafiltration. POSL outperformed its candidate learners with respect to median absolute error, calibration-in-the-large, discrimination, and net benefit. We finally discuss the choices and challenges underlying the use of POSL.
We propose a novel surrogate modelling approach to efficiently and accurately approximate the response of complex dynamical systems driven by time-varying exogenous excitations over extended time periods. Our approach, namely manifold nonlinear autoregressive modelling with exogenous input (mNARX), involves constructing a problem-specific exogenous input manifold that is optimal for constructing autoregressive surrogates. The manifold, which forms the core of mNARX, is constructed incrementally by incorporating the physics of the system, as well as prior expert- and domain- knowledge. Because mNARX decomposes the full problem into a series of smaller sub-problems, each with a lower complexity than the original, it scales well with the complexity of the problem, both in terms of training and evaluation costs of the final surrogate. Furthermore, mNARX synergizes well with traditional dimensionality reduction techniques, making it highly suitable for modelling dynamical systems with high-dimensional exogenous inputs, a class of problems that is typically challenging to solve. Since domain knowledge is particularly abundant in physical systems, such as those found in civil and mechanical engineering, mNARX is well suited for these applications. We demonstrate that mNARX outperforms traditional autoregressive surrogates in predicting the response of a classical coupled spring-mass system excited by a one-dimensional random excitation. Additionally, we show that mNARX is well suited for emulating very high-dimensional time- and state-dependent systems, even when affected by active controllers, by surrogating the dynamics of a realistic aero-servo-elastic onshore wind turbine simulator. In general, our results demonstrate that mNARX offers promising prospects for modelling complex dynamical systems, in terms of accuracy and efficiency.
Multiscale modeling of complex systems is crucial for understanding their intricacies. Data-driven multiscale modeling has emerged as a promising approach to tackle challenges associated with complex systems. On the other hand, self-similarity is prevalent in complex systems, hinting that large-scale complex systems can be modeled at a reduced cost. In this paper, we introduce a multiscale neural network framework that incorporates self-similarity as prior knowledge, facilitating the modeling of self-similar dynamical systems. For deterministic dynamics, our framework can discern whether the dynamics are self-similar. For uncertain dynamics, it can compare and determine which parameter set is closer to self-similarity. The framework allows us to extract scale-invariant kernels from the dynamics for modeling at any scale. Moreover, our method can identify the power law exponents in self-similar systems. Preliminary tests on the Ising model yielded critical exponents consistent with theoretical expectations, providing valuable insights for addressing critical phase transitions in non-equilibrium systems.
We present a machine learning framework capable of consistently inferring mathematical expressions of hyperelastic energy functionals for incompressible materials from sparse experimental data and physical laws. To achieve this goal, we propose a polyconvex neural additive model (PNAM) that enables us to express the hyperelastic model in a learnable feature space while enforcing polyconvexity. An upshot of this feature space obtained via the PNAM is that (1) it is spanned by a set of univariate basis that can be re-parametrized with a more complex mathematical form, and (2) the resultant elasticity model is guaranteed to fulfill the polyconvexity, which ensures that the acoustic tensor remains elliptic for any deformation. To further improve the interpretability, we use genetic programming to convert each univariate basis into a compact mathematical expression. The resultant multi-variable mathematical models obtained from this proposed framework are not only more interpretable but are also proven to fulfill physical laws. By controlling the compactness of the learned symbolic form, the machine learning-generated mathematical model also requires fewer arithmetic operations than its deep neural network counterparts during deployment. This latter attribute is crucial for scaling large-scale simulations where the constitutive responses of every integration point must be updated within each incremental time step. We compare our proposed model discovery framework against other state-of-the-art alternatives to assess the robustness and efficiency of the training algorithms and examine the trade-off between interpretability, accuracy, and precision of the learned symbolic hyperelastic models obtained from different approaches. Our numerical results suggest that our approach extrapolates well outside the training data regime due to the precise incorporation of physics-based knowledge.
Distinguishing two classes of candidate models is a fundamental and practically important problem in statistical inference. Error rate control is crucial to the logic but, in complex nonparametric settings, such guarantees can be difficult to achieve, especially when the stopping rule that determines the data collection process is not available. In this paper we develop a novel e-process construction that leverages the so-called predictive recursion (PR) algorithm designed to rapidly and recursively fit nonparametric mixture models. The resulting PRe-process affords anytime valid inference uniformly over stopping rules and is shown to be efficient in the sense that it achieves the maximal growth rate under the alternative relative to the mixture model being fit by PR. In the special case of testing for a log-concave density, the PRe-process test is computationally simpler and faster, more stable, and no less efficient compared to a recently proposed anytime valid test.
A data-driven modeling approach is presented to quantify the influence of morphology on effective properties in nanostructured sodium vanadium phosphate $\mathrm{Na}_3\mathrm{V}_2(\mathrm{PO}_4)_3$/ carbon composites (NVP/C), which are used as cathode material in sodium-ion batteries. This approach is based on the combination of advanced imaging techniques, experimental nanostructure characterization and stochastic modeling of the 3D nanostructure consisting of NVP, carbon and pores. By 3D imaging and subsequent post-processing involving image segmentation, the spatial distribution of NVP is resolved in 3D, and the spatial distribution of carbon and pores is resolved in 2D. Based on this information, a parametric stochastic model, specifically a Pluri-Gaussian model, is calibrated to the 3D morphology of the nanostructured NVP/C particles. Model validation is performed by comparing the nanostructure of simulated NVP/C composites with image data in terms of morphological descriptors which have not been used for model calibration. Finally, the stochastic model is used for predictive simulation to quantify the effect of varying the amount of carbon while keeping the amount of NVP constant. The presented methodology opens new possibilities for a ressource-efficient optimization of the morphology of NVP/C particles by modeling and simulation.
This paper presents a new weak Galerkin (WG) method for elliptic interface problems on general curved polygonal partitions. The method's key innovation lies in its ability to transform the complex interface jump condition into a more manageable Dirichlet boundary condition, simplifying the theoretical analysis significantly. The numerical scheme is designed by using locally constructed weak gradient on the curved polygonal partitions. We establish error estimates of optimal order for the numerical approximation in both discrete $H^1$ and $L^2$ norms. Additionally, we present various numerical results that serve to illustrate the robust numerical performance of the proposed WG interface method.
We investigate block diagonal and hierarchical nested stochastic multivariate Gaussian models by studying their sample cross-correlation matrix on high dimensions. By performing numerical simulations, we compare a filtered sample cross-correlation with the population cross-correlation matrices by using several rotationally invariant estimators (RIE) and hierarchical clustering estimators (HCE) under several loss functions. We show that at large but finite sample size, sample cross-correlation filtered by RIE estimators are often outperformed by HCE estimators for several of the loss functions. We also show that for block models and for hierarchically nested block models the best determination of the filtered sample cross-correlation is achieved by introducing two-step estimators combining state-of-the-art non-linear shrinkage models with hierarchical clustering estimators.
A physics-informed convolutional neural network is proposed to simulate two phase flow in porous media with time-varying well controls. While most of PICNNs in existing literatures worked on parameter-to-state mapping, our proposed network parameterizes the solution with time-varying controls to establish a control-to-state regression. Firstly, finite volume scheme is adopted to discretize flow equations and formulate loss function that respects mass conservation laws. Neumann boundary conditions are seamlessly incorporated into the semi-discretized equations so no additional loss term is needed. The network architecture comprises two parallel U-Net structures, with network inputs being well controls and outputs being the system states. To capture the time-dependent relationship between inputs and outputs, the network is well designed to mimic discretized state space equations. We train the network progressively for every timestep, enabling it to simultaneously predict oil pressure and water saturation at each timestep. After training the network for one timestep, we leverage transfer learning techniques to expedite the training process for subsequent timestep. The proposed model is used to simulate oil-water porous flow scenarios with varying reservoir gridblocks and aspects including computation efficiency and accuracy are compared against corresponding numerical approaches. The results underscore the potential of PICNN in effectively simulating systems with numerous grid blocks, as computation time does not scale with model dimensionality. We assess the temporal error using 10 different testing controls with variation in magnitude and another 10 with higher alternation frequency with proposed control-to-state architecture. Our observations suggest the need for a more robust and reliable model when dealing with controls that exhibit significant variations in magnitude or frequency.
Learning and predicting the dynamics of physical systems requires a profound understanding of the underlying physical laws. Recent works on learning physical laws involve generalizing the equation discovery frameworks to the discovery of Hamiltonian and Lagrangian of physical systems. While the existing methods parameterize the Lagrangian using neural networks, we propose an alternate framework for learning interpretable Lagrangian descriptions of physical systems from limited data using the sparse Bayesian approach. Unlike existing neural network-based approaches, the proposed approach (a) yields an interpretable description of Lagrangian, (b) exploits Bayesian learning to quantify the epistemic uncertainty due to limited data, (c) automates the distillation of Hamiltonian from the learned Lagrangian using Legendre transformation, and (d) provides ordinary (ODE) and partial differential equation (PDE) based descriptions of the observed systems. Six different examples involving both discrete and continuous system illustrates the efficacy of the proposed approach.
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