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We consider the problem of mixed sparse linear regression with two components, where two real $k$-sparse signals $\beta_1, \beta_2$ are to be recovered from $n$ unlabelled noisy linear measurements. The sparsity is allowed to be sublinear in the dimension, and additive noise is assumed to be independent Gaussian with variance $\sigma^2$. Prior work has shown that the problem suffers from a $\frac{k}{SNR^2}$-to-$\frac{k^2}{SNR^2}$ statistical-to-computational gap, resembling other computationally challenging high-dimensional inference problems such as Sparse PCA and Robust Sparse Mean Estimation; here $SNR$ is the signal-to-noise ratio. We establish the existence of a more extensive computational barrier for this problem through the method of low-degree polynomials, but show that the problem is computationally hard only in a very narrow symmetric parameter regime. We identify a smooth information-computation tradeoff between the sample complexity $n$ and runtime for any randomized algorithm in this hard regime. Via a simple reduction, this provides novel rigorous evidence for the existence of a computational barrier to solving exact support recovery in sparse phase retrieval with sample complexity $n = \tilde{o}(k^2)$. Our second contribution is to analyze a simple thresholding algorithm which, outside of the narrow regime where the problem is hard, solves the associated mixed regression detection problem in $O(np)$ time with square-root the number of samples and matches the sample complexity required for (non-mixed) sparse linear regression; this allows the recovery problem to be subsequently solved by state-of-the-art techniques from the dense case. As a special case of our results, we show that this simple algorithm is order-optimal among a large family of algorithms in solving exact signed support recovery in sparse linear regression.

We propose a novel a-posteriori error estimation technique where the target quantities of interest are ratios of high-dimensional integrals, as occur e.g. in PDE constrained Bayesian inversion and PDE constrained optimal control subject to an entropic risk measure. We consider in particular parametric, elliptic PDEs with affine-parametric diffusion coefficient, on high-dimensional parameter spaces. We combine our recent a-posteriori Quasi-Monte Carlo (QMC) error analysis, with Finite Element a-posteriori error estimation. The proposed approach yields a computable a-posteriori estimator which is reliable, up to higher order terms. The estimator's reliability is uniform with respect to the PDE discretization, and robust with respect to the parametric dimension of the uncertain PDE input.

In this paper, we prove that functional sliced inverse regression (FSIR) achieves the optimal (minimax) rate for estimating the central space in functional sufficient dimension reduction problems. First, we provide a concentration inequality for the FSIR estimator of the covariance of the conditional mean, i.e., $\var(\E[\boldsymbol{X}\mid Y])$. Based on this inequality, we establish the root-$n$ consistency of the FSIR estimator of the image of $\var(\E[\boldsymbol{X}\mid Y])$. Second, we apply the most widely used truncated scheme to estimate the inverse of the covariance operator and identify the truncation parameter which ensures that FSIR can achieve the optimal minimax convergence rate for estimating the central space. Finally, we conduct simulations to demonstrate the optimal choice of truncation parameter and the estimation efficiency of FSIR. To the best of our knowledge, this is the first paper to rigorously prove the minimax optimality of FSIR in estimating the central space for multiple-index models and general $Y$ (not necessarily discrete).

Synthetic time series are often used in practical applications to augment the historical time series dataset for better performance of machine learning algorithms, amplify the occurrence of rare events, and also create counterfactual scenarios described by the time series. Distributional-similarity (which we refer to as realism) as well as the satisfaction of certain numerical constraints are common requirements in counterfactual time series scenario generation requests. For instance, the US Federal Reserve publishes synthetic market stress scenarios given by the constrained time series for financial institutions to assess their performance in hypothetical recessions. Existing approaches for generating constrained time series usually penalize training loss to enforce constraints, and reject non-conforming samples. However, these approaches would require re-training if we change constraints, and rejection sampling can be computationally expensive, or impractical for complex constraints. In this paper, we propose a novel set of methods to tackle the constrained time series generation problem and provide efficient sampling while ensuring the realism of generated time series. In particular, we frame the problem using a constrained optimization framework and then we propose a set of generative methods including ``GuidedDiffTime'', a guided diffusion model to generate realistic time series. Empirically, we evaluate our work on several datasets for financial and energy data, where incorporating constraints is critical. We show that our approaches outperform existing work both qualitatively and quantitatively. Most importantly, we show that our ``GuidedDiffTime'' model is the only solution where re-training is not necessary for new constraints, resulting in a significant carbon footprint reduction.

In this paper, we study the problems of detection and recovery of hidden submatrices with elevated means inside a large Gaussian random matrix. We consider two different structures for the planted submatrices. In the first model, the planted matrices are disjoint, and their row and column indices can be arbitrary. Inspired by scientific applications, the second model restricts the row and column indices to be consecutive. In the detection problem, under the null hypothesis, the observed matrix is a realization of independent and identically distributed standard normal entries. Under the alternative, there exists a set of hidden submatrices with elevated means inside the same standard normal matrix. Recovery refers to the task of locating the hidden submatrices. For both problems, and for both models, we characterize the statistical and computational barriers by deriving information-theoretic lower bounds, designing and analyzing algorithms matching those bounds, and proving computational lower bounds based on the low-degree polynomials conjecture. In particular, we show that the space of the model parameters (i.e., number of planted submatrices, their dimensions, and elevated mean) can be partitioned into three regions: the impossible regime, where all algorithms fail; the hard regime, where while detection or recovery are statistically possible, we give some evidence that polynomial-time algorithm do not exist; and finally the easy regime, where polynomial-time algorithms exist.

In this paper, we devise a scheme for kernelizing, in sublinear space and polynomial time, various problems on planar graphs. The scheme exploits planarity to ensure that the resulting algorithms run in polynomial time and use O((sqrt(n) + k) log n) bits of space, where n is the number of vertices in the input instance and k is the intended solution size. As examples, we apply the scheme to Dominating Set and Vertex Cover. For Dominating Set, we also show that a well-known kernelization algorithm due to Alber et al. (JACM 2004) can be carried out in polynomial time and space O(k log n). Along the way, we devise restricted-memory procedures for computing region decompositions and approximating the aforementioned problems, which might be of independent interest.

In this paper, a reduced-complexity cross-domain iterative detection for orthogonal time frequency space (OTFS) modulation is proposed, which exploits channel properties in both time and delay-Doppler domains. Specifically, we first show that in the time domain effective channel, the path delay only introduces interference among samples in adjacent time slots, while the Doppler becomes a phase term that does not affect the channel sparsity. This ``band-limited'' matrix structure motivates us to apply a reduced-size linear minimum mean square error (LMMSE) filter to eliminate the effect of delay in the time domain, while exploiting the cross-domain iteration for minimizing the effect of Doppler by noticing that the time and Doppler are a pair of Fourier dual. The state (MSE) evolution was derived and compared with bounds to verify the effectiveness of the proposed scheme. Simulation results demonstrate that the proposed scheme achieves almost the same error performance as the optimal detection, but only requires a reduced complexity.

We study lower bounds for the problem of approximating a one dimensional distribution given (noisy) measurements of its moments. We show that there are distributions on $[-1,1]$ that cannot be approximated to accuracy $\epsilon$ in Wasserstein-1 distance even if we know \emph{all} of their moments to multiplicative accuracy $(1\pm2^{-\Omega(1/\epsilon)})$; this result matches an upper bound of Kong and Valiant [Annals of Statistics, 2017]. To obtain our result, we provide a hard instance involving distributions induced by the eigenvalue spectra of carefully constructed graph adjacency matrices. Efficiently approximating such spectra in Wasserstein-1 distance is a well-studied algorithmic problem, and a recent result of Cohen-Steiner et al. [KDD 2018] gives a method based on accurately approximating spectral moments using $2^{O(1/\epsilon)}$ random walks initiated at uniformly random nodes in the graph. As a strengthening of our main result, we show that improving the dependence on $1/\epsilon$ in this result would require a new algorithmic approach. Specifically, no algorithm can compute an $\epsilon$-accurate approximation to the spectrum of a normalized graph adjacency matrix with constant probability, even when given the transcript of $2^{\Omega(1/\epsilon)}$ random walks of length $2^{\Omega(1/\epsilon)}$ started at random nodes.

Let $d$ be a positive integer. For a finite set $X \subseteq \mathbb{R}^d$, we define its integer cone as the set $\mathsf{IntCone}(X) := \{ \sum_{x \in X} \lambda_x \cdot x \mid \lambda_x \in \mathbb{Z}_{\geq 0} \} \subseteq \mathbb{R}^d$. Goemans and Rothvoss showed that, given two polytopes $\mathcal{P}, \mathcal{Q} \subseteq \mathbb{R}^d$ with $\mathcal{P}$ being bounded, one can decide whether $\mathsf{IntCone}(\mathcal{P} \cap \mathbb{Z}^d)$ intersects $\mathcal{Q}$ in time $\mathsf{enc}(\mathcal{P})^{2^{\mathcal{O}(d)}} \cdot \mathsf{enc}(\mathcal{Q})^{\mathcal{O}(1)}$ [J. ACM 2020], where $\mathsf{enc}(\cdot)$ denotes the number of bits required to encode a polytope through a system of linear inequalities. This result is the cornerstone of their XP algorithm for BIN PACKING parameterized by the number of different item sizes. We complement their result by providing a conditional lower bound. In particular, we prove that, unless the ETH fails, there is no algorithm which, given a bounded polytope $\mathcal{P} \subseteq \mathbb{R}^d$ and a point $q \in \mathbb{Z}^d$, decides whether $q \in \mathsf{IntCone}(\mathcal{P} \cap \mathbb{Z}^d)$ in time $\mathsf{enc}(\mathcal{P}, q)^{2^{o(d)}}$. Note that this does not rule out the existence of a fixed-parameter tractable algorithm for the problem, but shows that dependence of the running time on the parameter $d$ must be at least doubly-exponential.

The volume function V(t) of a compact set S\in R^d is just the Lebesgue measure of the set of points within a distance to S not larger than t. According to some classical results in geometric measure theory, the volume function turns out to be a polynomial, at least in a finite interval, under a quite intuitive, easy to interpret, sufficient condition (called ``positive reach'') which can be seen as an extension of the notion of convexity. However, many other simple sets, not fulfilling the positive reach condition, have also a polynomial volume function. To our knowledge, there is no general, simple geometric description of such sets. Still, the polynomial character of $V(t)$ has some relevant consequences since the polynomial coefficients carry some useful geometric information. In particular, the constant term is the volume of S and the first order coefficient is the boundary measure (in Minkowski's sense). This paper is focused on sets whose volume function is polynomial on some interval starting at zero, whose length (that we call ``polynomial reach'') might be unknown. Our main goal is to approximate such polynomial reach by statistical means, using only a large enough random sample of points inside S. The practical motivation is simple: when the value of the polynomial reach , or rather a lower bound for it, is approximately known, the polynomial coefficients can be estimated from the sample points by using standard methods in polynomial approximation. As a result, we get a quite general method to estimate the volume and boundary measure of the set, relying only on an inner sample of points and not requiring the use any smoothing parameter. This paper explores the theoretical and practical aspects of this idea.