This paper critically evaluates the European Commission's proposed AI Act's approach to risk management and risk acceptability for high-risk AI systems that pose risks to fundamental rights and safety. The Act aims to promote "trustworthy" AI with a proportionate regulatory burden. Its provisions on risk acceptability require residual risks from high-risk systems to be reduced or eliminated "as far as possible", having regard to the "state of the art". This criterion, especially if interpreted narrowly, is unworkable and promotes neither proportionate regulatory burden, nor trustworthiness. By contrast the Parliament's most recent draft amendments to the risk management provisions introduce "reasonableness", cost-benefit analysis, and are more transparent about the value-laden and contextual nature of risk acceptability judgements. This paper argues that the Parliament's approach is more workable, and better balances the goals of proportionality and trustworthiness. It explains what reasonableness in risk acceptability judgments would entail, drawing on principles from negligence law and European medical devices regulation. And it contends that the approach to risk acceptability judgments need a firm foundation of civic legitimacy: including detailed guidance or involvement from regulators, and meaningful input from affected stakeholders.
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This paper investigates the problem of estimating the larger location parameter of two general location families from a decision-theoretic perspective. In this estimation problem, we use the criteria of minimizing the risk function and the Pitman closeness under a general bowl-shaped loss function. Inadmissibility of a general location and equivariant estimators is provided. We prove that a natural estimator (analogue of the BLEE of unordered location parameters) is inadmissible, under certain conditions on underlying densities, and propose a dominating estimator. We also derive a class of improved estimators using the Kubokawa's IERD approach and observe that the boundary estimator of this class is the Brewster-Zidek type estimator. Additionally, under the generalized Pitman criterion, we show that the natural estimator is inadmissible and obtain improved estimators. The results are implemented for different loss functions, and explicit expressions for the dominating estimators are provided. We explore the applications of these results to for exponential and normal distribution under specified loss functions. A simulation is also conducted to compare the risk performance of the proposed estimators. Finally, we present a real-life data analysis to illustrate the practical applications of the paper's findings.
National surveys of the healthcare system in the United States were conducted to characterize the structure of healthcare system and investigate the impact of evidence-based innovations in healthcare systems on healthcare services. Administrative data is additionally available to researchers raising the question of whether inferences about healthcare organizations based on the survey data can be enhanced by incorporating information from auxiliary data. Administrative data can provide information for dealing with under-coverage-bias and non-response in surveys and for capturing more sub-populations. In this study, we focus on the use of administrative claims data to improve estimates about means of survey items for the finite population. Auxiliary information from the claims data is incorporated using multiple imputation to impute values of non-responding or non-surveyed organizations. We derive multiple versions of imputation strategy, and the logical development of methodology is compared to two incumbent approaches: a na\"ive analysis that ignores the sampling probabilities and a traditional survey analysis weighting by the inverses of the sampling probabilities. , and illustrate the methods using data from The National Survey of Healthcare Organizations and Systems and The Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services Medicare claims data to make inferences about relationships of characteristics of healthcare organizations and healthcare services they provide.
The paper is briefly dealing with greater or lesser misused normalization in self-modeling/multivariate curve resolution (S/MCR) practice. The importance of the correct use of the ode solvers and apt kinetic illustrations are elucidated. The new terms, external and internal normalizations are defined and interpreted. The problem of reducibility of a matrix is touched. Improper generalization/development of normalization-based methods are cited as examples. The position of the extreme values of the signal contribution function is clarified. An Executable Notebook with Matlab Live Editor was created for algorithmic explanations and depictions.
This manuscript is a research resource description and presents a large and novel Electronic Health Records (EHR) data resource, American Family Cohort (AFC). The AFC data is derived from Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services (CMS) certified American Board of Family Medicine (ABFM) PRIME registry. The PRIME registry is the largest national Qualified Clinical Data Registry (QCDR) for Primary Care. The data is converted to a popular common data model, the Observational Health Data Sciences and Informatics (OHDSI) Observational Medical Outcomes Partnership (OMOP) Common Data Model (CDM). The resource presents approximately 90 million encounters for 7.5 million patients. All 100% of the patients present age, gender, and address information, and 73% report race. Nealy 93% of patients have lab data in LOINC, 86% have medication data in RxNorm, 93% have diagnosis in SNOWMED and ICD, 81% have procedures in HCPCS or CPT, and 61% have insurance information. The richness, breadth, and diversity of this research accessible and research ready data is expected to accelerate observational studies in many diverse areas. We expect this resource to facilitate research in many years to come.
Mediation analysis is widely used for investigating direct and indirect causal pathways through which an effect arises. However, many mediation analysis studies are challenged by missingness in the mediator and outcome. In general, when the mediator and outcome are missing not at random, the direct and indirect effects are not identifiable without further assumptions. In this work, we study the identifiability of the direct and indirect effects under some interpretable mechanisms that allow for missing not at random in the mediator and outcome. We evaluate the performance of statistical inference under those mechanisms through simulation studies and illustrate the proposed methods via the National Job Corps Study.
We consider a one-dimensional singularly perturbed 4th order problem with the additional feature of a shift term. An expansion into a smooth term, boundary layers and an inner layer yields a formal solution decomposition, and together with a stability result we have estimates for the subsequent numerical analysis. With classical layer adapted meshes we present a numerical method, that achieves supercloseness and optimal convergence orders in the associated energy norm. We also consider coarser meshes in view of the weak layers. Some numerical examples conclude the paper and support the theory.
With an increasing focus on precision medicine in medical research, numerous studies have been conducted in recent years to clarify the relationship between treatment effects and patient characteristics. The treatment effects for patients with different characteristics are always heterogeneous, and various heterogeneous treatment effect machine learning estimation methods have been proposed owing to their flexibility and high prediction accuracy. However, most machine learning methods rely on black-box models, preventing direct interpretation of the relationship between patient characteristics and treatment effects. Moreover, most of these studies have focused on continuous or binary outcomes, although survival outcomes are also important in medical research. To address these challenges, we propose a heterogeneous treatment effect estimation method for survival data based on RuleFit, an interpretable machine learning method. Numerical simulation results confirmed that the prediction performance of the proposed method was comparable to that of existing methods. We also applied a dataset from an HIV study, the AIDS Clinical Trials Group Protocol 175 dataset, to illustrate the interpretability of the proposed method using real data. Consequently, the proposed method established an interpretable model with sufficient prediction accuracy.
Monitoring propeller failures is vital to maintain the safe and reliable operation of quadrotor UAVs. The simulation-to-reality UAV fault diagnosis technique offer a secure and economical approach to identify faults in propellers. However, classifiers trained with simulated data perform poorly in real flights due to the wind disturbance in outdoor scenarios. In this work, we propose an uncertainty-based fault classifier (UFC) to address the challenge of sim-to-real UAV fault diagnosis in windy scenarios. It uses the ensemble of difference-based deep convolutional neural networks (EDDCNN) to reduce model variance and bias. Moreover, it employs an uncertainty-based decision framework to filter out uncertain predictions. Experimental results demonstrate that the UFC can achieve 100% fault-diagnosis accuracy with a data usage rate of 33.6% in the windy outdoor scenario.
Grammatical cues are sometimes redundant with word meanings in natural language. For instance, English word order rules constrain the word order of a sentence like "The dog chewed the bone" even though the status of "dog" as subject and "bone" as object can be inferred from world knowledge and plausibility. Quantifying how often this redundancy occurs, and how the level of redundancy varies across typologically diverse languages, can shed light on the function and evolution of grammar. To that end, we performed a behavioral experiment in English and Russian and a cross-linguistic computational analysis measuring the redundancy of grammatical cues in transitive clauses extracted from corpus text. English and Russian speakers (n=484) were presented with subjects, verbs, and objects (in random order and with morphological markings removed) extracted from naturally occurring sentences and were asked to identify which noun is the subject of the action. Accuracy was high in both languages (~89% in English, ~87% in Russian). Next, we trained a neural network machine classifier on a similar task: predicting which nominal in a subject-verb-object triad is the subject. Across 30 languages from eight language families, performance was consistently high: a median accuracy of 87%, comparable to the accuracy observed in the human experiments. The conclusion is that grammatical cues such as word order are necessary to convey subjecthood and objecthood in a minority of naturally occurring transitive clauses; nevertheless, they can (a) provide an important source of redundancy and (b) are crucial for conveying intended meaning that cannot be inferred from the words alone, including descriptions of human interactions, where roles are often reversible (e.g., Ray helped Lu/Lu helped Ray), and expressing non-prototypical meanings (e.g., "The bone chewed the dog.").
This paper reports Deep LOGISMOS approach to 3D tumor segmentation by incorporating boundary information derived from deep contextual learning to LOGISMOS - layered optimal graph image segmentation of multiple objects and surfaces. Accurate and reliable tumor segmentation is essential to tumor growth analysis and treatment selection. A fully convolutional network (FCN), UNet, is first trained using three adjacent 2D patches centered at the tumor, providing contextual UNet segmentation and probability map for each 2D patch. The UNet segmentation is then refined by Gaussian Mixture Model (GMM) and morphological operations. The refined UNet segmentation is used to provide the initial shape boundary to build a segmentation graph. The cost for each node of the graph is determined by the UNet probability maps. Finally, a max-flow algorithm is employed to find the globally optimal solution thus obtaining the final segmentation. For evaluation, we applied the method to pancreatic tumor segmentation on a dataset of 51 CT scans, among which 30 scans were used for training and 21 for testing. With Deep LOGISMOS, DICE Similarity Coefficient (DSC) and Relative Volume Difference (RVD) reached 83.2+-7.8% and 18.6+-17.4% respectively, both are significantly improved (p<0.05) compared with contextual UNet and/or LOGISMOS alone.
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