Neurodegenerative diseases are characterized by numerous markers of progression and clinical endpoints. For instance, Multiple System Atrophy (MSA), a rare neurodegenerative synucleinopathy, is characterized by various combinations of progressive autonomic failure and motor dysfunction, and a very poor prognosis. Describing the progression of such complex and multi-dimensional diseases is particularly difficult. One has to simultaneously account for the assessment of multivariate markers over time, the occurrence of clinical endpoints, and a highly suspected heterogeneity between patients. Yet, such description is crucial for understanding the natural history of the disease, staging patients diagnosed with the disease, unraveling subphenotypes, and predicting the prognosis. Through the example of MSA progression, we show how a latent class approach can help describe complex disease progression measured by multiple repeated markers and clinical endpoints, and identify subphenotypes for exploring new pathological hypotheses. The joint latent class model includes class-specific multivariate mixed models to handle multivariate repeated biomarkers possibly summarized into latent dimensions and class-and-cause-specific proportional hazard models to handle time-to-event data. Maximum likelihood estimation is made available in the lcmm R package. In the French MSA cohort comprising data of 598 patients during up to 13 years, five subphenotypes of MSA were identified that differ by the sequence and shape of biomarkers degradation, and the associated risk of death. In posterior analyses, the five subphenotypes were used to explore the association between clinical progression and external imaging and fluid biomarkers, while properly accounting for the uncertainty in the subphenotypes membership.
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The variational autoencoder (VAE) is a popular deep latent variable model used to analyse high-dimensional datasets by learning a low-dimensional latent representation of the data. It simultaneously learns a generative model and an inference network to perform approximate posterior inference. Recently proposed extensions to VAEs that can handle temporal and longitudinal data have applications in healthcare, behavioural modelling, and predictive maintenance. However, these extensions do not account for heterogeneous data (i.e., data comprising of continuous and discrete attributes), which is common in many real-life applications. In this work, we propose the heterogeneous longitudinal VAE (HL-VAE) that extends the existing temporal and longitudinal VAEs to heterogeneous data. HL-VAE provides efficient inference for high-dimensional datasets and includes likelihood models for continuous, count, categorical, and ordinal data while accounting for missing observations. We demonstrate our model's efficacy through simulated as well as clinical datasets, and show that our proposed model achieves competitive performance in missing value imputation and predictive accuracy.
Common tasks encountered in epidemiology, including disease incidence estimation and causal inference, rely on predictive modeling. Constructing a predictive model can be thought of as learning a prediction function, i.e., a function that takes as input covariate data and outputs a predicted value. Many strategies for learning these functions from data are available, from parametric regressions to machine learning algorithms. It can be challenging to choose an approach, as it is impossible to know in advance which one is the most suitable for a particular dataset and prediction task at hand. The super learner (SL) is an algorithm that alleviates concerns over selecting the one "right" strategy while providing the freedom to consider many of them, such as those recommended by collaborators, used in related research, or specified by subject-matter experts. It is an entirely pre-specified and data-adaptive strategy for predictive modeling. To ensure the SL is well-specified for learning the prediction function, the analyst does need to make a few important choices. In this Education Corner article, we provide step-by-step guidelines for making these choices, walking the reader through each of them and providing intuition along the way. In doing so, we aim to empower the analyst to tailor the SL specification to their prediction task, thereby ensuring their SL performs as well as possible. A flowchart provides a concise, easy-to-follow summary of key suggestions and heuristics, based on our accumulated experience, and guided by theory.
The COVID-19 pandemic has highlighted the urgency for developing more efficient molecular discovery pathways. As exhaustive exploration of the vast chemical space is infeasible, discovering novel inhibitor molecules for emerging drug-target proteins is challenging, particularly for targets with unknown structure or ligands. We demonstrate the broad utility of a single deep generative framework toward discovering novel drug-like inhibitor molecules against two distinct SARS-CoV-2 targets -- the main protease (Mpro) and the receptor binding domain (RBD) of the spike protein. To perform target-aware design, the framework employs a target sequence-conditioned sampling of novel molecules from a generative model. Micromolar-level in vitro inhibition was observed for two candidates (out of four synthesized) for each target. The most potent spike RBD inhibitor also emerged as a rare non-covalent antiviral with broad-spectrum activity against several SARS-CoV-2 variants in live virus neutralization assays. These results show a broadly deployable machine intelligence framework can accelerate hit discovery across different emerging drug-targets.
Fair representation learning transforms user data into a representation that ensures fairness and utility regardless of the downstream application. However, learning individually fair representations, i.e., guaranteeing that similar individuals are treated similarly, remains challenging in high-dimensional settings such as computer vision. In this work, we introduce LASSI, the first representation learning method for certifying individual fairness of high-dimensional data. Our key insight is to leverage recent advances in generative modeling to capture the set of similar individuals in the generative latent space. This enables us to learn individually fair representations that map similar individuals close together by using adversarial training to minimize the distance between their representations. Finally, we employ randomized smoothing to provably map similar individuals close together, in turn ensuring that local robustness verification of the downstream application results in end-to-end fairness certification. Our experimental evaluation on challenging real-world image data demonstrates that our method increases certified individual fairness by up to 90% without significantly affecting task utility.
Traditional object detection answers two questions; "what" (what the object is?) and "where" (where the object is?). "what" part of the object detection can be fine-grained further i.e. "what type", "what shape" and "what material" etc. This results in the shifting of the object detection tasks to the object description paradigm. Describing an object provides additional detail that enables us to understand the characteristics and attributes of the object ("plastic boat" not just boat, "glass bottle" not just bottle). This additional information can implicitly be used to gain insight into unseen objects (e.g. unknown object is "metallic", "has wheels"), which is not possible in traditional object detection. In this paper, we present a new approach to simultaneously detect objects and infer their attributes, we call it Detect and Describe (DaD) framework. DaD is a deep learning-based approach that extends object detection to object attribute prediction as well. We train our model on aPascal train set and evaluate our approach on aPascal test set. We achieve 97.0% in Area Under the Receiver Operating Characteristic Curve (AUC) for object attributes prediction on aPascal test set. We also show qualitative results for object attribute prediction on unseen objects, which demonstrate the effectiveness of our approach for describing unknown objects.
Anomaly Detection is becoming increasingly popular within the experimental physics community. At experiments such as the Large Hadron Collider, anomaly detection is at the forefront of finding new physics beyond the Standard Model. This paper details the implementation of a novel Machine Learning architecture, called Flux+Mutability, which combines cutting-edge conditional generative models with clustering algorithms. In the `flux' stage we learn the distribution of a reference class. The `mutability' stage at inference addresses if data significantly deviates from the reference class. We demonstrate the validity of our approach and its connection to multiple problems spanning from one-class classification to anomaly detection. In particular, we apply our method to the isolation of neutral showers in an electromagnetic calorimeter and show its performance in detecting anomalous dijets events from standard QCD background. This approach limits assumptions on the reference sample and remains agnostic to the complementary class of objects of a given problem. We describe the possibility of dynamically generating a reference population and defining selection criteria via quantile cuts. Remarkably this flexible architecture can be deployed for a wide range of problems, and applications like multi-class classification or data quality control are left for further exploration.
The use of attention models for automated image captioning has enabled many systems to produce accurate and meaningful descriptions for images. Over the years, many novel approaches have been proposed to enhance the attention process using different feature representations. In this paper, we extend this approach by creating a guided attention network mechanism, that exploits the relationship between the visual scene and text-descriptions using spatial features from the image, high-level information from the topics, and temporal context from caption generation, which are embedded together in an ordered embedding space. A pairwise ranking objective is used for training this embedding space which allows similar images, topics and captions in the shared semantic space to maintain a partial order in the visual-semantic hierarchy and hence, helps the model to produce more visually accurate captions. The experimental results based on MSCOCO dataset shows the competitiveness of our approach, with many state-of-the-art models on various evaluation metrics.
This article proposes an artistic approach to increase and enrich the understanding of Julia Sets. This approach includes the mathematical, the playful, the artistic and the computational dimensions. It is argued that these four dimensions are not disjointed or dissociated despite general rejection by traditional academic communities and art critics communities. Also, some significant collections of Computational Art or Computer-Generated Mathematical Art are mentioned. Four artistic creations based on Julia Sets are presented as examples using the CFDG language. Finally, an informal application of the approach was carried out and artistic production of students are presented and discussed.
The prevalence of networked sensors and actuators in many real-world systems such as smart buildings, factories, power plants, and data centers generate substantial amounts of multivariate time series data for these systems. The rich sensor data can be continuously monitored for intrusion events through anomaly detection. However, conventional threshold-based anomaly detection methods are inadequate due to the dynamic complexities of these systems, while supervised machine learning methods are unable to exploit the large amounts of data due to the lack of labeled data. On the other hand, current unsupervised machine learning approaches have not fully exploited the spatial-temporal correlation and other dependencies amongst the multiple variables (sensors/actuators) in the system for detecting anomalies. In this work, we propose an unsupervised multivariate anomaly detection method based on Generative Adversarial Networks (GANs). Instead of treating each data stream independently, our proposed MAD-GAN framework considers the entire variable set concurrently to capture the latent interactions amongst the variables. We also fully exploit both the generator and discriminator produced by the GAN, using a novel anomaly score called DR-score to detect anomalies by discrimination and reconstruction. We have tested our proposed MAD-GAN using two recent datasets collected from real-world CPS: the Secure Water Treatment (SWaT) and the Water Distribution (WADI) datasets. Our experimental results showed that the proposed MAD-GAN is effective in reporting anomalies caused by various cyber-intrusions compared in these complex real-world systems.
We study how to generate captions that are not only accurate in describing an image but also discriminative across different images. The problem is both fundamental and interesting, as most machine-generated captions, despite phenomenal research progresses in the past several years, are expressed in a very monotonic and featureless format. While such captions are normally accurate, they often lack important characteristics in human languages - distinctiveness for each caption and diversity for different images. To address this problem, we propose a novel conditional generative adversarial network for generating diverse captions across images. Instead of estimating the quality of a caption solely on one image, the proposed comparative adversarial learning framework better assesses the quality of captions by comparing a set of captions within the image-caption joint space. By contrasting with human-written captions and image-mismatched captions, the caption generator effectively exploits the inherent characteristics of human languages, and generates more discriminative captions. We show that our proposed network is capable of producing accurate and diverse captions across images.
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