Over the last years, robotic cloth manipulation has gained relevance within the research community. While significant advances have been made in robotic manipulation of rigid objects, the manipulation of non-rigid objects such as cloth garments is still a challenging problem. The uncertainty on how cloth behaves often requires the use of model-based approaches. However, cloth models have a very high dimensionality. Therefore, it is difficult to find a middle point between providing a manipulator with a dynamics model of cloth and working with a state space of tractable dimensionality. For this reason, most cloth manipulation approaches in literature perform static or quasi-static manipulation. In this paper, we propose a variation of Gaussian Process Dynamical Models (GPDMs) to model cloth dynamics in a low-dimensional manifold. GPDMs project a high-dimensional state space into a smaller dimension latent space which is capable of keeping the dynamic properties. Using such approach, we add control variables to the original formulation. In this way, it is possible to take into account the robot commands exerted on the cloth dynamics. We call this new version Controlled Gaussian Process Dynamical Model (CGPDM). Moreover, we propose an alternative parametric structure for the model, that is richer than the one employed in previous GPDM realizations. The modeling capacity of our proposal has been tested in both a simulated and a real scenario, where CGPDM proved to be capable of generalizing over a wide range of movements and correctly predicting the cloth motions obtained by previously unseen sequences of control actions.
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ACM/IEEE第23屆模型驅動工程語言和系統國際會議，是模型驅動軟件和系統工程的首要會議系列，由ACM-SIGSOFT和IEEE-TCSE支持組織。自1998年以來，模型涵蓋了建模的各個方面，從語言和方法到工具和應用程序。模特的參加者來自不同的背景，包括研究人員、學者、工程師和工業專業人士。MODELS 2019是一個論壇，參與者可以圍繞建模和模型驅動的軟件和系統交流前沿研究成果和創新實踐經驗。今年的版本將為建模社區提供進一步推進建模基礎的機會，并在網絡物理系統、嵌入式系統、社會技術系統、云計算、大數據、機器學習、安全、開源等新興領域提出建模的創新應用以及可持續性。
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We study statistical inference on the similarity/distance between two time-series under uncertain environment by considering a statistical hypothesis test on the distance obtained from Dynamic Time Warping (DTW) algorithm. The sampling distribution of the DTW distance is too difficult to derive because it is obtained based on the solution of the DTW algorithm, which is complicated. To circumvent this difficulty, we propose to employ the conditional selective inference framework, which enables us to derive a valid inference method on the DTW distance. To our knowledge, this is the first method that can provide a valid p-value to quantify the statistical significance of the DTW distance, which is helpful for high-stake decision making such as abnormal time-series detection problems. We evaluate the performance of the proposed inference method on both synthetic and real-world datasets.
We address the problem of learning the dynamics of an unknown non-parametric system linking a target and a feature time series. The feature time series is measured on a sparse and irregular grid, while we have access to only a few points of the target time series. Once learned, we can use these dynamics to predict values of the target from the previous values of the feature time series. We frame this task as learning the solution map of a controlled differential equation (CDE). By leveraging the rich theory of signatures, we are able to cast this non-linear problem as a high-dimensional linear regression. We provide an oracle bound on the prediction error which exhibits explicit dependencies on the individual-specific sampling schemes. Our theoretical results are illustrated by simulations which show that our method outperforms existing algorithms for recovering the full time series while being computationally cheap. We conclude by demonstrating its potential on real-world epidemiological data.
As knowledge graph has the potential to bridge the gap between commonsense knowledge and reasoning over actionable capabilities of mobile robotic platforms, incorporating knowledge graph into robotic system attracted increasing attention in recent years. Previously, graph visualization has been used wildly by developers to make sense of knowledge representations. However, due to lacking the link between abstract knowledge of the real-world environment and the robot's actions, transitional visualization tools are incompatible for expert-user to understand, test, supervise and modify the graph-based reasoning system with the embodiment of the robots. Therefore, we developed an interface which enables robotic experts to send commands to the robot in natural language, then interface visualizes the procedures of the robot mapping the command to the functions for querying in the commonsense knowledge database, links the result to the real world instances in a 3D map and demonstrate the execution of the robot from the first-person perspective of the robot. After 3 weeks of usage of the system by robotic experts in their daily development, some feedback was collected, which provides insight for designing such systems.
Multi-channel imaging data is a prevalent data format in scientific fields such as astronomy and biology. The structured information and the high dimensionality of these 3-D tensor data makes the analysis an intriguing but challenging topic for statisticians and practitioners. The low-rank scalar-on-tensor regression model, in particular, has received widespread attention and has been re-formulated as a tensor Gaussian Process (Tensor-GP) model with multi-linear kernel in Yu et al. (2018). In this paper, we extend the Tensor-GP model by integrating a dimensionality reduction technique, called tensor contraction, with a Tensor-GP for a scalar-on-tensor regression task with multi-channel imaging data. This is motivated by the solar flare forecasting problem with high dimensional multi-channel imaging data. We first estimate a latent, reduced-size tensor for each data tensor and then apply a multi-linear Tensor-GP on the latent tensor data for prediction. We introduce an anisotropic total-variation regularization when conducting the tensor contraction to obtain a sparse and smooth latent tensor. We then propose an alternating proximal gradient descent algorithm for estimation. We validate our approach via extensive simulation studies and applying it to the solar flare forecasting problem.
The complexity of the data generated by (magneto)-hydrodynamic (HD/MHD) simulations requires advanced tools for their analysis and visualization. The dramatic improvements in virtual reality (VR) technologies have inspired us to seek the long-term goal of creating VR tools for scientific model analysis and visualization that would allow researchers to study and perform data analysis on their models within an immersive environment. Here, we report the results obtained at INAF-Osservatorio Astronomico di Palermo in the development of these tools, which would allow for the exploration of 3D models interactively, resulting in highly detailed analysis that cannot be performed with traditional data visualization and analysis platforms. Additionally, these VR-based tools offer the ability to produce high-impact VR content for efficient audience engagement and awareness.
Humans often demonstrate diverse behaviors due to their personal preferences, for instance related to their individual execution style or personal margin for safety. In this paper, we consider the problem of integrating such preferences into trajectory planning for robotic manipulators. We first learn reward functions that represent the user path and motion preferences from kinesthetic demonstration. We then use a discrete-time trajectory optimization scheme to produce trajectories that adhere to both task requirements and user preferences. We go beyond the state of art by designing a feature set that captures the fundamental preferences in a manipulation task, such as timing of the motion. We further demonstrate that our method is capable of generalizing such preferences to new scenarios. We implement our algorithm on a Franka Emika 7-DoF robot arm, and validate the functionality and flexibility of our approach in a user study. The results show that non-expert users are able to teach the robot their preferences with just a few iterations of feedback.
To avoid poor empirical performance in Metropolis-Hastings and other accept-reject-based algorithms practitioners often tune them by trial and error. Lower bounds on the convergence rate are developed in both total variation and Wasserstein distances in order to identify how the simulations will fail so these settings can be avoided, providing guidance on tuning. Particular attention is paid to using the lower bounds to study the convergence complexity of accept-reject-based Markov chains and to constrain the rate of convergence for geometrically ergodic Markov chains. The theory is applied in several settings. For example, if the target density concentrates with a parameter $n$ (e.g. posterior concentration, Laplace approximations), it is demonstrated that the convergence rate of a Metropolis-Hastings chain can tend to $1$ exponentially fast if the tuning parameters do not depend carefully on $n$. This is demonstrated with Bayesian logistic regression with Zellner's g-prior when the dimension and sample increase in such a way that size $d/n \to \gamma \in (0, 1)$ and flat prior Bayesian logistic regression as $n \to \infty$.
In large-scale systems there are fundamental challenges when centralised techniques are used for task allocation. The number of interactions is limited by resource constraints such as on computation, storage, and network communication. We can increase scalability by implementing the system as a distributed task-allocation system, sharing tasks across many agents. However, this also increases the resource cost of communications and synchronisation, and is difficult to scale. In this paper we present four algorithms to solve these problems. The combination of these algorithms enable each agent to improve their task allocation strategy through reinforcement learning, while changing how much they explore the system in response to how optimal they believe their current strategy is, given their past experience. We focus on distributed agent systems where the agents' behaviours are constrained by resource usage limits, limiting agents to local rather than system-wide knowledge. We evaluate these algorithms in a simulated environment where agents are given a task composed of multiple subtasks that must be allocated to other agents with differing capabilities, to then carry out those tasks. We also simulate real-life system effects such as networking instability. Our solution is shown to solve the task allocation problem to 6.7% of the theoretical optimal within the system configurations considered. It provides 5x better performance recovery over no-knowledge retention approaches when system connectivity is impacted, and is tested against systems up to 100 agents with less than a 9% impact on the algorithms' performance.
Forecasting has always been at the forefront of decision making and planning. The uncertainty that surrounds the future is both exciting and challenging, with individuals and organisations seeking to minimise risks and maximise utilities. The large number of forecasting applications calls for a diverse set of forecasting methods to tackle real-life challenges. This article provides a non-systematic review of the theory and the practice of forecasting. We provide an overview of a wide range of theoretical, state-of-the-art models, methods, principles, and approaches to prepare, produce, organise, and evaluate forecasts. We then demonstrate how such theoretical concepts are applied in a variety of real-life contexts. We do not claim that this review is an exhaustive list of methods and applications. However, we wish that our encyclopedic presentation will offer a point of reference for the rich work that has been undertaken over the last decades, with some key insights for the future of forecasting theory and practice. Given its encyclopedic nature, the intended mode of reading is non-linear. We offer cross-references to allow the readers to navigate through the various topics. We complement the theoretical concepts and applications covered by large lists of free or open-source software implementations and publicly-available databases.
Many tasks in natural language processing can be viewed as multi-label classification problems. However, most of the existing models are trained with the standard cross-entropy loss function and use a fixed prediction policy (e.g., a threshold of 0.5) for all the labels, which completely ignores the complexity and dependencies among different labels. In this paper, we propose a meta-learning method to capture these complex label dependencies. More specifically, our method utilizes a meta-learner to jointly learn the training policies and prediction policies for different labels. The training policies are then used to train the classifier with the cross-entropy loss function, and the prediction policies are further implemented for prediction. Experimental results on fine-grained entity typing and text classification demonstrate that our proposed method can obtain more accurate multi-label classification results.
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