Engineering and applied science rely on computational experiments to rigorously study physical systems. The mathematical models used to probe these systems are highly complex, and sampling-intensive studies often require prohibitively many simulations for acceptable accuracy. Surrogate models provide a means of circumventing the high computational expense of sampling such complex models. In particular, polynomial chaos expansions (PCEs) have been successfully used for uncertainty quantification studies of deterministic models where the dominant source of uncertainty is parametric. We discuss an extension to conventional PCE surrogate modeling to enable surrogate construction for stochastic computational models that have intrinsic noise in addition to parametric uncertainty. We develop a PCE surrogate on a joint space of intrinsic and parametric uncertainty, enabled by Rosenblatt transformations, and then extend the construction to random field data via the Karhunen-Loeve expansion. We then take advantage of closed-form solutions for computing PCE Sobol indices to perform a global sensitivity analysis of the model which quantifies the intrinsic noise contribution to the overall model output variance. Additionally, the resulting joint PCE is generative in the sense that it allows generating random realizations at any input parameter setting that are statistically approximately equivalent to realizations from the underlying stochastic model. The method is demonstrated on a chemical catalysis example model.
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ACM/IEEE第23屆模型驅動工程語言和系統國際會議，是模型驅動軟件和系統工程的首要會議系列，由ACM-SIGSOFT和IEEE-TCSE支持組織。自1998年以來，模型涵蓋了建模的各個方面，從語言和方法到工具和應用程序。模特的參加者來自不同的背景，包括研究人員、學者、工程師和工業專業人士。MODELS 2019是一個論壇，參與者可以圍繞建模和模型驅動的軟件和系統交流前沿研究成果和創新實踐經驗。今年的版本將為建模社區提供進一步推進建模基礎的機會，并在網絡物理系統、嵌入式系統、社會技術系統、云計算、大數據、機器學習、安全、開源等新興領域提出建模的創新應用以及可持續性。
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We propose a novel machine learning method for sampling from the high-dimensional probability distributions of Lattice Field Theories, which is based on a single neural ODE layer and incorporates the full symmetries of the problem. We test our model on the $\phi^4$ theory, showing that it systematically outperforms previously proposed flow-based methods in sampling efficiency, and the improvement is especially pronounced for larger lattices. Furthermore, we demonstrate that our model can learn a continuous family of theories at once, and the results of learning can be transferred to larger lattices. Such generalizations further accentuate the advantages of machine learning methods.
Across a wide array of disciplines, many researchers use machine learning (ML) algorithms to identify a subgroup of individuals who are likely to benefit from a treatment the most (``exceptional responders'') or those who are harmed by it. A common approach to this subgroup identification problem consists of two steps. First, researchers estimate the conditional average treatment effect (CATE) using an ML algorithm. Next, they use the estimated CATE to select those individuals who are predicted to be most affected by the treatment, either positively or negatively. Unfortunately, CATE estimates are often biased and noisy. In addition, utilizing the same data to both identify a subgroup and estimate its group average treatment effect results in a multiple testing problem. To address these challenges, we develop uniform confidence bands for estimation of the group average treatment effect sorted by generic ML algorithm (GATES). Using these uniform confidence bands, researchers can identify, with a statistical guarantee, a subgroup whose GATES exceeds a certain effect size, regardless of how this effect size is chosen. The validity of the proposed methodology depends solely on randomization of treatment and random sampling of units. Importantly, our method does not require modeling assumptions and avoids a computationally intensive resampling procedure. A simulation study shows that the proposed uniform confidence bands are reasonably informative and have an appropriate empirical coverage even when the sample size is as small as 100. We analyze a clinical trial of late-stage prostate cancer and find a relatively large proportion of exceptional responders.
Development of comprehensive prediction models are often of great interest in many disciplines of science, but datasets with information on all desired features typically have small sample sizes. In this article, we describe a transfer learning approach for building high-dimensional generalized linear models using data from a main study that has detailed information on all predictors, and from one or more external studies that have ascertained a more limited set of predictors. We propose using the external dataset(s) to build reduced model(s) and then transfer the information on underlying parameters for the analysis of the main study through a set of calibration equations, while accounting for the study-specific effects of certain design variables. We then use a generalized method of moment (GMM) with penalization for parameter estimation and develop highly scalable algorithms for fitting models taking advantage of the popular glmnet package. We further show that the use of adaptive-Lasso penalty leads to the oracle property of underlying parameter estimates and thus leads to convenient post-selection inference procedures. We conduct extensive simulation studies to investigate both predictive performance and post-selection inference properties of the proposed method. Finally, we illustrate a timely application of the proposed method for the development of risk prediction models for five common diseases using the UK Biobank study, combining baseline information from all study participants (500K) and recently released high-throughout proteomic data (# protein = 1500) on a subset (50K) of the participants.
Recently, many mesh-based graph neural network (GNN) models have been proposed for modeling complex high-dimensional physical systems. Remarkable achievements have been made in significantly reducing the solving time compared to traditional numerical solvers. These methods are typically designed to i) reduce the computational cost in solving physical dynamics and/or ii) propose techniques to enhance the solution accuracy in fluid and rigid body dynamics. However, it remains under-explored whether they are effective in addressing the challenges of flexible body dynamics, where instantaneous collisions occur within a very short timeframe. In this paper, we present Hierarchical Contact Mesh Transformer (HCMT), which uses hierarchical mesh structures and can learn long-range dependencies (occurred by collisions) among spatially distant positions of a body -- two close positions in a higher-level mesh corresponds to two distant positions in a lower-level mesh. HCMT enables long-range interactions, and the hierarchical mesh structure quickly propagates collision effects to faraway positions. To this end, it consists of a contact mesh Transformer and a hierarchical mesh Transformer (CMT and HMT, respectively). Lastly, we propose a flexible body dynamics dataset, consisting of trajectories that reflect experimental settings frequently used in the display industry for product designs. We also compare the performance of several baselines using well-known benchmark datasets. Our results show that HCMT provides significant performance improvements over existing methods.
This study introduces an innovative framework designed to automate tasks by interacting with UIs through a sequential, human-like problem-solving approach. Our approach initially transforms UI screenshots into natural language explanations through a vision-based UI analysis, circumventing traditional view hierarchy limitations. It then methodically engages with each interface, guiding the LLM to pinpoint and act on relevant UI elements, thus bolstering both precision and functionality. Employing the ERNIE Bot LLM, our approach has been demonstrated to surpass existing methodologies. It delivers superior UI interpretation across various datasets and exhibits remarkable efficiency in automating varied tasks on an Android smartphone, outperforming human capabilities in intricate tasks and significantly enhancing the PBD process.
Mediation analysis is a powerful tool for studying causal pathways between exposure, mediator, and outcome variables of interest. While classical mediation analysis using observational data often requires strong and sometimes unrealistic assumptions, such as unconfoundedness, Mendelian Randomization (MR) avoids unmeasured confounding bias by employing genetic variants as instrumental variables. We develop a novel MR framework for mediation analysis with genome-wide associate study (GWAS) summary data, and provide solid statistical guarantees. Our framework efficiently integrates information stored in three independent GWAS summary data and mitigates the commonly encountered winner's curse and measurement error bias (a.k.a. instrument selection and weak instrument bias) in MR. As a result, our framework provides valid statistical inference for both direct and mediation effects with enhanced statistical efficiency. As part of this endeavor, we also demonstrate that the concept of winner's curse bias in mediation analysis with MR and summary data is more complex than previously documented in the classical two-sample MR literature, requiring special treatments to address such a bias issue. Through our theoretical investigations, we show that the proposed method delivers consistent and asymptotically normally distributed causal effect estimates. We illustrate the finite-sample performance of our approach through simulation experiments and a case study.
Many applications, such as optimization, uncertainty quantification and inverse problems, require repeatedly performing simulations of large-dimensional physical systems for different choices of parameters. This can be prohibitively expensive. In order to save computational cost, one can construct surrogate models by expressing the system in a low-dimensional basis, obtained from training data. This is referred to as model reduction. Past investigations have shown that, when performing model reduction of Hamiltonian systems, it is crucial to preserve the symplectic structure associated with the system in order to ensure long-term numerical stability. Up to this point structure-preserving reductions have largely been limited to linear transformations. We propose a new neural network architecture in the spirit of autoencoders, which are established tools for dimension reduction and feature extraction in data science, to obtain more general mappings. In order to train the network, a non-standard gradient descent approach is applied that leverages the differential-geometric structure emerging from the network design. The new architecture is shown to significantly outperform existing designs in accuracy.
This paper presents a method for learning Hamiltonian dynamics from a limited set of data points. The Hamiltonian vector field is found by regularized optimization over a reproducing kernel Hilbert space of vector fields that are inherently Hamiltonian, and where the vector field is required to be odd or even. This is done with a symplectic kernel, and it is shown how this symplectic kernel can be modified to be odd or even. The performance of the method is validated in simulations for two Hamiltonian systems. It is shown that the learned dynamics are Hamiltonian, and that the learned Hamiltonian vector field can be prescribed to be odd or even.
As soon as abstract mathematical computations were adapted to computation on digital computers, the problem of efficient representation, manipulation, and communication of the numerical values in those computations arose. Strongly related to the problem of numerical representation is the problem of quantization: in what manner should a set of continuous real-valued numbers be distributed over a fixed discrete set of numbers to minimize the number of bits required and also to maximize the accuracy of the attendant computations? This perennial problem of quantization is particularly relevant whenever memory and/or computational resources are severely restricted, and it has come to the forefront in recent years due to the remarkable performance of Neural Network models in computer vision, natural language processing, and related areas. Moving from floating-point representations to low-precision fixed integer values represented in four bits or less holds the potential to reduce the memory footprint and latency by a factor of 16x; and, in fact, reductions of 4x to 8x are often realized in practice in these applications. Thus, it is not surprising that quantization has emerged recently as an important and very active sub-area of research in the efficient implementation of computations associated with Neural Networks. In this article, we survey approaches to the problem of quantizing the numerical values in deep Neural Network computations, covering the advantages/disadvantages of current methods. With this survey and its organization, we hope to have presented a useful snapshot of the current research in quantization for Neural Networks and to have given an intelligent organization to ease the evaluation of future research in this area.
Graph Neural Networks (GNNs) have received considerable attention on graph-structured data learning for a wide variety of tasks. The well-designed propagation mechanism which has been demonstrated effective is the most fundamental part of GNNs. Although most of GNNs basically follow a message passing manner, litter effort has been made to discover and analyze their essential relations. In this paper, we establish a surprising connection between different propagation mechanisms with a unified optimization problem, showing that despite the proliferation of various GNNs, in fact, their proposed propagation mechanisms are the optimal solution optimizing a feature fitting function over a wide class of graph kernels with a graph regularization term. Our proposed unified optimization framework, summarizing the commonalities between several of the most representative GNNs, not only provides a macroscopic view on surveying the relations between different GNNs, but also further opens up new opportunities for flexibly designing new GNNs. With the proposed framework, we discover that existing works usually utilize naive graph convolutional kernels for feature fitting function, and we further develop two novel objective functions considering adjustable graph kernels showing low-pass or high-pass filtering capabilities respectively. Moreover, we provide the convergence proofs and expressive power comparisons for the proposed models. Extensive experiments on benchmark datasets clearly show that the proposed GNNs not only outperform the state-of-the-art methods but also have good ability to alleviate over-smoothing, and further verify the feasibility for designing GNNs with our unified optimization framework.
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