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In industry, online randomized controlled experiment (a.k.a A/B experiment) is a standard approach to measure the impact of a causal change. These experiments have small treatment effect to reduce the potential blast radius. As a result, these experiments often lack statistical significance due to low signal-to-noise ratio. To improve the precision (or reduce standard error), we introduce the idea of trigger observations where the output of the treatment and the control model are different. We show that the evaluation with full information about trigger observations (full knowledge) improves the precision in comparison to a baseline method. However, detecting all such trigger observations is a costly affair, hence we propose a sampling based evaluation method (partial knowledge) to reduce the cost. The randomness of sampling introduces bias in the estimated outcome. We theoretically analyze this bias and show that the bias is inversely proportional to the number of observations used for sampling. We also compare the proposed evaluation methods using simulation and empirical data. In simulation, evaluation with full knowledge reduces the standard error as much as 85%. In empirical setup, evaluation with partial knowledge reduces the standard error by 36.48%.

Several approaches have been proposed in the literature for clustering multivariate ordinal data. These methods typically treat missing values as absent information, rather than recognizing them as valuable for profiling population characteristics. To address this gap, we introduce a Bayesian nonparametric model for co-clustering multivariate ordinal data that treats censored observations as informative, rather than merely missing. We demonstrate that this offers a significant improvement in understanding the underlying structure of the data. Our model exploits the flexibility of two independent Dirichlet processes, allowing us to infer potentially distinct subpopulations that characterize the latent structure of both subjects and variables. The ordinal nature of the data is addressed by introducing latent variables, while a matrix factorization specification is adopted to handle the high dimensionality of the data in a parsimonious way. The conjugate structure of the model enables an explicit derivation of the full conditional distributions of all the random variables in the model, which facilitates seamless posterior inference using a Gibbs sampling algorithm. We demonstrate the method's performance through simulations and by analyzing politician and movie ratings data.

Large Language Models (LLMs) are increasingly augmented with external tools and commercial services into LLM-integrated systems. While these interfaces can significantly enhance the capabilities of the models, they also introduce a new attack surface. Manipulated integrations, for example, can exploit the model and compromise sensitive data accessed through other interfaces. While previous work primarily focused on attacks targeting a model's alignment or the leakage of training data, the security of data that is only available during inference has escaped scrutiny so far. In this work, we demonstrate the vulnerabilities associated with external components and introduce a systematic approach to evaluate confidentiality risks in LLM-integrated systems. We identify two specific attack scenarios unique to these systems and formalize these into a tool-robustness framework designed to measure a model's ability to protect sensitive information. Our findings show that all examined models are highly vulnerable to confidentiality attacks, with the risk increasing significantly when models are used together with external tools.

In statistical analysis, Monte Carlo (MC) stands as a classical numerical integration method. When encountering challenging sample problem, Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) is a commonly employed method. However, the MCMC estimator is biased after a fixed number of iterations. Unbiased MCMC, an advancement achieved through coupling techniques, addresses this bias issue in MCMC. It allows us to run many short chains in parallel. Quasi-Monte Carlo (QMC), known for its high order of convergence, is an alternative of MC. By incorporating the idea of QMC into MCMC, Markov chain quasi-Monte Carlo (MCQMC) effectively reduces the variance of MCMC, especially in Gibbs samplers. This work presents a novel approach that integrates unbiased MCMC with MCQMC, called as an unbiased MCQMC method. This method renders unbiased estimators while improving the rate of convergence significantly. Numerical experiments demonstrate that for Gibbs sampling, unbiased MCQMC with a sample size of $N$ yields a faster root mean square error (RMSE) rate than the \(O(N^{-1/2})\) rate of unbiased MCMC, toward an RMSE rate of \(O(N^{-1})\) for low-dimensional problems. Surprisingly, in a challenging problem of 1049-dimensional P\'olya Gamma Gibbs sampler, the RMSE can still be reduced by several times for moderate sample sizes. In the setting of parallelization, unbiased MCQMC also performs better than unbiased MCMC, even running with short chains.

This study develops an algorithm to solve a variation of the Shortest Common Superstring (SCS) problem. There are two modifications to the base SCS problem. First, one string in the set S is allowed to have up to K mistakes, defined as not matching the SCS in at most K positions. Second, no string in S can be a substring of another in S. The algorithm proposed for the problem is exact.

Comparing counterfactual distributions can provide more nuanced and valuable measures for causal effects, going beyond typical summary statistics such as averages. In this work, we consider characterizing causal effects via distributional distances, focusing on two kinds of target parameters. The first is the counterfactual outcome density. We propose a doubly robust-style estimator for the counterfactual density and study its rates of convergence and limiting distributions. We analyze asymptotic upper bounds on the $L_q$ and the integrated $L_q$ risks of the proposed estimator, and propose a bootstrap-based confidence band. The second is a novel distributional causal effect defined by the $L_1$ distance between different counterfactual distributions. We study three approaches for estimating the proposed distributional effect: smoothing the counterfactual density, smoothing the $L_1$ distance, and imposing a margin condition. For each approach, we analyze asymptotic properties and error bounds of the proposed estimator, and discuss potential advantages and disadvantages. We go on to present a bootstrap approach for obtaining confidence intervals, and propose a test of no distributional effect. We conclude with a numerical illustration and a real-world example.

Nonlinear Model Predictive Control (NMPC) is a state-of-the-art approach for locomotion and manipulation which leverages trajectory optimization at each control step. While the performance of this approach is computationally bounded, implementations of direct trajectory optimization that use iterative methods to solve the underlying moderately-large and sparse linear systems, are a natural fit for parallel hardware acceleration. In this work, we introduce MPCGPU, a GPU-accelerated, real-time NMPC solver that leverages an accelerated preconditioned conjugate gradient (PCG) linear system solver at its core. We show that MPCGPU increases the scalability and real-time performance of NMPC, solving larger problems, at faster rates. In particular, for tracking tasks using the Kuka IIWA manipulator, MPCGPU is able to scale to kilohertz control rates with trajectories as long as 512 knot points. This is driven by a custom PCG solver which outperforms state-of-the-art, CPU-based, linear system solvers by at least 10x for a majority of solves and 3.6x on average.

We present a generalization of Nesterov's accelerated gradient descent algorithm. Our algorithm (AGNES) provably achieves acceleration for smooth convex and strongly convex minimization tasks with noisy gradient estimates if the noise intensity is proportional to the magnitude of the gradient at every point. Nesterov's method converges at an accelerated rate if the constant of proportionality is below 1, while AGNES accommodates any signal-to-noise ratio. The noise model is motivated by applications in overparametrized machine learning. AGNES requires only two parameters in convex and three in strongly convex minimization tasks, improving on existing methods. We further provide clear geometric interpretations and heuristics for the choice of parameters.

Although measuring held-out accuracy has been the primary approach to evaluate generalization, it often overestimates the performance of NLP models, while alternative approaches for evaluating models either focus on individual tasks or on specific behaviors. Inspired by principles of behavioral testing in software engineering, we introduce CheckList, a task-agnostic methodology for testing NLP models. CheckList includes a matrix of general linguistic capabilities and test types that facilitate comprehensive test ideation, as well as a software tool to generate a large and diverse number of test cases quickly. We illustrate the utility of CheckList with tests for three tasks, identifying critical failures in both commercial and state-of-art models. In a user study, a team responsible for a commercial sentiment analysis model found new and actionable bugs in an extensively tested model. In another user study, NLP practitioners with CheckList created twice as many tests, and found almost three times as many bugs as users without it.

We study the problem of embedding-based entity alignment between knowledge graphs (KGs). Previous works mainly focus on the relational structure of entities. Some further incorporate another type of features, such as attributes, for refinement. However, a vast of entity features are still unexplored or not equally treated together, which impairs the accuracy and robustness of embedding-based entity alignment. In this paper, we propose a novel framework that unifies multiple views of entities to learn embeddings for entity alignment. Specifically, we embed entities based on the views of entity names, relations and attributes, with several combination strategies. Furthermore, we design some cross-KG inference methods to enhance the alignment between two KGs. Our experiments on real-world datasets show that the proposed framework significantly outperforms the state-of-the-art embedding-based entity alignment methods. The selected views, cross-KG inference and combination strategies all contribute to the performance improvement.