For Ait-Sahalia-type interest rate model with Poisson jumps, we are interested in strong convergence of a novel time-stepping method, called transformed jump-adapted backward Euler method (TJABEM). Under certain hypothesis, the considered model takes values in positive domain $(0,\infty)$. It is shown that the TJABEM can preserve the domain of the underlying problem. Furthermore, for the above model with non-globally Lipschitz drift and diffusion coefficients, the strong convergence rate of order one of the TJABEM is recovered with respect to a $L^p$-error criterion. Finally, numerical experiments are given to illustrate the theoretical results.
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ACM/IEEE第23屆模型驅動工程語言和系統國際會議，是模型驅動軟件和系統工程的首要會議系列，由ACM-SIGSOFT和IEEE-TCSE支持組織。自1998年以來，模型涵蓋了建模的各個方面，從語言和方法到工具和應用程序。模特的參加者來自不同的背景，包括研究人員、學者、工程師和工業專業人士。MODELS 2019是一個論壇，參與者可以圍繞建模和模型驅動的軟件和系統交流前沿研究成果和創新實踐經驗。今年的版本將為建模社區提供進一步推進建模基礎的機會，并在網絡物理系統、嵌入式系統、社會技術系統、云計算、大數據、機器學習、安全、開源等新興領域提出建模的創新應用以及可持續性。
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In this paper, we consider the estimation of a continuous treatment effect model in the presence of treatment spillovers through social networks. We assume that one's outcome is affected not only by his/her own treatment but also by the average of his/her neighbors' treatments, both of which are treated as endogenous variables. Using a control function approach with appropriate instrumental variables, in conjunction with some functional form restrictions, we show that the conditional mean potential outcome can be nonparametrically identified. We also consider a more empirically tractable semiparametric model and develop a three-step estimation procedure for this model. The consistency and asymptotic normality of the proposed estimator are established under certain regularity conditions. As an empirical illustration, we investigate the causal effect of the regional unemployment rate on the crime rate using Japanese city data.
This paper offers a new approach to address the model uncertainty in (potentially) divergent-dimensional single-index models (SIMs). We propose a model-averaging estimator based on cross-validation, which allows the dimension of covariates and the number of candidate models to increase with the sample size. We show that when all candidate models are misspecified, our model-averaging estimator is asymptotically optimal in the sense that its squared loss is asymptotically identical to that of the infeasible best possible averaging estimator. In a different situation where correct models are available in the model set, the proposed weighting scheme assigns all weights to the correct models in the asymptotic sense. We also extend our method to average regularized estimators and propose pre-screening methods to deal with cases with high-dimensional covariates. We illustrate the merits of our method via simulations and two empirical applications.
Variance estimation is important for statistical inference. It becomes non-trivial when observations are masked by serial dependence structures and time-varying mean structures. Existing methods either ignore or sub-optimally handle these nuisance structures. This paper develops a general framework for the estimation of the long-run variance for time series with non-constant means. The building blocks are difference statistics. The proposed class of estimators is general enough to cover many existing estimators. Necessary and sufficient conditions for consistency are investigated. The first asymptotically optimal estimator is derived. Our proposed estimator is theoretically proven to be invariant to arbitrary mean structures, which may include trends and a possibly divergent number of discontinuities.
Support vector machine (SVM) is a powerful classification method that has achieved great success in many fields. Since its performance can be seriously impaired by redundant covariates, model selection techniques are widely used for SVM with high dimensional covariates. As an alternative to model selection, significant progress has been made in the area of model averaging in the past decades. Yet no frequentist model averaging method was considered for SVM. This work aims to fill the gap and to propose a frequentist model averaging procedure for SVM which selects the optimal weight by cross validation. Even when the number of covariates diverges at an exponential rate of the sample size, we show asymptotic optimality of the proposed method in the sense that the ratio of its hinge loss to the lowest possible loss converges to one. We also derive the convergence rate which provides more insights to model averaging. Compared to model selection methods of SVM which require a tedious but critical task of tuning parameter selection, the model averaging method avoids the task and shows promising performances in the empirical studies.
We propose a $k^{\rm th}$-order unfitted finite element method ($2\le k\le 4$) to solve the moving interface problem of the Oseen equations. Thorough error estimates for the discrete solutions are presented by considering errors from interface-tracking, time integration, and spatial discretization. In literatures on time-dependent Stokes interface problems, error estimates for the discrete pressure are usually sub-optimal, namely, $(k-1)^{\rm th}$-order, under the $L^2$-norm. We have obtained a $(k-1)^{\rm th}$-order error estimate for the discrete pressure under the $H^1$-norm. Numerical experiments for a severely deforming interface show that optimal convergence orders are obtained for $k = 3$ and $4$.
We revisit a model for time-varying linear regression that assumes the unknown parameters evolve according to a linear dynamical system. Counterintuitively, we show that when the underlying dynamics are stable the parameters of this model can be estimated from data by combining just two ordinary least squares estimates. We offer a finite sample guarantee on the estimation error of our method and discuss certain advantages it has over Expectation-Maximization (EM), which is the main approach proposed by prior work.
The virtual element method (VEM) is a Galerkin approximation method that extends the finite element method to polytopal meshes. In this paper, we present two different conforming virtual element formulations for the numerical approximation of the Stokes problem that work on polygonal meshes.The velocity vector field is approximated in the virtual element spaces of the two formulations, while the pressure variable is approximated through discontinuous polynomials. Both formulations are inf-sup stable and convergent with optimal convergence rates in the $L^2$ and energy norm. We assess the effectiveness of these numerical approximations by investigating their behavior on a representative benchmark problem. The observed convergence rates are in accordance with the theoretical expectations and a weak form of the zero-divergence constraint is satisfied at the machine precision level.
This paper is devoted to a new first order Taylor-like formula where the corresponding remainder is strongly reduced in comparison with the usual one which which appears in the classical Taylor's formula. To derive this new formula, we introduce a linear combination of the first derivatives of the concerned function which are computed at $n+1$ equally spaced points between the two points where the function has to be evaluated. Therefore, we show that an optimal choice of the weights of the linear combination leads to minimize the corresponding remainder. Then, we analyze the Lagrange $P_1$- interpolation error estimate and also the trapezoidal quadrature error to assess the gain of accuracy we get due to this new Taylor-like formula.
In this paper, we are interested to an inverse Cauchy problem governed by the Stokes equation, called the data completion problem. It consists in determining the unspecified fluid velocity, or one of its components over a part of its boundary, by introducing given measurements on its remaining part. As it's known, this problem is one of the highly ill-posed problems in the Hadamard's sense \cite{had}, it is then an interesting challenge to carry out a numerical procedure for approximating their solutions, mostly in the particular case of noisy data. To solve this problem, we propose here a regularizing approach based on a coupled complex boundary method, originally proposed in \cite{source}, for solving an inverse source problem. We show the existence of the regularization optimization problem and prove the convergence of the subsequence of optimal solutions of Tikhonov regularization formulations to the solution of the Cauchy problem. Then we suggest the numerical approximation of this problem using the adjoint gradient technic and the finite element method of $P1-bubble/P1$ type. Finally, we provide some numerical results showing the accuracy, effectiveness, and robustness of the proposed approach.
This paper focuses on the regularization of backward time-fractional diffusion problem on unbounded domain. This problem is well-known to be ill-posed, whence the need of a regularization method in order to recover stable approximate solution. For the problem under consideration, we present a unified framework of regularization which covers some techniques such as Fourier regularization [19], mollification [12] and approximate-inverse [7]. We investigate a regularization technique with two major advantages: the simplicity of computation of the regularized solution and the avoid of truncation of high frequency components (so as to avoid undesirable oscillation on the resulting approximate-solution). Under classical Sobolev-smoothness conditions, we derive order-optimal error estimates between the approximate solution and the exact solution in the case where both the data and the model are only approximately known. In addition, an order-optimal a-posteriori parameter choice rule based on the Morozov principle is given. Finally, via some numerical experiments in two-dimensional space, we illustrate the efficiency of our regularization approach and we numerically confirm the theoretical convergence rates established in the paper.
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