Accurate activity location prediction is a crucial component of many mobility applications and is particularly required to develop personalized, sustainable transportation systems. Despite the widespread adoption of deep learning models, next location prediction models lack a comprehensive discussion and integration of mobility-related spatio-temporal contexts. Here, we utilize a multi-head self-attentional (MHSA) neural network that learns location transition patterns from historical location visits, their visit time and activity duration, as well as their surrounding land use functions, to infer an individual's next location. Specifically, we adopt point-of-interest data and latent Dirichlet allocation for representing locations' land use contexts at multiple spatial scales, generate embedding vectors of the spatio-temporal features, and learn to predict the next location with an MHSA network. Through experiments on two large-scale GNSS tracking datasets, we demonstrate that the proposed model outperforms other state-of-the-art prediction models, and reveal the contribution of various spatio-temporal contexts to the model's performance. Moreover, we find that the model trained on population data achieves higher prediction performance with fewer parameters than individual-level models due to learning from collective movement patterns. We also reveal mobility conducted in the recent past and one week before has the largest influence on the current prediction, showing that learning from a subset of the historical mobility is sufficient to obtain an accurate location prediction result. We believe that the proposed model is vital for context-aware mobility prediction. The gained insights will help to understand location prediction models and promote their implementation for mobility applications.
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ACM/IEEE第23屆模型驅動工程語言和系統國際會議，是模型驅動軟件和系統工程的首要會議系列，由ACM-SIGSOFT和IEEE-TCSE支持組織。自1998年以來，模型涵蓋了建模的各個方面，從語言和方法到工具和應用程序。模特的參加者來自不同的背景，包括研究人員、學者、工程師和工業專業人士。MODELS 2019是一個論壇，參與者可以圍繞建模和模型驅動的軟件和系統交流前沿研究成果和創新實踐經驗。今年的版本將為建模社區提供進一步推進建模基礎的機會，并在網絡物理系統、嵌入式系統、社會技術系統、云計算、大數據、機器學習、安全、開源等新興領域提出建模的創新應用以及可持續性。
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The beneficial role of noise in learning is nowadays a consolidated concept in the field of artificial neural networks, suggesting that even biological systems might take advantage of similar mechanisms to maximize their performance. The training-with-noise algorithm proposed by Gardner and collaborators is an emblematic example of a noise injection procedure in recurrent networks, which are usually employed to model real neural systems. We show how adding structure into noisy training data can substantially improve the algorithm performance, allowing to approach perfect classification and maximal basins of attraction. We also prove that the so-called Hebbian unlearning rule coincides with the training-with-noise algorithm when noise is maximal and data are fixed points of the network dynamics. A sampling scheme for optimal noisy data is eventually proposed and implemented to outperform both the training-with-noise and the Hebbian unlearning procedures.
Quantum adversarial machine learning is an emerging field that studies the vulnerability of quantum learning systems against adversarial perturbations and develops possible defense strategies. Quantum universal adversarial perturbations are small perturbations, which can make different input samples into adversarial examples that may deceive a given quantum classifier. This is a field that was rarely looked into but worthwhile investigating because universal perturbations might simplify malicious attacks to a large extent, causing unexpected devastation to quantum machine learning models. In this paper, we take a step forward and explore the quantum universal perturbations in the context of heterogeneous classification tasks. In particular, we find that quantum classifiers that achieve almost state-of-the-art accuracy on two different classification tasks can be both conclusively deceived by one carefully-crafted universal perturbation. This result is explicitly demonstrated with well-designed quantum continual learning models with elastic weight consolidation method to avoid catastrophic forgetting, as well as real-life heterogeneous datasets from hand-written digits and medical MRI images. Our results provide a simple and efficient way to generate universal perturbations on heterogeneous classification tasks and thus would provide valuable guidance for future quantum learning technologies.
Electrical circuits are present in a variety of technologies, making their design an important part of computer aided engineering. The growing number of tunable parameters that affect the final design leads to a need for new approaches of quantifying their impact. Machine learning may play a key role in this regard, however current approaches often make suboptimal use of existing knowledge about the system at hand. In terms of circuits, their description via modified nodal analysis is well-understood. This particular formulation leads to systems of differential-algebraic equations (DAEs) which bring with them a number of peculiarities, e.g. hidden constraints that the solution needs to fulfill. We aim to use the recently introduced dissection concept for DAEs that can decouple a given system into ordinary differential equations, only depending on differential variables, and purely algebraic equations that describe the relations between differential and algebraic variables. The idea then is to only learn the differential variables and reconstruct the algebraic ones using the relations from the decoupling. This approach guarantees that the algebraic constraints are fulfilled up to the accuracy of the nonlinear system solver, which represents the main benefit highlighted in this article.
Cross-validation (CV) is one of the most widely used techniques in statistical learning for estimating the test error of a model, but its behavior is not yet fully understood. It has been shown that standard confidence intervals for test error using estimates from CV may have coverage below nominal levels. This phenomenon occurs because each sample is used in both the training and testing procedures during CV and as a result, the CV estimates of the errors become correlated. Without accounting for this correlation, the estimate of the variance is smaller than it should be. One way to mitigate this issue is by estimating the mean squared error of the prediction error instead using nested CV. This approach has been shown to achieve superior coverage compared to intervals derived from standard CV. In this work, we generalize the nested CV idea to the Cox proportional hazards model and explore various choices of test error for this setting.
The prediction of system responses for a given fatigue test bench drive signal is a challenging task, for which linear frequency response function models are commonly used. To account for non-linear phenomena, a novel hybrid model is suggested, which augments existing approaches using Long Short-Term Memory networks. Additional virtual sensing applications of this method are demonstrated. The approach is tested using non-linear experimental data from a servo-hydraulic test rig and this dataset is made publicly available. A variety of metrics in time and frequency domains, as well as fatigue strength under variable amplitudes, are employed in the evaluation.
Data-driven constitutive modeling with neural networks has received increased interest in recent years due to its ability to easily incorporate physical and mechanistic constraints and to overcome the challenging and time-consuming task of formulating phenomenological constitutive laws that can accurately capture the observed material response. However, even though neural network-based constitutive laws have been shown to generalize proficiently, the generated representations are not easily interpretable due to their high number of trainable parameters. Sparse regression approaches exist that allow to obtaining interpretable expressions, but the user is tasked with creating a library of model forms which by construction limits their expressiveness to the functional forms provided in the libraries. In this work, we propose to train regularized physics-augmented neural network-based constitutive models utilizing a smoothed version of $L^{0}$-regularization. This aims to maintain the trustworthiness inherited by the physical constraints, but also enables interpretability which has not been possible thus far on any type of machine learning-based constitutive model where model forms were not assumed a-priory but were actually discovered. During the training process, the network simultaneously fits the training data and penalizes the number of active parameters, while also ensuring constitutive constraints such as thermodynamic consistency. We show that the method can reliably obtain interpretable and trustworthy constitutive models for compressible and incompressible hyperelasticity, yield functions, and hardening models for elastoplasticity, for synthetic and experimental data.
A myriad of approaches have been proposed to characterise the mesoscale structure of networks - most often as a partition based on patterns variously called communities, blocks, or clusters. Clearly, distinct methods designed to detect different types of patterns may provide a variety of answers to the network's mesoscale structure. Yet, even multiple runs of a given method can sometimes yield diverse and conflicting results, producing entire landscapes of partitions which potentially include multiple (locally optimal) mesoscale explanations of the network. Such ambiguity motivates a closer look at the ability of these methods to find multiple qualitatively different 'ground truth' partitions in a network. Here, we propose the stochastic cross-block model (SCBM), a generative model which allows for two distinct partitions to be built into the mesoscale structure of a single benchmark network. We demonstrate a use case of the benchmark model by appraising the power of stochastic block models (SBMs) to detect implicitly planted coexisting bi-community and core-periphery structures of different strengths. Given our model design and experimental set-up, we find that the ability to detect the two partitions individually varies by SBM variant and that coexistence of both partitions is recovered only in a very limited number of cases. Our findings suggest that in most instances only one - in some way dominating - structure can be detected, even in the presence of other partitions. They underline the need for considering entire landscapes of partitions when different competing explanations exist and motivate future research to advance partition coexistence detection methods. Our model also contributes to the field of benchmark networks more generally by enabling further exploration of the ability of new and existing methods to detect ambiguity in the mesoscale structure of networks.
Data-driven modeling can suffer from a constant demand for data, leading to reduced accuracy and impractical for engineering applications due to the high cost and scarcity of information. To address this challenge, we propose a progressive reduced order modeling framework that minimizes data cravings and enhances data-driven modeling's practicality. Our approach selectively transfers knowledge from previously trained models through gates, similar to how humans selectively use valuable knowledge while ignoring unuseful information. By filtering relevant information from previous models, we can create a surrogate model with minimal turnaround time and a smaller training set that can still achieve high accuracy. We have tested our framework in several cases, including transport in porous media, gravity-driven flow, and finite deformation in hyperelastic materials. Our results illustrate that retaining information from previous models and utilizing a valuable portion of that knowledge can significantly improve the accuracy of the current model. We have demonstrated the importance of progressive knowledge transfer and its impact on model accuracy with reduced training samples. For instance, our framework with four parent models outperforms the no-parent counterpart trained on data nine times larger. Our research unlocks data-driven modeling's potential for practical engineering applications by mitigating the data scarcity issue. Our proposed framework is a significant step toward more efficient and cost-effective data-driven modeling, fostering advancements across various fields.
Understanding crack propagation in structures subjected to fluid loads is crucial in various engineering applications, ranging from underwater pipelines to aircraft components. This study investigates the dynamic response of structures, including their damage and fracture behaviour under hydrodynamic load, emphasizing the fluid-structure interaction (FSI) phenomena by applying Smoothed Particle Hydrodynamics (SPH). The developed framework employs weakly compressible SPH (WCSPH) to model the fluid flow and a pseudo-spring-based SPH solver for modelling the structural response. For improved accuracy in FSI modelling, the $\delta$-SPH technique is implemented to enhance pressure calculations within the fluid phase. The pseudo-spring analogy is employed for modelling material damage, where particle interactions are confined to their immediate neighbours. These particles are linked by springs, which don't contribute to system stiffness but determine the interaction strength between connected pairs. It is assumed that a crack propagates through a spring connecting a particle pair when the damage indicator of that spring exceeds a predefined threshold. The developed framework is extensively validated through a dam break case, oscillation of a deformable solid beam, dam break through a deformable elastic solid, and breaking dam impact on a deformable solid obstacle. Numerical outcomes are subsequently compared with the findings from existing literature. The ability of the framework to accurately depict material damage and fracture is showcased through a simulation of water impact on a deformable solid obstacle with an initial notch.
In large-scale systems there are fundamental challenges when centralised techniques are used for task allocation. The number of interactions is limited by resource constraints such as on computation, storage, and network communication. We can increase scalability by implementing the system as a distributed task-allocation system, sharing tasks across many agents. However, this also increases the resource cost of communications and synchronisation, and is difficult to scale. In this paper we present four algorithms to solve these problems. The combination of these algorithms enable each agent to improve their task allocation strategy through reinforcement learning, while changing how much they explore the system in response to how optimal they believe their current strategy is, given their past experience. We focus on distributed agent systems where the agents' behaviours are constrained by resource usage limits, limiting agents to local rather than system-wide knowledge. We evaluate these algorithms in a simulated environment where agents are given a task composed of multiple subtasks that must be allocated to other agents with differing capabilities, to then carry out those tasks. We also simulate real-life system effects such as networking instability. Our solution is shown to solve the task allocation problem to 6.7% of the theoretical optimal within the system configurations considered. It provides 5x better performance recovery over no-knowledge retention approaches when system connectivity is impacted, and is tested against systems up to 100 agents with less than a 9% impact on the algorithms' performance.
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