We present an extended validation of semi-analytical, semi-empirical covariance matrices for the two-point correlation function (2PCF) on simulated catalogs representative of Luminous Red Galaxies (LRG) data collected during the initial two months of operations of the Stage-IV ground-based Dark Energy Spectroscopic Instrument (DESI). We run the pipeline on multiple effective Zel'dovich (EZ) mock galaxy catalogs with the corresponding cuts applied and compare the results with the mock sample covariance to assess the accuracy and its fluctuations. We propose an extension of the previously developed formalism for catalogs processed with standard reconstruction algorithms. We consider methods for comparing covariance matrices in detail, highlighting their interpretation and statistical properties caused by sample variance, in particular, nontrivial expectation values of certain metrics even when the external covariance estimate is perfect. With improved mocks and validation techniques, we confirm a good agreement between our predictions and sample covariance. This allows one to generate covariance matrices for comparable datasets without the need to create numerous mock galaxy catalogs with matching clustering, only requiring 2PCF measurements from the data itself. The code used in this paper is publicly available at //github.com/oliverphilcox/RascalC.
A general a posteriori error analysis applies to five lowest-order finite element methods for two fourth-order semi-linear problems with trilinear non-linearity and a general source. A quasi-optimal smoother extends the source term to the discrete trial space, and more importantly, modifies the trilinear term in the stream-function vorticity formulation of the incompressible 2D Navier-Stokes and the von K\'{a}rm\'{a}n equations. This enables the first efficient and reliable a posteriori error estimates for the 2D Navier-Stokes equations in the stream-function vorticity formulation for Morley, two discontinuous Galerkin, $C^0$ interior penalty, and WOPSIP discretizations with piecewise quadratic polynomials.
The notion that algorithmic systems should be "transparent" and "explainable" is common in the many statements of consensus principles developed by governments, companies, and advocacy organizations. But what exactly do policy and legal actors want from these technical concepts, and how do their desiderata compare with the explainability techniques developed in the machine learning literature? In hopes of better connecting the policy and technical communities, we provide case studies illustrating five ways in which algorithmic transparency and explainability have been used in policy settings: specific requirements for explanations; in nonbinding guidelines for internal governance of algorithms; in regulations applicable to highly regulated settings; in guidelines meant to increase the utility of legal liability for algorithms; and broad requirements for model and data transparency. The case studies span a spectrum from precise requirements for specific types of explanations to nonspecific requirements focused on broader notions of transparency, illustrating the diverse needs, constraints, and capacities of various policy actors and contexts. Drawing on these case studies, we discuss promising ways in which transparency and explanation could be used in policy, as well as common factors limiting policymakers' use of algorithmic explainability. We conclude with recommendations for researchers and policymakers.
Solving multiphysics-based inverse problems for geological carbon storage monitoring can be challenging when multimodal time-lapse data are expensive to collect and costly to simulate numerically. We overcome these challenges by combining computationally cheap learned surrogates with learned constraints. Not only does this combination lead to vastly improved inversions for the important fluid-flow property, permeability, it also provides a natural platform for inverting multimodal data including well measurements and active-source time-lapse seismic data. By adding a learned constraint, we arrive at a computationally feasible inversion approach that remains accurate. This is accomplished by including a trained deep neural network, known as a normalizing flow, which forces the model iterates to remain in-distribution, thereby safeguarding the accuracy of trained Fourier neural operators that act as surrogates for the computationally expensive multiphase flow simulations involving partial differential equation solves. By means of carefully selected experiments, centered around the problem of geological carbon storage, we demonstrate the efficacy of the proposed constrained optimization method on two different data modalities, namely time-lapse well and time-lapse seismic data. While permeability inversions from both these two modalities have their pluses and minuses, their joint inversion benefits from either, yielding valuable superior permeability inversions and CO2 plume predictions near, and far away, from the monitoring wells.
Transition amplitudes and transition probabilities are relevant to many areas of physics simulation, including the calculation of response properties and correlation functions. These quantities can also be related to solving linear systems of equations. Here we present three related algorithms for calculating transition probabilities. First, we extend a previously published short-depth algorithm, allowing for the two input states to be non-orthogonal. Building on this first procedure, we then derive a higher-depth algorithm based on Trotterization and Richardson extrapolation that requires fewer circuit evaluations. Third, we introduce a tunable algorithm that allows for trading off circuit depth and measurement complexity, yielding an algorithm that can be tailored to specific hardware characteristics. Finally, we implement proof-of-principle numerics for models in physics and chemistry and for a subroutine in variational quantum linear solving (VQLS). The primary benefits of our approaches are that (a) arbitrary non-orthogonal states may now be used with small increases in quantum resources, (b) we (like another recently proposed method) entirely avoid subroutines such as the Hadamard test that may require three-qubit gates to be decomposed, and (c) in some cases fewer quantum circuit evaluations are required as compared to the previous state-of-the-art in NISQ algorithms for transition probabilities.
Iterative refinement (IR) is a popular scheme for solving a linear system of equations based on gradually improving the accuracy of an initial approximation. Originally developed to improve upon the accuracy of Gaussian elimination, interest in IR has been revived because of its suitability for execution on fast low-precision hardware such as analog devices and graphics processing units. IR generally converges when the error associated with the solution method is small, but is known to diverge when this error is large. We propose and analyze a novel enhancement to the IR algorithm by adding a line search optimization step that guarantees the algorithm will not diverge. Numerical experiments verify our theoretical results and illustrate the effectiveness of our proposed scheme.
In this paper we introduce a multilevel Picard approximation algorithm for semilinear parabolic partial integro-differential equations (PIDEs). We prove that the numerical approximation scheme converges to the unique viscosity solution of the PIDE under consideration. To that end, we derive a Feynman-Kac representation for the unique viscosity solution of the semilinear PIDE, extending the classical Feynman-Kac representation for linear PIDEs. Furthermore, we show that the algorithm does not suffer from the curse of dimensionality, i.e. the computational complexity of the algorithm is bounded polynomially in the dimension $d$ and the reciprocal of the prescribed accuracy $\varepsilon$. We also provide a numerical example in up to 10'000 dimensions to demonstrate its applicability.
We present a training method with linguistic speech regularization that improves the robustness of spontaneous speech synthesis methods with filled pause (FP) insertion. Spontaneous speech synthesis is aimed at producing speech with human-like disfluencies, such as FPs. Because modeling the complex data distribution of spontaneous speech with a rich FP vocabulary is challenging, the quality of FP-inserted synthetic speech is often limited. To address this issue, we present a method for synthesizing spontaneous speech that improves robustness to diverse FP insertions. Regularization is used to stabilize the synthesis of the linguistic speech (i.e., non-FP) elements. To further improve robustness to diverse FP insertions, it utilizes pseudo-FPs sampled using an FP word prediction model as well as ground-truth FPs. Our experiments demonstrated that the proposed method improves the naturalness of synthetic speech with ground-truth and predicted FPs by 0.24 and 0.26, respectively.
Unveiling the underlying governing equations of nonlinear dynamic systems remains a significant challenge, especially when encountering noisy observations and no prior knowledge available. This study proposes R-DISCOVER, a framework designed to robustly uncover open-form partial differential equations (PDEs) from limited and noisy data. The framework operates through two alternating update processes: discovering and embedding. The discovering phase employs symbolic representation and a reinforcement learning (RL)-guided hybrid PDE generator to efficiently produce diverse open-form PDEs with tree structures. A neural network-based predictive model fits the system response and serves as the reward evaluator for the generated PDEs. PDEs with superior fits are utilized to iteratively optimize the generator via the RL method and the best-performing PDE is selected by a parameter-free stability metric. The embedding phase integrates the initially identified PDE from the discovering process as a physical constraint into the predictive model for robust training. The traversal of PDE trees automates the construction of the computational graph and the embedding process without human intervention. Numerical experiments demonstrate our framework's capability to uncover governing equations from nonlinear dynamic systems with limited and highly noisy data and outperform other physics-informed neural network-based discovery methods. This work opens new potential for exploring real-world systems with limited understanding.
We study a finite volume scheme approximating a parabolic-elliptic Keller-Segel system with power law diffusion with exponent $\gamma \in [1,3]$ and periodic boundary conditions. We derive conditional a posteriori bounds for the error measured in the $L^\infty(0,T;H^1(\Omega))$ norm for the chemoattractant and by a quasi-norm-like quantity for the density. These results are based on stability estimates and suitable conforming reconstructions of the numerical solution. We perform numerical experiments showing that our error bounds are linear in mesh width and elucidating the behaviour of the error estimator under changes of $\gamma$.
This study presents a comparative analysis of three predictive models with an increasing degree of flexibility: hidden dynamic geostatistical models (HDGM), generalised additive mixed models (GAMM), and the random forest spatiotemporal kriging models (RFSTK). These models are evaluated for their effectiveness in predicting PM$_{2.5}$ concentrations in Lombardy (North Italy) from 2016 to 2020. Despite differing methodologies, all models demonstrate proficient capture of spatiotemporal patterns within air pollution data with similar out-of-sample performance. Furthermore, the study delves into station-specific analyses, revealing variable model performance contingent on localised conditions. Model interpretation, facilitated by parametric coefficient analysis and partial dependence plots, unveils consistent associations between predictor variables and PM$_{2.5}$ concentrations. Despite nuanced variations in modelling spatiotemporal correlations, all models effectively accounted for the underlying dependence. In summary, this study underscores the efficacy of conventional techniques in modelling correlated spatiotemporal data, concurrently highlighting the complementary potential of Machine Learning and classical statistical approaches.