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A growing number of college applications has presented an annual challenge for college admissions in the United States. Admission offices have historically relied on standardized test scores to organize large applicant pools into viable subsets for review. However, this approach may be subject to bias in test scores and selection bias in test-taking with recent trends toward test-optional admission. We explore a machine learning-based approach to replace the role of standardized tests in subset generation while taking into account a wide range of factors extracted from student applications to support a more holistic review. We evaluate the approach on data from an undergraduate admission office at a selective US institution (13,248 applications). We find that a prediction model trained on past admission data outperforms an SAT-based heuristic and matches the demographic composition of the last admitted class. We discuss the risks and opportunities for how such a learned model could be leveraged to support human decision-making in college admissions.

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ACM/IEEE第23屆模型驅動工程語言和系統國際會議,是模型驅動軟件和系統工程的首要會議系列,由ACM-SIGSOFT和IEEE-TCSE支持組織。自1998年以來,模型涵蓋了建模的各個方面,從語言和方法到工具和應用程序。模特的參加者來自不同的背景,包括研究人員、學者、工程師和工業專業人士。MODELS 2019是一個論壇,參與者可以圍繞建模和模型驅動的軟件和系統交流前沿研究成果和創新實踐經驗。今年的版本將為建模社區提供進一步推進建模基礎的機會,并在網絡物理系統、嵌入式系統、社會技術系統、云計算、大數據、機器學習、安全、開源等新興領域提出建模的創新應用以及可持續性。 官網鏈接: · 異質性 · 可行 · 分析 · 中國 ·
2023 年 3 月 31 日

Tuberculosis (TB) is an infectious disease transmitted through the respiratory system. China is one of the countries with a high burden of TB. Since 2004, an average of more than 800,000 cases of active TB have been reported each year in China. Analyzing the case data from 2004-2018, we find significant differences in TB incidence by age group. Therefore, the effect of age heterogeneous structure on TB transmission needs further study. We develop a model of TB to explore the role of age heterogeneity as a factor in TB transmission. The model is fitted numerically using the nonlinear least squares method to obtain the key parameters in the model, and the basic reproduction number Rv 0.8017 is calculated and the sensitivity anal-ysis of Rv to the parameters is given. The simulation results show that reducing the number of new infections in the elderly population and increasing the recovery rate of elderly patients with the disease could significantly reduce the transmission of tuberculosis. Furthermore the feasibility of achieving the goals of the WHO End TB Strategy in China is assessed, and we obtain that with existing TB control measures it will take another 30 years for China to reach the WHO goal to reduce 90% of the number of new cases by year 2049. However, in theoretical it is feasible to reach the WHO strategic goal of ending tuberculosis by 2035 if the group contact rate in the elderly population can be reduced though it is difficulty to reduce the contact rate.

The emergence of pretrained large language models has led to the deployment of a range of social chatbots for chitchat. Although these chatbots demonstrate language ability and fluency, they are not guaranteed to be engaging and can struggle to retain users. This work investigates the development of social chatbots that prioritize user engagement to enhance retention, specifically examining the use of human feedback to efficiently develop highly engaging chatbots. The proposed approach uses automatic pseudo-labels collected from user interactions to train a reward model that can be used to reject low-scoring sample responses generated by the chatbot model at inference time. Intuitive evaluation metrics, such as mean conversation length (MCL), are introduced as proxies to measure the level of engagement of deployed chatbots. A/B testing on groups of 10,000 new daily chatbot users on the Chai Research platform shows that this approach increases the MCL by up to 70%, which translates to a more than 30% increase in user retention for a GPT-J 6B model. Future work aims to use the reward model to realise a data fly-wheel, where the latest user conversations can be used to alternately fine-tune the language model and the reward model.

In recent years, Graph Neural Networks have reported outstanding performance in tasks like community detection, molecule classification and link prediction. However, the black-box nature of these models prevents their application in domains like health and finance, where understanding the models' decisions is essential. Counterfactual Explanations (CE) provide these understandings through examples. Moreover, the literature on CE is flourishing with novel explanation methods which are tailored to graph learning. In this survey, we analyse the existing Graph Counterfactual Explanation methods, by providing the reader with an organisation of the literature according to a uniform formal notation for definitions, datasets, and metrics, thus, simplifying potential comparisons w.r.t to the method advantages and disadvantages. We discussed seven methods and sixteen synthetic and real datasets providing details on the possible generation strategies. We highlight the most common evaluation strategies and formalise nine of the metrics used in the literature. We first introduce the evaluation framework GRETEL and how it is possible to extend and use it while providing a further dimension of comparison encompassing reproducibility aspects. Finally, we provide a discussion on how counterfactual explanation interplays with privacy and fairness, before delving into open challenges and future works.

Neural architecture-based recommender systems have achieved tremendous success in recent years. However, when dealing with highly sparse data, they still fall short of expectation. Self-supervised learning (SSL), as an emerging technique to learn with unlabeled data, recently has drawn considerable attention in many fields. There is also a growing body of research proceeding towards applying SSL to recommendation for mitigating the data sparsity issue. In this survey, a timely and systematical review of the research efforts on self-supervised recommendation (SSR) is presented. Specifically, we propose an exclusive definition of SSR, on top of which we build a comprehensive taxonomy to divide existing SSR methods into four categories: contrastive, generative, predictive, and hybrid. For each category, the narrative unfolds along its concept and formulation, the involved methods, and its pros and cons. Meanwhile, to facilitate the development and evaluation of SSR models, we release an open-source library SELFRec, which incorporates multiple benchmark datasets and evaluation metrics, and has implemented a number of state-of-the-art SSR models for empirical comparison. Finally, we shed light on the limitations in the current research and outline the future research directions.

Since the 1950s, machine translation (MT) has become one of the important tasks of AI and development, and has experienced several different periods and stages of development, including rule-based methods, statistical methods, and recently proposed neural network-based learning methods. Accompanying these staged leaps is the evaluation research and development of MT, especially the important role of evaluation methods in statistical translation and neural translation research. The evaluation task of MT is not only to evaluate the quality of machine translation, but also to give timely feedback to machine translation researchers on the problems existing in machine translation itself, how to improve and how to optimise. In some practical application fields, such as in the absence of reference translations, the quality estimation of machine translation plays an important role as an indicator to reveal the credibility of automatically translated target languages. This report mainly includes the following contents: a brief history of machine translation evaluation (MTE), the classification of research methods on MTE, and the the cutting-edge progress, including human evaluation, automatic evaluation, and evaluation of evaluation methods (meta-evaluation). Manual evaluation and automatic evaluation include reference-translation based and reference-translation independent participation; automatic evaluation methods include traditional n-gram string matching, models applying syntax and semantics, and deep learning models; evaluation of evaluation methods includes estimating the credibility of human evaluations, the reliability of the automatic evaluation, the reliability of the test set, etc. Advances in cutting-edge evaluation methods include task-based evaluation, using pre-trained language models based on big data, and lightweight optimisation models using distillation techniques.

Data in Knowledge Graphs often represents part of the current state of the real world. Thus, to stay up-to-date the graph data needs to be updated frequently. To utilize information from Knowledge Graphs, many state-of-the-art machine learning approaches use embedding techniques. These techniques typically compute an embedding, i.e., vector representations of the nodes as input for the main machine learning algorithm. If a graph update occurs later on -- specifically when nodes are added or removed -- the training has to be done all over again. This is undesirable, because of the time it takes and also because downstream models which were trained with these embeddings have to be retrained if they change significantly. In this paper, we investigate embedding updates that do not require full retraining and evaluate them in combination with various embedding models on real dynamic Knowledge Graphs covering multiple use cases. We study approaches that place newly appearing nodes optimally according to local information, but notice that this does not work well. However, we find that if we continue the training of the old embedding, interleaved with epochs during which we only optimize for the added and removed parts, we obtain good results in terms of typical metrics used in link prediction. This performance is obtained much faster than with a complete retraining and hence makes it possible to maintain embeddings for dynamic Knowledge Graphs.

Rishi Bommasani,Drew A. Hudson,Ehsan Adeli,Russ Altman,Simran Arora,Sydney von Arx,Michael S. Bernstein,Jeannette Bohg,Antoine Bosselut,Emma Brunskill,Erik Brynjolfsson,Shyamal Buch,Dallas Card,Rodrigo Castellon,Niladri Chatterji,Annie Chen,Kathleen Creel,Jared Quincy Davis,Dora Demszky,Chris Donahue,Moussa Doumbouya,Esin Durmus,Stefano Ermon,John Etchemendy,Kawin Ethayarajh,Li Fei-Fei,Chelsea Finn,Trevor Gale,Lauren Gillespie,Karan Goel,Noah Goodman,Shelby Grossman,Neel Guha,Tatsunori Hashimoto,Peter Henderson,John Hewitt,Daniel E. Ho,Jenny Hong,Kyle Hsu,Jing Huang,Thomas Icard,Saahil Jain,Dan Jurafsky,Pratyusha Kalluri,Siddharth Karamcheti,Geoff Keeling,Fereshte Khani,Omar Khattab,Pang Wei Kohd,Mark Krass,Ranjay Krishna,Rohith Kuditipudi,Ananya Kumar,Faisal Ladhak,Mina Lee,Tony Lee,Jure Leskovec,Isabelle Levent,Xiang Lisa Li,Xuechen Li,Tengyu Ma,Ali Malik,Christopher D. Manning,Suvir Mirchandani,Eric Mitchell,Zanele Munyikwa,Suraj Nair,Avanika Narayan,Deepak Narayanan,Ben Newman,Allen Nie,Juan Carlos Niebles,Hamed Nilforoshan,Julian Nyarko,Giray Ogut,Laurel Orr,Isabel Papadimitriou,Joon Sung Park,Chris Piech,Eva Portelance,Christopher Potts,Aditi Raghunathan,Rob Reich,Hongyu Ren,Frieda Rong,Yusuf Roohani,Camilo Ruiz,Jack Ryan,Christopher Ré,Dorsa Sadigh,Shiori Sagawa,Keshav Santhanam,Andy Shih,Krishnan Srinivasan,Alex Tamkin,Rohan Taori,Armin W. Thomas,Florian Tramèr,Rose E. Wang,William Wang,Bohan Wu,Jiajun Wu,Yuhuai Wu,Sang Michael Xie,Michihiro Yasunaga,Jiaxuan You,Matei Zaharia,Michael Zhang,Tianyi Zhang,Xikun Zhang,Yuhui Zhang,Lucia Zheng,Kaitlyn Zhou,Percy Liang
Rishi Bommasani,Drew A. Hudson,Ehsan Adeli,Russ Altman,Simran Arora,Sydney von Arx,Michael S. Bernstein,Jeannette Bohg,Antoine Bosselut,Emma Brunskill,Erik Brynjolfsson,Shyamal Buch,Dallas Card,Rodrigo Castellon,Niladri Chatterji,Annie Chen,Kathleen Creel,Jared Quincy Davis,Dora Demszky,Chris Donahue,Moussa Doumbouya,Esin Durmus,Stefano Ermon,John Etchemendy,Kawin Ethayarajh,Li Fei-Fei,Chelsea Finn,Trevor Gale,Lauren Gillespie,Karan Goel,Noah Goodman,Shelby Grossman,Neel Guha,Tatsunori Hashimoto,Peter Henderson,John Hewitt,Daniel E. Ho,Jenny Hong,Kyle Hsu,Jing Huang,Thomas Icard,Saahil Jain,Dan Jurafsky,Pratyusha Kalluri,Siddharth Karamcheti,Geoff Keeling,Fereshte Khani,Omar Khattab,Pang Wei Kohd,Mark Krass,Ranjay Krishna,Rohith Kuditipudi,Ananya Kumar,Faisal Ladhak,Mina Lee,Tony Lee,Jure Leskovec,Isabelle Levent,Xiang Lisa Li,Xuechen Li,Tengyu Ma,Ali Malik,Christopher D. Manning,Suvir Mirchandani,Eric Mitchell,Zanele Munyikwa,Suraj Nair,Avanika Narayan,Deepak Narayanan,Ben Newman,Allen Nie,Juan Carlos Niebles,Hamed Nilforoshan,Julian Nyarko,Giray Ogut,Laurel Orr,Isabel Papadimitriou,Joon Sung Park,Chris Piech,Eva Portelance,Christopher Potts,Aditi Raghunathan,Rob Reich,Hongyu Ren,Frieda Rong,Yusuf Roohani,Camilo Ruiz,Jack Ryan,Christopher Ré,Dorsa Sadigh,Shiori Sagawa,Keshav Santhanam,Andy Shih,Krishnan Srinivasan,Alex Tamkin,Rohan Taori,Armin W. Thomas,Florian Tramèr,Rose E. Wang,William Wang,Bohan Wu,Jiajun Wu,Yuhuai Wu,Sang Michael Xie,Michihiro Yasunaga,Jiaxuan You,Matei Zaharia,Michael Zhang,Tianyi Zhang,Xikun Zhang,Yuhui Zhang,Lucia Zheng,Kaitlyn Zhou,Percy Liang

AI is undergoing a paradigm shift with the rise of models (e.g., BERT, DALL-E, GPT-3) that are trained on broad data at scale and are adaptable to a wide range of downstream tasks. We call these models foundation models to underscore their critically central yet incomplete character. This report provides a thorough account of the opportunities and risks of foundation models, ranging from their capabilities (e.g., language, vision, robotics, reasoning, human interaction) and technical principles(e.g., model architectures, training procedures, data, systems, security, evaluation, theory) to their applications (e.g., law, healthcare, education) and societal impact (e.g., inequity, misuse, economic and environmental impact, legal and ethical considerations). Though foundation models are based on standard deep learning and transfer learning, their scale results in new emergent capabilities,and their effectiveness across so many tasks incentivizes homogenization. Homogenization provides powerful leverage but demands caution, as the defects of the foundation model are inherited by all the adapted models downstream. Despite the impending widespread deployment of foundation models, we currently lack a clear understanding of how they work, when they fail, and what they are even capable of due to their emergent properties. To tackle these questions, we believe much of the critical research on foundation models will require deep interdisciplinary collaboration commensurate with their fundamentally sociotechnical nature.

Machine learning plays a role in many deployed decision systems, often in ways that are difficult or impossible to understand by human stakeholders. Explaining, in a human-understandable way, the relationship between the input and output of machine learning models is essential to the development of trustworthy machine-learning-based systems. A burgeoning body of research seeks to define the goals and methods of explainability in machine learning. In this paper, we seek to review and categorize research on counterfactual explanations, a specific class of explanation that provides a link between what could have happened had input to a model been changed in a particular way. Modern approaches to counterfactual explainability in machine learning draw connections to the established legal doctrine in many countries, making them appealing to fielded systems in high-impact areas such as finance and healthcare. Thus, we design a rubric with desirable properties of counterfactual explanation algorithms and comprehensively evaluate all currently-proposed algorithms against that rubric. Our rubric provides easy comparison and comprehension of the advantages and disadvantages of different approaches and serves as an introduction to major research themes in this field. We also identify gaps and discuss promising research directions in the space of counterfactual explainability.

Deep neural networks have been able to outperform humans in some cases like image recognition and image classification. However, with the emergence of various novel categories, the ability to continuously widen the learning capability of such networks from limited samples, still remains a challenge. Techniques like Meta-Learning and/or few-shot learning showed promising results, where they can learn or generalize to a novel category/task based on prior knowledge. In this paper, we perform a study of the existing few-shot meta-learning techniques in the computer vision domain based on their method and evaluation metrics. We provide a taxonomy for the techniques and categorize them as data-augmentation, embedding, optimization and semantics based learning for few-shot, one-shot and zero-shot settings. We then describe the seminal work done in each category and discuss their approach towards solving the predicament of learning from few samples. Lastly we provide a comparison of these techniques on the commonly used benchmark datasets: Omniglot, and MiniImagenet, along with a discussion towards the future direction of improving the performance of these techniques towards the final goal of outperforming humans.

The era of big data provides researchers with convenient access to copious data. However, people often have little knowledge about it. The increasing prevalence of big data is challenging the traditional methods of learning causality because they are developed for the cases with limited amount of data and solid prior causal knowledge. This survey aims to close the gap between big data and learning causality with a comprehensive and structured review of traditional and frontier methods and a discussion about some open problems of learning causality. We begin with preliminaries of learning causality. Then we categorize and revisit methods of learning causality for the typical problems and data types. After that, we discuss the connections between learning causality and machine learning. At the end, some open problems are presented to show the great potential of learning causality with data.

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