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Peruvian mining plays a crucial role in the country's economy, being one of the main producers and exporters of minerals worldwide. In this project, an application was developed in RStudio that utilizes statistical analysis and time series modeling techniques to understand and forecast mineral extraction in different departments of Peru. The application includes an interactive map that allows users to explore Peruvian geography and obtain detailed statistics by clicking on each department. Additionally, bar charts, pie charts, and frequency polygons were implemented to visualize and analyze the data. Using the ARIMA model, predictions were made on the future extraction of minerals, enabling informed decision-making in planning and resource management within the mining sector. The application provides an interactive and accessible tool to explore the Peruvian mining industry, comprehend trends, and make accurate forecasts. These predictions for 2027 in total annual production are as follows: Copper = 2,694,957 MT, Gold = 72,817.47 kg Fine, Zinc = 1,369,649 MT, Silver = 3,083,036 MT, Lead = 255,443 MT, Iron = 15,776,609 MT, Tin = 29,542 MT, Molybdenum = 35,044.66 MT, and Cadmium = 724 MT. These predictions, based on historical data, provide valuable information for strategic decision-making and contribute to the sustainable development of the mining industry in Peru.

We compare two different linear dimensionality reduction strategies for the multigroup classification problem: the trace ratio method and Fisher's discriminant analysis. Recently, trace ratio optimization has gained in popularity due to its computational efficiency, as well as the occasionally better classification results. However, a statistical understanding is still incomplete. We study and compare the properties of the two methods. Then, we propose a robust version of the trace ratio method, to handle the presence of outliers in the data. We reinterpret an asymptotic perturbation bound for the solution to the trace ratio, in a contamination setting. Finally, we compare the performance of the trace ratio method and Fisher's discriminant analysis on both synthetic and real datasets, using classical and robust estimators.

Benchmarks are among the main drivers of progress in software engineering research, especially in software testing and debugging. However, current benchmarks in this field could be better suited for specific research tasks, as they rely on weak system oracles like crash detection, come with few unit tests only, need more elaborative research, or cannot verify the outcome of system tests. Our Tests4Py benchmark addresses these issues. It is derived from the popular BugsInPy benchmark, including 30 bugs from 5 real-world Python applications. Each subject in Tests4Py comes with an oracle to verify the functional correctness of system inputs. Besides, it enables the generation of system tests and unit tests, allowing for qualitative studies by investigating essential aspects of test sets and extensive evaluations. These opportunities make Tests4Py a next-generation benchmark for research in test generation, debugging, and automatic program repair.

The SHAP framework provides a principled method to explain the predictions of a model by computing feature importance. Motivated by applications in finance, we introduce the Top-k Identification Problem (TkIP), where the objective is to identify the k features with the highest SHAP values. While any method to compute SHAP values with uncertainty estimates (such as KernelSHAP and SamplingSHAP) can be trivially adapted to solve TkIP, doing so is highly sample inefficient. The goal of our work is to improve the sample efficiency of existing methods in the context of solving TkIP. Our key insight is that TkIP can be framed as an Explore-m problem--a well-studied problem related to multi-armed bandits (MAB). This connection enables us to improve sample efficiency by leveraging two techniques from the MAB literature: (1) a better stopping-condition (to stop sampling) that identifies when PAC (Probably Approximately Correct) guarantees have been met and (2) a greedy sampling scheme that judiciously allocates samples between different features. By adopting these methods we develop KernelSHAP@k and SamplingSHAP@k to efficiently solve TkIP, offering an average improvement of $5\times$ in sample-efficiency and runtime across most common credit related datasets.

We expect the generalization error to improve with more samples from a similar task, and to deteriorate with more samples from an out-of-distribution (OOD) task. In this work, we show a counter-intuitive phenomenon: the generalization error of a task can be a non-monotonic function of the number of OOD samples. As the number of OOD samples increases, the generalization error on the target task improves before deteriorating beyond a threshold. In other words, there is value in training on small amounts of OOD data. We use Fisher's Linear Discriminant on synthetic datasets and deep networks on computer vision benchmarks such as MNIST, CIFAR-10, CINIC-10, PACS and DomainNet to demonstrate and analyze this phenomenon. In the idealistic setting where we know which samples are OOD, we show that these non-monotonic trends can be exploited using an appropriately weighted objective of the target and OOD empirical risk. While its practical utility is limited, this does suggest that if we can detect OOD samples, then there may be ways to benefit from them. When we do not know which samples are OOD, we show how a number of go-to strategies such as data-augmentation, hyper-parameter optimization, and pre-training are not enough to ensure that the target generalization error does not deteriorate with the number of OOD samples in the dataset.

The origins of proof-theoretic semantics lie in the question of what constitutes the meaning of the logical connectives and its response: the rules of inference that govern the use of the connective. However, what if we go a step further and ask about the meaning of a proof as a whole? In this paper we address this question and lay out a framework to distinguish sense and denotation of proofs. Two questions are central here. First of all, if we have two (syntactically) different derivations, does this always lead to a difference, firstly, in sense, and secondly, in denotation? The other question is about the relation between different kinds of proof systems (here: natural deduction vs. sequent calculi) with respect to this distinction. Do the different forms of representing a proof necessarily correspond to a difference in how the inferential steps are given? In our framework it will be possible to identify denotation as well as sense of proofs not only within one proof system but also between different kinds of proof systems. Thus, we give an account to distinguish a mere syntactic divergence from a divergence in meaning and a divergence in meaning from a divergence of proof objects analogous to Frege's distinction for singular terms and sentences.

A model among many may only be best under certain states of the world. Switching from a model to another can also be costly. Finding a procedure to dynamically choose a model in these circumstances requires to solve a complex estimation procedure and a dynamic programming problem. A Reinforcement learning algorithm is used to approximate and estimate from the data the optimal solution to this dynamic programming problem. The algorithm is shown to consistently estimate the optimal policy that may choose different models based on a set of covariates. A typical example is the one of switching between different portfolio models under rebalancing costs, using macroeconomic information. Using a set of macroeconomic variables and price data, an empirical application to the aforementioned portfolio problem shows superior performance to choosing the best portfolio model with hindsight.

We present RETA (Relative Timing Analysis), a differential timing analysis technique to verify the impact of an update on the execution time of embedded software. Timing analysis is computationally expensive and labor intensive. Software updates render repeating the analysis from scratch a waste of resources and time, because their impact is inherently confined. To determine this boundary, in RETA we apply a slicing procedure that identifies all relevant code segments and a statement categorization that determines how to analyze each such line of code. We adapt a subset of RETA for integration into aiT, an industrial timing analysis tool, and also develop a complete implementation in a tool called DELTA. Based on staple benchmarks and realistic code updates from official repositories, we test the accuracy by analyzing the worst-case execution time (WCET) before and after an update, comparing the measures with the use of the unmodified aiT as well as real executions on embedded hardware. DELTA returns WCET information that ranges from exactly the WCET of real hardware to 148% of the new version's measured WCET. With the same benchmarks, the unmodified aiT estimates are 112% and 149% of the actual executions; therefore, even when DELTA is pessimistic, an industry-strength tool such as aiT cannot do better. Crucially, we also show that RETA decreases aiT's analysis time by 45% and its memory consumption by 8.9%, whereas removing RETA from DELTA, effectively rendering it a regular timing analysis tool, increases its analysis time by 27%.

Generative models are now capable of producing highly realistic images that look nearly indistinguishable from the data on which they are trained. This raises the question: if we have good enough generative models, do we still need datasets? We investigate this question in the setting of learning general-purpose visual representations from a black-box generative model rather than directly from data. Given an off-the-shelf image generator without any access to its training data, we train representations from the samples output by this generator. We compare several representation learning methods that can be applied to this setting, using the latent space of the generator to generate multiple "views" of the same semantic content. We show that for contrastive methods, this multiview data can naturally be used to identify positive pairs (nearby in latent space) and negative pairs (far apart in latent space). We find that the resulting representations rival those learned directly from real data, but that good performance requires care in the sampling strategy applied and the training method. Generative models can be viewed as a compressed and organized copy of a dataset, and we envision a future where more and more "model zoos" proliferate while datasets become increasingly unwieldy, missing, or private. This paper suggests several techniques for dealing with visual representation learning in such a future. Code is released on our project page: //ali-design.github.io/GenRep/

This paper focuses on the expected difference in borrower's repayment when there is a change in the lender's credit decisions. Classical estimators overlook the confounding effects and hence the estimation error can be magnificent. As such, we propose another approach to construct the estimators such that the error can be greatly reduced. The proposed estimators are shown to be unbiased, consistent, and robust through a combination of theoretical analysis and numerical testing. Moreover, we compare the power of estimating the causal quantities between the classical estimators and the proposed estimators. The comparison is tested across a wide range of models, including linear regression models, tree-based models, and neural network-based models, under different simulated datasets that exhibit different levels of causality, different degrees of nonlinearity, and different distributional properties. Most importantly, we apply our approaches to a large observational dataset provided by a global technology firm that operates in both the e-commerce and the lending business. We find that the relative reduction of estimation error is strikingly substantial if the causal effects are accounted for correctly.