亚洲男人的天堂2018av,欧美草比,久久久久久免费视频精选,国色天香在线看免费,久久久久亚洲av成人片仓井空

Fusing measurements from multiple, heterogeneous, partial sources, observing a common object or process, poses challenges due to the increasing availability of numbers and types of sensors. In this work we propose, implement and validate an end-to-end computational pipeline in the form of a multiple-auto-encoder neural network architecture for this task. The inputs to the pipeline are several sets of partial observations, and the result is a globally consistent latent space, harmonizing (rigidifying, fusing) all measurements. The key enabler is the availability of multiple slightly perturbed measurements of each instance:, local measurement, "bursts", that allows us to estimate the local distortion induced by each instrument. We demonstrate the approach in a sequence of examples, starting with simple two-dimensional data sets and proceeding to a Wi-Fi localization problem and to the solution of a "dynamical puzzle" arising in spatio-temporal observations of the solutions of Partial Differential Equations.

Multinomial prediction models (MPMs) have a range of potential applications across healthcare where the primary outcome of interest has multiple nominal or ordinal categories. However, the application of MPMs is scarce, which may be due to the added methodological complexities that they bring. This article provides a guide of how to develop, externally validate, and update MPMs. Using a previously developed and validated MPM for treatment outcomes in rheumatoid arthritis as an example, we outline guidance and recommendations for producing a clinical prediction model using multinomial logistic regression. This article is intended to supplement existing general guidance on prediction model research. This guide is split into three parts: 1) Outcome definition and variable selection, 2) Model development, and 3) Model evaluation (including performance assessment, internal and external validation, and model recalibration). We outline how to evaluate and interpret the predictive performance of MPMs. R code is provided. We recommend the application of MPMs in clinical settings where the prediction of a nominal polytomous outcome is of interest. Future methodological research could focus on MPM-specific considerations for variable selection and sample size criteria for external validation.

In spatial blind source separation the observed multivariate random fields are assumed to be mixtures of latent spatially dependent random fields. The objective is to recover latent random fields by estimating the unmixing transformation. Currently, the algorithms for spatial blind source separation can only estimate linear unmixing transformations. Nonlinear blind source separation methods for spatial data are scarce. In this paper we extend an identifiable variational autoencoder that can estimate nonlinear unmixing transformations to spatially dependent data and demonstrate its performance for both stationary and nonstationary spatial data using simulations. In addition, we introduce scaled mean absolute Shapley additive explanations for interpreting the latent components through nonlinear mixing transformation. The spatial identifiable variational autoencoder is applied to a geochemical dataset to find the latent random fields, which are then interpreted by using the scaled mean absolute Shapley additive explanations. Finally, we illustrate how the proposed method can be used as a pre-processing method when making multivariate predictions.

In areal unit data with missing or suppressed data, it desirable to create models that are able to predict observations that are not available. Traditional statistical methods achieve this through Bayesian hierarchical models that can capture the unexplained residual spatial autocorrelation through conditional autoregressive (CAR) priors, such that they can make predictions at geographically related spatial locations. In contrast, typical machine learning approaches such as random forests ignore this residual autocorrelation, and instead base predictions on complex non-linear feature-target relationships. In this paper, we propose CAR-Forest, a novel spatial prediction algorithm that combines the best features of both approaches by fusing them together. By iteratively refitting a random forest combined with a Bayesian CAR model in one algorithm, CAR-Forest can incorporate flexible feature-target relationships while still accounting for the residual spatial autocorrelation. Our results, based on a Scottish housing price data set, show that CAR-Forest outperforms Bayesian CAR models, random forests, and the state-of-the-art hybrid approach, geographically weighted random forest, providing a state-of-the-art framework for small-area spatial prediction.

Biomechanical and orthopaedic studies frequently encounter complex datasets that encompass both circular and linear variables. In most cases the circular and linear variables are (i) considered in isolation with dependency between variables neglected and (ii) the cyclicity of the circular variables disregarded resulting in erroneous decision making. Given the inherent characteristics of circular variables, it is imperative to adopt methods that integrate directional statistics to achieve precise modelling. This paper is motivated by the modelling of biomechanical data, i.e., the fracture displacements, that is used as a measure in external fixator comparisons. We focus on a data set, based on an Ilizarov ring fixator, comprising of six variables. A modelling framework applicable to the 6D joint distribution of circular-linear data based on vine copulas is proposed. The pair-copula decomposition concept of vine copulas represents the dependence structure as a combination of circular-linear, circular-circular and linear-linear pairs modelled by their respective copulas. This framework allows us to assess the dependencies in the joint distribution as well as account for the cyclicity of the circular variables. Thus, a new approach for accurate modelling of mechanical behaviour for Ilizarov ring fixators and other data of this nature is imparted.

A key problem toward the use of microorganisms as bio-factories is reaching and maintaining cellular communities at a desired density and composition so that they can efficiently convert their biomass into useful compounds. Promising technological platforms for the real time, scalable control of cellular density are bioreactors. In this work, we developed a learning-based strategy to expand the toolbox of available control algorithms capable of regulating the density of a \textit{single} bacterial population in bioreactors. Specifically, we used a sim-to-real paradigm, where a simple mathematical model, calibrated using a few data, was adopted to generate synthetic data for the training of the controller. The resulting policy was then exhaustively tested in vivo using a low-cost bioreactor known as Chi.Bio, assessing performance and robustness. In addition, we compared the performance with more traditional controllers (namely, a PI and an MPC), confirming that the learning-based controller exhibits similar performance in vivo. Our work showcases the viability of learning-based strategies for the control of cellular density in bioreactors, making a step forward toward their use for the control of the composition of microbial consortia.

Age-Period-Cohort (APC) models are well used in the context of modelling health and demographic data to produce smooth estimates of each time trend. When smoothing in the context of APC models, there are two main schools, frequentist using penalised smoothing splines, and Bayesian using random processes with little crossover between them. In this article, we clearly lay out the theoretical link between the two schools, provide examples using simulated and real data to highlight similarities and difference, and help a general APC user understand potentially inaccessible theory from functional analysis. As intuition suggests, both approaches lead to comparable and almost identical in-sample predictions, but random processes within a Bayesian approach might be beneficial for out-of-sample prediction as the sources of uncertainty are captured in a more complete way.

With the increasing demand of intelligent systems capable of operating in different contexts (e.g. users on the move) the correct interpretation of the user-need by such systems has become crucial to give consistent answers to the user questions. The most effective applications addressing such task are in the fields of natural language processing and semantic expansion of terms. These techniques are aimed at estimating the goal of an input query reformulating it as an intent, commonly relying on textual resources built exploiting different semantic relations like \emph{synonymy}, \emph{antonymy} and many others. The aim of this paper is to generate such resources using the labels of a given taxonomy as source of information. The obtained resources are integrated into a plain classifier for reformulating a set of input queries as intents and tracking the effect of each relation, in order to quantify the impact of each semantic relation on the classification. As an extension to this, the best tradeoff between improvement and noise introduction when combining such relations is evaluated. The assessment is made generating the resources and their combinations and using them for tuning the classifier which is used to reformulate the user questions as labels. The evaluation employs a wide and varied taxonomy as a use-case, exploiting its labels as basis for the semantic expansion and producing several corpora with the purpose of enhancing the pseudo-queries estimation.

We use Stein characterisations to derive new moment-type estimators for the parameters of several multivariate distributions in the i.i.d. case; we also derive the asymptotic properties of these estimators. Our examples include the multivariate truncated normal distribution and several spherical distributions. The estimators are explicit and therefore provide an interesting alternative to the maximum-likelihood estimator. The quality of these estimators is assessed through competitive simulation studies in which we compare their behaviour to the performance of other estimators available in the literature.

The remarkable practical success of deep learning has revealed some major surprises from a theoretical perspective. In particular, simple gradient methods easily find near-optimal solutions to non-convex optimization problems, and despite giving a near-perfect fit to training data without any explicit effort to control model complexity, these methods exhibit excellent predictive accuracy. We conjecture that specific principles underlie these phenomena: that overparametrization allows gradient methods to find interpolating solutions, that these methods implicitly impose regularization, and that overparametrization leads to benign overfitting. We survey recent theoretical progress that provides examples illustrating these principles in simpler settings. We first review classical uniform convergence results and why they fall short of explaining aspects of the behavior of deep learning methods. We give examples of implicit regularization in simple settings, where gradient methods lead to minimal norm functions that perfectly fit the training data. Then we review prediction methods that exhibit benign overfitting, focusing on regression problems with quadratic loss. For these methods, we can decompose the prediction rule into a simple component that is useful for prediction and a spiky component that is useful for overfitting but, in a favorable setting, does not harm prediction accuracy. We focus specifically on the linear regime for neural networks, where the network can be approximated by a linear model. In this regime, we demonstrate the success of gradient flow, and we consider benign overfitting with two-layer networks, giving an exact asymptotic analysis that precisely demonstrates the impact of overparametrization. We conclude by highlighting the key challenges that arise in extending these insights to realistic deep learning settings.