In this study, we focus on the development and implementation of a comprehensive ensemble of numerical time series forecasting models, collectively referred to as the Group of Numerical Time Series Prediction Model (G-NM). This inclusive set comprises traditional models such as Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA), Holt-Winters' method, and Support Vector Regression (SVR), in addition to modern neural network models including Recurrent Neural Network (RNN) and Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM). G-NM is explicitly constructed to augment our predictive capabilities related to patterns and trends inherent in complex natural phenomena. By utilizing time series data relevant to these events, G-NM facilitates the prediction of such phenomena over extended periods. The primary objective of this research is to both advance our understanding of such occurrences and to significantly enhance the accuracy of our forecasts. G-NM encapsulates both linear and non-linear dependencies, seasonalities, and trends present in time series data. Each of these models contributes distinct strengths, from ARIMA's resilience in handling linear trends and seasonality, SVR's proficiency in capturing non-linear patterns, to LSTM's adaptability in modeling various components of time series data. Through the exploitation of the G-NM potential, we strive to advance the state-of-the-art in large-scale time series forecasting models. We anticipate that this research will represent a significant stepping stone in our ongoing endeavor to comprehend and forecast the complex events that constitute the natural world.
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ACM/IEEE第23屆模型驅動工程語言和系統國際會議，是模型驅動軟件和系統工程的首要會議系列，由ACM-SIGSOFT和IEEE-TCSE支持組織。自1998年以來，模型涵蓋了建模的各個方面，從語言和方法到工具和應用程序。模特的參加者來自不同的背景，包括研究人員、學者、工程師和工業專業人士。MODELS 2019是一個論壇，參與者可以圍繞建模和模型驅動的軟件和系統交流前沿研究成果和創新實踐經驗。今年的版本將為建模社區提供進一步推進建模基礎的機會，并在網絡物理系統、嵌入式系統、社會技術系統、云計算、大數據、機器學習、安全、開源等新興領域提出建模的創新應用以及可持續性。
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In this study, we establish a baseline for a new task named multimodal multi-round referring and grounding (MRG), opening up a promising direction for instance-level multimodal dialogues. We present a new benchmark and an efficient vision-language model for this purpose. The new benchmark, named CB-300K, spans challenges including multi-round dialogue, complex spatial relationships among multiple instances, and consistent reasoning, which are beyond those shown in existing benchmarks. The proposed model, named ChatterBox, utilizes a two-branch architecture to collaboratively handle vision and language tasks. By tokenizing instance regions, the language branch acquires the ability to perceive referential information. Meanwhile, ChatterBox feeds a query embedding in the vision branch to a token receiver for visual grounding. A two-stage optimization strategy is devised, making use of both CB-300K and auxiliary external data to improve the model's stability and capacity for instance-level understanding. Experiments show that ChatterBox outperforms existing models in MRG both quantitatively and qualitatively, paving a new path towards multimodal dialogue scenarios with complicated and precise interactions. Code, data, and model are available at: //github.com/sunsmarterjie/ChatterBox.
In this study, we introduce an optimization framework aimed at enhancing the efficiency of motion priority design in scenarios involving automated and teleoperated robots within an industrial recovery context. The escalating utilization of industrial robots at manufacturing sites has been instrumental in mitigating human workload. Nevertheless, the challenge persists in achieving effective human-robot collaboration/cooperation where human workers and robots share a workspace for collaborative tasks. In the event of an industrial robot encountering a failure, it necessitates the suspension of the corresponding factory cell for safe recovery. Given the limited capacity of pre-programmed robots to rectify such failures, human intervention becomes imperative, requiring entry into the robot workspace to address the dropped object while the robot system is halted. This non-continuous manufacturing process results in productivity loss. Robotic teleoperation has emerged as a promising technology enabling human workers to undertake high-risk tasks remotely and safely. Our study advocates for the incorporation of robotic teleoperation in the recovery process during manufacturing failure scenarios, which is referred to as "Cooperative Tele-Recovery". Our proposed approach involves the formulation of priority rules designed to facilitate collision avoidance between manufacturing and recovery robots. This, in turn, ensures a continuous manufacturing process with minimal production loss within a configurable risk limitation. We present a comprehensive motion priority optimization framework, encompassing an HRC simulator-based priority optimization and a cooperative multi-robot controller, to identify optimal parameters for the priority function. The framework dynamically adjusts the allocation of motion priorities for manufacturing and recovery robots while adhering to predefined risk limitations.
In this paper, we introduce a new approach for constructing robust well-balanced numerical methods for the one-dimensional Saint-Venant system with and without the Manning friction term. Following the idea presented in [R. Abgrall, Commun. Appl. Math. Comput. 5(2023), pp. 370-402], we first combine the conservative and non-conservative (primitive) formulations of the studied conservative hyperbolic system in a natural way. The solution is globally continuous and described by a combination of point values and average values. The point values and average values will then be evolved by two different forms of PDEs: a conservative version of the cell averages and a possibly non-conservative one for the points. We show how to deal with both the conservative and non-conservative forms of PDEs in a well-balanced manner. The developed schemes are capable of exactly preserving both the still-water and moving-water equilibria. Compared with existing well-balanced methods, this new class of scheme is nonlinear-equations-solver-free. This makes the developed schemes less computationally costly and easier to extend to other models. We demonstrate the behavior of the proposed new scheme on several challenging examples.
Computational complexity is a key limitation of genomic analyses. Thus, over the last 30 years, researchers have proposed numerous fast heuristic methods that provide computational relief. Comparing genomic sequences is one of the most fundamental computational steps in most genomic analyses. Due to its high computational complexity, optimized exact and heuristic algorithms are still being developed. We find that these methods are highly sensitive to the underlying data, its quality, and various hyperparameters. Despite their wide use, no in-depth analysis has been performed, potentially falsely discarding genetic sequences from further analysis and unnecessarily inflating computational costs. We provide the first analysis and benchmark of this heterogeneity. We deliver an actionable overview of the 11 most widely used state-of-the-art methods for comparing genomic sequences. We also inform readers about their advantages and downsides using thorough experimental evaluation and different real datasets from all major manufacturers (i.e., Illumina, ONT, and PacBio). SequenceLab is publicly available at //github.com/CMU-SAFARI/SequenceLab.
In this work, we propose a dynamic landing solution without the need for onboard exteroceptive sensors and an expensive computation unit, where all localization and control modules are carried out on the ground in a non-inertial frame. Our system starts with a relative state estimator of the aerial robot from the perspective of the landing platform, where the state tracking of the UAV is done through a set of onboard LED markers and an on-ground camera; the state is expressed geometrically on manifold, and is returned by Iterated Extended Kalman filter (IEKF) algorithm. Subsequently, a motion planning module is developed to guide the landing process, formulating it as a minimum jerk trajectory by applying the differential flatness property. Considering visibility and dynamic constraints, the problem is solved using quadratic programming, and the final motion primitive is expressed through piecewise polynomials. Through a series of experiments, the applicability of this approach is validated by successfully landing 18 cm x 18 cm quadrotor on a 43 cm x 43 cm platform, exhibiting performance comparable to conventional methods. Finally, we provide comprehensive hardware and software details to the research community for future reference.
In this work, we introduce a novel evaluation paradigm for Large Language Models, one that challenges them to engage in meta-reasoning. This approach addresses critical shortcomings in existing math problem-solving benchmarks, traditionally used to evaluate the cognitive capabilities of agents. Our paradigm shifts the focus from result-oriented assessments, which often overlook the reasoning process, to a more holistic evaluation that effectively differentiates the cognitive capabilities among models. For example, in our benchmark, GPT-4 demonstrates a performance five times better than GPT3-5. The significance of this new paradigm lies in its ability to reveal potential cognitive deficiencies in LLMs that current benchmarks, such as GSM8K, fail to uncover due to their saturation and lack of effective differentiation among varying reasoning abilities. Our comprehensive analysis includes several state-of-the-art math models from both open-source and closed-source communities, uncovering fundamental deficiencies in their training and evaluation approaches. This paper not only advocates for a paradigm shift in the assessment of LLMs but also contributes to the ongoing discourse on the trajectory towards Artificial General Intelligence (AGI). By promoting the adoption of meta-reasoning evaluation methods similar to ours, we aim to facilitate a more accurate assessment of the true cognitive abilities of LLMs.
The increasing reliance on complex algorithmic systems by online platforms has sparked a growing need for algorithm auditing, a research methodology evaluating these systems' functionality and societal impact. In this paper, we systematically review algorithm auditing studies and identify trends in their methodological approaches, the geographic distribution of authors, and the selection of platforms, languages, geographies, and group-based attributes in the focus of auditing research. We present evidence of a significant skew of research focus toward Western contexts, particularly the US, and a disproportionate reliance on English language data. Additionally, our analysis indicates a tendency in algorithm auditing studies to focus on a narrow set of group-based attributes, often operationalized in simplified ways, which might obscure more nuanced aspects of algorithmic bias and discrimination. By conducting this review, we aim to provide a clearer understanding of the current state of the algorithm auditing field and identify gaps that need to be addressed for a more inclusive and representative research landscape.
In this paper, we formulate the multi-agent graph bandit problem as a multi-agent extension of the graph bandit problem introduced by Zhang, Johansson, and Li [CISS 57, 1-6 (2023)]. In our formulation, $N$ cooperative agents travel on a connected graph $G$ with $K$ nodes. Upon arrival at each node, agents observe a random reward drawn from a node-dependent probability distribution. The reward of the system is modeled as a weighted sum of the rewards the agents observe, where the weights capture the decreasing marginal reward associated with multiple agents sampling the same node at the same time. We propose an Upper Confidence Bound (UCB)-based learning algorithm, Multi-G-UCB, and prove that its expected regret over $T$ steps is bounded by $O(N\log(T)[\sqrt{KT} + DK])$, where $D$ is the diameter of graph $G$. Lastly, we numerically test our algorithm by comparing it to alternative methods.
In pace with developments in the research field of artificial intelligence, knowledge graphs (KGs) have attracted a surge of interest from both academia and industry. As a representation of semantic relations between entities, KGs have proven to be particularly relevant for natural language processing (NLP), experiencing a rapid spread and wide adoption within recent years. Given the increasing amount of research work in this area, several KG-related approaches have been surveyed in the NLP research community. However, a comprehensive study that categorizes established topics and reviews the maturity of individual research streams remains absent to this day. Contributing to closing this gap, we systematically analyzed 507 papers from the literature on KGs in NLP. Our survey encompasses a multifaceted review of tasks, research types, and contributions. As a result, we present a structured overview of the research landscape, provide a taxonomy of tasks, summarize our findings, and highlight directions for future work.
Recent years have witnessed the enormous success of low-dimensional vector space representations of knowledge graphs to predict missing facts or find erroneous ones. Currently, however, it is not yet well-understood how ontological knowledge, e.g. given as a set of (existential) rules, can be embedded in a principled way. To address this shortcoming, in this paper we introduce a framework based on convex regions, which can faithfully incorporate ontological knowledge into the vector space embedding. Our technical contribution is two-fold. First, we show that some of the most popular existing embedding approaches are not capable of modelling even very simple types of rules. Second, we show that our framework can represent ontologies that are expressed using so-called quasi-chained existential rules in an exact way, such that any set of facts which is induced using that vector space embedding is logically consistent and deductively closed with respect to the input ontology.
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