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Discovering causal relations from observational data is important. The existence of unobserved variables (e.g. latent confounding or mediation) can mislead the causal identification. To overcome this problem, proximal causal discovery methods attempted to adjust for the bias via the proxy of the unobserved variable. Particularly, hypothesis test-based methods proposed to identify the causal edge by testing the induced violation of linearity. However, these methods only apply to discrete data with strict level constraints, which limits their practice in the real world. In this paper, we fix this problem by extending the proximal hypothesis test to cases where the system consists of continuous variables. Our strategy is to present regularity conditions on the conditional distributions of the observed variables given the hidden factor, such that if we discretize its observed proxy with sufficiently fine, finite bins, the involved discretization error can be effectively controlled. Based on this, we can convert the problem of testing continuous causal relations to that of testing discrete causal relations in each bin, which can be effectively solved with existing methods. These non-parametric regularities we present are mild and can be satisfied by a wide range of structural causal models. Using both simulated and real-world data, we show the effectiveness of our method in recovering causal relations when unobserved variables exist.

Inferring causal structures from time series data is the central interest of many scientific inquiries. A major barrier to such inference is the problem of subsampling, i.e., the frequency of measurements is much lower than that of causal influence. To overcome this problem, numerous model-based and model-free methods have been proposed, yet either limited to the linear case or failed to establish identifiability. In this work, we propose a model-free algorithm that can identify the entire causal structure from subsampled time series, without any parametric constraint. The idea is that the challenge of subsampling arises mainly from \emph{unobserved} time steps and therefore should be handled with tools designed for unobserved variables. Among these tools, we find the proxy variable approach particularly fits, in the sense that the proxy of an unobserved variable is naturally itself at the observed time step. Following this intuition, we establish comprehensive structural identifiability results. Our method is constraint-based and requires no more regularities than common continuity and differentiability. Theoretical advantages are reflected in experimental results.

We revisit a classic theorem of Frougny and Sakarovitch concerning automata for $\varphi$-representations, and show how to obtain it in a different and more computationally direct way. Using it, we can find simple, induction-free proofs of existing results in the literature about these representations, in a uniform and straightforward manner. In particular, we can easily and "automatically'' recover many of the results of recent papers of Dekking and Van Loon. We also obtain a number of new results on $\varphi$-representations.

The method of common lines is a well-established reconstruction technique in cryogenic electron microscopy (cryo-EM), which can be used to extract the relative orientations of an object given tomographic projection images from different directions. In this paper, we deal with an analogous problem in optical diffraction tomography. Based on the Fourier diffraction theorem, we show that rigid motions of the object, i.e., rotations and translations, can be determined by detecting common circles in the Fourier-transformed data. We introduce two methods to identify common circles. The first one is motivated by the common line approach for projection images and detects the relative orientation by parameterizing the common circles in the two images. The second one assumes a smooth motion over time and calculates the angular velocity of the rotational motion via an infinitesimal version of the common circle method. Interestingly, using the stereographic projection, both methods can be reformulated as common line methods, but these lines are, in contrast to those used in cryo-EM, not confined to pass through the origin and allow for a full reconstruction of the relative orientations. Numerical proof-of-the-concept examples demonstrate the performance of our reconstruction methods.

Motivated by recent works on streaming algorithms for constraint satisfaction problems (CSPs), we define and analyze oblivious algorithms for the Max-$k$AND problem. This generalizes the definition by Feige and Jozeph (Algorithmica '15) of oblivious algorithms for Max-DICUT, a special case of Max-$2$AND. Oblivious algorithms round each variable with probability depending only on a quantity called the variable's bias. For each oblivious algorithm, we design a so-called "factor-revealing linear program" (LP) which captures its worst-case instance, generalizing one of Feige and Jozeph for Max-DICUT. Then, departing from their work, we perform a fully explicit analysis of these (infinitely many!) LPs. In particular, we show that for all $k$, oblivious algorithms for Max-$k$AND provably outperform a special subclass of algorithms we call "superoblivious" algorithms. Our result has implications for streaming algorithms: Generalizing the result for Max-DICUT of Saxena, Singer, Sudan, and Velusamy (SODA'23), we prove that certain separation results hold between streaming models for infinitely many CSPs: for every $k$, $O(\log n)$-space sketching algorithms for Max-$k$AND known to be optimal in $o(\sqrt n)$-space can be beaten in (a) $O(\log n)$-space under a random-ordering assumption, and (b) $O(n^{1-1/k} D^{1/k})$ space under a maximum-degree-$D$ assumption. Even in the previously-known case of Max-DICUT, our analytic proof gives a fuller, computer-free picture of these separation results.

We obtain improved distributed algorithms in the CONGEST message-passing setting for problems on power graphs of an input graph $G$. This includes Coloring, Maximal Independent Set, and related problems. We develop a general deterministic technique that transforms R-round algorithms for $G$ with certain properties into $O(R \cdot \Delta^{k/2 - 1})$-round algorithms for $G^k$. This improves the previously-known running time for such transformation, which was $O(R \cdot \Delta^{k - 1})$. Consequently, for problems that can be solved by algorithms with the required properties and within polylogarithmic number of rounds, we obtain {quadratic} improvement for $G^k$ and {exponential} improvement for $G^2$. We also obtain significant improvements for problems with larger number of rounds in $G$.

The heavy-tailed behavior of the generalized extreme-value distribution makes it a popular choice for modeling extreme events such as floods, droughts, heatwaves, wildfires, etc. However, estimating the distribution's parameters using conventional maximum likelihood methods can be computationally intensive, even for moderate-sized datasets. To overcome this limitation, we propose a computationally efficient, likelihood-free estimation method utilizing a neural network. Through an extensive simulation study, we demonstrate that the proposed neural network-based method provides Generalized Extreme Value (GEV) distribution parameter estimates with comparable accuracy to the conventional maximum likelihood method but with a significant computational speedup. To account for estimation uncertainty, we utilize parametric bootstrapping, which is inherent in the trained network. Finally, we apply this method to 1000-year annual maximum temperature data from the Community Climate System Model version 3 (CCSM3) across North America for three atmospheric concentrations: 289 ppm $\mathrm{CO}_2$ (pre-industrial), 700 ppm $\mathrm{CO}_2$ (future conditions), and 1400 ppm $\mathrm{CO}_2$, and compare the results with those obtained using the maximum likelihood approach.

Many real-world systems modeled using differential equations involve unknown or uncertain parameters. Standard approaches to address parameter estimation inverse problems in this setting typically focus on estimating constants; yet some unobservable system parameters may vary with time without known evolution models. In this work, we propose a novel approximation method inspired by the Fourier series to estimate time-varying parameters in deterministic dynamical systems modeled with ordinary differential equations. Using ensemble Kalman filtering in conjunction with Fourier series-based approximation models, we detail two possible implementation schemes for sequentially updating the time-varying parameter estimates given noisy observations of the system states. We demonstrate the capabilities of the proposed approach in estimating periodic parameters, both when the period is known and unknown, as well as non-periodic time-varying parameters of different forms with several computed examples using a forced harmonic oscillator. Results emphasize the importance of the frequencies and number of approximation model terms on the time-varying parameter estimates and corresponding dynamical system predictions.

Many recent developments in causal inference, and functional estimation problems more generally, have been motivated by the fact that classical one-step (first-order) debiasing methods, or their more recent sample-split double machine-learning avatars, can outperform plugin estimators under surprisingly weak conditions. These first-order corrections improve on plugin estimators in a black-box fashion, and consequently are often used in conjunction with powerful off-the-shelf estimation methods. These first-order methods are however provably suboptimal in a minimax sense for functional estimation when the nuisance functions live in Holder-type function spaces. This suboptimality of first-order debiasing has motivated the development of "higher-order" debiasing methods. The resulting estimators are, in some cases, provably optimal over Holder-type spaces, but both the estimators which are minimax-optimal and their analyses are crucially tied to properties of the underlying function space. In this paper we investigate the fundamental limits of structure-agnostic functional estimation, where relatively weak conditions are placed on the underlying nuisance functions. We show that there is a strong sense in which existing first-order methods are optimal. We achieve this goal by providing a formalization of the problem of functional estimation with black-box nuisance function estimates, and deriving minimax lower bounds for this problem. Our results highlight some clear tradeoffs in functional estimation -- if we wish to remain agnostic to the underlying nuisance function spaces, impose only high-level rate conditions, and maintain compatibility with black-box nuisance estimators then first-order methods are optimal. When we have an understanding of the structure of the underlying nuisance functions then carefully constructed higher-order estimators can outperform first-order estimators.

Let $\Omega \subset \mathbb{R}^n$ be a convex polytope ($n \leq 3$). The Ritz projection is the best approximation, in the $W^{1,2}_0$-norm, to a given function in a finite element space. When such finite element spaces are constructed on the basis of quasiuniform triangulations, we show a pointwise estimate on the Ritz projection. Namely, that the gradient at any point in $\Omega$ is controlled by the Hardy--Littlewood maximal function of the gradient of the original function at the same point. From this estimate, the stability of the Ritz projection on a wide range of spaces that are of interest in the analysis of PDEs immediately follows. Among those are weighted spaces, Orlicz spaces and Lorentz spaces.