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In this paper we investigate the flexibility of matrix distributions for the modeling of mortality. Starting from a simple Gompertz law, we show how the introduction of matrix-valued parameters via inhomogeneous phase-type distributions can lead to reasonably accurate and relatively parsimonious models for mortality curves across the entire lifespan. A particular feature of the proposed model framework is that it allows for a more direct interpretation of the implied underlying aging process than some previous approaches. Subsequently, towards applications of the approach for multi-population mortality modeling, we introduce regression via the concept of proportional intensities, which are more flexible than proportional hazard models, and we show that the two classes are asymptotically equivalent. We illustrate how the model parameters can be estimated from data by providing an adapted EM algorithm for which the likelihood increases at each iteration. The practical feasibility and competitiveness of the proposed approach are illustrated for several sets of mortality data.

A good data visualization is not only a distortion-free graphical representation of data but also a way to reveal underlying statistical properties of the data. Despite its common use across various stages of data analysis, selecting a good visualization often is a manual process involving many iterations. Recently there has been interest in reducing this effort by developing models that can recommend visualizations, but they are of limited use since they require large training samples (data and visualization pairs) and focus primarily on the design aspects rather than on assessing the effectiveness of the selected visualization. In this paper, we present VizAI, a generative-discriminative framework that first generates various statistical properties of the data from a number of alternative visualizations of the data. It is linked to a discriminative model that selects the visualization that best matches the true statistics of the data being visualized. VizAI can easily be trained with minimal supervision and adapts to settings with varying degrees of supervision easily. Using crowd-sourced judgements and a large repository of publicly available visualizations, we demonstrate that VizAI outperforms the state of the art methods that learn to recommend visualizations.

We study whether and how can we model a joint distribution $p(x,z)$ using two conditional models $p(x|z)$ and $q(z|x)$ that form a cycle. This is motivated by the observation that deep generative models, in addition to a likelihood model $p(x|z)$, often also use an inference model $q(z|x)$ for extracting representation, but they rely on a usually uninformative prior distribution $p(z)$ to define a joint distribution, which may render problems like posterior collapse and manifold mismatch. To explore the possibility to model a joint distribution using only $p(x|z)$ and $q(z|x)$, we study their compatibility and determinacy, corresponding to the existence and uniqueness of a joint distribution whose conditional distributions coincide with them. We develop a general theory for operable equivalence criteria for compatibility, and sufficient conditions for determinacy. Based on the theory, we propose a novel generative modeling framework CyGen that only uses the two cyclic conditional models. We develop methods to achieve compatibility and determinacy, and to use the conditional models to fit and generate data. With the prior constraint removed, CyGen better fits data and captures more representative features, supported by both synthetic and real-world experiments.

We consider the query complexity of finding a local minimum of a function defined on a graph, where at most $k$ rounds of interaction with the oracle are allowed. Rounds model parallel settings, where each query takes resources to complete and is executed on a separate processor. Thus the query complexity in $k$ rounds informs how many processors are needed to achieve a parallel time of $k$. We focus on the d-dimensional grid $[n]^d$, where the dimension $d$ is a constant, and consider two regimes for the number of rounds: constant and polynomial in n. We give algorithms and lower bounds that characterize the trade-off between the number of rounds of adaptivity and the query complexity of local search. When the number of rounds $k$ is constant, we show that the query complexity of local search in $k$ rounds is $\Theta\bigl(n^{\frac{d^{k+1} - d^k}{d^k - 1}}\bigl)$, for both deterministic and randomized algorithms. When the number of rounds is polynomial, i.e. $k = n^{\alpha}$ for $0 < \alpha < d/2$, the randomized query complexity is $\Theta\left(n^{d-1 - \frac{d-2}{d}\alpha}\right)$ for all $d \geq 5$. For $d=3$ and $d=4$, we show the same upper bound expression holds and give almost matching lower bounds. The local search analysis also enables us to characterize the query complexity of computing a Brouwer fixed point in rounds. Our proof technique for lower bounding the query complexity in rounds may be of independent interest as an alternative to the classical relational adversary method of Aaronson from the fully adaptive setting.

For rare events described in terms of Markov processes, truly unbiased estimation of the rare event probability generally requires the avoidance of numerical approximations of the Markov process. Recent work in the exact and $\varepsilon$-strong simulation of diffusions, which can be used to almost surely constrain sample paths to a given tolerance, suggests one way to do this. We specify how such algorithms can be combined with the classical multilevel splitting method for rare event simulation. This provides unbiased estimations of the probability in question. We discuss the practical feasibility of the algorithm with reference to existing $\varepsilon$-strong methods and provide proof-of-concept numerical examples.

We describe a new approach to derive numerical approximations of boundary conditions for high-order accurate finite-difference approximations. The approach, called the Local Compatibility Boundary Condition (LCBC) method, uses boundary conditions and compatibility boundary conditions derived from the governing equations, as well as interior and boundary grid values, to construct a local polynomial, whose degree matches the order of accuracy of the interior scheme, centered at each boundary point. The local polynomial is then used to derive a discrete formula for each ghost point in terms of the data. This approach leads to centered approximations that are generally more accurate and stable than one-sided approximations. Moreover, the stencil approximations are local since they do not couple to neighboring ghost-point values which can occur with traditional compatibility conditions. The local polynomial is derived using continuous operators and derivatives which enables the automatic construction of stencil approximations at different orders of accuracy. The LCBC method is developed here for problems governed by second-order partial differential equations, and it is verified for a wide range of sample problems, both time-dependent and time-independent, in two space dimensions and for schemes up to sixth-order accuracy.

Despite recent advances in Visual QuestionAnswering (VQA), it remains a challenge todetermine how much success can be attributedto sound reasoning and comprehension ability.We seek to investigate this question by propos-ing a new task ofrationale generation. Es-sentially, we task a VQA model with generat-ing rationales for the answers it predicts. Weuse data from the Visual Commonsense Rea-soning (VCR) task, as it contains ground-truthrationales along with visual questions and an-swers. We first investigate commonsense un-derstanding in one of the leading VCR mod-els, ViLBERT, by generating rationales frompretrained weights using a state-of-the-art lan-guage model, GPT-2. Next, we seek to jointlytrain ViLBERT with GPT-2 in an end-to-endfashion with the dual task of predicting the an-swer in VQA and generating rationales. Weshow that this kind of training injects com-monsense understanding in the VQA modelthrough quantitative and qualitative evaluationmetrics

Graph neural networks (GNNs) are a popular class of machine learning models whose major advantage is their ability to incorporate a sparse and discrete dependency structure between data points. Unfortunately, GNNs can only be used when such a graph-structure is available. In practice, however, real-world graphs are often noisy and incomplete or might not be available at all. With this work, we propose to jointly learn the graph structure and the parameters of graph convolutional networks (GCNs) by approximately solving a bilevel program that learns a discrete probability distribution on the edges of the graph. This allows one to apply GCNs not only in scenarios where the given graph is incomplete or corrupted but also in those where a graph is not available. We conduct a series of experiments that analyze the behavior of the proposed method and demonstrate that it outperforms related methods by a significant margin.

We introduce a new neural architecture to learn the conditional probability of an output sequence with elements that are discrete tokens corresponding to positions in an input sequence. Such problems cannot be trivially addressed by existent approaches such as sequence-to-sequence and Neural Turing Machines, because the number of target classes in each step of the output depends on the length of the input, which is variable. Problems such as sorting variable sized sequences, and various combinatorial optimization problems belong to this class. Our model solves the problem of variable size output dictionaries using a recently proposed mechanism of neural attention. It differs from the previous attention attempts in that, instead of using attention to blend hidden units of an encoder to a context vector at each decoder step, it uses attention as a pointer to select a member of the input sequence as the output. We call this architecture a Pointer Net (Ptr-Net). We show Ptr-Nets can be used to learn approximate solutions to three challenging geometric problems -- finding planar convex hulls, computing Delaunay triangulations, and the planar Travelling Salesman Problem -- using training examples alone. Ptr-Nets not only improve over sequence-to-sequence with input attention, but also allow us to generalize to variable size output dictionaries. We show that the learnt models generalize beyond the maximum lengths they were trained on. We hope our results on these tasks will encourage a broader exploration of neural learning for discrete problems.