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Efficient contact tracing and isolation is an effective strategy to control epidemics. It was used effectively during the Ebola epidemic and successfully implemented in several parts of the world during the ongoing COVID-19 pandemic. An important consideration in contact tracing is the budget on the number of individuals asked to quarantine -- the budget is limited for socioeconomic reasons. In this paper, we present a Markov Decision Process (MDP) framework to formulate the problem of using contact tracing to reduce the size of an outbreak while asking a limited number of people to quarantine. We formulate each step of the MDP as a combinatorial problem, MinExposed, which we demonstrate is NP-Hard; as a result, we develop an LP-based approximation algorithm. Though this algorithm directly solves MinExposed, it is often impractical in the real world due to information constraints. To this end, we develop a greedy approach based on insights from the analysis of the previous algorithm, which we show is more interpretable. A key feature of the greedy algorithm is that it does not need complete information of the underlying social contact network. This makes the heuristic implementable in practice and is an important consideration. Finally, we carry out experiments on simulations of the MDP run on real-world networks, and show how the algorithms can help in bending the epidemic curve while limiting the number of isolated individuals. Our experimental results demonstrate that the greedy algorithm and its variants are especially effective, robust, and practical in a variety of realistic scenarios, such as when the contact graph and specific transmission probabilities are not known. All code can be found in our GitHub repository: //github.com/gzli929/ContactTracing.

Hyperparameter plays an essential role in the fitting of supervised machine learning algorithms. However, it is computationally expensive to tune all the tunable hyperparameters simultaneously especially for large data sets. In this paper, we give a definition of hyperparameter importance that can be estimated by subsampling procedures. According to the importance, hyperparameters can then be tuned on the entire data set more efficiently. We show theoretically that the proposed importance on subsets of data is consistent with the one on the population data under weak conditions. Numerical experiments show that the proposed importance is consistent and can save a lot of computational resources.

The analysis of data streams has received considerable attention over the past few decades due to sensors, social media, etc. It aims to recognize patterns in an unordered, infinite, and evolving stream of observations. Clustering this type of data requires some restrictions in time and memory. This paper introduces a new data stream clustering method (IMOC-Stream). This method, unlike the other clustering algorithms, uses two different objective functions to capture different aspects of the data. The goal of IMOC-Stream is to: 1) reduce computation time by using idle times to apply genetic operations and enhance the solution. 2) reduce memory allocation by introducing a new tree synopsis. 3) find arbitrarily shaped clusters by using a multi-objective framework. We conducted an experimental study with high dimensional stream datasets and compared them to well-known stream clustering techniques. The experiments show the ability of our method to partition the data stream in arbitrarily shaped, compact, and well-separated clusters while optimizing the time and memory. Our method also outperformed most of the stream algorithms in terms of NMI and ARAND measures.

In this work, we consider $d$-{\sc Hyperedge Estimation} and $d$-{\sc Hyperedge Sample} problem in a hypergraph $\cH(U(\cH),\cF(\cH))$ in the query complexity framework, where $U(\cH)$ denotes the set of vertices and $\cF(\cH)$ denotes the set of hyperedges. The oracle access to the hypergraph is called {\sc Colorful Independence Oracle} ({\sc CID}), which takes $d$ (non-empty) pairwise disjoint subsets of vertices $\dsubset \subseteq U(\cH)$ as input, and answers whether there exists a hyperedge in $\cH$ having (exactly) one vertex in each $A_i, i \in \{1,2,\ldots,d\}$. The problem of $d$-{\sc Hyperedge Estimation} and $d$-{\sc Hyperedge Sample} with {\sc CID} oracle access is important in its own right as a combinatorial problem. Also, Dell {\it{et al.}}~[SODA '20] established that {\em decision} vs {\em counting} complexities of a number of combinatorial optimization problems can be abstracted out as $d$-{\sc Hyperedge Estimation} problems with a {\sc CID} oracle access. The main technical contribution of the paper is an algorithm that estimates $m= \size{\cF(\cH)}$ with $\hat{m}$ such that { $$ \frac{1}{C_{d}\log^{d-1} n} \;\leq\; \frac{\hat{m}}{m} \;\leq\; C_{d} \log ^{d-1} n . $$ by using at most $C_{d}\log ^{d+2} n$ many {\sc CID} queries, where $n$ denotes the number of vertices in the hypergraph $\cH$ and $C_{d}$ is a constant that depends only on $d$}. Our result coupled with the framework of Dell {\it{et al.}}~[SODA '21] implies improved bounds for a number of fundamental problems.

In this paper we look at the problem of adjacency labeling of graphs. Given a family of undirected graphs the problem is to determine an encoding-decoding scheme for each member of the family such that we can decode the adjacency information of any pair of vertices only from their encoded labels. Further, we want the length of each label to be short (logarithmic in $n$, the number of vertices) and the encoding-decoding scheme to be computationally efficient. We proposed a simple tree-decomposition based encoding scheme and used it give an adjacency labeling of size $O(k \log k \log n)$-bits. Here $k$ is the clique-width of the graph family. We also extend the result to a certain family of $k$-probe graphs.

We establish how the coefficients of a sparse polynomial system influence the sum (or the trace) of its zeros. As an application, we develop numerical tests for verifying whether a set of solutions to a sparse system is complete. These algorithms extend the classical trace test in numerical algebraic geometry. Our results rely on both the analysis of the structure of sparse resultants as well as an extension of Esterov's results on monodromy groups of sparse systems.

We provide a deepened study of autocorrelations in Neural Markov Chain Monte Carlo simulations, a version of the traditional Metropolis algorithm which employs neural networks to provide independent proposals. We illustrate our ideas using the two-dimensional Ising model. We propose several estimates of autocorrelation times, some inspired by analytical results derived for the Metropolized Independent Sampler, which we compare and study as a function of inverse temperature $\beta$. Based on that we propose an alternative loss function and study its impact on the autocorelation times. Furthermore, we investigate the impact of imposing system symmetries ($Z_2$ and/or translational) in the neural network training process on the autocorrelation times. Eventually, we propose a scheme which incorporates partial heat-bath updates. The impact of the above enhancements is discussed for a $16 \times 16$ spin system. The summary of our findings may serve as a guide to the implementation of Neural Markov Chain Monte Carlo simulations of more complicated models.

This paper assesses when the validity of difference-in-differences and related estimators depends on functional form. We provide a novel characterization: the parallel trends assumption holds under all strictly monotonic transformations of the outcome if and only if a stronger "parallel trends"-type condition holds for the cumulative distribution function of untreated potential outcomes. This condition for parallel trends to be insensitive to functional form is satisfied if and essentially only if the population can be partitioned into a subgroup for which treatment is effectively randomly assigned and a remaining subgroup for which the distribution of untreated potential outcomes is stable over time. We introduce falsification tests for the insensitivity of parallel trends to functional form. We also show that it is impossible to construct any estimator that is consistent for the average treatment effect on the treated (ATT) without either imposing functional form restrictions or imposing assumptions that identify the full distribution of untreated potential outcomes. Our results suggest that researchers who wish to point-identify the ATT should either (i) argue treatment is as-if randomly assigned, (ii) provide a method for inferring the full counterfactual distribution for the treated group, or (iii) justify the validity of the specific chosen functional form.

Implicit probabilistic models are models defined naturally in terms of a sampling procedure and often induces a likelihood function that cannot be expressed explicitly. We develop a simple method for estimating parameters in implicit models that does not require knowledge of the form of the likelihood function or any derived quantities, but can be shown to be equivalent to maximizing likelihood under some conditions. Our result holds in the non-asymptotic parametric setting, where both the capacity of the model and the number of data examples are finite. We also demonstrate encouraging experimental results.

The Normalized Cut (NCut) objective function, widely used in data clustering and image segmentation, quantifies the cost of graph partitioning in a way that biases clusters or segments that are balanced towards having lower values than unbalanced partitionings. However, this bias is so strong that it avoids any singleton partitions, even when vertices are very weakly connected to the rest of the graph. Motivated by the B\"uhler-Hein family of balanced cut costs, we propose the family of Compassionately Conservative Balanced (CCB) Cut costs, which are indexed by a parameter that can be used to strike a compromise between the desire to avoid too many singleton partitions and the notion that all partitions should be balanced. We show that CCB-Cut minimization can be relaxed into an orthogonally constrained $\ell_{\tau}$-minimization problem that coincides with the problem of computing Piecewise Flat Embeddings (PFE) for one particular index value, and we present an algorithm for solving the relaxed problem by iteratively minimizing a sequence of reweighted Rayleigh quotients (IRRQ). Using images from the BSDS500 database, we show that image segmentation based on CCB-Cut minimization provides better accuracy with respect to ground truth and greater variability in region size than NCut-based image segmentation.