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A sequence of random variables is called exchangeable if its joint distribution is invariant under permutations. The original formulation of de Finetti's theorem says that any exchangeable sequence of $\{0,1\}$-valued random variables can be thought of as a mixture of independent and identically distributed sequences in a certain precise mathematical sense. Interpreting this statement from a convex analytic perspective, Hewitt and Savage obtained the same conclusion for more general state spaces under some topological conditions. The main contribution of this paper is in providing a new framework that explains the theorem purely as a consequence of the underlying distribution of the random variables, with no topological conditions (beyond Hausdorffness) on the state space being necessary if the distribution is Radon. We also show that it is consistent with the axioms of ZFC that de Finetti's theorem holds for all sequences of exchangeable random variables taking values in any complete metric space. The framework we use is based on nonstandard analysis. We have provided a self-contained introduction to nonstandard analysis as an appendix, thus rendering measure theoretic probability and point-set topology as the only prerequisites for this paper. Our introduction aims to develop some new ideologies that might be of interest to mathematicians, philosophers, and mathematics educators alike. Our technical tools come from nonstandard topological measure theory, in which a highlight is a new generalization of Prokhorov's theorem. Modulo such technical tools, our proof relies on properties of the empirical measures induced by hyperfinitely many identically distributed random variables -- a feature that allows us to establish de Finetti's theorem in the generality that we seek while still retaining the combinatorial intuition of proofs of simpler versions of de Finetti's theorem.

Extended Dynamic Mode Decomposition (EDMD) is a data-driven tool for forecasting and model reduction of dynamics, which has been extensively taken up in the physical sciences. While the method is conceptually simple, in deterministic chaos it is unclear what its properties are or even what it converges to. In particular, it is not clear how EDMD's least-squares approximation treats the classes of regular functions needed to make sense of chaotic dynamics. We develop for the first time a general, rigorous theory of EDMD on the simplest examples of chaotic maps: analytic expanding maps of the circle. To do this, we prove a new, basic approximation result in the theory of orthogonal polynomials on the unit circle (OPUC) and apply methods from transfer operator theory. We show that in the infinite-data limit, the least-squares projection error is exponentially small for trigonometric polynomial observable dictionaries. As a result, we show that the forecasts and Koopman spectral data produced using EDMD in this setting converge to the physically meaningful limits, exponentially fast with respect to the size of the dictionary. This demonstrates that with only a relatively small polynomial dictionary, EDMD can be very effective, even when the sampling measure is not uniform. Furthermore, our OPUC result suggests that data-based least-squares projections may be a very effective approximation strategy.

Force-aware grasping is an essential capability for most robots in practical applications. Especially for compliant grippers, such as Fin-Ray grippers, it still remains challenging to build a bidirectional mathematical model that mutually maps the shape deformation and contact force. Part I of this article has constructed the force-displacement relationship for design optimization through the co-rotational theory. In Part II, we further devise a displacement-force mathematical model, enabling the compliant gripper to precisely estimate contact force from deformations sensor-free. The presented displacement-force model elaborately investigates contact forces and provides force feedback for a force control system of a gripper, where deformation appears as displacements in contact points. Afterward, simulation experiments are conducted to evaluate the performance of the proposed model through comparisons with the finite-element analysis (FEA) in Ansys. Simulation results reveal that the proposed model accurately estimates contact force, with an average error of around 3% and 4% for single or multiple node cases, respectively, regardless of various design parameters (Part I of this article is released in Arxiv1)

The principle of maximum entropy, as introduced by Jaynes in information theory, has contributed to advancements in various domains such as Statistical Mechanics, Machine Learning, and Ecology. Its resultant solutions have served as a catalyst, facilitating researchers in mapping their empirical observations to the acquisition of unbiased models, whilst deepening the understanding of complex systems and phenomena. However, when we consider situations in which the model elements are not directly observable, such as when noise or ocular occlusion is present, possibilities arise for which standard maximum entropy approaches may fail, as they are unable to match feature constraints. Here we show the Principle of Uncertain Maximum Entropy as a method that both encodes all available information in spite of arbitrarily noisy observations while surpassing the accuracy of some ad-hoc methods. Additionally, we utilize the output of a black-box machine learning model as input into an uncertain maximum entropy model, resulting in a novel approach for scenarios where the observation function is unavailable. Previous remedies either relaxed feature constraints when accounting for observation error, given well-characterized errors such as zero-mean Gaussian, or chose to simply select the most likely model element given an observation. We anticipate our principle finding broad applications in diverse fields due to generalizing the traditional maximum entropy method with the ability to utilize uncertain observations.

In general, high order splitting methods suffer from an order reduction phenomena when applied to the time integration of partial differential equations with non-periodic boundary conditions. In the last decade, there were introduced several modifications to prevent the second order Strang Splitting method from such a phenomena. In this article, inspired by these recent corrector techniques, we introduce a splitting method of order three for a class of semilinear parabolic problems that avoids order reduction in the context of non-periodic boundary conditions. We give a proof for the third order convergence of the method in a simplified linear setting and confirm the result by numerical experiments. Moreover, we show numerically that the result also persists with a nonlinear source term.

The NSGA-II is one of the most prominent algorithms to solve multi-objective optimization problems. Despite numerous successful applications, several studies have shown that the NSGA-II is less effective for larger numbers of objectives. In this work, we use mathematical runtime analyses to rigorously demonstrate and quantify this phenomenon. We show that even on the simple $m$-objective generalization of the discrete OneMinMax benchmark, where every solution is Pareto optimal, the NSGA-II also with large population sizes cannot compute the full Pareto front (objective vectors of all Pareto optima) in sub-exponential time when the number of objectives is at least three. The reason for this unexpected behavior lies in the fact that in the computation of the crowding distance, the different objectives are regarded independently. This is not a problem for two objectives, where any sorting of a pair-wise incomparable set of solutions according to one objective is also such a sorting according to the other objective (in the inverse order).

Elliptical distribution is a basic assumption underlying many multivariate statistical methods. For example, in sufficient dimension reduction and statistical graphical models, this assumption is routinely imposed to simplify the data dependence structure. Before applying such methods, we need to decide whether the data are elliptically distributed. Currently existing tests either focus exclusively on spherical distributions, or rely on bootstrap to determine the null distribution, or require specific forms of the alternative distribution. In this paper, we introduce a general nonparametric test for elliptical distribution based on kernel embedding of the probability measure that embodies the two properties that characterize an elliptical distribution: namely, after centering and rescaling, (1) the direction and length of the random vector are independent, and (2) the directional vector is uniformly distributed on the unit sphere. We derive the null asymptotic distribution of the test statistic via von-Mises expansion, develop the sample-level procedure to determine the rejection region, and establish the consistency and validity of the proposed test. We apply our test to a SENIC dataset with and without a transformation aimed to achieve ellipticity.

Most algorithms constructing bases of finite-dimensional vector spaces return basis vectors which, apart from orthogonality, do not show any special properties. While every basis is sufficient to define the vector space, not all bases are equally suited to unravel properties of the problem to be solved. In this paper a normal form for bases of finite-dimensional vector spaces is introduced which may prove very useful in the context of understanding the structure of the problem in which the basis appears in a step towards the solution. This normal form may be viewed as a new normal form for matrices of full column rank.

We establish sparsity and summability results for coefficient sequences of Wiener-Hermite polynomial chaos expansions of countably-parametric solutions of linear elliptic and parabolic divergence-form partial differential equations with Gaussian random field inputs. The novel proof technique developed here is based on analytic continuation of parametric solutions into the complex domain. It differs from previous works that used bootstrap arguments and induction on the differentiation order of solution derivatives with respect to the parameters. The present holomorphy-based argument allows a unified, ``differentiation-free'' proof of sparsity (expressed in terms of $\ell^p$-summability or weighted $\ell^2$-summability) of sequences of Wiener-Hermite coefficients in polynomial chaos expansions in various scales of function spaces. The analysis also implies corresponding analyticity and sparsity results for posterior densities in Bayesian inverse problems subject to Gaussian priors on uncertain inputs from function spaces. Our results furthermore yield dimension-independent convergence rates of various \emph{constructive} high-dimensional deterministic numerical approximation schemes such as single-level and multi-level versions of Hermite-Smolyak anisotropic sparse-grid interpolation and quadrature in both forward and inverse computational uncertainty quantification.

In this monograph, I introduce the basic concepts of Online Learning through a modern view of Online Convex Optimization. Here, online learning refers to the framework of regret minimization under worst-case assumptions. I present first-order and second-order algorithms for online learning with convex losses, in Euclidean and non-Euclidean settings. All the algorithms are clearly presented as instantiation of Online Mirror Descent or Follow-The-Regularized-Leader and their variants. Particular attention is given to the issue of tuning the parameters of the algorithms and learning in unbounded domains, through adaptive and parameter-free online learning algorithms. Non-convex losses are dealt through convex surrogate losses and through randomization. The bandit setting is also briefly discussed, touching on the problem of adversarial and stochastic multi-armed bandits. These notes do not require prior knowledge of convex analysis and all the required mathematical tools are rigorously explained. Moreover, all the proofs have been carefully chosen to be as simple and as short as possible.