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In passive imaging, one attempts to reconstruct some coefficients in a wave equation from correlations of observed randomly excited solutions to this wave equation. Many methods proposed for this class of inverse problem so far are only qualitative, e.g., trying to identify the support of a perturbation. Major challenges are the increase in dimensionality when computing correlations from primary data in a preprocessing step, and often very poor pointwise signal-to-noise ratios. In this paper, we propose an approach that addresses both of these challenges: It works only on the primary data while implicitly using the full information contained in the correlation data, and it provides quantitative estimates and convergence by iteration. Our work is motivated by helioseismic holography, a powerful imaging method to map heterogenities and flows in the solar interior. We show that the back-propagation used in classical helioseismic holography can be interpreted as the adjoint of the Fr\'echet derivative of the operator which maps the properties of the solar interior to the correlation data on the solar surface. The theoretical and numerical framework for passive imaging problems developed in this paper extends helioseismic holography to nonlinear problems and allows for quantitative reconstructions. We present a proof of concept in uniform media.

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Mediation analysis assesses the extent to which the exposure affects the outcome indirectly through a mediator and the extent to which it operates directly through other pathways. As the most popular method in empirical mediation analysis, the Baron-Kenny approach estimates the indirect and direct effects of the exposure on the outcome based on linear structural equation models. However, when the exposure and the mediator are not randomized, the estimates may be biased due to unmeasured confounding among the exposure, mediator, and outcome. Building on Cinelli and Hazlett (2020), we derive general omitted-variable bias formulas in linear regressions with vector responses and regressors. We then use the formulas to develop a sensitivity analysis method for the Baron-Kenny approach to mediation in the presence of unmeasured confounding. To ensure interpretability, we express the sensitivity parameters to correspond to the natural factorization of the joint distribution of the direct acyclic graph for mediation analysis. They measure the partial correlation between the unmeasured confounder and the exposure, mediator, outcome, respectively. With the sensitivity parameters, we propose a novel measure called the "robustness value for mediation" or simply the "robustness value", to assess the robustness of results based on the Baron-Kenny approach with respect to unmeasured confounding. Intuitively, the robustness value measures the minimum value of the maximum proportion of variability explained by the unmeasured confounding, for the exposure, mediator and outcome, to overturn the results of the point estimate or confidence interval for the direct and indirect effects. Importantly, we prove that all our sensitivity bounds are attainable and thus sharp.

We consider the task of estimating functions belonging to a specific class of nonsmooth functions, namely so-called tame functions. These functions appear in a wide range of applications: training deep learning, value functions of mixed-integer programs, or wave functions of small molecules. We show that tame functions are approximable by piecewise polynomials on any full-dimensional cube. We then present the first ever mixed-integer programming formulation of piecewise polynomial regression. Together, these can be used to estimate tame functions. We demonstrate promising computational results.

Miura surfaces are the solutions of a constrained nonlinear elliptic system of equations. This system is derived by homogenization from the Miura fold, which is a type of origami fold with multiple applications in engineering. A previous inquiry, gave suboptimal conditions for existence of solutions and proposed an $H^2$-conformal finite element method to approximate them. In this paper, the existence of Miura surfaces is studied using a mixed formulation. It is also proved that the constraints propagate from the boundary to the interior of the domain for well-chosen boundary conditions. Then, a numerical method based on a least-squares formulation, Taylor--Hood finite elements and a Newton method is introduced to approximate Miura surfaces. The numerical method is proved to converge and numerical tests are performed to demonstrate its robustness.

A large number of magnetohydrodynamic (MHD) equilibrium calculations are often required for uncertainty quantification, optimization, and real-time diagnostic information, making MHD equilibrium codes vital to the field of plasma physics. In this paper, we explore a method for solving the Grad-Shafranov equation by using Physics-Informed Neural Networks (PINNs). For PINNs, we optimize neural networks by directly minimizing the residual of the PDE as a loss function. We show that PINNs can accurately and effectively solve the Grad-Shafranov equation with several different boundary conditions. We also explore the parameter space by varying the size of the model, the learning rate, and boundary conditions to map various trade-offs such as between reconstruction error and computational speed. Additionally, we introduce a parameterized PINN framework, expanding the input space to include variables such as pressure, aspect ratio, elongation, and triangularity in order to handle a broader range of plasma scenarios within a single network. Parametrized PINNs could be used in future work to solve inverse problems such as shape optimization.

The paper presents a numerical method for the simulation of flow and mechanics in fractured rock. The governing equations which couple the effects in the rock mass and in the fractures are obtained using the discrete fracture-matrix approach. The fracture flow is driven by the cubic law, and the non-penetration contact conditions prevent fractures from closing. A stable finite element discretization is proposed for the displacement-pressure-flux formulation. The resulting nonlinear algebraic system of equations and inequalities is decoupled using a robust iterative splitting into the linearized flow subproblem, and the quadratic programming problem for the mechanical part. The non-penetration conditions are solved by means of the MPGP algorithm. The capability of the numerical scheme is demonstrated on a benchmark problem for borehole excavation with hundreds of fractures in 3D. The paper's novelty consists in combination of three crucial ingredients: (i) application of discrete fracture matrix approach, (ii) robust iterative splitting of resulting nonlinear algebraic system working for real-world 3D problems and (iii) efficient solution of its mechanical quadratic programming part with large number of fractures in mutual contact by means of own solvers with known rate of convergence implemented into in-house PERMON library.

Stochastic memoization is a higher-order construct of probabilistic programming languages that is key in Bayesian nonparametrics, a modular approach that allows us to extend models beyond their parametric limitations and compose them in an elegant and principled manner. Stochastic memoization is simple and useful in practice, but semantically elusive, particularly regarding dataflow transformations. As the naive implementation resorts to the state monad, which is not commutative, it is not clear if stochastic memoization preserves the dataflow property -- i.e., whether we can reorder the lines of a program without changing its semantics, provided the dataflow graph is preserved. In this paper, we give an operational and categorical semantics to stochastic memoization and name generation in the context of a minimal probabilistic programming language, for a restricted class of functions. Our contribution is a first model of stochastic memoization of constant Bernoulli functions with a non-enumerable type, which validates data flow transformations, bridging the gap between traditional probability theory and higher-order probability models. Our model uses a presheaf category and a novel probability monad on it.

Sequential neural posterior estimation (SNPE) techniques have been recently proposed for dealing with simulation-based models with intractable likelihoods. Unlike approximate Bayesian computation, SNPE techniques learn the posterior from sequential simulation using neural network-based conditional density estimators. This paper reclaims SNPE-B proposed by Lueckmann et al. (2017), which suffers from inefficiency and slow inference due to inefficient utilization of simulated data and high variance of parameter updates. To address these issues, we firstly introduce a concentrated loss function based on an adaptive calibration kernel that reweights the simulated data appropriately to improve the data efficiency. Moreover, we provide a theoretical analysis of the variance of associated Monte Carlo estimators. Based on this analysis, we then propose several variance reduction techniques to further accelerate the process of learning. Numerical experiments demonstrate that our method outperforms the original method together with other existing competitors on certain tasks.

We propose a topological mapping and localization system able to operate on real human colonoscopies, despite significant shape and illumination changes. The map is a graph where each node codes a colon location by a set of real images, while edges represent traversability between nodes. For close-in-time images, where scene changes are minor, place recognition can be successfully managed with the recent transformers-based local feature matching algorithms. However, under long-term changes -- such as different colonoscopies of the same patient -- feature-based matching fails. To address this, we train on real colonoscopies a deep global descriptor achieving high recall with significant changes in the scene. The addition of a Bayesian filter boosts the accuracy of long-term place recognition, enabling relocalization in a previously built map. Our experiments show that ColonMapper is able to autonomously build a map and localize against it in two important use cases: localization within the same colonoscopy or within different colonoscopies of the same patient. Code will be available upon acceptance.

Maximal regularity is a kind of a priori estimates for parabolic-type equations and it plays an important role in the theory of nonlinear differential equations. The aim of this paper is to investigate the temporally discrete counterpart of maximal regularity for the discontinuous Galerkin (DG) time-stepping method. We will establish such an estimate without logarithmic factor over a quasi-uniform temporal mesh. To show the main result, we introduce the temporally regularized Green's function and then reduce the discrete maximal regularity to a weighted error estimate for its DG approximation. Our results would be useful for investigation of DG approximation of nonlinear parabolic problems.

We are interested in assessing the use of neural networks as surrogate models to approximate and minimize objective functions in optimization problems. While neural networks are widely used for machine learning tasks such as classification and regression, their application in solving optimization problems has been limited. Our study begins by determining the best activation function for approximating the objective functions of popular nonlinear optimization test problems, and the evidence provided shows that~SiLU has the best performance. We then analyze the accuracy of function value, gradient, and Hessian approximations for such objective functions obtained through interpolation/regression models and neural networks. When compared to interpolation/regression models, neural networks can deliver competitive zero- and first-order approximations (at a high training cost) but underperform on second-order approximation. However, it is shown that combining a neural net activation function with the natural basis for quadratic interpolation/regression can waive the necessity of including cross terms in the natural basis, leading to models with fewer parameters to determine. Lastly, we provide evidence that the performance of a state-of-the-art derivative-free optimization algorithm can hardly be improved when the gradient of an objective function is approximated using any of the surrogate models considered, including neural networks.

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