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As advancements in artificial intelligence (AI) propel progress in the life sciences, they may also enable the weaponisation and misuse of biological agents. This article differentiates two classes of AI tools that could pose such biosecurity risks: large language models (LLMs) and biological design tools (BDTs). LLMs, such as GPT-4 and its successors, might provide dual-use information and thus remove some barriers encountered by historical biological weapons efforts. As LLMs are turned into multi-modal lab assistants and autonomous science tools, this will increase their ability to support non-experts in performing laboratory work. Thus, LLMs may in particular lower barriers to biological misuse. In contrast, BDTs will expand the capabilities of sophisticated actors. Concretely, BDTs may enable the creation of pandemic pathogens substantially worse than anything seen to date and could enable forms of more predictable and targeted biological weapons. In combination, the convergence of LLMs and BDTs could raise the ceiling of harm from biological agents and could make them broadly accessible. A range of interventions would help to manage risks. Independent pre-release evaluations could help understand the capabilities of models and the effectiveness of safeguards. Options for differentiated access to such tools should be carefully weighed with the benefits of openly releasing systems. Lastly, essential for mitigating risks will be universal and enhanced screening of gene synthesis products.

For multi-scale problems, the conventional physics-informed neural networks (PINNs) face some challenges in obtaining available predictions. In this paper, based on PINNs, we propose a practical deep learning framework for multi-scale problems by reconstructing the loss function and associating it with special neural network architectures. New PINN methods derived from the improved PINN framework differ from the conventional PINN method mainly in two aspects. First, the new methods use a novel loss function by modifying the standard loss function through a (grouping) regularization strategy. The regularization strategy implements a different power operation on each loss term so that all loss terms composing the loss function are of approximately the same order of magnitude, which makes all loss terms be optimized synchronously during the optimization process. Second, for the multi-frequency or high-frequency problems, in addition to using the modified loss function, new methods upgrade the neural network architecture from the common fully-connected neural network to special network architectures such as the Fourier feature architecture, and the integrated architecture developed by us. The combination of the above two techniques leads to a significant improvement in the computational accuracy of multi-scale problems. Several challenging numerical examples demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed methods. The proposed methods not only significantly outperform the conventional PINN method in terms of computational efficiency and computational accuracy, but also compare favorably with the state-of-the-art methods in the recent literature. The improved PINN framework facilitates better application of PINNs to multi-scale problems.

The problem of designing learners that provide guarantees that their predictions are provably correct is of increasing importance in machine learning. However, learning theoretic guarantees have only been considered in very specific settings. In this work, we consider the design and analysis of reliable learners in challenging test-time environments as encountered in modern machine learning problems: namely `adversarial' test-time attacks (in several variations) and `natural' distribution shifts. In this work, we provide a reliable learner with provably optimal guarantees in such settings. We discuss computationally feasible implementations of the learner and further show that our algorithm achieves strong positive performance guarantees on several natural examples: for example, linear separators under log-concave distributions or smooth boundary classifiers under smooth probability distributions.

Linear regression models have been extensively considered in the literature. However, in some practical applications they may not be appropriate all over the range of the covariate. In this paper, a more flexible model is introduced by considering a regression model $Y=r(X)+\varepsilon$ where the regression function $r(\cdot)$ is assumed to be linear for large values in the domain of the predictor variable $X$. More precisely, we assume that $r(x)=\alpha_0+\beta_0 x$ for $x> u_0$, where the value $u_0$ is identified as the smallest value satisfying such a property. A penalized procedure is introduced to estimate the threshold $u_0$. The considered proposal focusses on a semiparametric approach since no parametric model is assumed for the regression function for values smaller than $u_0$. Consistency properties of both the threshold estimator and the estimators of $(\alpha_0,\beta_0)$ are derived, under mild assumptions. Through a numerical study, the small sample properties of the proposed procedure and the importance of introducing a penalization are investigated. The analysis of a real data set allows us to demonstrate the usefulness of the penalized estimators.

In this paper we consider the finite element approximation of Maxwell's problem and analyse the prescription of essential boundary conditions in a weak sense using Nitsche's method. To avoid indefiniteness of the problem, the original equations are augmented with the gradient of a scalar field that allows one to impose the zero divergence of the magnetic induction, even if the exact solution for this scalar field is zero. Two finite element approximations are considered, namely, one in which the approximation spaces are assumed to satisfy the appropriate inf-sup condition that render the standard Galerkin method stable, and another augmented and stabilised one that permits the use of finite element interpolations of arbitrary order. Stability and convergence results are provided for the two finite element formulations considered.

Threshold selection is a fundamental problem in any threshold-based extreme value analysis. While models are asymptotically motivated, selecting an appropriate threshold for finite samples can be difficult through standard methods. Inference can also be highly sensitive to the choice of threshold. Too low a threshold choice leads to bias in the fit of the extreme value model, while too high a choice leads to unnecessary additional uncertainty in the estimation of model parameters. In this paper, we develop a novel methodology for automated threshold selection that directly tackles this bias-variance trade-off. We also develop a method to account for the uncertainty in this threshold choice and propagate this uncertainty through to high quantile inference. Through a simulation study, we demonstrate the effectiveness of our method for threshold selection and subsequent extreme quantile estimation. We apply our method to the well-known, troublesome example of the River Nidd dataset.

We propose here selected actual features of measurement problems based on our concerns in our respective fields of research. Their technical similarity in apparently disconnected fields motivate this common communication. Problems of coherence and consistency, correlation, randomness and uncertainty are exposed in various fields including physics, decision theory and game theory, while the underlying mathematical structures are very similar.

Generative diffusion models have achieved spectacular performance in many areas of generative modeling. While the fundamental ideas behind these models come from non-equilibrium physics, in this paper we show that many aspects of these models can be understood using the tools of equilibrium statistical mechanics. Using this reformulation, we show that generative diffusion models undergo second-order phase transitions corresponding to symmetry breaking phenomena. We argue that this lead to a form of instability that lies at the heart of their generative capabilities and that can be described by a set of mean field critical exponents. We conclude by analyzing recent work connecting diffusion models and associative memory networks in view of the thermodynamic formulations.

When multiple self-adaptive systems share the same environment and have common goals, they may coordinate their adaptations at runtime to avoid conflicts and to satisfy their goals. There are two approaches to coordination. (1) Logically centralized, where a supervisor has complete control over the individual self-adaptive systems. Such approach is infeasible when the systems have different owners or administrative domains. (2) Logically decentralized, where coordination is achieved through direct interactions. Because the individual systems have control over the information they share, decentralized coordination accommodates multiple administrative domains. However, existing techniques do not account simultaneously for both local concerns, e.g., preferences, and shared concerns, e.g., conflicts, which may lead to goals not being achieved as expected. Our idea to address this shortcoming is to express both types of concerns within the same constraint optimization problem. We propose CoADAPT, a decentralized coordination technique introducing two types of constraints: preference constraints, expressing local concerns, and consistency constraints, expressing shared concerns. At runtime, the problem is solved in a decentralized way using distributed constraint optimization algorithms implemented by each self-adaptive system. As a first step in realizing CoADAPT, we focus in this work on the coordination of adaptation planning strategies, traditionally addressed only with centralized techniques. We show the feasibility of CoADAPT in an exemplar from cloud computing and analyze experimentally its scalability.

Academic writing is an indispensable yet laborious part of the research enterprise. This Perspective maps out principles and methods for using generative artificial intelligence (AI), specifically large language models (LLMs), to elevate the quality and efficiency of academic writing. We introduce a human-AI collaborative framework that delineates the rationale (why), process (how), and nature (what) of AI engagement in writing. The framework pinpoints both short-term and long-term reasons for engagement and their underlying mechanisms (e.g., cognitive offloading and imaginative stimulation). It reveals the role of AI throughout the writing process, conceptualized through a two-stage model for human-AI collaborative writing, and the nature of AI assistance in writing, represented through a model of writing-assistance types and levels. Building on this framework, we describe effective prompting techniques for incorporating AI into the writing routine (outlining, drafting, and editing) as well as strategies for maintaining rigorous scholarship, adhering to varied journal policies, and avoiding overreliance on AI. Ultimately, the prudent integration of AI into academic writing can ease the communication burden, empower authors, accelerate discovery, and promote diversity in science.