The impact of player age on performance has received attention across sport. Most research has focused on the performance of players at each age, ignoring the reality that age likewise influences which players receive opportunities to perform. Our manuscript makes two contributions. First, we highlight how selection bias is linked to both (i) which players receive opportunity to perform in sport, and (ii) at which ages we observe these players perform. This approach is used to generate underlying distributions of how players move in and out of sport organizations. Second, motivated by methods for missing data, we propose novel estimation methods of age curves by using both observed and unobserved (imputed) data. We use simulations to compare several comparative approaches for estimating aging curves. Imputation-based methods, as well as models that account for individual player skill, tend to generate lower RMSE and age curve shapes that better match the truth. We implement our approach using data from the National Hockey League.
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Motion planning methods like navigation functions and harmonic potential fields provide (almost) global convergence and are suitable for obstacle avoidance in dynamically changing environments due to their reactive nature. A common assumption in the control design is that the robot operates in a disjoint star world, i.e. all obstacles are strictly starshaped and mutually disjoint. However, in real-life scenarios obstacles may intersect due to expanded obstacle regions corresponding to robot radius or safety margins. To broaden the applicability of aforementioned reactive motion planning methods, we propose a method to reshape a workspace of intersecting obstacles into a disjoint star world. The algorithm is based on two novel concepts presented here, namely admissible kernel and starshaped hull with specified kernel, which are closely related to the notion of starshaped hull. The utilization of the proposed method is illustrated with examples of a robot operating in a 2D workspace using a harmonic potential field approach in combination with the developed algorithm.
One of the most difficult parts of motion planning in configuration space is ensuring a trajectory does not collide with task-space obstacles in the environment. Generating regions that are convex and collision free in configuration space can separate the computational burden of collision checking from motion planning. To that end, we propose an extension to IRIS (Iterative Regional Inflation by Semidefinite programming) [5] that allows it to operate in configuration space. Our algorithm, IRIS-NP (Iterative Regional Inflation by Semidefinite & Nonlinear Programming), uses nonlinear optimization to add the separating hyperplanes, enabling support for more general nonlinear constraints. Developed in parallel to Amice et al. [1], IRIS-NP trades rigorous certification that regions are collision free for probabilistic certification and the benefit of faster region generation in the configuration-space coordinates. IRIS-NP also provides a solid initialization to C-IRIS to reduce the number of iterations required for certification. We demonstrate that IRIS-NP can scale to a dual-arm manipulator and can handle additional nonlinear constraints using the same machinery. Finally, we show ablations of elements of our implementation to demonstrate their importance.
Determining who is at risk from a disease is important in order to protect vulnerable subpopulations during an outbreak. We are currently in a SARS-COV-2 (commonly referred to as COVID-19) pandemic which has had a massive impact across the world, with some communities and individuals seen to have a higher risk of severe outcomes and death from the disease compared to others. These risks are compounded for people of lower socioeconomic status, those who have limited access to health care, higher rates of chronic diseases, such as hypertension, diabetes (type-2), obesity, likely due to the chronic stress of these types of living conditions. Essential workers are also at a higher risk of COVID-19 due to having higher rates of exposure due to the nature of their work. In this study we determine the important features of the pandemic in California in terms of cumulative cases and deaths per 100,000 of population up to the date of 5 July, 2021 (the date of analysis) using Pearson correlation coefficients between population demographic features and cumulative cases and deaths. The most highly correlated features, based on the absolute value of their Pearson Correlation Coefficients in relation to cases or deaths per 100,000, were used to create regression models in two ways: using the top 5 features and using the top 20 features filtered out to limit interactions between features. These models were used to determine a) the most significant features out of these subsets and b) features that approximate different potential forces on COVID-19 cases and deaths (especially in the case of the latter set). Additionally, co-correlations, defined as demographic features not within a given input feature set for the regression models but which are strongly correlated with the features included within, were calculated for all features.
We study a fundamental model of online preference aggregation, where an algorithm maintains an ordered list of $n$ elements. An input is a stream of preferred sets $R_1, R_2, \dots, R_t, \dots$. Upon seeing $R_t$ and without knowledge of any future sets, an algorithm has to rerank elements (change the list ordering), so that at least one element of $R_t$ is found near the list front. The incurred cost is a sum of the list update costs (the number of swaps of neighboring list elements) and access costs (position of the first element of $R_t$ on the list). This scenario occurs naturally in applications such as ordering items in an online shop using aggregated preferences of shop customers. The theoretical underpinning of this problem is known as Min-Sum Set Cover. Unlike previous work (Fotakis et al., ICALP 2020, NIPS 2020) that mostly studied the performance of an online algorithm ALG against the static optimal solution (a single optimal list ordering), in this paper, we study an arguably harder variant where the benchmark is the provably stronger optimal dynamic solution OPT (that may also modify the list ordering). In terms of an online shop, this means that the aggregated preferences of its user base evolve with time. We construct a computationally efficient randomized algorithm whose competitive ratio (ALG-to-OPT cost ratio) is $O(r^2)$ and prove the existence of a deterministic $O(r^4)$-competitive algorithm. Here, $r$ is the maximum cardinality of sets $R_t$. This is the first algorithm whose ratio does not depend on $n$: the previously best algorithm for this problem was $O(r^{3/2} \cdot \sqrt{n})$-competitive and $\Omega(r)$ is a lower bound on the performance of any deterministic online algorithm.
Stochastic Primal-Dual Hybrid Gradient (SPDHG) is an algorithm to efficiently solve a wide class of nonsmooth large-scale optimization problems. In this paper we contribute to its theoretical foundations and prove its almost sure convergence for convex but neither necessarily strongly convex nor smooth functionals. We also prove its convergence for any sampling. In addition, we study SPDHG for parallel Magnetic Resonance Imaging reconstruction, where data from different coils are randomly selected at each iteration. We apply SPDHG using a wide range of random sampling methods and compare its performance across a range of settings, including mini-batch size and step size parameters. We show that the sampling can significantly affect the convergence speed of SPDHG and for many cases an optimal sampling can be identified.
Deep Neural Networks (DNNs) have obtained impressive performance across tasks, however they still remain as black boxes, e.g., hard to theoretically analyze. At the same time, Polynomial Networks (PNs) have emerged as an alternative method with a promising performance and improved interpretability but have yet to reach the performance of the powerful DNN baselines. In this work, we aim to close this performance gap. We introduce a class of PNs, which are able to reach the performance of ResNet across a range of six benchmarks. We demonstrate that strong regularization is critical and conduct an extensive study of the exact regularization schemes required to match performance. To further motivate the regularization schemes, we introduce D-PolyNets that achieve a higher-degree of expansion than previously proposed polynomial networks. D-PolyNets are more parameter-efficient while achieving a similar performance as other polynomial networks. We expect that our new models can lead to an understanding of the role of elementwise activation functions (which are no longer required for training PNs). The source code is available at //github.com/grigorisg9gr/regularized_polynomials.
Informative cluster size (ICS) arises in situations with clustered data where a latent relationship exists between the number of participants in a cluster and the outcome measures. Although this phenomenon has been sporadically reported in statistical literature for nearly two decades now, further exploration is needed in certain statistical methodologies to avoid potentially misleading inferences. For inference about population quantities without covariates, inverse cluster size reweightings are often employed to adjust for ICS. Further, to study the effect of covariates on disease progression described by a multistate model, the pseudo-value regression technique has gained popularity in time-to-event data analysis. We seek to answer the question: "How to apply pseudo-value regression to clustered time-to-event data when cluster size is informative?" ICS adjustment by the reweighting method can be performed in two steps; estimation of marginal functions of the multistate model and fitting the estimating equations based on pseudo-value responses, leading to four possible strategies. We present theoretical arguments and thorough simulation experiments to ascertain the correct strategy for adjusting for ICS. A further extension of our methodology is implemented to include informativeness induced by the intra-cluster group size. We demonstrate the methods in two real-world applications: (i) to determine predictors of tooth survival in a periodontal study, and (ii) to identify indicators of ambulatory recovery in spinal cord injury patients who participated in locomotor-training rehabilitation.
The Internet has turned the entire world into a small village;this is because it has made it possible to share millions of images and videos. However, sending and receiving a huge amount of data is considered to be a main challenge. To address this issue, a new algorithm is required to reduce image bits and represent the data in a compressed form. Nevertheless, image compression is an important application for transferring large files and images. This requires appropriate and efficient transfers in this field to achieve the task and reach the best results. In this work, we propose a new algorithm based on discrete Hermite wavelets transformation (DHWT) that shows the efficiency and quality of the color images. By compressing the color image, this method analyzes it and divides it into approximate coefficients and detail coefficients after adding the wavelets into MATLAB. With Multi-Resolution Analyses (MRA), the appropriate filter is derived, and the mathematical aspects prove to be validated by testing a new filter and performing its operation. After the decomposition of the rows and upon the process of the reconstruction, taking the inverse of the filter and dealing with the columns of the matrix, the original matrix is improved by measuring the parameters of the image to achieve the best quality of the resulting image, such as the peak signal-to-noise ratio (PSNR), compression ratio (CR), bits per pixel (BPP), and mean square error (MSE).
Deep reinforcement learning algorithms can perform poorly in real-world tasks due to the discrepancy between source and target environments. This discrepancy is commonly viewed as the disturbance in transition dynamics. Many existing algorithms learn robust policies by modeling the disturbance and applying it to source environments during training, which usually requires prior knowledge about the disturbance and control of simulators. However, these algorithms can fail in scenarios where the disturbance from target environments is unknown or is intractable to model in simulators. To tackle this problem, we propose a novel model-free actor-critic algorithm -- namely, state-conservative policy optimization (SCPO) -- to learn robust policies without modeling the disturbance in advance. Specifically, SCPO reduces the disturbance in transition dynamics to that in state space and then approximates it by a simple gradient-based regularizer. The appealing features of SCPO include that it is simple to implement and does not require additional knowledge about the disturbance or specially designed simulators. Experiments in several robot control tasks demonstrate that SCPO learns robust policies against the disturbance in transition dynamics.
Image segmentation is an important component of many image understanding systems. It aims to group pixels in a spatially and perceptually coherent manner. Typically, these algorithms have a collection of parameters that control the degree of over-segmentation produced. It still remains a challenge to properly select such parameters for human-like perceptual grouping. In this work, we exploit the diversity of segments produced by different choices of parameters. We scan the segmentation parameter space and generate a collection of image segmentation hypotheses (from highly over-segmented to under-segmented). These are fed into a cost minimization framework that produces the final segmentation by selecting segments that: (1) better describe the natural contours of the image, and (2) are more stable and persistent among all the segmentation hypotheses. We compare our algorithm's performance with state-of-the-art algorithms, showing that we can achieve improved results. We also show that our framework is robust to the choice of segmentation kernel that produces the initial set of hypotheses.
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