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Data collection costs can vary widely across variables in data science tasks. Two-phase designs are often employed to save data collection costs. In two-phase studies, inexpensive variables are collected for all subjects in the first phase, and expensive variables are measured for a subset of subjects in the second phase based on a predetermined sampling rule. The estimation efficiency under two-phase designs relies heavily on the sampling rule. Existing literature primarily focuses on designing sampling rules for estimating a scalar parameter in some parametric models or some specific estimating problems. However, real-world scenarios are usually model-unknown and involve two-phase designs for model-free estimation of a scalar or multi-dimensional parameter. This paper proposes a maximin criterion to design an optimal sampling rule based on semiparametric efficiency bounds. The proposed method is model-free and applicable to general estimating problems. The resulting sampling rule can minimize the semiparametric efficiency bound when the parameter is scalar and improve the bound for every component when the parameter is multi-dimensional. Simulation studies demonstrate that the proposed designs reduce the variance of the resulting estimator in various settings. The implementation of the proposed design is illustrated in a real data analysis.

We study hypothesis testing under communication constraints, where each sample is quantized before being revealed to a statistician. Without communication constraints, it is well known that the sample complexity of simple binary hypothesis testing is characterized by the Hellinger distance between the distributions. We show that the sample complexity of simple binary hypothesis testing under communication constraints is at most a logarithmic factor larger than in the unconstrained setting and this bound is tight. We develop a polynomial-time algorithm that achieves the aforementioned sample complexity. Our framework extends to robust hypothesis testing, where the distributions are corrupted in the total variation distance. Our proofs rely on a new reverse data processing inequality and a reverse Markov inequality, which may be of independent interest. For simple $M$-ary hypothesis testing, the sample complexity in the absence of communication constraints has a logarithmic dependence on $M$. We show that communication constraints can cause an exponential blow-up leading to $\Omega(M)$ sample complexity even for adaptive algorithms.

Spatial data can come in a variety of different forms, but two of the most common generating models for such observations are random fields and point processes. Whilst it is known that spectral analysis can unify these two different data forms, specific methodology for the related estimation is yet to be developed. In this paper, we solve this problem by extending multitaper estimation, to estimate the spectral density matrix function for multivariate spatial data, where processes can be any combination of either point processes or random fields. We discuss finite sample and asymptotic theory for the proposed estimators, as well as specific details on the implementation, including how to perform estimation on non-rectangular domains and the correct implementation of multitapering for processes sampled in different ways, e.g. continuously vs on a regular grid.

Generative models inspired by dynamical transport of measure -- such as flows and diffusions -- construct a continuous-time map between two probability densities. Conventionally, one of these is the target density, only accessible through samples, while the other is taken as a simple base density that is data-agnostic. In this work, using the framework of stochastic interpolants, we formalize how to \textit{couple} the base and the target densities, whereby samples from the base are computed conditionally given samples from the target in a way that is different from (but does preclude) incorporating information about class labels or continuous embeddings. This enables us to construct dynamical transport maps that serve as conditional generative models. We show that these transport maps can be learned by solving a simple square loss regression problem analogous to the standard independent setting. We demonstrate the usefulness of constructing dependent couplings in practice through experiments in super-resolution and in-painting.

Large-scale foundation models have become the mainstream deep learning method, while in civil engineering, the scale of AI models is strictly limited. In this work, a vision foundation model is introduced for crack segmentation. Two parameter-efficient fine-tuning methods, adapter and low-rank adaptation, are adopted to fine-tune the foundation model in semantic segmentation: the Segment Anything Model (SAM). The fine-tuned CrackSAM model is much larger than all the existing crack segmentation models but shows excellent performance. To test the zero-shot performance of the proposed method, two unique datasets related to road and exterior wall cracks are collected, annotated and open-sourced, for a total of 810 images. Comparative experiments are conducted with twelve mature semantic segmentation models. On datasets with artificial noise and previously unseen datasets, the performance of CrackSAM far exceeds that of all state-of-the-art models. CrackSAM exhibits remarkable superiority, particularly under challenging conditions such as dim lighting, shadows, road markings, construction joints, and other interference factors. These cross-scenario results demonstrate the outstanding zero-shot capability of foundation models and provide new ideas for developing vision models in civil engineering.

Small-scale models offer various computational advantages, and yet to which extent size is critical for problem-solving abilities remains an open question. Specifically for solving grade school math, the smallest model size so far required to break the 80\% barrier on the GSM8K benchmark remains to be 34B. Our work studies how high-quality datasets may be the key for small language models to acquire mathematical reasoning. We introduce \texttt{TinyGSM}, a synthetic dataset of 12.3M grade school math problems paired with Python solutions, generated fully by GPT-3.5. After finetuning on \texttt{TinyGSM}, we find that a duo of a 1.3B generation model and a 1.3B verifier model can achieve 81.5\% accuracy, outperforming existing models that are orders of magnitude larger. This also rivals the performance of the GPT-3.5 ``teacher'' model (77.4\%), from which our model's training data is generated. Our approach is simple and has two key components: 1) the high-quality dataset \texttt{TinyGSM}, 2) the use of a verifier, which selects the final outputs from multiple candidate generations.

Text prompts are crucial for generalizing pre-trained open-set object detection models to new categories. However, current methods for text prompts are limited as they require manual feedback when generalizing to new categories, which restricts their ability to model complex scenes, often leading to incorrect detection results. To address this limitation, we propose a novel visual prompt method that learns new category knowledge from a few labeled images, which generalizes the pre-trained detection model to the new category. To allow visual prompts to represent new categories adequately, we propose a statistical-based prompt construction module that is not limited by predefined vocabulary lengths, thus allowing more vectors to be used when representing categories. We further utilize the category dictionaries in the pre-training dataset to design task-specific similarity dictionaries, which make visual prompts more discriminative. We evaluate the method on the ODinW dataset and show that it outperforms existing prompt learning methods and performs more consistently in combinatorial inference.

By approximating posterior distributions with weighted samples, particle filters (PFs) provide an efficient mechanism for solving non-linear sequential state estimation problems. While the effectiveness of particle filters has been recognised in various applications, their performance relies on the knowledge of dynamic models and measurement models, as well as the construction of effective proposal distributions. An emerging trend involves constructing components of particle filters using neural networks and optimising them by gradient descent, and such data-adaptive particle filtering approaches are often called differentiable particle filters. Due to the expressiveness of neural networks, differentiable particle filters are a promising computational tool for performing inference on sequential data in complex, high-dimensional tasks, such as vision-based robot localisation. In this paper, we review recent advances in differentiable particle filters and their applications. We place special emphasis on different design choices for key components of differentiable particle filters, including dynamic models, measurement models, proposal distributions, optimisation objectives, and differentiable resampling techniques.

Modeling excess remains to be an important topic in insurance data modeling. Among the alternatives of modeling excess, the Peaks Over Threshold (POT) framework with Generalized Pareto distribution (GPD) is regarded as an efficient approach due to its flexibility. However, the selection of an appropriate threshold for such framework is a major difficulty. To address such difficulty, we applied several accumulation tests along with Anderson-Darling test to determine an optimal threshold. Based on the selected thresholds, the fitted GPD with the estimated quantiles can be found. We applied the procedure to the well-known Norwegian Fire Insurance data and constructed the confidence intervals for the Value-at-Risks (VaR). The accumulation test approach provides satisfactory performance in modeling the high quantiles of Norwegian Fire Insurance data compared to the previous graphical methods.

We study computational aspects of repulsive Gibbs point processes, which are probabilistic models of interacting particles in a finite-volume region of space. We introduce an approach for reducing a Gibbs point process to the hard-core model, a well-studied discrete spin system. Given an instance of such a point process, our reduction generates a random graph drawn from a natural geometric model. We show that the partition function of a hard-core model on graphs generated by the geometric model concentrates around the partition function of the Gibbs point process. Our reduction allows us to use a broad range of algorithms developed for the hard-core model to sample from the Gibbs point process and approximate its partition function. This is, to the extend of our knowledge, the first approach that deals with pair potentials of unbounded range. We compare the resulting algorithms with recently established results and study further properties of the random geometric graphs with respect to the hard-core model.