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The widespread use of maximum Jeffreys'-prior penalized likelihood in binomial-response generalized linear models, and in logistic regression, in particular, are supported by the results of Kosmidis and Firth (2021, Biometrika), who show that the resulting estimates are also always finite-valued, even in cases where the maximum likelihood estimates are not, which is a practical issue regardless of the size of the data set. In logistic regression, the implied adjusted score equations are formally bias-reducing in asymptotic frameworks with a fixed number of parameters and appear to deliver a substantial reduction in the persistent bias of the maximum likelihood estimator in high-dimensional settings where the number of parameters grows asymptotically linearly and slower than the number of observations. In this work, we develop and present two new variants of iteratively reweighted least squares for estimating generalized linear models with adjusted score equations for mean bias reduction and maximization of the likelihood penalized by a positive power of the Jeffreys-prior penalty, which eliminate the requirement of storing $O(n)$ quantities in memory, and can operate with data sets that exceed computer memory or even hard drive capacity. We achieve that through incremental QR decompositions, which enable IWLS iterations to have access only to data chunks of predetermined size. We assess the procedures through a real-data application with millions of observations, and in high-dimensional logistic regression, where a large-scale simulation experiment produces concrete evidence for the existence of a simple adjustment to the maximum Jeffreys'-penalized likelihood estimates that delivers high accuracy in terms of signal recovery even in cases where estimates from ML and other recently-proposed corrective methods do not exist.

Stochastic inversion problems are typically encountered when it is wanted to quantify the uncertainty affecting the inputs of computer models. They consist in estimating input distributions from noisy, observable outputs, and such problems are increasingly examined in Bayesian contexts where the targeted inputs are affected by stochastic uncertainties. In this regard, a stochastic input can be qualified as meaningful if it explains most of the output uncertainty. While such inverse problems are characterized by identifiability conditions, constraints of "signal to noise", that can formalize this meaningfulness, should be accounted for within the definition of the model, prior to inference. This article investigates the possibility of forcing a solution to be meaningful in the context of parametric uncertainty quantification, through the tools of global sensitivity analysis and information theory (variance, entropy, Fisher information). Such forcings have mainly the nature of constraints placed on the input covariance, and can be made explicit by considering linear or linearizable models. Simulated experiments indicate that, when injected into the modeling process, these constraints can limit the influence of measurement or process noise on the estimation of the input distribution, and let hope for future extensions in a full non-linear framework, for example through the use of linear Gaussian mixtures.

The application of deep learning to non-stationary temporal datasets can lead to overfitted models that underperform under regime changes. In this work, we propose a modular machine learning pipeline for ranking predictions on temporal panel datasets which is robust under regime changes. The modularity of the pipeline allows the use of different models, including Gradient Boosting Decision Trees (GBDTs) and Neural Networks, with and without feature engineering. We evaluate our framework on financial data for stock portfolio prediction, and find that GBDT models with dropout display high performance, robustness and generalisability with reduced complexity and computational cost. We then demonstrate how online learning techniques, which require no retraining of models, can be used post-prediction to enhance the results. First, we show that dynamic feature projection improves robustness by reducing drawdown in regime changes. Second, we demonstrate that dynamical model ensembling based on selection of models with good recent performance leads to improved Sharpe and Calmar ratios of out-of-sample predictions. We also evaluate the robustness of our pipeline across different data splits and random seeds with good reproducibility.

A slow decaying Kolmogorov n-width of the solution manifold of a parametric partial differential equation precludes the realization of efficient linear projection-based reduced-order models. This is due to the high dimensionality of the reduced space needed to approximate with sufficient accuracy the solution manifold. To solve this problem, neural networks, in the form of different architectures, have been employed to build accurate nonlinear regressions of the solution manifolds. However, the majority of the implementations are non-intrusive black-box surrogate models, and only a part of them perform dimension reduction from the number of degrees of freedom of the discretized parametric models to a latent dimension. We present a new intrusive and explicable methodology for reduced-order modelling that employs neural networks for solution manifold approximation but that does not discard the physical and numerical models underneath in the predictive/online stage. We will focus on autoencoders used to compress further the dimensionality of linear approximants of solution manifolds, achieving in the end a nonlinear dimension reduction. After having obtained an accurate nonlinear approximant, we seek for the solutions on the latent manifold with the residual-based nonlinear least-squares Petrov-Galerkin method, opportunely hyper-reduced in order to be independent from the number of degrees of freedom. New adaptive hyper-reduction strategies are developed along with the employment of local nonlinear approximants. We test our methodology on two nonlinear time-dependent parametric benchmarks involving a supersonic flow past a NACA airfoil with changing Mach number and an incompressible turbulent flow around the Ahmed body with changing slant angle.

Given samples from two non-negative random variables, we propose a new class of nonparametric tests for the null hypothesis that one random variable dominates the other with respect to second-order stochastic dominance. These tests are based on the Lorenz P-P plot (LPP), which is the composition between the inverse unscaled Lorenz curve of one distribution and the unscaled Lorenz curve of the other. The LPP exceeds the identity function if and only if the dominance condition is violated, providing a rather simple method to construct test statistics, given by functionals defined over the difference between the identity and the LPP. We determine a stochastic upper bound for such test statistics under the null hypothesis, and derive its limit distribution, to be approximated via bootstrap procedures. We also establish the asymptotic validity of the tests under relatively mild conditions, allowing for both dependent and independent samples. Finally, finite sample properties are investigated through simulation studies.

We propose a high-rate scheme for discretely-modulated continuous-variable quantum key distribution (DM CVQKD) using quantum machine learning technologies, which divides the whole CVQKD system into three parts, i.e., the initialization part that is used for training and estimating quantum classifier, the prediction part that is used for generating highly correlated raw keys, and the data-postprocessing part that generates the final secret key string shared by Alice and Bob. To this end, a low-complexity quantum k-nearest neighbor (QkNN) classifier is designed for predicting the lossy discretely-modulated coherent states (DMCSs) at Bob's side. The performance of the proposed QkNN-based CVQKD especially in terms of machine learning metrics and complexity is analyzed, and its theoretical security is proved by using semi-definite program (SDP) method. Numerical simulation shows that the secret key rate of our proposed scheme is explicitly superior to the existing DM CVQKD protocols, and it can be further enhanced with the increase of modulation variance.

In 1996, Matheson and Tarjan proved that every near planar triangulation on $n$ vertices contains a dominating set of size at most $n/3$, and conjectured that this upper bound can be reduced to $n/4$ for planar triangulations when $n$ is sufficiently large. In this paper, we consider the analogous problem for independent dominating sets: What is the minimum $\epsilon$ for which every near planar triangulation on $n$ vertices contains an independent dominating set of size at most $\epsilon n$? We prove that $2/7 \leq \epsilon \leq 5/12$. Moreover, this upper bound can be improved to $3/8$ for planar triangulations, and to $1/3$ for planar triangulations with minimum degree 5.

Penalized $M-$estimators for logistic regression models have been previously study for fixed dimension in order to obtain sparse statistical models and automatic variable selection. In this paper, we derive asymptotic results for penalized $M-$estimators when the dimension $p$ grows to infinity with the sample size $n$. Specifically, we obtain consistency and rates of convergence results, for some choices of the penalty function. Moreover, we prove that these estimators consistently select variables with probability tending to 1 and derive their asymptotic distribution.

We prove lower bounds for the randomized approximation of the embedding $\ell_1^m \rightarrow \ell_\infty^m$ based on algorithms that use arbitrary linear (hence non-adaptive) information provided by a (randomized) measurement matrix $N \in \mathbb{R}^{n \times m}$. These lower bounds reflect the increasing difficulty of the problem for $m \to \infty$, namely, a term $\sqrt{\log m}$ in the complexity $n$. This result implies that non-compact operators between arbitrary Banach spaces are not approximable using non-adaptive Monte Carlo methods. We also compare these lower bounds for non-adaptive methods with upper bounds based on adaptive, randomized methods for recovery for which the complexity $n$ only exhibits a $(\log\log m)$-dependence. In doing so we give an example of linear problems where the error for adaptive vs. non-adaptive Monte Carlo methods shows a gap of order $n^{1/2} ( \log n)^{-1/2}$.

This paper concerns an expansion of first-order Belnap-Dunn logic which is called $\mathrm{BD}^{\supset,\mathsf{F}}$. Its connectives and quantifiers are all familiar from classical logic and its logical consequence relation is very closely connected to the one of classical logic. Results that convey this close connection are established. Fifteen classical laws of logical equivalence are used to distinguish $\mathrm{BD}^{\supset,\mathsf{F}}$ from all other four-valued logics with the same connectives and quantifiers whose logical consequence relation is as closely connected to the logical consequence relation of classical logic. It is shown that several interesting non-classical connectives added to Belnap-Dunn logic in its expansions that have been studied earlier are definable in $\mathrm{BD}^{\supset,\mathsf{F}}$. It is also established that $\mathrm{BD}^{\supset,\mathsf{F}}$ is both paraconsistent and paracomplete. Moreover, a sequent calculus proof system that is sound and complete with respect to the logical consequence relation of $\mathrm{BD}^{\supset,\mathsf{F}}$ is presented.