The bulk of the research effort on brain connectivity revolves around statistical associations among brain regions, which do not directly relate to the causal mechanisms governing brain dynamics. Here we propose the multiscale causal backbone (MCB) of brain dynamics shared by a set of individuals across multiple temporal scales, and devise a principled methodology to extract it. Our approach leverages recent advances in multiscale causal structure learning and optimizes the trade-off between the model fitting and its complexity. Empirical assessment on synthetic data shows the superiority of our methodology over a baseline based on canonical functional connectivity networks. When applied to resting-state fMRI data, we find sparse MCBs for both the left and right brain hemispheres. Thanks to its multiscale nature, our approach shows that at low-frequency bands, causal dynamics are driven by brain regions associated with high-level cognitive functions; at higher frequencies instead, nodes related to sensory processing play a crucial role. Finally, our analysis of individual multiscale causal structures confirms the existence of a causal fingerprint of brain connectivity, thus supporting from a causal perspective the existing extensive research in brain connectivity fingerprinting.
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The modifiable areal unit problem in geography or the change-of-support (COS) problem in statistics demonstrates that the interpretation of spatial (or spatio-temporal) data analysis is affected by the choice of resolutions or geographical units used in the study. The ecological fallacy is one famous example of this phenomenon. Here we investigate the ecological fallacy associated with the COS problem for multivariate spatial data with the goal of providing a data-driven discretization criterion for the domain of interest that minimizes aggregation errors. The discretization is based on a novel multiscale metric, called the Multivariate Criterion for Aggregation Error (MVCAGE). Such multi-scale representations of an underlying multivariate process are often formulated in terms of basis expansions. We show that a particularly useful basis expansion in this context is the multivariate Karhunen-Lo`eve expansion (MKLE). We use the MKLE to build the MVCAGE loss function and use it within the framework of spatial clustering algorithms to perform optimal spatial aggregation. We demonstrate the effectiveness of our approach through simulation and through regionalization of county-level income and hospital quality data over the United States and prediction of ocean color in the coastal Gulf of Alaska.
Transformer-based models have achieved great breakthroughs in recent years. However, there are many significant questions that have not been answered in the field of explaining the reason why the models have powerful outputs. We do not know how to locate the models' important parameters storing the knowledge for predicting the next word, and whether these parameters are stored on the same layer/module or different ones. Moreover, we do not understand the mechanism to merge the knowledge into the final embedding for next word prediction. In this paper, we explore the residual stream of transformers to increase the interpretability. We find the mechanism behind residual connection is a direct addition function on before-softmax values, so the probabilities of tokens with larger before-softmax values will increase. Moreover, we prove that using log probability increase as contribution scores is reasonable, and based on this we can locate important parameters. Besides, we propose a method to analyze how previous layers affect upper layers by comparing the inner products. The experimental results and case study show that our research can increase the interpretability of transformer-based models. We will release our code on //github.com/zepingyu0512/residualstream.
While operating communication networks adaptively may improve utilization and performance, frequent adjustments also introduce an algorithmic challenge: the re-optimization of traffic engineering solutions is time-consuming and may limit the granularity at which a network can be adjusted. This paper is motivated by question whether the reactivity of a network can be improved by re-optimizing solutions dynamically rather than from scratch, especially if inputs such as link weights do not change significantly. This paper explores to what extent dynamic algorithms can be used to speed up fundamental tasks in network operations. We specifically investigate optimizations related to traffic engineering (namely shortest paths and maximum flow computations), but also consider spanning tree and matching applications. While prior work on dynamic graph algorithms focuses on link insertions and deletions, we are interested in the practical problem of link weight changes. We revisit existing upper bounds in the weight-dynamic model, and present several novel lower bounds on the amortized runtime for recomputing solutions. In general, we find that the potential performance gains depend on the application, and there are also strict limitations on what can be achieved, even if link weights change only slightly.
The maturation of cognition, from introspection to understanding others, has long been a hallmark of human development. This position paper posits that for AI systems to truly emulate or approach human-like interactions, especially within multifaceted environments populated with diverse agents, they must first achieve an in-depth and nuanced understanding of self. Drawing parallels with the human developmental trajectory from self-awareness to mentalizing (also called theory of mind), the paper argues that the quality of an autonomous agent's introspective capabilities of self are crucial in mirroring quality human-like understandings of other agents. While counterarguments emphasize practicality, computational efficiency, and ethical concerns, this position proposes a development approach, blending algorithmic considerations of self-referential processing. Ultimately, the vision set forth is not merely of machines that compute but of entities that introspect, empathize, and understand, harmonizing with the complex compositions of human cognition.
While there is universal agreement that agents ought to act ethically, there is no agreement as to what constitutes ethical behaviour. To address this problem, recent philosophical approaches to `moral uncertainty' propose aggregation of multiple ethical theories to guide agent behaviour. However, one of the foundational proposals for aggregation - Maximising Expected Choiceworthiness (MEC) - has been criticised as being vulnerable to fanaticism; the problem of an ethical theory dominating agent behaviour despite low credence (confidence) in said theory. Fanaticism thus undermines the `democratic' motivation for accommodating multiple ethical perspectives. The problem of fanaticism has not yet been mathematically defined. Representing moral uncertainty as an instance of social welfare aggregation, this paper contributes to the field of moral uncertainty by 1) formalising the problem of fanaticism as a property of social welfare functionals and 2) providing non-fanatical alternatives to MEC, i.e. Highest k-trimmed Mean and Highest Median.
Generating physical movement behaviours from their symbolic description is a long-standing challenge in artificial intelligence (AI) and robotics, requiring insights into numerical optimization methods as well as into formalizations from symbolic AI and reasoning. In this paper, a novel approach to finding a reward function from a symbolic description is proposed. The intended system behaviour is modelled as a hybrid automaton, which reduces the system state space to allow more efficient reinforcement learning. The approach is applied to bipedal walking, by modelling the walking robot as a hybrid automaton over state space orthants, and used with the compass walker to derive a reward that incentivizes following the hybrid automaton cycle. As a result, training times of reinforcement learning controllers are reduced while final walking speed is increased. The approach can serve as a blueprint how to generate reward functions from symbolic AI and reasoning.
The wayward quality of continuous prompts stresses the importance of their interpretability as unexpected and unpredictable behaviors appear following training, especially in the context of large language models automating people-sensitive tasks such as resume screening. In this paper we present a novel method of constructing continuous prompts via discrete prompt embeddings and evaluate improvements to continuous prompt interpretability and inference accuracy. For a set of manually designed discrete prompts $\mathcal{D}$, which we tokenize each into tensor form, we train a model to predict the weights such that the linear combinations of those prompts correspond to higher performance on natural language understanding tasks.
With the success of self-supervised representations, researchers seek a better understanding of the information encapsulated within a representation. Among various interpretability methods, we focus on classification-based linear probing. We aim to foster a solid understanding and provide guidelines for linear probing by constructing a novel mathematical framework leveraging information theory. First, we connect probing with the variational bounds of mutual information (MI) to relax the probe design, equating linear probing with fine-tuning. Then, we investigate empirical behaviors and practices of probing through our mathematical framework. We analyze the layer-wise performance curve being convex, which seemingly violates the data processing inequality. However, we show that the intermediate representations can have the biggest MI estimate because of the tradeoff between better separability and decreasing MI. We further suggest that the margin of linearly separable representations can be a criterion for measuring the "goodness of representation." We also compare accuracy with MI as the measuring criteria. Finally, we empirically validate our claims by observing the self-supervised speech models on retaining word and phoneme information.
Knowledge graphs represent factual knowledge about the world as relationships between concepts and are critical for intelligent decision making in enterprise applications. New knowledge is inferred from the existing facts in the knowledge graphs by encoding the concepts and relations into low-dimensional feature vector representations. The most effective representations for this task, called Knowledge Graph Embeddings (KGE), are learned through neural network architectures. Due to their impressive predictive performance, they are increasingly used in high-impact domains like healthcare, finance and education. However, are the black-box KGE models adversarially robust for use in domains with high stakes? This thesis argues that state-of-the-art KGE models are vulnerable to data poisoning attacks, that is, their predictive performance can be degraded by systematically crafted perturbations to the training knowledge graph. To support this argument, two novel data poisoning attacks are proposed that craft input deletions or additions at training time to subvert the learned model's performance at inference time. These adversarial attacks target the task of predicting the missing facts in knowledge graphs using KGE models, and the evaluation shows that the simpler attacks are competitive with or outperform the computationally expensive ones. The thesis contributions not only highlight and provide an opportunity to fix the security vulnerabilities of KGE models, but also help to understand the black-box predictive behaviour of KGE models.
We consider the problem of explaining the predictions of graph neural networks (GNNs), which otherwise are considered as black boxes. Existing methods invariably focus on explaining the importance of graph nodes or edges but ignore the substructures of graphs, which are more intuitive and human-intelligible. In this work, we propose a novel method, known as SubgraphX, to explain GNNs by identifying important subgraphs. Given a trained GNN model and an input graph, our SubgraphX explains its predictions by efficiently exploring different subgraphs with Monte Carlo tree search. To make the tree search more effective, we propose to use Shapley values as a measure of subgraph importance, which can also capture the interactions among different subgraphs. To expedite computations, we propose efficient approximation schemes to compute Shapley values for graph data. Our work represents the first attempt to explain GNNs via identifying subgraphs explicitly and directly. Experimental results show that our SubgraphX achieves significantly improved explanations, while keeping computations at a reasonable level.
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