亚洲男人的天堂2018av,欧美草比,久久久久久免费视频精选,国色天香在线看免费,久久久久亚洲av成人片仓井空

In experiments that study social phenomena, such as peer influence or herd immunity, the treatment of one unit may influence the outcomes of others. Such "interference between units" violates traditional approaches for causal inference, so that additional assumptions are often imposed to model or limit the underlying social mechanism. For binary outcomes, we propose an approach that does not require such assumptions, allowing for interference that is both unmodeled and strong, with confidence intervals derived using only the randomization of treatment. However, the estimates will have wider confidence intervals and weaker causal implications than those attainable under stronger assumptions. The approach allows for the usage of regression, matching, or weighting, as may best fit the application at hand. Inference is done by bounding the distribution of the estimation error over all possible values of the unknown counterfactual, using an integer program. Examples are shown using using a vaccination trial and two experiments investigating social influence.

Restless Multi-Armed Bandits (RMAB) is an apt model to represent decision-making problems in public health interventions (e.g., tuberculosis, maternal, and child care), anti-poaching planning, sensor monitoring, personalized recommendations and many more. Existing research in RMAB has contributed mechanisms and theoretical results to a wide variety of settings, where the focus is on maximizing expected value. In this paper, we are interested in ensuring that RMAB decision making is also fair to different arms while maximizing expected value. In the context of public health settings, this would ensure that different people and/or communities are fairly represented while making public health intervention decisions. To achieve this goal, we formally define the fairness constraints in RMAB and provide planning and learning methods to solve RMAB in a fair manner. We demonstrate key theoretical properties of fair RMAB and experimentally demonstrate that our proposed methods handle fairness constraints without sacrificing significantly on solution quality.

This paper introduces subject granular privacy in the Federated Learning (FL) setting, where a subject is an individual whose private information is embodied by several data items either confined within a single federation user or distributed across multiple federation users. We formally define the notion of subject level differential privacy for FL. We propose three new algorithms that enforce subject level DP. Two of these algorithms are based on notions of user level local differential privacy (LDP) and group differential privacy respectively. The third algorithm is based on a novel idea of hierarchical gradient averaging (HiGradAvgDP) for subjects participating in a training mini-batch. We also introduce horizontal composition of privacy loss for a subject across multiple federation users. We show that horizontal composition is equivalent to sequential composition in the worst case. We prove the subject level DP guarantee for all our algorithms and empirically analyze them using the FEMNIST and Shakespeare datasets. Our evaluation shows that, of our three algorithms, HiGradAvgDP delivers the best model performance, approaching that of a model trained using a DP-SGD based algorithm that provides a weaker item level privacy guarantee.

In selection processes such as hiring, promotion, and college admissions, implicit bias toward socially-salient attributes such as race, gender, or sexual orientation of candidates is known to produce persistent inequality and reduce aggregate utility for the decision maker. Interventions such as the Rooney Rule and its generalizations, which require the decision maker to select at least a specified number of individuals from each affected group, have been proposed to mitigate the adverse effects of implicit bias in selection. Recent works have established that such lower-bound constraints can be very effective in improving aggregate utility in the case when each individual belongs to at most one affected group. However, in several settings, individuals may belong to multiple affected groups and, consequently, face more extreme implicit bias due to this intersectionality. We consider independently drawn utilities and show that, in the intersectional case, the aforementioned non-intersectional constraints can only recover part of the total utility achievable in the absence of implicit bias. On the other hand, we show that if one includes appropriate lower-bound constraints on the intersections, almost all the utility achievable in the absence of implicit bias can be recovered. Thus, intersectional constraints can offer a significant advantage over a reductionist dimension-by-dimension non-intersectional approach to reducing inequality.

Classification systems are often deployed in resource-constrained settings where labels must be assigned to inputs on a budget of time, memory, etc. Budgeted, sequential classifiers (BSCs) address these scenarios by processing inputs through a sequence of partial feature acquisition and evaluation steps with early-exit options. This allows for an efficient evaluation of inputs that prevents unneeded feature acquisition. To approximate an intractable combinatorial problem, current approaches to budgeted classification rely on well-behaved loss functions that account for two primary objectives (processing cost and error). These approaches offer improved efficiency over traditional classifiers but are limited by analytic constraints in formulation and do not manage additional performance objectives. Notably, such methods do not explicitly account for an important aspect of real-time detection systems -- the fraction of "accepted" predictions satisfying a confidence criterion imposed by a risk-averse monitor. We propose a problem-specific genetic algorithm to build budgeted, sequential classifiers with confidence-based reject options. Three objectives -- accuracy, processing time/cost, and coverage -- are considered. The algorithm emphasizes Pareto efficiency while accounting for a notion of aggregate performance via a unique scalarization. Experiments show our method can quickly find globally Pareto optimal solutions in very large search spaces and is competitive with existing approaches while offering advantages for selective, budgeted deployment scenarios.

Randomized smoothing is the dominant standard for provable defenses against adversarial examples. Nevertheless, this method has recently been proven to suffer from important information theoretic limitations. In this paper, we argue that these limitations are not intrinsic, but merely a byproduct of current certification methods. We first show that these certificates use too little information about the classifier, and are in particular blind to the local curvature of the decision boundary. This leads to severely sub-optimal robustness guarantees as the dimension of the problem increases. We then show that it is theoretically possible to bypass this issue by collecting more information about the classifier. More precisely, we show that it is possible to approximate the optimal certificate with arbitrary precision, by probing the decision boundary with several noise distributions. Since this process is executed at certification time rather than at test time, it entails no loss in natural accuracy while enhancing the quality of the certificates. This result fosters further research on classifier-specific certification and demonstrates that randomized smoothing is still worth investigating. Although classifier-specific certification may induce more computational cost, we also provide some theoretical insight on how to mitigate it.

A multitude of explainability methods and associated fidelity performance metrics have been proposed to help better understand how modern AI systems make decisions. However, much of the current work has remained theoretical -- without much consideration for the human end-user. In particular, it is not yet known (1) how useful current explainability methods are in practice for more real-world scenarios and (2) how well associated performance metrics accurately predict how much knowledge individual explanations contribute to a human end-user trying to understand the inner-workings of the system. To fill this gap, we conducted psychophysics experiments at scale to evaluate the ability of human participants to leverage representative attribution methods for understanding the behavior of different image classifiers representing three real-world scenarios: identifying bias in an AI system, characterizing the visual strategy it uses for tasks that are too difficult for an untrained non-expert human observer as well as understanding its failure cases. Our results demonstrate that the degree to which individual attribution methods help human participants better understand an AI system varied widely across these scenarios. This suggests a critical need for the field to move past quantitative improvements of current attribution methods towards the development of complementary approaches that provide qualitatively different sources of information to human end-users.

We present two novel federated learning (FL) schemes that mitigate the effect of straggling devices by introducing redundancy on the devices' data across the network. Compared to other schemes in the literature, which deal with stragglers or device dropouts by ignoring their contribution, the proposed schemes do not suffer from the client drift problem. The first scheme, CodedPaddedFL, mitigates the effect of stragglers while retaining the privacy level of conventional FL. It combines one-time padding for user data privacy with gradient codes to yield straggler resiliency. The second scheme, CodedSecAgg, provides straggler resiliency and robustness against model inversion attacks and is based on Shamir's secret sharing. We apply CodedPaddedFL and CodedSecAgg to a classification problem. For a scenario with 120 devices, CodedPaddedFL achieves a speed-up factor of 18 for an accuracy of 95% on the MNIST dataset compared to conventional FL. Furthermore, it yields similar performance in terms of latency compared to a recently proposed scheme by Prakash et al. without the shortcoming of additional leakage of private data. CodedSecAgg outperforms the state-of-the-art secure aggregation scheme LightSecAgg by a speed-up factor of 6.6-18.7 for the MNIST dataset for an accuracy of 95%.

Aggregating signals from a collection of noisy sources is a fundamental problem in many domains including crowd-sourcing, multi-agent planning, sensor networks, signal processing, voting, ensemble learning, and federated learning. The core question is how to aggregate signals from multiple sources (e.g. experts) in order to reveal an underlying ground truth. While a full answer depends on the type of signal, correlation of signals, and desired output, a problem common to all of these applications is that of differentiating sources based on their quality and weighting them accordingly. It is often assumed that this differentiation and aggregation is done by a single, accurate central mechanism or agent (e.g. judge). We complicate this model in two ways. First, we investigate the setting with both a single judge, and one with multiple judges. Second, given this multi-agent interaction of judges, we investigate various constraints on the judges' reporting space. We build on known results for the optimal weighting of experts and prove that an ensemble of sub-optimal mechanisms can perform optimally under certain conditions. We then show empirically that the ensemble approximates the performance of the optimal mechanism under a broader range of conditions.

Hypothesis testing of random forest (RF) variable importance measures (VIMP) remains the subject of ongoing research. Among recent developments, heuristic approaches to parametric testing have been proposed whose distributional assumptions are based on empirical evidence. Other formal tests under regularity conditions were derived analytically. However, these approaches can be computationally expensive or even practically infeasible. This problem also occurs with non-parametric permutation tests, which are, however, distribution-free and can generically be applied to any type of RF and VIMP. Embracing this advantage, it is proposed here to use sequential permutation tests and sequential p-value estimation to reduce the high computational costs associated with conventional permutation tests. The popular and widely used permutation VIMP serves as a practical and relevant application example. The results of simulation studies confirm that the theoretical properties of the sequential tests apply, that is, the type-I error probability is controlled at a nominal level and a high power is maintained with considerably fewer permutations needed in comparison to conventional permutation testing. The numerical stability of the methods is investigated in two additional application studies. In summary, theoretically sound sequential permutation testing of VIMP is possible at greatly reduced computational costs. Recommendations for application are given. A respective implementation is provided through the accompanying R package $rfvimptest$. The approach can also be easily applied to any kind of prediction model.