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We consider a bandit recommendations problem in which an agent's preferences (representing selection probabilities over recommended items) evolve as a function of past selections, according to an unknown $\textit{preference model}$. In each round, we show a menu of $k$ items (out of $n$ total) to the agent, who then chooses a single item, and we aim to minimize regret with respect to some $\textit{target set}$ (a subset of the item simplex) for adversarial losses over the agent's choices. Extending the setting from Agarwal and Brown (2022), where uniform-memory agents were considered, here we allow for non-uniform memory in which a discount factor is applied to the agent's memory vector at each subsequent round. In the "long-term memory" regime (when the effective memory horizon scales with $T$ sublinearly), we show that efficient sublinear regret is obtainable with respect to the set of $\textit{everywhere instantaneously realizable distributions}$ (the "EIRD set", as formulated in prior work) for any $\textit{smooth}$ preference model. Further, for preferences which are bounded above and below by linear functions of memory weight (we call these "scale-bounded" preferences) we give an algorithm which obtains efficient sublinear regret with respect to nearly the $\textit{entire}$ item simplex. We show an NP-hardness result for expanding to targets beyond EIRD in general. In the "short-term memory" regime (when the memory horizon is constant), we show that scale-bounded preferences again enable efficient sublinear regret for nearly the entire simplex even without smoothness if losses do not change too frequently, yet we show an information-theoretic barrier for competing against the EIRD set under arbitrary smooth preference models even when losses are constant.

We prove an inverse approximation theorem for the approximation of nonlinear sequence-to-sequence relationships using recurrent neural networks (RNNs). This is a so-called Bernstein-type result in approximation theory, which deduces properties of a target function under the assumption that it can be effectively approximated by a hypothesis space. In particular, we show that nonlinear sequence relationships that can be stably approximated by nonlinear RNNs must have an exponential decaying memory structure - a notion that can be made precise. This extends the previously identified curse of memory in linear RNNs into the general nonlinear setting, and quantifies the essential limitations of the RNN architecture for learning sequential relationships with long-term memory. Based on the analysis, we propose a principled reparameterization method to overcome the limitations. Our theoretical results are confirmed by numerical experiments. The code has been released in //github.com/radarFudan/Curse-of-memory

With the rapid development of large models, the need for data has become increasingly crucial. Especially in 3D object detection, costly manual annotations have hindered further advancements. To reduce the burden of annotation, we study the problem of achieving 3D object detection solely based on 2D annotations. Thanks to advanced 3D reconstruction techniques, it is now feasible to reconstruct the overall static 3D scene. However, extracting precise object-level annotations from the entire scene and generalizing these limited annotations to the entire scene remain challenges. In this paper, we introduce a novel paradigm called BA$^2$-Det, encompassing pseudo label generation and multi-stage generalization. We devise the DoubleClustering algorithm to obtain object clusters from reconstructed scene-level points, and further enhance the model's detection capabilities by developing three stages of generalization: progressing from complete to partial, static to dynamic, and close to distant. Experiments conducted on the large-scale Waymo Open Dataset show that the performance of BA$^2$-Det is on par with the fully-supervised methods using 10% annotations. Additionally, using large raw videos for pretraining,BA$^2$-Det can achieve a 20% relative improvement on the KITTI dataset. The method also has great potential for detecting open-set 3D objects in complex scenes. Project page: //ba2det.site.

A confidence sequence (CS) is a sequence of confidence sets that contains a target parameter of an underlying stochastic process at any time step with high probability. This paper proposes a new approach to constructing CSs for means of bounded multivariate stochastic processes using a general gambling framework, extending the recently established coin toss framework for bounded random processes. The proposed gambling framework provides a general recipe for constructing CSs for categorical and probability-vector-valued observations, as well as for general bounded multidimensional observations through a simple reduction. This paper specifically explores the use of the mixture portfolio, akin to Cover's universal portfolio, in the proposed framework and investigates the properties of the resulting CSs. Simulations demonstrate the tightness of these confidence sequences compared to existing methods. When applied to the sampling without-replacement setting for finite categorical data, it is shown that the resulting CS based on a universal gambling strategy is provably tighter than that of the posterior-prior ratio martingale proposed by Waudby-Smith and Ramdas.

Computing eigenvalue decomposition (EVD) of a given linear operator, or finding its leading eigenvalues and eigenfunctions, is a fundamental task in many machine learning and scientific computing problems. For high-dimensional eigenvalue problems, training neural networks to parameterize the eigenfunctions is considered as a promising alternative to the classical numerical linear algebra techniques. This paper proposes a new optimization framework based on the low-rank approximation characterization of a truncated singular value decomposition, accompanied by new techniques called nesting for learning the top-$L$ singular values and singular functions in the correct order. The proposed method promotes the desired orthogonality in the learned functions implicitly and efficiently via an unconstrained optimization formulation, which is easy to solve with off-the-shelf gradient-based optimization algorithms. We demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed optimization framework for use cases in computational physics and machine learning.

We consider a model convection-diffusion problem and present useful connections between the finite differences and finite element discretization methods. We introduce a general upwinding Petrov-Galerkin discretization based on bubble modification of the test space and connect the method with the general upwinding approach used in finite difference discretization. We write the finite difference and the finite element systems such that the two corresponding linear systems have the same stiffness matrices, and compare the right hand side load vectors for the two methods. This new approach allows for improving well known upwinding finite difference methods and for obtaining new error estimates. We prove that the exponential bubble Petrov-Galerkin discretization can recover the interpolant of the exact solution. As a consequence, we estimate the closeness of the related finite difference solutions to the interpolant. The ideas we present in this work, can lead to building efficient new discretization methods for multidimensional convection dominated problems.

We consider a variant of matrix completion where entries are revealed in a biased manner, adopting a model akin to that introduced by Ma and Chen. Instead of treating this observation bias as a disadvantage, as is typically the case, the goal is to exploit the shared information between the bias and the outcome of interest to improve predictions. Towards this, we consider a natural model where the observation pattern and outcome of interest are driven by the same set of underlying latent or unobserved factors. This leads to a two stage matrix completion algorithm: first, recover (distances between) the latent factors by utilizing matrix completion for the fully observed noisy binary matrix corresponding to the observation pattern; second, utilize the recovered latent factors as features and sparsely observed noisy outcomes as labels to perform non-parametric supervised learning. The finite-sample error rates analysis suggests that, ignoring logarithmic factors, this approach is competitive with the corresponding supervised learning parametric rates. This implies the two-stage method has performance that is comparable to having access to the unobserved latent factors through exploiting the shared information between the bias and outcomes. Through empirical evaluation using a real-world dataset, we find that with this two-stage algorithm, the estimates have 30x smaller mean squared error compared to traditional matrix completion methods, suggesting the utility of the model and the method proposed in this work.

Modeling the correlations among errors is closely associated with how accurately the model can quantify predictive uncertainty in probabilistic time series forecasting. Recent multivariate models have made significant progress in accounting for contemporaneous correlations among errors, while a common assumption on these errors is that they are temporally independent for the sake of statistical simplicity. However, real-world observations often deviate from this assumption, since errors usually exhibit substantial autocorrelation due to various factors such as the exclusion of temporally correlated covariates. In this work, we propose an efficient method, based on a low-rank-plus-diagonal parameterization of the covariance matrix, which can effectively characterize the autocorrelation of errors. The proposed method possesses several desirable properties: the complexity does not scale with the number of time series, the resulting covariance can be used for calibrating predictions, and it can seamlessly integrate with any model with Gaussian-distributed errors. We empirically demonstrate these properties using two distinct neural forecasting models -- GPVar and Transformer. Our experimental results confirm the effectiveness of our method in enhancing predictive accuracy and the quality of uncertainty quantification on multiple real-world datasets.

Invariant approaches have been remarkably successful in tackling the problem of domain generalization, where the objective is to perform inference on data distributions different from those used in training. In our work, we investigate whether it is possible to leverage domain information from the unseen test samples themselves. We propose a domain-adaptive approach consisting of two steps: a) we first learn a discriminative domain embedding from unsupervised training examples, and b) use this domain embedding as supplementary information to build a domain-adaptive model, that takes both the input as well as its domain into account while making predictions. For unseen domains, our method simply uses few unlabelled test examples to construct the domain embedding. This enables adaptive classification on any unseen domain. Our approach achieves state-of-the-art performance on various domain generalization benchmarks. In addition, we introduce the first real-world, large-scale domain generalization benchmark, Geo-YFCC, containing 1.1M samples over 40 training, 7 validation, and 15 test domains, orders of magnitude larger than prior work. We show that the existing approaches either do not scale to this dataset or underperform compared to the simple baseline of training a model on the union of data from all training domains. In contrast, our approach achieves a significant improvement.

Multi-relation Question Answering is a challenging task, due to the requirement of elaborated analysis on questions and reasoning over multiple fact triples in knowledge base. In this paper, we present a novel model called Interpretable Reasoning Network that employs an interpretable, hop-by-hop reasoning process for question answering. The model dynamically decides which part of an input question should be analyzed at each hop; predicts a relation that corresponds to the current parsed results; utilizes the predicted relation to update the question representation and the state of the reasoning process; and then drives the next-hop reasoning. Experiments show that our model yields state-of-the-art results on two datasets. More interestingly, the model can offer traceable and observable intermediate predictions for reasoning analysis and failure diagnosis.