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Many proposals for the identification of causal effects require an instrumental variable that satisfies strong, untestable unconfoundedness and exclusion restriction assumptions. In this paper, we show how one can potentially identify causal effects under violations of these assumptions by harnessing a negative control population or outcome. This strategy allows one to leverage sup-populations for whom the exposure is degenerate, and requires that the instrument-outcome association satisfies a certain parallel trend condition. We develop the semiparametric efficiency theory for a general instrumental variable model, and obtain a multiply robust, locally efficient estimator of the average treatment effect in the treated. The utility of the estimators is demonstrated in simulation studies and an analysis of the Life Span Study.

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Photoacoustic imaging (PAI) uniquely combines optical contrast with the penetration depth of ultrasound, making it critical for clinical applications. However, the quality of 3D PAI is often degraded due to reconstruction artifacts caused by the sparse and angle-limited configuration of detector arrays. Existing iterative or deep learning-based methods are either time-consuming or require large training datasets, significantly limiting their practical application. Here, we propose Zero-Shot Artifact2Artifact (ZS-A2A), a zero-shot self-supervised artifact removal method based on a super-lightweight network, which leverages the fact that reconstruction artifacts are sensitive to irregularities caused by data loss. By introducing random perturbations to the acquired PA data, it spontaneously generates subset data, which in turn stimulates the network to learn the artifact patterns in the reconstruction results, thus enabling zero-shot artifact removal. This approach requires neither training data nor prior knowledge of the artifacts, and is capable of artifact removal for 3D PAI. For maximum amplitude projection (MAP) images or slice images in 3D PAI acquired with arbitrarily sparse or angle-limited detector arrays, ZS-A2A employs a self-incentive strategy to complete artifact removal and improves the Contrast-to-Noise Ratio (CNR). We validated ZS-A2A in both simulation study and $ in\ vivo $ animal experiments. Results demonstrate that ZS-A2A achieves state-of-the-art (SOTA) performance compared to existing zero-shot methods, and for the $ in\ vivo $ rat liver, ZS-A2A improves CNR from 17.48 to 43.46 in just 8 seconds. The project for ZS-A2A will be available in the following GitHub repository: //github.com/JaegerCQ/ZS-A2A.

We propose a method utilizing physics-informed neural networks (PINNs) to solve Poisson equations that serve as control variates in the computation of transport coefficients via fluctuation formulas, such as the Green--Kubo and generalized Einstein-like formulas. By leveraging approximate solutions to the Poisson equation constructed through neural networks, our approach significantly reduces the variance of the estimator at hand. We provide an extensive numerical analysis of the estimators and detail a methodology for training neural networks to solve these Poisson equations. The approximate solutions are then incorporated into Monte Carlo simulations as effective control variates, demonstrating the suitability of the method for moderately high-dimensional problems where fully deterministic solutions are computationally infeasible.

Not accounting for competing events in survival analysis can lead to biased estimates, as individuals who die from other causes do not have the opportunity to develop the event of interest. Formal definitions and considerations for causal effects in the presence of competing risks have been published, but not for the mediation analysis setting. We propose, for the first time, an approach based on the path-specific effects framework to account for competing risks in longitudinal mediation analysis with time-to-event outcomes. We do so by considering the pathway through the competing event as another mediator, which is nested within our longitudinal mediator of interest. We provide a theoretical formulation and related definitions of the effects of interest based on the mediational g-formula, as well as a detailed description of the algorithm. We also present an application of our algorithm to data from the Strong Heart Study, a prospective cohort of American Indian adults. In this application, we evaluated the mediating role of the blood pressure trajectory (measured during three visits) on the association between arsenic and cadmium, in separate models, with time to cardiovascular disease, accounting for competing risks by death. Identifying the effects through different paths enables us to evaluate the impact of metals on the outcome of interest, as well as through competing risks, more transparently.

Many real-world processes have complex tail dependence structures that cannot be characterized using classical Gaussian processes. More flexible spatial extremes models exhibit appealing extremal dependence properties but are often exceedingly prohibitive to fit and simulate from in high dimensions. In this paper, we aim to push the boundaries on computation and modeling of high-dimensional spatial extremes via integrating a new spatial extremes model that has flexible and non-stationary dependence properties in the encoding-decoding structure of a variational autoencoder called the XVAE. The XVAE can emulate spatial observations and produce outputs that have the same statistical properties as the inputs, especially in the tail. Our approach also provides a novel way of making fast inference with complex extreme-value processes. Through extensive simulation studies, we show that our XVAE is substantially more time-efficient than traditional Bayesian inference while outperforming many spatial extremes models with a stationary dependence structure. Lastly, we analyze a high-resolution satellite-derived dataset of sea surface temperature in the Red Sea, which includes 30 years of daily measurements at 16703 grid cells. We demonstrate how to use XVAE to identify regions susceptible to marine heatwaves under climate change and examine the spatial and temporal variability of the extremal dependence structure.

We propose a procedure for the numerical approximation of invariance equations arising in the moment matching technique associated with reduced-order modeling of high-dimensional dynamical systems. The Galerkin residual method is employed to find an approximate solution to the invariance equation using a Newton iteration on the coefficients of a monomial basis expansion of the solution. These solutions to the invariance equations can then be used to construct reduced-order models. We assess the ability of the method to solve the invariance PDE system as well as to achieve moment matching and recover a system's steady-state behaviour for linear and nonlinear signal generators with system dynamics up to $n=1000$ dimensions.

Insurance losses due to flooding can be estimated by simulating and then summing a large number of losses for each in a large set of hypothetical years of flood events. Replicated realisations lead to Monte Carlo return-level estimates and associated uncertainty. The procedure, however, is highly computationally intensive. We develop and use a new, Bennett-like concentration inequality to provide conservative but relatively accurate estimates of return levels. Bennett's inequality accounts for the different variances of each of the variables in a sum but uses a uniform upper bound on their support. Motivated by the variability in the total insured value of risks within a portfolio, we incorporate both individual upper bounds and variances and obtain tractable concentration bounds. Simulation studies and application to a representative portfolio demonstrate a substantial tightening compared with Bennett's bound. We then develop an importance-sampling procedure that repeatedly samples the loss for each year from the distribution implied by the concentration inequality, leading to conservative estimates of the return levels and their uncertainty using orders of magnitude less computation. This enables a simulation study of the sensitivity of the predictions to perturbations in quantities that are usually assumed fixed and known but, in truth, are not.

Combining microstructural mechanical models with experimental data enhances our understanding of the mechanics of soft tissue, such as tendons. In previous work, a Bayesian framework was used to infer constitutive parameters from uniaxial stress-strain experiments on horse tendons, specifically the superficial digital flexor tendon (SDFT) and common digital extensor tendon (CDET), on a per-experiment basis. Here, we extend this analysis to investigate the natural variation of these parameters across a population of horses. Using a Bayesian mixed effects model, we infer population distributions of these parameters. Given that the chosen hyperelastic model does not account for tendon damage, careful data selection is necessary. Avoiding ad hoc methods, we introduce a hierarchical Bayesian data selection method. This two-stage approach selects data per experiment, and integrates data weightings into the Bayesian mixed effects model. Our results indicate that the CDET is stiffer than the SDFT, likely due to a higher collagen volume fraction. The modes of the parameter distributions yield estimates of the product of the collagen volume fraction and Young's modulus as 811.5 MPa for the SDFT and 1430.2 MPa for the CDET. This suggests that positional tendons have stiffer collagen fibrils and/or higher collagen volume density than energy-storing tendons.

The proposed two-dimensional geometrically exact beam element extends our previous work by including the effects of shear distortion, and also of distributed forces and moments acting along the beam. The general flexibility-based formulation exploits the kinematic equations combined with the inverted sectional equations and the integrated form of equilibrium equations. The resulting set of three first-order differential equations is discretized by finite differences and the boundary value problem is converted into an initial value problem using the shooting method. Due to the special structure of the governing equations, the scheme remains explicit even though the first derivatives are approximated by central differences, leading to high accuracy. The main advantage of the adopted approach is that the error can be efficiently reduced by refining the computational grid used for finite differences at the element level while keeping the number of global degrees of freedom low. The efficiency is also increased by dealing directly with the global centerline coordinates and sectional inclination with respect to global axes as the primary unknowns at the element level, thereby avoiding transformations between local and global coordinates. Two formulations of the sectional equations, referred to as the Reissner and Ziegler models, are presented and compared. In particular, stability of an axially loaded beam/column is investigated and the connections to the Haringx and Engesser stability theories are discussed. Both approaches are tested in a series of numerical examples, which illustrate (i) high accuracy with quadratic convergence when the spatial discretization is refined, (ii) easy modeling of variable stiffness along the element (such as rigid joint offsets), (iii) efficient and accurate characterization of the buckling and post-buckling behavior.

This work presents an abstract framework for the design, implementation, and analysis of the multiscale spectral generalized finite element method (MS-GFEM), a particular numerical multiscale method originally proposed in [I. Babuska and R. Lipton, Multiscale Model.\;\,Simul., 9 (2011), pp.~373--406]. MS-GFEM is a partition of unity method employing optimal local approximation spaces constructed from local spectral problems. We establish a general local approximation theory demonstrating exponential convergence with respect to local degrees of freedom under certain assumptions, with explicit dependence on key problem parameters. Our framework applies to a broad class of multiscale PDEs with $L^{\infty}$-coefficients in both continuous and discrete, finite element settings, including highly indefinite problems (convection-dominated diffusion, as well as the high-frequency Helmholtz, Maxwell and elastic wave equations with impedance boundary conditions), and higher-order problems. Notably, we prove a local convergence rate of $O(e^{-cn^{1/d}})$ for MS-GFEM for all these problems, improving upon the $O(e^{-cn^{1/(d+1)}})$ rate shown by Babuska and Lipton. Moreover, based on the abstract local approximation theory for MS-GFEM, we establish a unified framework for showing low-rank approximations to multiscale PDEs. This framework applies to the aforementioned problems, proving that the associated Green's functions admit an $O(|\log\epsilon|^{d})$-term separable approximation on well-separated domains with error $\epsilon>0$. Our analysis improves and generalizes the result in [M. Bebendorf and W. Hackbusch, Numerische Mathematik, 95 (2003), pp.~1-28] where an $O(|\log\epsilon|^{d+1})$-term separable approximation was proved for Poisson-type problems.

Many combinatorial optimization problems can be formulated as the search for a subgraph that satisfies certain properties and minimizes the total weight. We assume here that the vertices correspond to points in a metric space and can take any position in given uncertainty sets. Then, the cost function to be minimized is the sum of the distances for the worst positions of the vertices in their uncertainty sets. We propose two types of polynomial-time approximation algorithms. The first one relies on solving a deterministic counterpart of the problem where the uncertain distances are replaced with maximum pairwise distances. We study in details the resulting approximation ratio, which depends on the structure of the feasible subgraphs and whether the metric space is Ptolemaic or not. The second algorithm is a fully-polynomial time approximation scheme for the special case of $s-t$ paths.

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