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We investigate a class of methods for selective inference that condition on a selection event. Such methods follow a two-stage process. First, a data-driven (sub)collection of hypotheses is chosen from some large universe of hypotheses. Subsequently, inference takes place within this data-driven collection, conditioned on the information that was used for the selection. Examples of such methods include basic data splitting, as well as modern data carving methods and post-selection inference methods for lasso coefficients based on the polyhedral lemma. In this paper, we adopt a holistic view on such methods, considering the selection, conditioning, and final error control steps together as a single method. From this perspective, we demonstrate that multiple testing methods defined directly on the full universe of hypotheses are always at least as powerful as selective inference methods based on selection and conditioning. This result holds true even when the universe is potentially infinite and only implicitly defined, such as in the case of data splitting. We provide a comprehensive theoretical framework, along with insights, and delve into several case studies to illustrate instances where a shift to a non-selective or unconditional perspective can yield a power gain.

Latest instruction-tuned large language models (LLM) show great results on various tasks, however, they often face performance degradation for non-English input. There is evidence that the reason lies in inefficient tokenization caused by low language representation in pre-training data which hinders the comprehension of non-English instructions, limiting the potential of target language instruction-tuning. In this work we investigate the possibility of addressing the issue with vocabulary substitution in the context of LLaMa Russian language adaptation. We explore three variants of vocabulary adaptation and test their performance on Saiga instruction-tuning and fine-tuning on Russian Super Glue benchmark. The results of automatic evaluation show that vocabulary substitution not only improves the model's quality in Russian but also accelerates fine-tuning (35%) and inference (up to 60%) while reducing memory consumption. Additional human evaluation of the instruction-tuned models demonstrates that models with Russian-adapted vocabulary generate answers with higher user preference than the original Saiga-LLaMa model.

While large language models (LLMs) have demonstrated impressive performance on a range of decision-making tasks, they rely on simple acting processes and fall short of broad deployment as autonomous agents. We introduce LATS (Language Agent Tree Search), a general framework that synergizes the capabilities of LLMs in planning, acting, and reasoning. Drawing inspiration from Monte Carlo tree search in model-based reinforcement learning, LATS employs LLMs as agents, value functions, and optimizers, repurposing their latent strengths for enhanced decision-making. What is crucial in this method is the use of an environment for external feedback, which offers a more deliberate and adaptive problem-solving mechanism that moves beyond the limitations of existing techniques. Our experimental evaluation across diverse domains, such as programming, HotPotQA, and WebShop, illustrates the applicability of LATS for both reasoning and acting. In particular, LATS achieves 94.4% for programming on HumanEval with GPT-4 and an average score of 75.9 for web browsing on WebShop with GPT-3.5, demonstrating the effectiveness and generality of our method.

Dynamic Bayesian Networks (DBNs), renowned for their interpretability, have become increasingly vital in representing complex stochastic processes in various domains such as gene expression analysis, healthcare, and traffic prediction. Structure learning of DBNs from data is challenging, particularly for datasets with thousands of variables. Most current algorithms for DBN structure learning are adaptations from those used in static Bayesian Networks (BNs), and are typically focused on small-scale problems. In order to solve large-scale problems while taking full advantage of existing algorithms, this paper introduces a novel divide-and-conquer strategy, originally developed for static BNs, and adapts it for large-scale DBN structure learning. In this work, we specifically concentrate on 2 Time-sliced Bayesian Networks (2-TBNs), a special class of DBNs. Furthermore, we leverage the prior knowledge of 2-TBNs to enhance the performance of the strategy we introduce. Our approach significantly improves the scalability and accuracy of 2-TBN structure learning. Experimental results demonstrate the effectiveness of our method, showing substantial improvements over existing algorithms in both computational efficiency and structure learning accuracy. On problem instances with more than 1,000 variables, our approach improves two accuracy metrics by 74.45% and 110.94% on average , respectively, while reducing runtime by 93.65% on average.

The advancement of Large Language Models(LLMs) has brought substantial attention to the Chain of Thought(CoT) approach, primarily due to its ability to enhance the capability of LLMs on tasks requiring complex reasoning. Moreover, the significance of CoT approaches extends to the application of LLMs for multi-modal tasks, such as multi-modal question answering. However, the selection of optimal CoT demonstration examples in multi-modal reasoning for LLMs remains less explored for LLMs due to the inherent complexity of multi-modal examples. In this paper, we introduce a novel approach that addresses this challenge by using retrieval mechanisms to dynamically and automatically select demonstration examples based on cross-modal similarities. This method aims to refine the CoT reasoning process in multi-modal scenarios via informing LLMs with more relevant and informative examples. Furthermore, we employ a stratified sampling method categorising demonstration examples into groups based on their types and retrieving examples from different groups respectively to promote the diversity of demonstration examples. Through a series of experiments, we demonstrate that our approach significantly improves the performance of LLMs, achieving state-of-the-art results in multi-modal reasoning tasks. Specifically, our methods demonstrate significant advancements on the ScienceQA dataset. While our method based on ChatGPT outperforms the Chameleon(ChatGPT) by 2.74% with an accuracy of 82.67%, the GPT4-based approach surpasses the Chameleon(GPT-4) by 0.89%, achieving 87.43% on accuracy under the same setting. Moreover, our best performing show a 6.05% increase over Chameleon for ChatGPT-based models and a 4.57% increase for GPT-4-based models.

In this work we present an overview of statistical learning, followed by a survey of robust streaming techniques and challenges, culminating in several rigorous results proving the relationship that we motivate and hint at throughout the journey. Furthermore, we unify often disjoint theorems in a shared framework and notation to clarify the deep connections that are discovered. We hope that by approaching these results from a shared perspective, already aware of the technical connections that exist, we can enlighten the study of both fields and perhaps motivate new and previously unconsidered directions of research.

Text-to-Image (TTI) generative models have shown great progress in the past few years in terms of their ability to generate complex and high-quality imagery. At the same time, these models have been shown to suffer from harmful biases, including exaggerated societal biases (e.g., gender, ethnicity), as well as incidental correlations that limit such model's ability to generate more diverse imagery. In this paper, we propose a general approach to study and quantify a broad spectrum of biases, for any TTI model and for any prompt, using counterfactual reasoning. Unlike other works that evaluate generated images on a predefined set of bias axes, our approach automatically identifies potential biases that might be relevant to the given prompt, and measures those biases. In addition, our paper extends quantitative scores with post-hoc explanations in terms of semantic concepts in the images generated. We show that our method is uniquely capable of explaining complex multi-dimensional biases through semantic concepts, as well as the intersectionality between different biases for any given prompt. We perform extensive user studies to illustrate that the results of our method and analysis are consistent with human judgements.

In this study, we explore the application of Large Language Models (LLMs) in "Jubensha" (Chinese murder mystery role-playing games), a novel area in AI-driven gaming. We introduce the first Chinese dataset specifically for Jubensha, including character scripts and game rules, to foster AI agent development in this complex narrative environment. Our work also presents a unique multi-agent interaction framework using LLMs, allowing AI agents to autonomously engage in the game, enhancing the dynamics of Jubensha gameplay. To evaluate these AI agents, we developed specialized methods targeting their mastery of case information and reasoning skills. Furthermore, we incorporated the latest advancements in in-context learning to improve the agents' performance in critical aspects like information gathering, murderer detection, and logical reasoning. The experimental results validate the effectiveness of our proposed methods. This work aims to offer a fresh perspective on understanding LLM capabilities and establish a new benchmark for evaluating large language model-based agents to researchers in the field.

With the rise of powerful pre-trained vision-language models like CLIP, it becomes essential to investigate ways to adapt these models to downstream datasets. A recently proposed method named Context Optimization (CoOp) introduces the concept of prompt learning -- a recent trend in NLP -- to the vision domain for adapting pre-trained vision-language models. Specifically, CoOp turns context words in a prompt into a set of learnable vectors and, with only a few labeled images for learning, can achieve huge improvements over intensively-tuned manual prompts. In our study we identify a critical problem of CoOp: the learned context is not generalizable to wider unseen classes within the same dataset, suggesting that CoOp overfits base classes observed during training. To address the problem, we propose Conditional Context Optimization (CoCoOp), which extends CoOp by further learning a lightweight neural network to generate for each image an input-conditional token (vector). Compared to CoOp's static prompts, our dynamic prompts adapt to each instance and are thus less sensitive to class shift. Extensive experiments show that CoCoOp generalizes much better than CoOp to unseen classes, even showing promising transferability beyond a single dataset; and yields stronger domain generalization performance as well. Code is available at //github.com/KaiyangZhou/CoOp.

Automatic KB completion for commonsense knowledge graphs (e.g., ATOMIC and ConceptNet) poses unique challenges compared to the much studied conventional knowledge bases (e.g., Freebase). Commonsense knowledge graphs use free-form text to represent nodes, resulting in orders of magnitude more nodes compared to conventional KBs (18x more nodes in ATOMIC compared to Freebase (FB15K-237)). Importantly, this implies significantly sparser graph structures - a major challenge for existing KB completion methods that assume densely connected graphs over a relatively smaller set of nodes. In this paper, we present novel KB completion models that can address these challenges by exploiting the structural and semantic context of nodes. Specifically, we investigate two key ideas: (1) learning from local graph structure, using graph convolutional networks and automatic graph densification and (2) transfer learning from pre-trained language models to knowledge graphs for enhanced contextual representation of knowledge. We describe our method to incorporate information from both these sources in a joint model and provide the first empirical results for KB completion on ATOMIC and evaluation with ranking metrics on ConceptNet. Our results demonstrate the effectiveness of language model representations in boosting link prediction performance and the advantages of learning from local graph structure (+1.5 points in MRR for ConceptNet) when training on subgraphs for computational efficiency. Further analysis on model predictions shines light on the types of commonsense knowledge that language models capture well.