Knowledge of the effect of interventions, called the treatment effect, is paramount for decision-making. Approaches to estimating this treatment effect, e.g. by using Conditional Average Treatment Effect (CATE) estimators, often only provide a point estimate of this treatment effect, while additional uncertainty quantification is frequently desired instead. Therefore, we present a novel method, the Conformal Monte Carlo (CMC) meta-learners, leveraging conformal predictive systems, Monte Carlo sampling, and CATE meta-learners, to instead produce a predictive distribution usable in individualized decision-making. Furthermore, we show how specific assumptions on the noise distribution of the outcome heavily affect these uncertainty predictions. Nonetheless, the CMC framework shows strong experimental coverage while retaining small interval widths to provide estimates of the true individual treatment effect.
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Automatic coding patient behaviors is essential to support decision making for psychotherapists during the motivational interviewing (MI), a collaborative communication intervention approach to address psychiatric issues, such as alcohol and drug addiction. While the behavior coding task has rapidly adapted machine learning to predict patient states during the MI sessions, lacking of domain-specific knowledge and overlooking patient-therapist interactions are major challenges in developing and deploying those models in real practice. To encounter those challenges, we introduce the Chain-of-Interaction (CoI) prompting method aiming to contextualize large language models (LLMs) for psychiatric decision support by the dyadic interactions. The CoI prompting approach systematically breaks down the coding task into three key reasoning steps, extract patient engagement, learn therapist question strategies, and integrates dyadic interactions between patients and therapists. This approach enables large language models to leverage the coding scheme, patient state, and domain knowledge for patient behavioral coding. Experiments on real-world datasets can prove the effectiveness and flexibility of our prompting method with multiple state-of-the-art LLMs over existing prompting baselines. We have conducted extensive ablation analysis and demonstrate the critical role of dyadic interactions in applying LLMs for psychotherapy behavior understanding.
Mediation analysis is an important statistical tool in many research fields. Its aim is to investigate the mechanism along the causal pathway between an exposure and an outcome. The joint significance test is widely utilized as a prominent statistical approach for examining mediation effects in practical applications. Nevertheless, the limitation of this mediation testing method stems from its conservative Type I error, which reduces its statistical power and imposes certain constraints on its popularity and utility. The proposed solution to address this gap is the adaptive joint significance test for one mediator, a novel data-adaptive test for mediation effect that exhibits significant advancements compared to traditional joint significance test. The proposed method is designed to be user-friendly, eliminating the need for complicated procedures. We have derived explicit expressions for size and power, ensuring the theoretical validity of our approach. Furthermore, we extend the proposed adaptive joint significance tests for small-scale mediation hypotheses with family-wise error rate (FWER) control. Additionally, a novel adaptive Sobel-type approach is proposed for the estimation of confidence intervals for the mediation effects, demonstrating significant advancements over conventional Sobel's confidence intervals in terms of achieving desirable coverage probabilities. Our mediation testing and confidence intervals procedure is evaluated through comprehensive simulations, and compared with numerous existing approaches. Finally, we illustrate the usefulness of our method by analysing three real-world datasets with continuous, binary and time-to-event outcomes, respectively.
We show that, in many settings, the worst-case performance of a distributed optimization algorithm is independent of the number of agents in the system, and can thus be computed in the fundamental case with just two agents. This result relies on a novel approach that systematically exploits symmetries in worst-case performance computation, framed as Semidefinite Programming (SDP) via the Performance Estimation Problem (PEP) framework. Harnessing agent symmetries in the PEP yields compact problems whose size is independent of the number of agents in the system. When all agents are equivalent in the problem, we establish the explicit conditions under which the resulting worst-case performance is independent of the number of agents and is therefore equivalent to the basic case with two agents. Our compact PEP formulation also allows the consideration of multiple equivalence classes of agents, and its size only depends on the number of equivalence classes. This enables practical and automated performance analysis of distributed algorithms in numerous complex and realistic settings, such as the analysis of the worst agent performance. We leverage this new tool to analyze the performance of the EXTRA algorithm in advanced settings and its scalability with the number of agents, providing a tighter analysis and deeper understanding of the algorithm performance.
Parallel self-assembly is an efficient approach to accelerate the assembly process for modular robots. However, these approaches cannot accommodate complicated environments with obstacles, which restricts their applications. This paper considers the surrounding stationary obstacles and proposes a parallel self-assembly planning algorithm named SAPOA. With this algorithm, modular robots can avoid immovable obstacles when performing docking actions, which adapts the parallel self-assembly process to complex scenes. To validate the efficiency and scalability, we have designed 25 distinct grid maps with different obstacle configurations to simulate the algorithm. From the results compared to the existing parallel self-assembly algorithms, our algorithm shows a significantly higher success rate, which is more than 80%. For verification in real-world applications, a multi-agent hardware testbed system is developed. The algorithm is successfully deployed on four omnidirectional unmanned surface vehicles, CuBoats. The navigation strategy that translates the discrete planner, SAPOA, to the continuous controller on the CuBoats is presented. The algorithm's feasibility and flexibility were demonstrated through successful self-assembly experiments on 5 maps with varying obstacle configurations.
As discussions around 6G begin, it is important to carefully quantify the spectral efficiency gains actually realized by deployed 5G networks as compared to 4G through various enhancements such as higher modulation, beamforming, and MIMO. This will inform the design of future cellular systems, especially in the mid-bands, which provide a good balance between bandwidth and propagation. Similar to 4G, 5G also utilizes low-band (<1 GHz) and mid-band spectrum (1 to 6 GHz), and hence comparing the performance of 4G and 5G in these bands will provide insights into how further improvements can be attained. In this work, we address a crucial question: is the performance boost in 5G compared to 4G primarily a result of increased bandwidth, or do the other enhancements play significant roles, and if so, under what circumstances? Hence, we conduct city-wide measurements of 4G and 5G cellular networks deployed in low- and mid-bands in Chicago and Minneapolis, and carefully quantify the contributions of different aspects of 5G advancements to its improved throughput performance. Our analyses show that (i) compared to 4G, the throughput improvement in 5G today is mainly influenced by the wider channel bandwidth, both from single channels and channel aggregation, (ii) in addition to wider channels, improved 5G throughput requires better signal conditions, which can be delivered by denser deployment and/or use of beamforming in mid-bands, (iii) the channel rank in real-world environments rarely supports the full 4 layers of 4x4 MIMO and (iv) advanced features such as MU-MIMO and higher order modulation such as 1024-QAM have yet to be widely deployed. These observations and conclusions lead one to consider designing the next generation of cellular systems to have wider channels, perhaps with improved channel aggregation, dense deployment with more beams.
Dense retrieval has become the new paradigm in passage retrieval. Despite its effectiveness on typo-free queries, it is not robust when dealing with queries that contain typos. Current works on improving the typo-robustness of dense retrievers combine (i) data augmentation to obtain the typoed queries during training time with (ii) additional robustifying subtasks that aim to align the original, typo-free queries with their typoed variants. Even though multiple typoed variants are available as positive samples per query, some methods assume a single positive sample and a set of negative ones per anchor and tackle the robustifying subtask with contrastive learning; therefore, making insufficient use of the multiple positives (typoed queries). In contrast, in this work, we argue that all available positives can be used at the same time and employ contrastive learning that supports multiple positives (multi-positive). Experimental results on two datasets show that our proposed approach of leveraging all positives simultaneously and employing multi-positive contrastive learning on the robustifying subtask yields improvements in robustness against using contrastive learning with a single positive.
Academic and industrial sectors have been engaged in a fierce competition to develop quantum technologies, fueled by the explosive advancements in quantum hardware. While universal quantum computers have been shown to support up to hundreds of qubits, the scale of quantum annealers has reached three orders of magnitude (i.e., thousands of qubits). Therefore, quantum algorithms are becoming increasingly popular in a variety of fields, with optimization being one of the most prominent. This work aims to explore the topic of quantum optimization by comprehensively evaluating the technologies provided by D-Wave Systems. To do so, a model for the energy optimization of data centers is proposed as a benchmark. D-Wave quantum and hybrid solvers are compared, in order to identify the most suitable one for the considered application. To highlight its advantageous performance capabilities and associated solving potential, the selected D-Wave hybrid solver is then contrasted with CPLEX, a highly efficient classical solver.
State estimation is a crucial component for the successful implementation of robotic systems, relying on sensors such as cameras, LiDAR, and IMUs. However, in real-world scenarios, the performance of these sensors is degraded by challenging environments, e.g. adverse weather conditions and low-light scenarios. The emerging 4D imaging radar technology is capable of providing robust perception in adverse conditions. Despite its potential, challenges remain for indoor settings where noisy radar data does not present clear geometric features. Moreover, disparities in radar data resolution and field of view (FOV) can lead to inaccurate measurements. While prior research has explored radar-inertial odometry based on Doppler velocity information, challenges remain for the estimation of 3D motion because of the discrepancy in the FOV and resolution of the radar sensor. In this paper, we address Doppler velocity measurement uncertainties. We present a method to optimize body frame velocity while managing Doppler velocity uncertainty. Based on our observations, we propose a dual imaging radar configuration to mitigate the challenge of discrepancy in radar data. To attain high-precision 3D state estimation, we introduce a strategy that seamlessly integrates radar data with a consumer-grade IMU sensor using fixed-lag smoothing optimization. Finally, we evaluate our approach using real-world 3D motion data.
With the rapid development of facial forgery techniques, forgery detection has attracted more and more attention due to security concerns. Existing approaches attempt to use frequency information to mine subtle artifacts under high-quality forged faces. However, the exploitation of frequency information is coarse-grained, and more importantly, their vanilla learning process struggles to extract fine-grained forgery traces. To address this issue, we propose a progressive enhancement learning framework to exploit both the RGB and fine-grained frequency clues. Specifically, we perform a fine-grained decomposition of RGB images to completely decouple the real and fake traces in the frequency space. Subsequently, we propose a progressive enhancement learning framework based on a two-branch network, combined with self-enhancement and mutual-enhancement modules. The self-enhancement module captures the traces in different input spaces based on spatial noise enhancement and channel attention. The Mutual-enhancement module concurrently enhances RGB and frequency features by communicating in the shared spatial dimension. The progressive enhancement process facilitates the learning of discriminative features with fine-grained face forgery clues. Extensive experiments on several datasets show that our method outperforms the state-of-the-art face forgery detection methods.
Multi-relation Question Answering is a challenging task, due to the requirement of elaborated analysis on questions and reasoning over multiple fact triples in knowledge base. In this paper, we present a novel model called Interpretable Reasoning Network that employs an interpretable, hop-by-hop reasoning process for question answering. The model dynamically decides which part of an input question should be analyzed at each hop; predicts a relation that corresponds to the current parsed results; utilizes the predicted relation to update the question representation and the state of the reasoning process; and then drives the next-hop reasoning. Experiments show that our model yields state-of-the-art results on two datasets. More interestingly, the model can offer traceable and observable intermediate predictions for reasoning analysis and failure diagnosis, thereby allowing manual manipulation in predicting the final answer.
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