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Statistical inference is often simplified by sample-splitting. This simplification comes at the cost of the introduction of randomness that is not native to the data. We propose a simple procedure for sequentially aggregating statistics constructed with multiple splits of the same sample. The user specifies a bound and a nominal error rate. If the procedure is implemented twice on the same data, the nominal error rate approximates the chance that the results differ by more than the bound. We provide a non-asymptotic analysis of the accuracy of the nominal error rate and illustrate the application of the procedure to several widely applied statistical methods.

The solutions of Hamiltonian equations are known to describe the underlying phase space of the mechanical system. Hamiltonian Monte Carlo is the sole use of the properties of solutions to the Hamiltonian equations in Bayesian statistics. In this article, we propose a novel spatio-temporal model using a strategic modification of the Hamiltonian equations, incorporating appropriate stochasticity via Gaussian processes. The resultant sptaio-temporal process, continuously varying with time, turns out to be nonparametric, nonstationary, nonseparable and non-Gaussian. Additionally, as the spatio-temporal lag goes to infinity, the lagged correlations converge to zero. We investigate the theoretical properties of the new spatio-temporal process, including its continuity and smoothness properties. In the Bayesian paradigm, we derive methods for complete Bayesian inference using MCMC techniques. The performance of our method has been compared with that of non-stationary Gaussian process (GP) using two simulation studies, where our method shows a significant improvement over the non-stationary GP. Further, application of our new model to two real data sets revealed encouraging performance.

The problems of determining the permutation-representation number (prn) and the representation number of bipartite graphs are open in the literature. Moreover, the decision problem corresponding to the determination of the prn of a bipartite graph is NP-complete. However, these numbers were established for certain subclasses of bipartite graphs, e.g., for crown graphs. Further, it was conjectured that the crown graphs have the highest representation number among the bipartite graphs. In this work, first, we reconcile the relation between the prn of a comparability graph and the dimension of its induced poset and review the upper bounds on the prn of bipartite graphs. Then, we study the prn of bipartite graphs using the notion called neighborhood graphs. This approach substantiates the aforesaid conjecture and gives us theoretical evidence. In this connection, we devise a polynomial-time procedure to construct a word that represents a given bipartite graph permutationally. Accordingly, we provide a better upper bound for the prn of bipartite graphs. Further, we construct a class of bipartite graphs, viz., extended crown graphs, defined over posets and investigate its prn using the neighborhood graphs.

Extreme quantiles are critical for understanding the behavior of data in the tail region of a distribution. It is challenging to estimate extreme quantiles, particularly when dealing with limited data in the tail. In such cases, extreme value theory offers a solution by approximating the tail distribution using the Generalized Pareto Distribution (GPD). This allows for the extrapolation beyond the range of observed data, making it a valuable tool for various applications. However, when it comes to conditional cases, where estimation relies on covariates, existing methods may require computationally expensive GPD fitting for different observations. This computational burden becomes even more problematic as the volume of observations increases, sometimes approaching infinity. To address this issue, we propose an interpolation-based algorithm named EMI. EMI facilitates the online prediction of extreme conditional quantiles with finite offline observations. Combining quantile regression and GPD-based extrapolation, EMI formulates as a bilevel programming problem, efficiently solvable using classic optimization methods. Once estimates for offline observations are obtained, EMI employs B-spline interpolation for covariate-dependent variables, enabling estimation for online observations with finite GPD fitting. Simulations and real data analysis demonstrate the effectiveness of EMI across various scenarios.

Large Language Models (LLMs) have shown excellent generalization capabilities that have led to the development of numerous models. These models propose various new architectures, tweaking existing architectures with refined training strategies, increasing context length, using high-quality training data, and increasing training time to outperform baselines. Analyzing new developments is crucial for identifying changes that enhance training stability and improve generalization in LLMs. This survey paper comprehensively analyses the LLMs architectures and their categorization, training strategies, training datasets, and performance evaluations and discusses future research directions. Moreover, the paper also discusses the basic building blocks and concepts behind LLMs, followed by a complete overview of LLMs, including their important features and functions. Finally, the paper summarizes significant findings from LLM research and consolidates essential architectural and training strategies for developing advanced LLMs. Given the continuous advancements in LLMs, we intend to regularly update this paper by incorporating new sections and featuring the latest LLM models.

We consider the problem of explaining the predictions of graph neural networks (GNNs), which otherwise are considered as black boxes. Existing methods invariably focus on explaining the importance of graph nodes or edges but ignore the substructures of graphs, which are more intuitive and human-intelligible. In this work, we propose a novel method, known as SubgraphX, to explain GNNs by identifying important subgraphs. Given a trained GNN model and an input graph, our SubgraphX explains its predictions by efficiently exploring different subgraphs with Monte Carlo tree search. To make the tree search more effective, we propose to use Shapley values as a measure of subgraph importance, which can also capture the interactions among different subgraphs. To expedite computations, we propose efficient approximation schemes to compute Shapley values for graph data. Our work represents the first attempt to explain GNNs via identifying subgraphs explicitly and directly. Experimental results show that our SubgraphX achieves significantly improved explanations, while keeping computations at a reasonable level.

An effective and efficient architecture performance evaluation scheme is essential for the success of Neural Architecture Search (NAS). To save computational cost, most of existing NAS algorithms often train and evaluate intermediate neural architectures on a small proxy dataset with limited training epochs. But it is difficult to expect an accurate performance estimation of an architecture in such a coarse evaluation way. This paper advocates a new neural architecture evaluation scheme, which aims to determine which architecture would perform better instead of accurately predict the absolute architecture performance. Therefore, we propose a \textbf{relativistic} architecture performance predictor in NAS (ReNAS). We encode neural architectures into feature tensors, and further refining the representations with the predictor. The proposed relativistic performance predictor can be deployed in discrete searching methods to search for the desired architectures without additional evaluation. Experimental results on NAS-Bench-101 dataset suggests that, sampling 424 ($0.1\%$ of the entire search space) neural architectures and their corresponding validation performance is already enough for learning an accurate architecture performance predictor. The accuracies of our searched neural architectures on NAS-Bench-101 and NAS-Bench-201 datasets are higher than that of the state-of-the-art methods and show the priority of the proposed method.

Graph Neural Networks (GNNs) are widely used for analyzing graph-structured data. Most GNN methods are highly sensitive to the quality of graph structures and usually require a perfect graph structure for learning informative embeddings. However, the pervasiveness of noise in graphs necessitates learning robust representations for real-world problems. To improve the robustness of GNN models, many studies have been proposed around the central concept of Graph Structure Learning (GSL), which aims to jointly learn an optimized graph structure and corresponding representations. Towards this end, in the presented survey, we broadly review recent progress of GSL methods for learning robust representations. Specifically, we first formulate a general paradigm of GSL, and then review state-of-the-art methods classified by how they model graph structures, followed by applications that incorporate the idea of GSL in other graph tasks. Finally, we point out some issues in current studies and discuss future directions.

Text in natural images is of arbitrary orientations, requiring detection in terms of oriented bounding boxes. Normally, a multi-oriented text detector often involves two key tasks: 1) text presence detection, which is a classification problem disregarding text orientation; 2) oriented bounding box regression, which concerns about text orientation. Previous methods rely on shared features for both tasks, resulting in degraded performance due to the incompatibility of the two tasks. To address this issue, we propose to perform classification and regression on features of different characteristics, extracted by two network branches of different designs. Concretely, the regression branch extracts rotation-sensitive features by actively rotating the convolutional filters, while the classification branch extracts rotation-invariant features by pooling the rotation-sensitive features. The proposed method named Rotation-sensitive Regression Detector (RRD) achieves state-of-the-art performance on three oriented scene text benchmark datasets, including ICDAR 2015, MSRA-TD500, RCTW-17 and COCO-Text. Furthermore, RRD achieves a significant improvement on a ship collection dataset, demonstrating its generality on oriented object detection.

Image segmentation is an important component of many image understanding systems. It aims to group pixels in a spatially and perceptually coherent manner. Typically, these algorithms have a collection of parameters that control the degree of over-segmentation produced. It still remains a challenge to properly select such parameters for human-like perceptual grouping. In this work, we exploit the diversity of segments produced by different choices of parameters. We scan the segmentation parameter space and generate a collection of image segmentation hypotheses (from highly over-segmented to under-segmented). These are fed into a cost minimization framework that produces the final segmentation by selecting segments that: (1) better describe the natural contours of the image, and (2) are more stable and persistent among all the segmentation hypotheses. We compare our algorithm's performance with state-of-the-art algorithms, showing that we can achieve improved results. We also show that our framework is robust to the choice of segmentation kernel that produces the initial set of hypotheses.