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We study incentive designs for a class of stochastic Stackelberg games with one leader and a large number of (finite as well as infinite population of) followers. We investigate whether the leader can craft a strategy under a dynamic information structure that induces a desired behavior among the followers. For the finite population setting, under sufficient conditions, we show that there exist symmetric incentive strategies for the leader that attain approximately optimal performance from the leader's viewpoint and lead to an approximate symmetric (pure) Nash best response among the followers. Driving the follower population to infinity, we arrive at the interesting result that in this infinite-population regime the leader cannot design a smooth "finite-energy" incentive strategy, namely, a mean-field limit for such games is not well-defined. As a way around this, we introduce a class of stochastic Stackelberg games with a leader, a major follower, and a finite or infinite population of minor followers, where the leader provides an incentive only for the major follower, who in turn influences the rest of the followers through her strategy. For this class of problems, we are able to establish the existence of an incentive strategy with finitely many minor followers. We also show that if the leader's strategy with finitely many minor followers converges as their population size grows, then the limit defines an incentive strategy for the corresponding mean-field Stackelberg game. Examples of quadratic Gaussian games are provided to illustrate both positive and negative results. In addition, as a byproduct of our analysis, we establish existence of a randomized incentive strategy for the class mean-field Stackelberg games, which in turn provides an approximation for an incentive strategy of the corresponding finite population Stackelberg game.

We consider the feedback capacity of a MIMO channel whose channel output is given by a linear state-space model driven by the channel inputs and a Gaussian process. The generality of our state-space model subsumes all previous studied models such as additive channels with colored Gaussian noise, and channels with an arbitrary dependence on previous channel inputs or outputs. The main result is a computable feedback capacity expression that is given as a convex optimization problem subject to a detectability condition. We demonstrate the capacity result on the auto-regressive Gaussian noise channel, where we show that even a single time-instance delay in the feedback reduces the feedback capacity significantly in the stationary regime. On the other hand, for large regression parameters (in the non-stationary regime), the feedback capacity can be approached with delayed feedback. Finally, we show that the detectability condition is satisfied for scalar models and conjecture that it is true for MIMO models.

We propose a penalized nonparametric approach to estimating the quantile regression process (QRP) in a nonseparable model using rectifier quadratic unit (ReQU) activated deep neural networks and introduce a novel penalty function to enforce non-crossing of quantile regression curves. We establish the non-asymptotic excess risk bounds for the estimated QRP and derive the mean integrated squared error for the estimated QRP under mild smoothness and regularity conditions. To establish these non-asymptotic risk and estimation error bounds, we also develop a new error bound for approximating $C^s$ smooth functions with $s >0$ and their derivatives using ReQU activated neural networks. This is a new approximation result for ReQU networks and is of independent interest and may be useful in other problems. Our numerical experiments demonstrate that the proposed method is competitive with or outperforms two existing methods, including methods using reproducing kernels and random forests, for nonparametric quantile regression.

Estimating the ground state energy of a local Hamiltonian is a central problem in quantum chemistry. In order to further investigate its complexity and the potential of quantum algorithms for quantum chemistry, Gharibian and Le Gall (STOC 2022) recently introduced the guided local Hamiltonian problem (GLH), which is a variant of the local Hamiltonian problem where an approximation of a ground state is given as an additional input. Gharibian and Le Gall showed quantum advantage (more precisely, BQP-completeness) for GLH with $6$-local Hamiltonians when the guiding vector has overlap (inverse-polynomially) close to 1/2 with a ground state. In this paper, we optimally improve both the locality and the overlap parameters: we show that this quantum advantage (BQP-completeness) persists even with 2-local Hamiltonians, and even when the guiding vector has overlap (inverse-polynomially) close to 1 with a ground state. Moreover, we show that the quantum advantage also holds for 2-local physically motivated Hamiltonians on a 2D square lattice. This makes a further step towards establishing practical quantum advantage in quantum chemistry.

As learning machines increase their influence on decisions concerning human lives, analyzing their fairness properties becomes a subject of central importance. Yet, our best tools for measuring the fairness of learning systems are rigid fairness metrics encapsulated as mathematical one-liners, offer limited power to the stakeholders involved in the prediction task, and are easy to manipulate when we exhort excessive pressure to optimize them. To advance these issues, we propose to shift focus from shaping fairness metrics to curating the distributions of examples under which these are computed. In particular, we posit that every claim about fairness should be immediately followed by the tagline "Fair under what examples, and collected by whom?". By highlighting connections to the literature in domain generalization, we propose to measure fairness as the ability of the system to generalize under multiple stress tests -- distributions of examples with social relevance. We encourage each stakeholder to curate one or multiple stress tests containing examples reflecting their (possibly conflicting) interests. The machine passes or fails each stress test by falling short of or exceeding a pre-defined metric value. The test results involve all stakeholders in a discussion about how to improve the learning system, and provide flexible assessments of fairness dependent on context and based on interpretable data. We provide full implementation guidelines for stress testing, illustrate both the benefits and shortcomings of this framework, and introduce a cryptographic scheme to enable a degree of prediction accountability from system providers.

Importance sampling (IS) is valuable in reducing the variance of Monte Carlo sampling for many areas, including finance, rare event simulation, and Bayesian inference. It is natural and obvious to combine quasi-Monte Carlo (QMC) methods with IS to achieve a faster rate of convergence. However, a naive replacement of Monte Carlo with QMC may not work well. This paper investigates the convergence rates of randomized QMC-based IS for estimating integrals with respect to a Gaussian measure, in which the IS measure is a Gaussian or $t$ distribution. We prove that if the target function satisfies the so-called boundary growth condition and the covariance matrix of the IS density has eigenvalues no smaller than 1, then randomized QMC with the Gaussian proposal has a root mean squared error of $O(N^{-1+\epsilon})$ for arbitrarily small $\epsilon>0$. Similar results of $t$ distribution as the proposal are also established. These sufficient conditions help to assess the effectiveness of IS in QMC. For some particular applications, we find that the Laplace IS, a very general approach to approximate the target function by a quadratic Taylor approximation around its mode, has eigenvalues smaller than 1, making the resulting integrand less favorable for QMC. From this point of view, when using Gaussian distributions as the IS proposal, a change of measure via Laplace IS may transform a favorable integrand into unfavorable one for QMC although the variance of Monte Carlo sampling is reduced. We also give some examples to verify our propositions and warn against naive replacement of MC with QMC under IS proposals. Numerical results suggest that using Laplace IS with $t$ distributions is more robust than that with Gaussian distributions.

Ensuring fairness in computational problems has emerged as a $key$ topic during recent years, buoyed by considerations for equitable resource distributions and social justice. It $is$ possible to incorporate fairness in computational problems from several perspectives, such as using optimization, game-theoretic or machine learning frameworks. In this paper we address the problem of incorporation of fairness from a $combinatorial$ $optimization$ perspective. We formulate a combinatorial optimization framework, suitable for analysis by researchers in approximation algorithms and related areas, that incorporates fairness in maximum coverage problems as an interplay between $two$ conflicting objectives. Fairness is imposed in coverage by using coloring constraints that $minimizes$ the discrepancies between number of elements of different colors covered by selected sets; this is in contrast to the usual discrepancy minimization problems studied extensively in the literature where (usually two) colors are $not$ given $a$ $priori$ but need to be selected to minimize the maximum color discrepancy of $each$ individual set. Our main results are a set of randomized and deterministic approximation algorithms that attempts to $simultaneously$ approximate both fairness and coverage in this framework.

The superior performance of some of today's state-of-the-art deep learning models is to some extent owed to extensive (self-)supervised contrastive pretraining on large-scale datasets. In contrastive learning, the network is presented with pairs of positive (similar) and negative (dissimilar) datapoints and is trained to find an embedding vector for each datapoint, i.e., a representation, which can be further fine-tuned for various downstream tasks. In order to safely deploy these models in critical decision-making systems, it is crucial to equip them with a measure of their uncertainty or reliability. However, due to the pairwise nature of training a contrastive model, and the lack of absolute labels on the output (an abstract embedding vector), adapting conventional uncertainty estimation techniques to such models is non-trivial. In this work, we study whether the uncertainty of such a representation can be quantified for a single datapoint in a meaningful way. In other words, we explore if the downstream performance on a given datapoint is predictable, directly from its pre-trained embedding. We show that this goal can be achieved by directly estimating the distribution of the training data in the embedding space and accounting for the local consistency of the representations. Our experiments show that this notion of uncertainty for an embedding vector often strongly correlates with its downstream accuracy.

Given two relations containing multiple measurements - possibly with uncertainties - our objective is to find which sets of attributes from the first have a corresponding set on the second, using exclusively a sample of the data. This approach could be used even when the associated metadata is damaged, missing or incomplete, or when the volume is too big for exact methods. This problem is similar to the search of Inclusion Dependencies (IND), a type of rule over two relations asserting that for a set of attributes X from the first, every combination of values appears on a set Y from the second. Existing IND can be found exploiting the existence of a partial order relation called specialization. However, this relation is based on set theory, requiring the values to be directly comparable. Statistical tests are an intuitive possible replacement, but it has not been studied how would they affect the underlying assumptions. In this paper we formally review the effect that a statistical approach has over the inference rules applied to IND discovery. Our results confirm the intuitive thought that statistical tests can be used, but not in a directly equivalent manner. We provide a workable alternative based on a "hierarchy of null hypotheses", allowing for the automatic discovery of multi-dimensional equally distributed sets of attributes.

We study the problem of online learning in adversarial bandit problems under a partial observability model called off-policy feedback. In this sequential decision making problem, the learner cannot directly observe its rewards, but instead sees the ones obtained by another unknown policy run in parallel (behavior policy). Instead of a standard exploration-exploitation dilemma, the learner has to face another challenge in this setting: due to limited observations outside of their control, the learner may not be able to estimate the value of each policy equally well. To address this issue, we propose a set of algorithms that guarantee regret bounds that scale with a natural notion of mismatch between any comparator policy and the behavior policy, achieving improved performance against comparators that are well-covered by the observations. We also provide an extension to the setting of adversarial linear contextual bandits, and verify the theoretical guarantees via a set of experiments. Our key algorithmic idea is adapting the notion of pessimistic reward estimators that has been recently popular in the context of off-policy reinforcement learning.