The widespread use of maximum Jeffreys'-prior penalized likelihood in binomial-response generalized linear models, and in logistic regression, in particular, are supported by the results of Kosmidis and Firth (2021, Biometrika), who show that the resulting estimates are also always finite-valued, even in cases where the maximum likelihood estimates are not, which is a practical issue regardless of the size of the data set. In logistic regression, the implied adjusted score equations are formally bias-reducing in asymptotic frameworks with a fixed number of parameters and appear to deliver a substantial reduction in the persistent bias of the maximum likelihood estimator in high-dimensional settings where the number of parameters grows asymptotically linearly and slower than the number of observations. In this work, we develop and present two new variants of iteratively reweighted least squares for estimating generalized linear models with adjusted score equations for mean bias reduction and maximization of the likelihood penalized by a positive power of the Jeffreys-prior penalty, which eliminate the requirement of storing $O(n)$ quantities in memory, and can operate with data sets that exceed computer memory or even hard drive capacity. We achieve that through incremental QR decompositions, which enable IWLS iterations to have access only to data chunks of predetermined size. We assess the procedures through a real-data application with millions of observations, and in high-dimensional logistic regression, where a large-scale simulation experiment produces concrete evidence for the existence of a simple adjustment to the maximum Jeffreys'-penalized likelihood estimates that delivers high accuracy in terms of signal recovery even in cases where estimates from ML and other recently-proposed corrective methods do not exist.
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We consider the numerical evaluation of a class of double integrals with respect to a pair of self-similar measures over a self-similar fractal set (the attractor of an iterated function system), with a weakly singular integrand of logarithmic or algebraic type. In a recent paper [Gibbs, Hewett and Moiola, Numer. Alg., 2023] it was shown that when the fractal set is "disjoint" in a certain sense (an example being the Cantor set), the self-similarity of the measures, combined with the homogeneity properties of the integrand, can be exploited to express the singular integral exactly in terms of regular integrals, which can be readily approximated numerically. In this paper we present a methodology for extending these results to cases where the fractal is non-disjoint but non-overlapping (in the sense that the open set condition holds). Our approach applies to many well-known examples including the Sierpinski triangle, the Vicsek fractal, the Sierpinski carpet, and the Koch snowflake.
Correlation matrix visualization is essential for understanding the relationships between variables in a dataset, but missing data can pose a significant challenge in estimating correlation coefficients. In this paper, we compare the effects of various missing data methods on the correlation plot, focusing on two common missing patterns: random and monotone. We aim to provide practical strategies and recommendations for researchers and practitioners in creating and analyzing the correlation plot. Our experimental results suggest that while imputation is commonly used for missing data, using imputed data for plotting the correlation matrix may lead to a significantly misleading inference of the relation between the features. We recommend using DPER, a direct parameter estimation approach, for plotting the correlation matrix based on its performance in the experiments.
Bayesian binary regression is a prosperous area of research due to the computational challenges encountered by currently available methods either for high-dimensional settings or large datasets, or both. In the present work, we focus on the expectation propagation (EP) approximation of the posterior distribution in Bayesian probit regression under a multivariate Gaussian prior distribution. Adapting more general derivations in Anceschi et al. (2023), we show how to leverage results on the extended multivariate skew-normal distribution to derive an efficient implementation of the EP routine having a per-iteration cost that scales linearly in the number of covariates. This makes EP computationally feasible also in challenging high-dimensional settings, as shown in a detailed simulation study.
We extend the error bounds from [SIMAX, Vol. 43, Iss. 2, pp. 787-811 (2022)] for the Lanczos method for matrix function approximation to the block algorithm. Numerical experiments suggest that our bounds are fairly robust to changing block size and have the potential for use as a practical stopping criteria. Further experiments work towards a better understanding of how certain hyperparameters should be chosen in order to maximize the quality of the error bounds, even in the previously studied block-size one case.
Applying parallel-in-time algorithms to multiscale Hamiltonian systems to obtain stable long time simulations is very challenging. In this paper, we present novel data-driven methods aimed at improving the standard parareal algorithm developed by Lion, Maday, and Turinici in 2001, for multiscale Hamiltonian systems. The first method involves constructing a correction operator to improve a given inaccurate coarse solver through solving a Procrustes problem using data collected online along parareal trajectories. The second method involves constructing an efficient, high-fidelity solver by a neural network trained with offline generated data. For the second method, we address the issues of effective data generation and proper loss function design based on the Hamiltonian function. We show proof-of-concept by applying the proposed methods to a Fermi-Pasta-Ulum (FPU) problem. The numerical results demonstrate that the Procrustes parareal method is able to produce solutions that are more stable in energy compared to the standard parareal. The neural network solver can achieve comparable or better runtime performance compared to numerical solvers of similar accuracy. When combined with the standard parareal algorithm, the improved neural network solutions are slightly more stable in energy than the improved numerical coarse solutions.
In this paper, efficient alternating direction implicit (ADI) schemes are proposed to solve three-dimensional heat equations with irregular boundaries and interfaces. Starting from the well-known Douglas-Gunn ADI scheme, a modified ADI scheme is constructed to mitigate the issue of accuracy loss in solving problems with time-dependent boundary conditions. The unconditional stability of the new ADI scheme is also rigorously proven with the Fourier analysis. Then, by combining the ADI schemes with a 1D kernel-free boundary integral (KFBI) method, KFBI-ADI schemes are developed to solve the heat equation with irregular boundaries. In 1D sub-problems of the KFBI-ADI schemes, the KFBI discretization takes advantage of the Cartesian grid and preserves the structure of the coefficient matrix so that the fast Thomas algorithm can be applied to solve the linear system efficiently. Second-order accuracy and unconditional stability of the KFBI-ADI schemes are verified through several numerical tests for both the heat equation and a reaction-diffusion equation. For the Stefan problem, which is a free boundary problem of the heat equation, a level set method is incorporated into the ADI method to capture the time-dependent interface. Numerical examples for simulating 3D dendritic solidification phenomenons are also presented.
This paper develops and benchmarks an immersed peridynamics method to simulate the deformation, damage, and failure of hyperelastic materials within a fluid-structure interaction framework. The immersed peridynamics method describes an incompressible structure immersed in a viscous incompressible fluid. It expresses the momentum equation and incompressibility constraint in Eulerian form, and it describes the structural motion and resultant forces in Lagrangian form. Coupling between Eulerian and Lagrangian variables is achieved by integral transforms with Dirac delta function kernels, as in standard immersed boundary methods. The major difference between our approach and conventional immersed boundary methods is that we use peridynamics, instead of classical continuum mechanics, to determine the structural forces. We focus on non-ordinary state-based peridynamic material descriptions that allow us to use a constitutive correspondence framework that can leverage well characterized nonlinear constitutive models of soft materials. The convergence and accuracy of our approach are compared to both conventional and immersed finite element methods using widely used benchmark problems of nonlinear incompressible elasticity. We demonstrate that the immersed peridynamics method yields comparable accuracy with similar numbers of structural degrees of freedom for several choices of the size of the peridynamic horizon. We also demonstrate that the method can generate grid-converged simulations of fluid-driven material damage growth, crack formation and propagation, and rupture under large deformations.
High-fidelity numerical simulations of partial differential equations (PDEs) given a restricted computational budget can significantly limit the number of parameter configurations considered and/or time window evaluated for modeling a given system. Multi-fidelity surrogate modeling aims to leverage less accurate, lower-fidelity models that are computationally inexpensive in order to enhance predictive accuracy when high-fidelity data are limited or scarce. However, low-fidelity models, while often displaying important qualitative spatio-temporal features, fail to accurately capture the onset of instability and critical transients observed in the high-fidelity models, making them impractical as surrogate models. To address this shortcoming, we present a new data-driven strategy that combines dimensionality reduction with multi-fidelity neural network surrogates. The key idea is to generate a spatial basis by applying the classical proper orthogonal decomposition (POD) to high-fidelity solution snapshots, and approximate the dynamics of the reduced states - time-parameter-dependent expansion coefficients of the POD basis - using a multi-fidelity long-short term memory (LSTM) network. By mapping low-fidelity reduced states to their high-fidelity counterpart, the proposed reduced-order surrogate model enables the efficient recovery of full solution fields over time and parameter variations in a non-intrusive manner. The generality and robustness of this method is demonstrated by a collection of parametrized, time-dependent PDE problems where the low-fidelity model can be defined by coarser meshes and/or time stepping, as well as by misspecified physical features. Importantly, the onset of instabilities and transients are well captured by this surrogate modeling technique.
Hawkes processes are often applied to model dependence and interaction phenomena in multivariate event data sets, such as neuronal spike trains, social interactions, and financial transactions. In the nonparametric setting, learning the temporal dependence structure of Hawkes processes is generally a computationally expensive task, all the more with Bayesian estimation methods. In particular, for generalised nonlinear Hawkes processes, Monte-Carlo Markov Chain methods applied to compute the doubly intractable posterior distribution are not scalable to high-dimensional processes in practice. Recently, efficient algorithms targeting a mean-field variational approximation of the posterior distribution have been proposed. In this work, we first unify existing variational Bayes approaches under a general nonparametric inference framework, and analyse the asymptotic properties of these methods under easily verifiable conditions on the prior, the variational class, and the nonlinear model. Secondly, we propose a novel sparsity-inducing procedure, and derive an adaptive mean-field variational algorithm for the popular sigmoid Hawkes processes. Our algorithm is parallelisable and therefore computationally efficient in high-dimensional setting. Through an extensive set of numerical simulations, we also demonstrate that our procedure is able to adapt to the dimensionality of the parameter of the Hawkes process, and is partially robust to some type of model mis-specification.
Permutation tests are widely used for statistical hypothesis testing when the sampling distribution of the test statistic under the null hypothesis is analytically intractable or unreliable due to finite sample sizes. One critical challenge in the application of permutation tests in genomic studies is that an enormous number of permutations are often needed to obtain reliable estimates of very small $p$-values, leading to intensive computational effort. To address this issue, we develop algorithms for the accurate and efficient estimation of small $p$-values in permutation tests for paired and independent two-group genomic data, and our approaches leverage a novel framework for parameterizing the permutation sample spaces of those two types of data respectively using the Bernoulli and conditional Bernoulli distributions, combined with the cross-entropy method. The performance of our proposed algorithms is demonstrated through the application to two simulated datasets and two real-world gene expression datasets generated by microarray and RNA-Seq technologies and comparisons to existing methods such as crude permutations and SAMC, and the results show that our approaches can achieve orders of magnitude of computational efficiency gains in estimating small $p$-values. Our approaches offer promising solutions for the improvement of computational efficiencies of existing permutation test procedures and the development of new testing methods using permutations in genomic data analysis.
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