亚洲男人的天堂2018av,欧美草比,久久久久久免费视频精选,国色天香在线看免费,久久久久亚洲av成人片仓井空

Estimation of parameters in differential equation models can be achieved by applying learning algorithms to quantitative time-series data. However, sometimes it is only possible to measure qualitative changes of a system in response to a controlled condition. In dynamical systems theory, such change points are known as bifurcations and lie on a function of the controlled condition called the bifurcation diagram. In this work, we propose a gradient-based approach for inferring the parameters of differential equations that produce a user-specified bifurcation diagram. The cost function contains an error term that is minimal when the model bifurcations match the specified targets and a bifurcation measure which has gradients that push optimisers towards bifurcating parameter regimes. The gradients can be computed without the need to differentiate through the operations of the solver that was used to compute the diagram. We demonstrate parameter inference with minimal models which explore the space of saddle-node and pitchfork diagrams and the genetic toggle switch from synthetic biology. Furthermore, the cost landscape allows us to organise models in terms of topological and geometric equivalence.

The unlabeled sensing problem is to solve a noisy linear system of equations under unknown permutation of the measurements. We study a particular case of the problem where the permutations are restricted to be r-local, i.e. the permutation matrix is block diagonal with r x r blocks. Assuming a Gaussian measurement matrix, we argue that the r-local permutation model is more challenging compared to a recent sparse permutation model. We propose a proximal alternating minimization algorithm for the general unlabeled sensing problem that provably converges to a first order stationary point. Applied to the r-local model, we show that the resulting algorithm is efficient. We validate the algorithm on synthetic and real datasets. We also formulate the 1-d unassigned distance geometry problem as an unlabeled sensing problem with a structured measurement matrix.

In this paper several related estimation problems are addressed from a Bayesian point of view and optimal estimators are obtained for each of them when some natural loss functions are considered. Namely, we are interested in estimating a regression curve. Simultaneously, the estimation problems of a conditional distribution function, or a conditional density, or even the conditional distribution itself, are considered. All these problems are posed in a sufficiently general framework to cover continuous and discrete, univariate and multivariate, parametric and non-parametric cases, without the need to use a specific prior distribution. The loss functions considered come naturally from the quadratic error loss function comonly used in estimating a real function of the unknown parameter. The cornerstone of the mentioned Bayes estimators is the posterior predictive distribution. Some examples are provided to illustrate these results.

Bayesian optimization (BO) is a powerful approach for optimizing black-box, expensive-to-evaluate functions. To enable a flexible trade-off between the cost and accuracy, many applications allow the function to be evaluated at different fidelities. In order to reduce the optimization cost while maximizing the benefit-cost ratio, in this paper, we propose Batch Multi-fidelity Bayesian Optimization with Deep Auto-Regressive Networks (BMBO-DARN). We use a set of Bayesian neural networks to construct a fully auto-regressive model, which is expressive enough to capture strong yet complex relationships across all the fidelities, so as to improve the surrogate learning and optimization performance. Furthermore, to enhance the quality and diversity of queries, we develop a simple yet efficient batch querying method, without any combinatorial search over the fidelities. We propose a batch acquisition function based on Max-value Entropy Search (MES) principle, which penalizes highly correlated queries and encourages diversity. We use posterior samples and moment matching to fulfill efficient computation of the acquisition function and conduct alternating optimization over every fidelity-input pair, which guarantees an improvement at each step. We demonstrate the advantage of our approach on four real-world hyperparameter optimization applications.

Compared to the nominal scale, the ordinal scale for a categorical outcome variable has the property of making a monotonicity assumption for the covariate effects meaningful. This assumption is encoded in the commonly used proportional odds model, but there it is combined with other parametric assumptions such as linearity and additivity. Herein, the considered models are non-parametric and the only condition imposed is that the effects of the covariates on the outcome categories are stochastically monotone according to the ordinal scale. We are not aware of the existence of other comparable multivariable models that would be suitable for inference purposes. We generalize our previously proposed Bayesian monotonic multivariable regression model to ordinal outcomes, and propose an estimation procedure based on reversible jump Markov chain Monte Carlo. The model is based on a marked point process construction, which allows it to approximate arbitrary monotonic regression function shapes, and has a built-in covariate selection property. We study the performance of the proposed approach through extensive simulation studies, and demonstrate its practical application in two real data examples.

A posteriori upper and lower bounds are derived for the linear finite element method (FEM) for the Helmholtz equation with large wave number. It is proved rigorously that the standard residual type error estimator seriously underestimates the true error of the FE solution for the mesh size $h$ in the preasymptotic regime, which is first observed by Babu\v{s}ka, et al. for an one dimensional problem. By establishing an equivalence relationship between the error estimators for the FE solution and the corresponding elliptic projection of the exact solution, an adaptive algorithm is proposed and its convergence and quasi-optimality are proved under condition that $k^3h_0^{1+\al}$ is sufficiently small, where $h_0$ is the initial mesh size and $\frac12<\al\le 1$ is a regularity constant depending on the maximum reentrant angle of the domain. Numerical tests are given to verify the theoretical findings and to show that the adaptive continuous interior penalty finite element method (CIP-FEM) with appropriately selected penalty parameters can greatly reduce the pollution error and hence the residual type error estimator for this CIP-FEM is reliable and efficient even in the preasymptotic regime.

Despite their overwhelming capacity to overfit, deep neural networks trained by specific optimization algorithms tend to generalize well to unseen data. Recently, researchers explained it by investigating the implicit regularization effect of optimization algorithms. A remarkable progress is the work (Lyu&Li, 2019), which proves gradient descent (GD) maximizes the margin of homogeneous deep neural networks. Except GD, adaptive algorithms such as AdaGrad, RMSProp and Adam are popular owing to their rapid training process. However, theoretical guarantee for the generalization of adaptive optimization algorithms is still lacking. In this paper, we study the implicit regularization of adaptive optimization algorithms when they are optimizing the logistic loss on homogeneous deep neural networks. We prove that adaptive algorithms that adopt exponential moving average strategy in conditioner (such as Adam and RMSProp) can maximize the margin of the neural network, while AdaGrad that directly sums historical squared gradients in conditioner can not. It indicates superiority on generalization of exponential moving average strategy in the design of the conditioner. Technically, we provide a unified framework to analyze convergent direction of adaptive optimization algorithms by constructing novel adaptive gradient flow and surrogate margin. Our experiments can well support the theoretical findings on convergent direction of adaptive optimization algorithms.

Owing to the recent advances in "Big Data" modeling and prediction tasks, variational Bayesian estimation has gained popularity due to their ability to provide exact solutions to approximate posteriors. One key technique for approximate inference is stochastic variational inference (SVI). SVI poses variational inference as a stochastic optimization problem and solves it iteratively using noisy gradient estimates. It aims to handle massive data for predictive and classification tasks by applying complex Bayesian models that have observed as well as latent variables. This paper aims to decentralize it allowing parallel computation, secure learning and robustness benefits. We use Alternating Direction Method of Multipliers in a top-down setting to develop a distributed SVI algorithm such that independent learners running inference algorithms only require sharing the estimated model parameters instead of their private datasets. Our work extends the distributed SVI-ADMM algorithm that we first propose, to an ADMM-based networked SVI algorithm in which not only are the learners working distributively but they share information according to rules of a graph by which they form a network. This kind of work lies under the umbrella of `deep learning over networks' and we verify our algorithm for a topic-modeling problem for corpus of Wikipedia articles. We illustrate the results on latent Dirichlet allocation (LDA) topic model in large document classification, compare performance with the centralized algorithm, and use numerical experiments to corroborate the analytical results.

Amortized inference has led to efficient approximate inference for large datasets. The quality of posterior inference is largely determined by two factors: a) the ability of the variational distribution to model the true posterior and b) the capacity of the recognition network to generalize inference over all datapoints. We analyze approximate inference in variational autoencoders in terms of these factors. We find that suboptimal inference is often due to amortizing inference rather than the limited complexity of the approximating distribution. We show that this is due partly to the generator learning to accommodate the choice of approximation. Furthermore, we show that the parameters used to increase the expressiveness of the approximation play a role in generalizing inference rather than simply improving the complexity of the approximation.