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This paper investigates posterior sampling algorithms for competitive reinforcement learning (RL) in the context of general function approximations. Focusing on zero-sum Markov games (MGs) under two critical settings, namely self-play and adversarial learning, we first propose the self-play and adversarial generalized eluder coefficient (GEC) as complexity measures for function approximation, capturing the exploration-exploitation trade-off in MGs. Based on self-play GEC, we propose a model-based self-play posterior sampling method to control both players to learn Nash equilibrium, which can successfully handle the partial observability of states. Furthermore, we identify a set of partially observable MG models fitting MG learning with the adversarial policies of the opponent. Incorporating the adversarial GEC, we propose a model-based posterior sampling method for learning adversarial MG with potential partial observability. We further provide low regret bounds for proposed algorithms that can scale sublinearly with the proposed GEC and the number of episodes $T$. To the best of our knowledge, we for the first time develop generic model-based posterior sampling algorithms for competitive RL that can be applied to a majority of tractable zero-sum MG classes in both fully observable and partially observable MGs with self-play and adversarial learning.

In this note, we connect two different topics from linear algebra and numerical analysis: hypocoercivity of semi-dissipative matrices and strong stability for explicit Runge--Kutta schemes. Linear autonomous ODE systems with a non-coercive matrix are called hypocoercive if they still exhibit uniform exponential decay towards the steady state. Strong stability is a property of time-integration schemes for ODEs that preserve the temporal monotonicity of the discrete solutions. It is proved that explicit Runge--Kutta schemes are strongly stable with respect to semi-dissipative, asymptotically stable matrices if the hypocoercivity index is sufficiently small compared to the order of the scheme. Otherwise, the Runge--Kutta schemes are in general not strongly stable. As a corollary, explicit Runge--Kutta schemes of order $p\in 4\N$ with $s=p$ stages turn out to be \emph{not} strongly stable. This result was proved in \cite{AAJ23}, filling a gap left open in \cite{SunShu19}. Here, we present an alternative, direct proof.

We study the problems of estimating the past and future evolutions of two diffusion processes that spread concurrently on a network. Specifically, given a known network $G=(V, \overrightarrow{E})$ and a (possibly noisy) snapshot $\mathcal{O}_n$ of its state taken at (a possibly unknown) time $W$, we wish to determine the posterior distributions of the initial state of the network and the infection times of its nodes. These distributions are useful in finding source nodes of epidemics and rumors -- $\textit{backward inference}$ -- , and estimating the spread of a fixed set of source nodes -- $\textit{forward inference}$. To model the interaction between the two processes, we study an extension of the independent-cascade (IC) model where, when a node gets infected with either process, its susceptibility to the other one changes. First, we derive the exact joint probability of the initial state of the network and the observation-snapshot $\mathcal{O}_n$. Then, using the machinery of factor-graphs, factor-graph transformations, and the generalized distributive-law, we derive a Belief-Propagation (BP) based algorithm that is scalable to large networks and can converge on graphs of arbitrary topology (at a likely expense in approximation accuracy).

Typically, a randomized experiment is designed to test a hypothesis about the average treatment effect and sometimes hypotheses about treatment effect variation. The results of such a study may then be used to inform policy and practice for units not in the study. In this paper, we argue that given this use, randomized experiments should instead be designed to predict unit-specific treatment effects in a well-defined population. We then consider how different sampling processes and models affect the bias, variance, and mean squared prediction error of these predictions. The results indicate, for example, that problems of generalizability (differences between samples and populations) can greatly affect bias both in predictive models and in measures of error in these models. We also examine when the average treatment effect estimate outperforms unit-specific treatment effect predictive models and implications of this for planning studies.

This paper proposes two nonlinear dynamics to solve constrained distributed optimization problem for resource allocation over a multi-agent network. In this setup, coupling constraint refers to resource-demand balance which is preserved at all-times. The proposed solutions can address various model nonlinearities, for example, due to quantization and/or saturation. Further, it allows to reach faster convergence or to robustify the solution against impulsive noise or uncertainties. We prove convergence over weakly connected networks using convex analysis and Lyapunov theory. Our findings show that convergence can be reached for general sign-preserving odd nonlinearity. We further propose delay-tolerant mechanisms to handle general bounded heterogeneous time-varying delays over the communication network of agents while preserving all-time feasibility. This work finds application in CPU scheduling and coverage control among others. This paper advances the state-of-the-art by addressing (i) possible nonlinearity on the agents/links, meanwhile handling (ii) resource-demand feasibility at all times, (iii) uniform-connectivity instead of all-time connectivity, and (iv) possible heterogeneous and time-varying delays. To our best knowledge, no existing work addresses contributions (i)-(iv) altogether. Simulations and comparative analysis are provided to corroborate our contributions.

While numerous works have focused on devising efficient algorithms for reinforcement learning (RL) with uniformly bounded rewards, it remains an open question whether sample or time-efficient algorithms for RL with large state-action space exist when the rewards are \emph{heavy-tailed}, i.e., with only finite $(1+\epsilon)$-th moments for some $\epsilon\in(0,1]$. In this work, we address the challenge of such rewards in RL with linear function approximation. We first design an algorithm, \textsc{Heavy-OFUL}, for heavy-tailed linear bandits, achieving an \emph{instance-dependent} $T$-round regret of $\tilde{O}\big(d T^{\frac{1-\epsilon}{2(1+\epsilon)}} \sqrt{\sum_{t=1}^T \nu_t^2} + d T^{\frac{1-\epsilon}{2(1+\epsilon)}}\big)$, the \emph{first} of this kind. Here, $d$ is the feature dimension, and $\nu_t^{1+\epsilon}$ is the $(1+\epsilon)$-th central moment of the reward at the $t$-th round. We further show the above bound is minimax optimal when applied to the worst-case instances in stochastic and deterministic linear bandits. We then extend this algorithm to the RL settings with linear function approximation. Our algorithm, termed as \textsc{Heavy-LSVI-UCB}, achieves the \emph{first} computationally efficient \emph{instance-dependent} $K$-episode regret of $\tilde{O}(d \sqrt{H \mathcal{U}^*} K^\frac{1}{1+\epsilon} + d \sqrt{H \mathcal{V}^* K})$. Here, $H$ is length of the episode, and $\mathcal{U}^*, \mathcal{V}^*$ are instance-dependent quantities scaling with the central moment of reward and value functions, respectively. We also provide a matching minimax lower bound $\Omega(d H K^{\frac{1}{1+\epsilon}} + d \sqrt{H^3 K})$ to demonstrate the optimality of our algorithm in the worst case. Our result is achieved via a novel robust self-normalized concentration inequality that may be of independent interest in handling heavy-tailed noise in general online regression problems.

Hierarchical federated learning (HFL) has demonstrated promising scalability advantages over the traditional "star-topology" architecture-based federated learning (FL). However, HFL still imposes significant computation, communication, and storage burdens on the edge, especially when training a large-scale model over resource-constrained Internet of Things (IoT) devices. In this paper, we propose hierarchical independent submodel training (HIST), a new FL methodology that aims to address these issues in hierarchical settings. The key idea behind HIST is a hierarchical version of model partitioning, where we partition the global model into disjoint submodels in each round, and distribute them across different cells, so that each cell is responsible for training only one partition of the full model. This enables each client to save computation/storage costs while alleviating the communication loads throughout the hierarchy. We characterize the convergence behavior of HIST for non-convex loss functions under mild assumptions, showing the impact of several attributes (e.g., number of cells, local and global aggregation frequency) on the performance-efficiency tradeoff. Finally, through numerical experiments, we verify that HIST is able to save communication costs by a wide margin while achieving the same target testing accuracy.

A fundamental goal of scientific research is to learn about causal relationships. However, despite its critical role in the life and social sciences, causality has not had the same importance in Natural Language Processing (NLP), which has traditionally placed more emphasis on predictive tasks. This distinction is beginning to fade, with an emerging area of interdisciplinary research at the convergence of causal inference and language processing. Still, research on causality in NLP remains scattered across domains without unified definitions, benchmark datasets and clear articulations of the remaining challenges. In this survey, we consolidate research across academic areas and situate it in the broader NLP landscape. We introduce the statistical challenge of estimating causal effects, encompassing settings where text is used as an outcome, treatment, or as a means to address confounding. In addition, we explore potential uses of causal inference to improve the performance, robustness, fairness, and interpretability of NLP models. We thus provide a unified overview of causal inference for the computational linguistics community.

In this paper, we propose the joint learning attention and recurrent neural network (RNN) models for multi-label classification. While approaches based on the use of either model exist (e.g., for the task of image captioning), training such existing network architectures typically require pre-defined label sequences. For multi-label classification, it would be desirable to have a robust inference process, so that the prediction error would not propagate and thus affect the performance. Our proposed model uniquely integrates attention and Long Short Term Memory (LSTM) models, which not only addresses the above problem but also allows one to identify visual objects of interests with varying sizes without the prior knowledge of particular label ordering. More importantly, label co-occurrence information can be jointly exploited by our LSTM model. Finally, by advancing the technique of beam search, prediction of multiple labels can be efficiently achieved by our proposed network model.