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In their seminal 1990 paper, Wasserman and Kadane establish an upper bound for the Bayes' posterior probability of a measurable set $A$, when the prior lies in a class of probability measures $\mathcal{P}$ and the likelihood is precise. They also give a sufficient condition for such upper bound to hold with equality. In this paper, we introduce a generalization of their result by additionally addressing uncertainty related to the likelihood. We give an upper bound for the posterior probability when both the prior and the likelihood belong to a set of probabilities. Furthermore, we give a sufficient condition for this upper bound to become an equality. This result is interesting on its own, and has the potential of being applied to various fields of engineering (e.g. model predictive control), machine learning, and artificial intelligence.

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In this paper, we investigate federated clustering (FedC) problem, that aims to accurately partition unlabeled data samples distributed over massive clients into finite clusters under the orchestration of a parameter server, meanwhile considering data privacy. Though it is an NP-hard optimization problem involving real variables denoting cluster centroids and binary variables denoting the cluster membership of each data sample, we judiciously reformulate the FedC problem into a non-convex optimization problem with only one convex constraint, accordingly yielding a soft clustering solution. Then a novel FedC algorithm using differential privacy (DP) technique, referred to as DP-FedC, is proposed in which partial clients participation and multiple local model updating steps are also considered. Furthermore, various attributes of the proposed DP-FedC are obtained through theoretical analyses of privacy protection and convergence rate, especially for the case of non-identically and independently distributed (non-i.i.d.) data, that ideally serve as the guidelines for the design of the proposed DP-FedC. Then some experimental results on two real datasets are provided to demonstrate the efficacy of the proposed DP-FedC together with its much superior performance over some state-of-the-art FedC algorithms, and the consistency with all the presented analytical results.

In this paper, we investigate the convergence properties of the stochastic gradient descent (SGD) method and its variants, especially in training neural networks built from nonsmooth activation functions. We develop a novel framework that assigns different timescales to stepsizes for updating the momentum terms and variables, respectively. Under mild conditions, we prove the global convergence of our proposed framework in both single-timescale and two-timescale cases. We show that our proposed framework encompasses a wide range of well-known SGD-type methods, including heavy-ball SGD, SignSGD, Lion, normalized SGD and clipped SGD. Furthermore, when the objective function adopts a finite-sum formulation, we prove the convergence properties for these SGD-type methods based on our proposed framework. In particular, we prove that these SGD-type methods find the Clarke stationary points of the objective function with randomly chosen stepsizes and initial points under mild assumptions. Preliminary numerical experiments demonstrate the high efficiency of our analyzed SGD-type methods.

This paper proposes an extension of Random Projection Depth (RPD) to cope with multiple modalities and non-convexity on data clouds. In the framework of the proposed method, the RPD is computed in a reproducing kernel Hilbert space. With the help of kernel principal component analysis, we expect that the proposed method can cope with the above multiple modalities and non-convexity. The experimental results demonstrate that the proposed method outperforms RPD and is comparable to other existing detection models on benchmark datasets regarding Area Under the Curves (AUCs) of Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC).

The protection of Industrial Control Systems (ICS) that are employed in public critical infrastructures is of utmost importance due to catastrophic physical damages cyberattacks may cause. The research community requires testbeds for validation and comparing various intrusion detection algorithms to protect ICS. However, there exist high barriers to entry for research and education in the ICS cybersecurity domain due to expensive hardware, software, and inherent dangers of manipulating real-world systems. To close the gap, built upon recently developed 3D high-fidelity simulators, we further showcase our integrated framework to automatically launch cyberattacks, collect data, train machine learning models, and evaluate for practical chemical and manufacturing processes. On our testbed, we validate our proposed intrusion detection model called Minimal Threshold and Window SVM (MinTWin SVM) that utilizes unsupervised machine learning via a one-class SVM in combination with a sliding window and classification threshold. Results show that MinTWin SVM minimizes false positives and is responsive to physical process anomalies. Furthermore, we incorporate our framework with ICS cybersecurity education by using our dataset in an undergraduate machine learning course where students gain hands-on experience in practicing machine learning theory with a practical ICS dataset. All of our implementations have been open-sourced.

We propose a general approach to evaluating the performance of robust estimators based on adversarial losses under misspecified models. We first show that adversarial risk is equivalent to the risk induced by a distributional adversarial attack under certain smoothness conditions. This ensures that the adversarial training procedure is well-defined. To evaluate the generalization performance of the adversarial estimator, we study the adversarial excess risk. Our proposed analysis method includes investigations on both generalization error and approximation error. We then establish non-asymptotic upper bounds for the adversarial excess risk associated with Lipschitz loss functions. In addition, we apply our general results to adversarial training for classification and regression problems. For the quadratic loss in nonparametric regression, we show that the adversarial excess risk bound can be improved over those for a general loss.

Our research aims to unify existing works' diverging opinions on how architectural components affect the adversarial robustness of CNNs. To accomplish our goal, we synthesize a suite of three generalizable robust architectural design principles: (a) optimal range for depth and width configurations, (b) preferring convolutional over patchify stem stage, and (c) robust residual block design through adopting squeeze and excitation blocks and non-parametric smooth activation functions. Through extensive experiments across a wide spectrum of dataset scales, adversarial training methods, model parameters, and network design spaces, our principles consistently and markedly improve AutoAttack accuracy: 1-3 percentage points (pp) on CIFAR-10 and CIFAR-100, and 4-9 pp on ImageNet. The code is publicly available at //github.com/poloclub/robust-principles.

Recent contrastive representation learning methods rely on estimating mutual information (MI) between multiple views of an underlying context. E.g., we can derive multiple views of a given image by applying data augmentation, or we can split a sequence into views comprising the past and future of some step in the sequence. Contrastive lower bounds on MI are easy to optimize, but have a strong underestimation bias when estimating large amounts of MI. We propose decomposing the full MI estimation problem into a sum of smaller estimation problems by splitting one of the views into progressively more informed subviews and by applying the chain rule on MI between the decomposed views. This expression contains a sum of unconditional and conditional MI terms, each measuring modest chunks of the total MI, which facilitates approximation via contrastive bounds. To maximize the sum, we formulate a contrastive lower bound on the conditional MI which can be approximated efficiently. We refer to our general approach as Decomposed Estimation of Mutual Information (DEMI). We show that DEMI can capture a larger amount of MI than standard non-decomposed contrastive bounds in a synthetic setting, and learns better representations in a vision domain and for dialogue generation.

Graphical causal inference as pioneered by Judea Pearl arose from research on artificial intelligence (AI), and for a long time had little connection to the field of machine learning. This article discusses where links have been and should be established, introducing key concepts along the way. It argues that the hard open problems of machine learning and AI are intrinsically related to causality, and explains how the field is beginning to understand them.

Named entity recognition (NER) is the task to identify text spans that mention named entities, and to classify them into predefined categories such as person, location, organization etc. NER serves as the basis for a variety of natural language applications such as question answering, text summarization, and machine translation. Although early NER systems are successful in producing decent recognition accuracy, they often require much human effort in carefully designing rules or features. In recent years, deep learning, empowered by continuous real-valued vector representations and semantic composition through nonlinear processing, has been employed in NER systems, yielding stat-of-the-art performance. In this paper, we provide a comprehensive review on existing deep learning techniques for NER. We first introduce NER resources, including tagged NER corpora and off-the-shelf NER tools. Then, we systematically categorize existing works based on a taxonomy along three axes: distributed representations for input, context encoder, and tag decoder. Next, we survey the most representative methods for recent applied techniques of deep learning in new NER problem settings and applications. Finally, we present readers with the challenges faced by NER systems and outline future directions in this area.

Multi-relation Question Answering is a challenging task, due to the requirement of elaborated analysis on questions and reasoning over multiple fact triples in knowledge base. In this paper, we present a novel model called Interpretable Reasoning Network that employs an interpretable, hop-by-hop reasoning process for question answering. The model dynamically decides which part of an input question should be analyzed at each hop; predicts a relation that corresponds to the current parsed results; utilizes the predicted relation to update the question representation and the state of the reasoning process; and then drives the next-hop reasoning. Experiments show that our model yields state-of-the-art results on two datasets. More interestingly, the model can offer traceable and observable intermediate predictions for reasoning analysis and failure diagnosis.

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