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GPT-3.5 and GPT-4 are the two most widely used large language model (LLM) services. However, when and how these models are updated over time is opaque. Here, we evaluate the March 2023 and June 2023 versions of GPT-3.5 and GPT-4 on several diverse tasks: 1) math problems, 2) sensitive/dangerous questions, 3) opinion surveys, 4) multi-hop knowledge-intensive questions, 5) generating code, 6) US Medical License tests, and 7) visual reasoning. We find that the performance and behavior of both GPT-3.5 and GPT-4 can vary greatly over time. For example, GPT-4 (March 2023) was reasonable at identifying prime vs. composite numbers (84% accuracy) but GPT-4 (June 2023) was poor on these same questions (51% accuracy). This is partly explained by a drop in GPT-4's amenity to follow chain-of-thought prompting. Interestingly, GPT-3.5 was much better in June than in March in this task. GPT-4 became less willing to answer sensitive questions and opinion survey questions in June than in March. GPT-4 performed better at multi-hop questions in June than in March, while GPT-3.5's performance dropped on this task. Both GPT-4 and GPT-3.5 had more formatting mistakes in code generation in June than in March. We provide evidence that GPT-4's ability to follow user instructions has decreased over time, which is one common factor behind the many behavior drifts. Overall, our findings show that the behavior of the "same" LLM service can change substantially in a relatively short amount of time, highlighting the need for continuous monitoring of LLMs.

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北京時間2023年3月15日凌晨,ChatGPT開發商OpenAI 發布了發布了全新的多模態預訓練大模型 GPT-4,可以更可靠、更具創造力、能處理更細節的指令,根據圖片和文字提示都能生成相應內容。 具體來說來說,GPT-4 相比上一代的模型,實現了飛躍式提升:支持圖像和文本輸入,擁有強大的識圖能力;大幅提升了文字輸入限制,在ChatGPT模式下,GPT-4可以處理超過2.5萬字的文本,可以處理一些更加細節的指令;回答準確性也得到了顯著提高。

There has been an emergence of various models for long-term time series forecasting. Recent studies have demonstrated that a single linear layer, using Channel Dependent (CD) or Channel Independent (CI) modeling, can even outperform a large number of sophisticated models. However, current research primarily considers CD and CI as two complementary yet mutually exclusive approaches, unable to harness these two extremes simultaneously. And it is also a challenging issue that both CD and CI are static strategies that cannot be determined to be optimal for a specific dataset without extensive experiments. In this paper, we reconsider whether the current CI strategy is the best solution for time series forecasting. First, we propose a simple yet effective strategy called CSC, which stands for $\mathbf{C}$hannel $\mathbf{S}$elf-$\mathbf{C}$lustering strategy, for linear models. Our Channel Self-Clustering (CSC) enhances CI strategy's performance improvements while reducing parameter size, for exmpale by over 10 times on electricity dataset, and significantly cutting training time. Second, we further propose Channel Rearrangement (CR), a method for deep models inspired by the self-clustering. CR attains competitive performance against baselines. Finally, we also discuss whether it is best to forecast the future values using the historical values of the same channel as inputs. We hope our findings and methods could inspire new solutions beyond CD/CI.

Transformer models have shown great success in natural language processing; however, their potential remains mostly unexplored for dynamical systems. In this work, we investigate the optimal output estimation problem using transformers, which generate output predictions using all the past ones. Particularly, we train the transformer using various distinct systems and then evaluate the performance on unseen systems with unknown dynamics. Empirically, the trained transformer adapts exceedingly well to different unseen systems and even matches the optimal performance given by the Kalman filter for linear systems. In more complex settings with non-i.i.d. noise, time-varying dynamics, and nonlinear dynamics like a quadrotor system with unknown parameters, transformers also demonstrate promising results. To support our experimental findings, we provide statistical guarantees that quantify the amount of training data required for the transformer to achieve a desired excess risk. Finally, we point out some limitations by identifying two classes of problems that lead to degraded performance, highlighting the need for caution when using transformers for control and estimation.

We consider a number of questions related to tradeoffs between reward and regret in repeated gameplay between two agents. To facilitate this, we introduce a notion of $\textit{generalized equilibrium}$ which allows for asymmetric regret constraints, and yields polytopes of feasible values for each agent and pair of regret constraints, where we show that any such equilibrium is reachable by a pair of algorithms which maintain their regret guarantees against arbitrary opponents. As a central example, we highlight the case one agent is no-swap and the other's regret is unconstrained. We show that this captures an extension of $\textit{Stackelberg}$ equilibria with a matching optimal value, and that there exists a wide class of games where a player can significantly increase their utility by deviating from a no-swap-regret algorithm against a no-swap learner (in fact, almost any game without pure Nash equilibria is of this form). Additionally, we make use of generalized equilibria to consider tradeoffs in terms of the opponent's algorithm choice. We give a tight characterization for the maximal reward obtainable against $\textit{some}$ no-regret learner, yet we also show a class of games in which this is bounded away from the value obtainable against the class of common "mean-based" no-regret algorithms. Finally, we consider the question of learning reward-optimal strategies via repeated play with a no-regret agent when the game is initially unknown. Again we show tradeoffs depending on the opponent's learning algorithm: the Stackelberg strategy is learnable in exponential time with any no-regret agent (and in polynomial time with any no-$\textit{adaptive}$-regret agent) for any game where it is learnable via queries, and there are games where it is learnable in polynomial time against any no-swap-regret agent but requires exponential time against a mean-based no-regret agent.

Knowledge distillation (KD) has been widely employed to transfer knowledge from a large language model (LLM) to a specialized model in low-data regimes through pseudo label learning. However, pseudo labels generated by teacher models are usually noisy and may influence KD performance. This study delves into KD with noisy teachers and uncovers that the student model can already generate more accurate predictions than the teacher labels used to train it during KD, indicating its inherent ability to denoise noisy teacher labels. Motivated by this finding, we propose Peer-Advised KD to improve vanilla KD from noisy teachers. Experiments show that Peer-Advised KD can outperform LLM by approximately 5% with 50 human-labeled data, and even competitive to standard supervised finetuning with 750 human-labeled data.

We present Prequal (Probing to Reduce Queuing and Latency), a load balancer for distributed multi-tenant systems. Prequal aims to minimize real-time request latency in the presence of heterogeneous server capacities and non-uniform, time-varying antagonist load. It actively probes server load to leverage the power-of-d-choices paradigm, extending it with asynchronous and reusable probes. Cutting against received wisdom, Prequal does not balance CPU load, but instead selects servers according to estimated latency and active requests-in-flight (RIF). We explore its major design features on a testbed system and evaluate it on YouTube, where it has been deployed for more than two years. Prequal has dramatically decreased tail latency, error rates, and resource use, enabling YouTube and other production systems at Google to run at much higher utilization.

Large language models (LLMs) have shown impressive capabilities in various tasks, yet they still struggle with math reasoning. Despite efforts to optimize Chain-of-Thoughts (CoT) prompts and fine-tune LLMs, the potential of few-shot learning remains unexplored. In this work, we propose CoT-Max, a novel approach pushing the boundaries of few-shot CoT learning to improve LLM math reasoning capabilities. CoT-Max addresses the challenges of the selection of useful examples and limited number of examples due to restricted context window length. Inspired by our observation that natural language inputs contain many redundancy, we propose a coarse-to-fine pruner as a plug-and-play module for LLMs, which first identifies crucial CoT examples from a large batch and then further prunes unimportant tokens. To train the pruner, we collect a math reasoning dataset with diverse difficulty and steps, introduce a reward to measure both the input's effectiveness for math reasoning and token length constraints, and propose a novel training approach with reinforcement learning. As a result, CoT-Max significantly outperforms CoT and few-shot prompting baselines across various LLMs (LLaMA2-7B, 13B, 70B) and 5 mathematical datasets, achieving up to 4.55% absolute improvements. Remarkably, without any fine-tuning, LLaMA2-70B with CoT-Max surpasses GPT-3.5 and a wide range of larger LLMs (PaLM, Minerva, etc.) on the GSM8K.

Transformers are neural networks which revolutionised natural language processing and machine learning. They process sequences of inputs, like words, using a mechanism called self-attention, which is trained via masked language modelling (MLM). In MLM, a word is randomly masked in an input sequence, and the network is trained to predict the missing word. Despite the practical success of transformers, it remains unclear what type of data distribution self-attention can learn efficiently. Here, we show analytically that if one decouples the treatment of word positions and embeddings, a single layer of self-attention learns the conditionals of a generalised Potts model with interactions between sites and Potts colours. Moreover, we show that training this neural network is exactly equivalent to solving the inverse Potts problem by the so-called pseudo-likelihood method, well known in statistical physics. Using this mapping, we compute the generalisation error of self-attention in a model scenario analytically using the replica method.

Although large language models (LLMs) are impressive in solving various tasks, they can quickly be outdated after deployment. Maintaining their up-to-date status is a pressing concern in the current era. This paper provides a comprehensive review of recent advances in aligning LLMs with the ever-changing world knowledge without re-training from scratch. We categorize research works systemically and provide in-depth comparisons and discussion. We also discuss existing challenges and highlight future directions to facilitate research in this field. We release the paper list at //github.com/hyintell/awesome-refreshing-llms

Compared with cheap addition operation, multiplication operation is of much higher computation complexity. The widely-used convolutions in deep neural networks are exactly cross-correlation to measure the similarity between input feature and convolution filters, which involves massive multiplications between float values. In this paper, we present adder networks (AdderNets) to trade these massive multiplications in deep neural networks, especially convolutional neural networks (CNNs), for much cheaper additions to reduce computation costs. In AdderNets, we take the $\ell_1$-norm distance between filters and input feature as the output response. The influence of this new similarity measure on the optimization of neural network have been thoroughly analyzed. To achieve a better performance, we develop a special back-propagation approach for AdderNets by investigating the full-precision gradient. We then propose an adaptive learning rate strategy to enhance the training procedure of AdderNets according to the magnitude of each neuron's gradient. As a result, the proposed AdderNets can achieve 74.9% Top-1 accuracy 91.7% Top-5 accuracy using ResNet-50 on the ImageNet dataset without any multiplication in convolution layer.

Object detection typically assumes that training and test data are drawn from an identical distribution, which, however, does not always hold in practice. Such a distribution mismatch will lead to a significant performance drop. In this work, we aim to improve the cross-domain robustness of object detection. We tackle the domain shift on two levels: 1) the image-level shift, such as image style, illumination, etc, and 2) the instance-level shift, such as object appearance, size, etc. We build our approach based on the recent state-of-the-art Faster R-CNN model, and design two domain adaptation components, on image level and instance level, to reduce the domain discrepancy. The two domain adaptation components are based on H-divergence theory, and are implemented by learning a domain classifier in adversarial training manner. The domain classifiers on different levels are further reinforced with a consistency regularization to learn a domain-invariant region proposal network (RPN) in the Faster R-CNN model. We evaluate our newly proposed approach using multiple datasets including Cityscapes, KITTI, SIM10K, etc. The results demonstrate the effectiveness of our proposed approach for robust object detection in various domain shift scenarios.

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