Correct radar data fusion depends on knowledge of the spatial transform between sensor pairs. Current methods for determining this transform operate by aligning identifiable features in different radar scans, or by relying on measurements from another, more accurate sensor. Feature-based alignment requires the sensors to have overlapping fields of view or necessitates the construction of an environment map. Several existing techniques require bespoke retroreflective radar targets. These requirements limit both where and how calibration can be performed. In this paper, we take a different approach: instead of attempting to track targets or features, we rely on ego-velocity estimates from each radar to perform calibration. Our method enables calibration of a subset of the transform parameters, including the yaw and the axis of translation between the radar pair, without the need for a shared field of view or for specialized targets. In general, the yaw and the axis of translation are the most important parameters for data fusion, the most likely to vary over time, and the most difficult to calibrate manually. We formulate calibration as a batch optimization problem, show that the radar-radar system is identifiable, and specify the platform excitation requirements. Through simulation studies and real-world experiments, we establish that our method is more reliable and accurate than state-of-the-art methods. Finally, we demonstrate that the full rigid body transform can be recovered if relatively coarse information about the platform rotation rate is available.
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Network data, commonly used throughout the physical, social, and biological sciences, consists of nodes (individuals) and the edges (interactions) between them. One way to represent network data's complex, high-dimensional structure is to embed the graph into a low-dimensional geometric space. The curvature of this space, in particular, provides insights about the structure in the graph, such as the propensity to form triangles or present tree-like structures. We derive an estimating function for curvature based on triangle side lengths and the length of the midpoint of a side to the opposing corner. We construct an estimator where the only input is a distance matrix and also establish asymptotic normality. We next introduce a novel latent distance matrix estimator for networks and an efficient algorithm to compute the estimate via solving iterative quadratic programs. We apply this method to the Los Alamos National Laboratory Unified Network and Host dataset and show how curvature estimates can be used to detect a red-team attack faster than naive methods, as well as discover non-constant latent curvature in co-authorship networks in physics. The code for this paper is available at //github.com/SteveJWR/netcurve, and the methods are implemented in the R package //github.com/SteveJWR/lolaR.
The introduction of computerized medical records in hospitals has reduced burdensome operations like manual writing and information fetching. However, the data contained in medical records are still far underutilized, primarily because extracting them from unstructured textual medical records takes time and effort. Information Extraction, a subfield of Natural Language Processing, can help clinical practitioners overcome this limitation, using automated text-mining pipelines. In this work, we created the first Italian neuropsychiatric Named Entity Recognition dataset, PsyNIT, and used it to develop a Large Language Model for this task. Moreover, we conducted several experiments with three external independent datasets to implement an effective multicenter model, with overall F1-score 84.77%, Precision 83.16%, Recall 86.44%. The lessons learned are: (i) the crucial role of a consistent annotation process and (ii) a fine-tuning strategy that combines classical methods with a "few-shot" approach. This allowed us to establish methodological guidelines that pave the way for future implementations in this field and allow Italian hospitals to tap into important research opportunities.
Both capacity and latency are crucial performance metrics for the optimal operation of most networking services and applications, from online gaming to futuristic holographic-type communications. Networks worldwide have witnessed important breakthroughs in terms of capacity, including fibre introduction everywhere, new radio technologies and faster core networks. However, the impact of these capacity upgrades on end-to-end delay is not straightforward as traffic has also grown exponentially. This article overviews the current status of end-to-end latency on different regions and continents worldwide and how far these are from the theoretical minimum baseline, given by the speed of light propagation over an optical fibre. We observe that the trend in the last decade goes toward latency reduction (in spite of the ever-increasing annual traffic growth), but still there are important differences between countries.
The estimation of causal effects is a primary goal of behavioral, social, economic and biomedical sciences. Under the unconfoundedness condition, adjustment for confounders requires estimating the nuisance functions relating outcome and/or treatment to confounders. This paper considers a generalized optimization framework for efficient estimation of general treatment effects using feedforward artificial neural networks (ANNs) when the number of covariates is allowed to increase with the sample size. We estimate the nuisance function by ANNs, and develop a new approximation error bound for the ANNs approximators when the nuisance function belongs to a mixed Sobolev space. We show that the ANNs can alleviate the curse of dimensionality under this circumstance. We further establish the consistency and asymptotic normality of the proposed treatment effects estimators, and apply a weighted bootstrap procedure for conducting inference. The proposed methods are illustrated via simulation studies and a real data application.
In a sequential regression setting, a decision-maker may be primarily concerned with whether the future observation will increase or decrease compared to the current one, rather than the actual value of the future observation. In this context, we introduce the notion of parity calibration, which captures the goal of calibrated forecasting for the increase-decrease (or "parity") event in a timeseries. Parity probabilities can be extracted from a forecasted distribution for the output, but we show that such a strategy leads to theoretical unpredictability and poor practical performance. We then observe that although the original task was regression, parity calibration can be expressed as binary calibration. Drawing on this connection, we use an online binary calibration method to achieve parity calibration. We demonstrate the effectiveness of our approach on real-world case studies in epidemiology, weather forecasting, and model-based control in nuclear fusion.
Negative binomial related distributions have been widely used in practice. The calculation of the corresponding Fisher information matrices involves the expectation of trigamma function values which can only be calculated numerically and approximately. In this paper, we propose a trigamma-free approach to approximate the expectations involving the trigamma function, along with theoretical upper bounds for approximation errors. We show by numerical studies that our approach is highly efficient and much more accurate than previous methods. We also apply our approach to compute the Fisher information matrices of zero-inflated negative binomial (ZINB) and beta negative binomial (ZIBNB) probabilistic models, as well as ZIBNB regression models.
Rapidly increasing quality of AI-generated content makes it difficult to distinguish between human and AI-generated texts, which may lead to undesirable consequences for society. Therefore, it becomes increasingly important to study the properties of human texts that are invariant over text domains and various proficiency of human writers, can be easily calculated for any language, and can robustly separate natural and AI-generated texts regardless of the generation model and sampling method. In this work, we propose such an invariant of human texts, namely the intrinsic dimensionality of the manifold underlying the set of embeddings of a given text sample. We show that the average intrinsic dimensionality of fluent texts in natural language is hovering around the value $9$ for several alphabet-based languages and around $7$ for Chinese, while the average intrinsic dimensionality of AI-generated texts for each language is $\approx 1.5$ lower, with a clear statistical separation between human-generated and AI-generated distributions. This property allows us to build a score-based artificial text detector. The proposed detector's accuracy is stable over text domains, generator models, and human writer proficiency levels, outperforming SOTA detectors in model-agnostic and cross-domain scenarios by a significant margin.
DCE-MRI provides information about vascular permeability and tissue perfusion through the acquisition of pharmacokinetic parameters. However, traditional methods for estimating these pharmacokinetic parameters involve fitting tracer kinetic models, which often suffer from computational complexity and low accuracy due to noisy arterial input function (AIF) measurements. Although some deep learning approaches have been proposed to tackle these challenges, most existing methods rely on supervised learning that requires paired input DCE-MRI and labeled pharmacokinetic parameter maps. This dependency on labeled data introduces significant time and resource constraints, as well as potential noise in the labels, making supervised learning methods often impractical. To address these limitations, here we present a novel unpaired deep learning method for estimating both pharmacokinetic parameters and the AIF using a physics-driven CycleGAN approach. Our proposed CycleGAN framework is designed based on the underlying physics model, resulting in a simpler architecture with a single generator and discriminator pair. Crucially, our experimental results indicate that our method, which does not necessitate separate AIF measurements, produces more reliable pharmacokinetic parameters than other techniques.
When estimating treatment effects, the golden standard is to conduct a randomized experiment and then contrast outcomes associated with the treatment group and the control group. However, in many cases, randomized experiments are either conducted with a much smaller scale compared to the size of the target population or accompanied with certain ethical issues and thus hard to implement. Therefore, researchers usually rely on observational data to study causal connections. The downside is that the unconfoundedness assumption, the key to validate the use of observational data is hard to verify and almost always violated. Hence, any conclusion drawn from observational data should be further analyzed with great care. Given the richness of observational data and usefulness of experimental data, researchers hope to develop credible method to combine the strength of the two. In this paper, we consider a setting where the observational data contain the outcome of interest as well as a surrogate outcome while the experimental data contain only the surrogate outcome. We propose a simple estimator to estimate the average treatment effect of interest using both the observational data and the experimental data.
Personalized treatment effect estimates are often of interest in high-stakes applications -- thus, before deploying a model estimating such effects in practice, one needs to be sure that the best candidate from the ever-growing machine learning toolbox for this task was chosen. Unfortunately, due to the absence of counterfactual information in practice, it is usually not possible to rely on standard validation metrics for doing so, leading to a well-known model selection dilemma in the treatment effect estimation literature. While some solutions have recently been investigated, systematic understanding of the strengths and weaknesses of different model selection criteria is still lacking. In this paper, instead of attempting to declare a global `winner', we therefore empirically investigate success- and failure modes of different selection criteria. We highlight that there is a complex interplay between selection strategies, candidate estimators and the data used for comparing them, and provide interesting insights into the relative (dis)advantages of different criteria alongside desiderata for the design of further illuminating empirical studies in this context.
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