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Document-based Question-Answering (QA) tasks are crucial for precise information retrieval. While some existing work focus on evaluating large language model's performance on retrieving and answering questions from documents, assessing the LLMs' performance on QA types that require exact answer selection from predefined options and numerical extraction is yet to be fully assessed. In this paper, we specifically focus on this underexplored context and conduct empirical analysis of LLMs (GPT-4 and GPT 3.5) on question types, including single-choice, yes-no, multiple-choice, and number extraction questions from documents. We use the Cogtale dataset for evaluation, which provide human expert-tagged responses, offering a robust benchmark for precision and factual grounding. We found that LLMs, particularly GPT-4, can precisely answer many single-choice and yes-no questions given relevant context, demonstrating their efficacy in information retrieval tasks. However, their performance diminishes when confronted with multiple-choice and number extraction formats, lowering the overall performance of the model on this task, indicating that these models may not be reliable for the task. This limits the applications of LLMs on applications demanding precise information extraction from documents, such as meta-analysis tasks. However, these findings hinge on the assumption that the retrievers furnish pertinent context necessary for accurate responses, emphasizing the need for further research on the efficacy of retriever mechanisms in enhancing question-answering performance. Our work offers a framework for ongoing dataset evaluation, ensuring that LLM applications for information retrieval and document analysis continue to meet evolving standards.

Large Language Models (LLMs) have reshaped natural language processing with their impressive capabilities. Their ever-increasing size, however, raised concerns about their effective deployment and the need for LLM compressions. This study introduces the Divergent Token metrics (DTMs), a novel approach for assessing compressed LLMs, addressing the limitations of traditional perplexity or accuracy measures that fail to accurately reflect text generation quality. DTMs focus on token divergence, that allow deeper insights into the subtleties of model compression, i.p. when evaluating component's impacts individually. Utilizing the First Divergent Token metric (FDTM) in model sparsification reveals that a quarter of all attention components can be pruned beyond 90% on the Llama-2 model family, still keeping SOTA performance. For quantization FDTM suggests that over 80% of parameters can naively be transformed to int8 without special outlier management. These evaluations indicate the necessity of choosing appropriate compressions for parameters individually-and that FDTM can identify those-while standard metrics result in deteriorated outcomes.

We propose an individual claims reserving model based on the conditional Aalen--Johansen estimator, as developed in Bladt and Furrer (2023b). In our approach, we formulate a multi-state problem, where the underlying variable is the individual claim size, rather than time. The states in this model represent development periods, and we estimate the cumulative density function of individual claim costs using the conditional Aalen--Johansen method as transition probabilities to an absorbing state. Our methodology reinterprets the concept of multi-state models and offers a strategy for modeling the complete curve of individual claim costs. To illustrate our approach, we apply our model to both simulated and real datasets. Having access to the entire dataset enables us to support the use of our approach by comparing the predicted total final cost with the actual amount, as well as evaluating it in terms of the continuously ranked probability score, as discussed in Gneiting and A. E. Raftery (2007)

This paper investigates goal-oriented communication for remote estimation of multiple Markov sources in resource-constrained networks. An agent selects the update order of the sources and transmits the packet to a remote destination over an unreliable delay channel. The destination is tasked with source reconstruction for the purpose of actuation. We utilize the metric cost of actuation error (CAE) to capture the significance (semantics) of error at the point of actuation. We aim to find an optimal sampling policy that minimizes the time-averaged CAE subject to average resource constraints. We formulate this problem as an average-cost constrained Markov Decision Process (CMDP) and transform it into an unconstrained MDP by utilizing Lyapunov drift techniques. Then, we propose a low-complexity drift-plus-penalty(DPP) policy for systems with known source/channel statistics and a Lyapunov optimization-based deep reinforcement learning (LO-DRL) policy for unknown environments. Our policies achieve near-optimal performance in CAE minimization and significantly reduce the number of uninformative transmissions.

Visual inspection tasks often require humans to cooperate with AI-based image classifiers. To enhance this cooperation, explainable artificial intelligence (XAI) can highlight those image areas that have contributed to an AI decision. However, the literature on visual cueing suggests that such XAI support might come with costs of its own. To better understand how the benefits and cost of XAI depend on the accuracy of AI classifications and XAI highlights, we conducted two experiments that simulated visual quality control in a chocolate factory. Participants had to decide whether chocolate moulds contained faulty bars or not, and were always informed whether the AI had classified the mould as faulty or not. In half of the experiment, they saw additional XAI highlights that justified this classification. While XAI speeded up performance, its effects on error rates were highly dependent on (X)AI accuracy. XAI benefits were observed when the system correctly detected and highlighted the fault, but XAI costs were evident for misplaced highlights that marked an intact area while the actual fault was located elsewhere. Eye movement analyses indicated that participants spent less time searching the rest of the mould and thus looked at the fault less often. However, we also observed large interindividual differences. Taken together, the results suggest that despite its potentials, XAI can discourage people from investing effort into their own information analysis.

Electrodermal activity (EDA) is considered a standard marker of sympathetic activity. However, traditional EDA measurement requires electrodes in steady contact with the skin. Can sympathetic arousal be measured using only an optical sensor, such as an RGB camera? This paper presents a novel approach to infer sympathetic arousal by measuring the peripheral blood flow on the face or hand optically. We contribute a self-recorded dataset of 21 participants, comprising synchronized videos of participants' faces and palms and gold-standard EDA and photoplethysmography (PPG) signals. Our results show that we can measure peripheral sympathetic responses that closely correlate with the ground truth EDA. We obtain median correlations of 0.57 to 0.63 between our inferred signals and the ground truth EDA using only videos of the participants' palms or foreheads or PPG signals from the foreheads or fingers. We also show that sympathetic arousal is best inferred from the forehead, finger, or palm.

The convolution quadrature method originally developed for the Riemann-Liouville fractional calculus is extended in this work to the Hadamard fractional calculus by using the exponential type meshes. Local truncation error analysis is presented for singular solutions. By adopting the fractional BDF-$p(1\leq p \leq 6)$ for the Caputo-Hadamard fractional derivative in solving subdiffusion problem with singular source terms, and using the finite element method to discretize the space variable, we carry out the sharp error analysis rigorously and obtain the optimal accuracy by the novel correction technique. Our correction method is a natural generalization of the one developed for subdiffusion problems with smooth source terms. Numerical tests confirm the correctness of our theoretical results.

This study compares the performance of (1) fine-tuned models and (2) extremely large language models on the task of check-worthy claim detection. For the purpose of the comparison we composed a multilingual and multi-topical dataset comprising texts of various sources and styles. Building on this, we performed a benchmark analysis to determine the most general multilingual and multi-topical claim detector. We chose three state-of-the-art models in the check-worthy claim detection task and fine-tuned them. Furthermore, we selected three state-of-the-art extremely large language models without any fine-tuning. We made modifications to the models to adapt them for multilingual settings and through extensive experimentation and evaluation. We assessed the performance of all the models in terms of accuracy, recall, and F1-score in in-domain and cross-domain scenarios. Our results demonstrate that despite the technological progress in the area of natural language processing, the models fine-tuned for the task of check-worthy claim detection still outperform the zero-shot approaches in a cross-domain settings.

We investigate the use of multilevel Monte Carlo (MLMC) methods for estimating the expectation of discretized random fields. Specifically, we consider a setting in which the input and output vectors of the numerical simulators have inconsistent dimensions across the multilevel hierarchy. This requires the introduction of grid transfer operators borrowed from multigrid methods. Starting from a simple 1D illustration, we demonstrate numerically that the resulting MLMC estimator deteriorates the estimation of high-frequency components of the discretized expectation field compared to a Monte Carlo (MC) estimator. By adapting mathematical tools initially developed for multigrid methods, we perform a theoretical spectral analysis of the MLMC estimator of the expectation of discretized random fields, in the specific case of linear, symmetric and circulant simulators. This analysis provides a spectral decomposition of the variance into contributions associated with each scale component of the discretized field. We then propose improved MLMC estimators using a filtering mechanism similar to the smoothing process of multigrid methods. The filtering operators improve the estimation of both the small- and large-scale components of the variance, resulting in a reduction of the total variance of the estimator. These improvements are quantified for the specific class of simulators considered in our spectral analysis. The resulting filtered MLMC (F-MLMC) estimator is applied to the problem of estimating the discretized variance field of a diffusion-based covariance operator, which amounts to estimating the expectation of a discretized random field. The numerical experiments support the conclusions of the theoretical analysis even with non-linear simulators, and demonstrate the improvements brought by the proposed F-MLMC estimator compared to both a crude MC and an unfiltered MLMC estimator.

Causal investigations in observational studies pose a great challenge in scientific research where randomized trials or intervention-based studies are not feasible. Leveraging Shannon's seminal work on information theory, we consider a framework of asymmetry where any causal link between putative cause and effect must be explained through a mechanism governing the cause as well as a generative process yielding an effect of the cause. Under weak assumptions, this framework enables the assessment of whether X is a stronger predictor of Y or vice-versa. Under stronger identifiability assumptions our framework is able to distinguish between cause and effect using observational data. We establish key statistical properties of this framework. Our proposed methodology relies on scalable non-parametric density estimation using fast Fourier transformation. The resulting estimation method is manyfold faster than the classical bandwidth-based density estimation while maintaining comparable mean integrated squared error rates. We investigate key asymptotic properties of our methodology and introduce a data-splitting technique to facilitate inference. The key attraction of our framework is its inference toolkit, which allows researchers to quantify uncertainty in causal discovery findings. We illustrate the performance of our methodology through simulation studies as well as multiple real data examples.