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We propose Riemannian preconditioned algorithms for the tensor completion problem via tensor ring decomposition. A new Riemannian metric is developed on the product space of the mode-2 unfolding matrices of the core tensors in tensor ring decomposition. The construction of this metric aims to approximate the Hessian of the cost function by its diagonal blocks, paving the way for various Riemannian optimization methods. Specifically, we propose the Riemannian gradient descent and Riemannian conjugate gradient algorithms. We prove that both algorithms globally converge to a stationary point. In the implementation, we exploit the tensor structure and adopt an economical procedure to avoid large matrix formulation and computation in gradients, which significantly reduces the computational cost. Numerical experiments on various synthetic and real-world datasets -- movie ratings, hyperspectral images, and high-dimensional functions -- suggest that the proposed algorithms are more efficient and have better reconstruction ability than other candidates.

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Gradient-enhanced Kriging (GE-Kriging) is a well-established surrogate modelling technique for approximating expensive computational models. However, it tends to get impractical for high-dimensional problems due to the size of the inherent correlation matrix and the associated high-dimensional hyper-parameter tuning problem. To address these issues, a new method, called sliced GE-Kriging (SGE-Kriging), is developed in this paper for reducing both the size of the correlation matrix and the number of hyper-parameters. We first split the training sample set into multiple slices, and invoke Bayes' theorem to approximate the full likelihood function via a sliced likelihood function, in which multiple small correlation matrices are utilized to describe the correlation of the sample set rather than one large one. Then, we replace the original high-dimensional hyper-parameter tuning problem with a low-dimensional counterpart by learning the relationship between the hyper-parameters and the derivative-based global sensitivity indices. The performance of SGE-Kriging is finally validated by means of numerical experiments with several benchmarks and a high-dimensional aerodynamic modeling problem. The results show that the SGE-Kriging model features an accuracy and robustness that is comparable to the standard one but comes at much less training costs. The benefits are most evident for high-dimensional problems with tens of variables.

We propose a finite difference scheme for the numerical solution of a two-dimensional singularly perturbed convection-diffusion partial differential equation whose solution features interacting boundary and interior layers, the latter due to discontinuities in source term. The problem is posed on the unit square. The second derivative is multiplied by a singular perturbation parameter, $\epsilon$, while the nature of the first derivative term is such that flow is aligned with a boundary. These two facts mean that solutions tend to exhibit layers of both exponential and characteristic type. We solve the problem using a finite difference method, specially adapted to the discontinuities, and applied on a piecewise-uniform (Shishkin). We prove that that the computed solution converges to the true one at a rate that is independent of the perturbation parameter, and is nearly first-order. We present numerical results that verify that these results are sharp.

In this paper, we conduct rigorous error analysis of the Lie-Totter time-splitting Fourier spectral scheme for the nonlinear Schr\"odinger equation with a logarithmic nonlinear term $f(u)=u\ln|u|^2$ (LogSE) and periodic boundary conditions on a $d$-dimensional torus $\mathbb T^d$. Different from existing works based on regularisation of the nonlinear term $ f(u)\approx f^\varepsilon(u)=u\ln (|u| + \varepsilon )^2,$ we directly discretize the LogSE with the understanding $f(0)=0.$ Remarkably, in the time-splitting scheme, the solution flow map of the nonlinear part: $g(u)= u {\rm e}^{-{\rm} i t \ln|u|^{2}}$ has a higher regularity than $f(u)$ (which is not differentiable at $u=0$ but H\"older continuous), where $g(u)$ is Lipschitz continuous and possesses a certain fractional Sobolev regularity with index $0<s<1$. Accordingly, we can derive the $L^2$-error estimate: $O\big((\tau^{s/2} + N^{-s})\ln\! N\big)$ of the proposed scheme for the LogSE with low regularity solution $u\in C((0,T]; H^s( \mathbb{T}^d)\cap L^\infty( \mathbb{T}^d)).$ Moreover, we can show that the estimate holds for $s=1$ with more delicate analysis of the nonlinear term and the associated solution flow maps. Furthermore, we provide ample numerical results to demonstrate such a fractional-order convergence for initial data with low regularity. This work is the first one devoted to the analysis of splitting scheme for the LogSE without regularisation in the low regularity setting, as far as we can tell.

We introduce in this paper the numerical analysis of high order both in time and space Lagrange-Galerkin methods for the conservative formulation of the advection-diffusion equation. As time discretization scheme we consider the Backward Differentiation Formulas up to order $q=5$. The development and analysis of the methods are performed in the framework of time evolving finite elements presented in C. M. Elliot and T. Ranner, IMA Journal of Numerical Analysis \textbf{41}, 1696-1845 (2021). The error estimates show through their dependence on the parameters of the equation the existence of different regimes in the behavior of the numerical solution; namely, in the diffusive regime, that is, when the diffusion parameter $\mu$ is large, the error is $O(h^{k+1}+\Delta t^{q})$, whereas in the advective regime, $\mu \ll 1$, the convergence is $O(\min (h^{k},\frac{h^{k+1} }{\Delta t})+\Delta t^{q})$. It is worth remarking that the error constant does not have exponential $\mu ^{-1}$ dependence.

We consider the completely positive discretizations of fractional ordinary differential equations (FODEs) on nonuniform meshes. Making use of the resolvents for nonuniform meshes, we first establish comparison principles for the discretizations. Then we prove some discrete Gr\"onwall inequalities using the comparison principles and careful analysis of the solutions to the time continuous FODEs. Our results do not have any restrictions on the step size ratio. The Gr\"onwall inequalities for dissipative equations can be used to obtain the uniform-in-time error control and decay estimates of the numerical solutions. The Gr\"onwall inequalities are then applied to subdiffusion problems and the time fractional Allen-Cahn equations for illustration.

We discuss Cartan-Schouten metrics (Riemannian or pseudo-Riemannian metrics that are parallel with respect to the Cartan-Schouten canonical connection) on perfect Lie groups. Applications are foreseen in Information Geometry. Throughout this work, the tangent bundle TG and the cotangent bundle T*G of a Lie group G, are always endowed with their Lie group structures induced by the right trivialization. We show that TG and T*G are isomorphic if G possesses a biinvariant Riemannian or pseudo-Riemannian metric. We also show that, if on a perfect Lie group, there exists a Cartan-Schouten metric, then it must be biinvariant. We compute all such metrics on the cotangent bundles of simple Lie groups. We further show the following. Endowed with their canonical Lie group structures, the set of unit dual quaternions is isomorphic to TSU(2), the set of unit dual split quaternions is isomorphic to T*SL(2,R). The group SE(3) of special rigid displacements of the Euclidean 3-space is isomorphic to T*SO(3). The group SE(2,1) of special rigid displacements of the Minkowski 3-space is isomorphic to T*SO(2,1). Some results on SE(3) by N. Miolane and X. Pennec, and M. Zefran, V. Kumar and C. Croke, are generalized to SE(2,1) and to T*G, for any simple Lie group G.

In many jurisdictions, forensic evidence is presented in the form of categorical statements by forensic experts. Several large-scale performance studies have been performed that report error rates to elucidate the uncertainty associated with such categorical statements. There is growing scientific consensus that the likelihood ratio (LR) framework is the logically correct form of presentation for forensic evidence evaluation. Yet, results from the large-scale performance studies have not been cast in this framework. Here, I show how to straightforwardly calculate an LR for any given categorical statement using data from the performance studies. This number quantifies how much more we should believe the hypothesis of same source vs different source, when provided a particular expert witness statement. LRs are reported for categorical statements resulting from the analysis of latent fingerprints, bloodstain patterns, handwriting, footwear and firearms. The highest LR found for statements of identification was 376 (fingerprints), the lowest found for statements of exclusion was 1/28 (handwriting). The LRs found may be more insightful for those used to this framework than the various error rates reported previously. An additional advantage of using the LR in this way is the relative simplicity; there are no decisions necessary on what error rate to focus on or how to handle inconclusive statements. The values found are closer to 1 than many would have expected. One possible explanation for this mismatch is that we undervalue numerical LRs. Finally, a note of caution: the LR values reported here come from a simple calculation that does not do justice to the nuances of the large-scale studies and their differences to casework, and should be treated as ball-park figures rather than definitive statements on the evidential value of whole forensic scientific fields.

The causal inference literature frequently focuses on estimating the mean of the potential outcome, whereas the quantiles of the potential outcome may carry important additional information. We propose a universal approach, based on the inverse estimating equations, to generalize a wide class of causal inference solutions from estimating the mean of the potential outcome to its quantiles. We assume that an identifying moment function is available to identify the mean of the threshold-transformed potential outcome, based on which a convenient construction of the estimating equation of quantiles of potential outcome is proposed. In addition, we also give a general construction of the efficient influence functions of the mean and quantiles of potential outcomes, and identify their connection. We motivate estimators for the quantile estimands with the efficient influence function, and develop their asymptotic properties when either parametric models or data-adaptive machine learners are used to estimate the nuisance functions. A broad implication of our results is that one can rework the existing result for mean causal estimands to facilitate causal inference on quantiles, rather than starting from scratch. Our results are illustrated by several examples.

Approximate Bayesian computation (ABC) methods are standard tools for inferring parameters of complex models when the likelihood function is analytically intractable. A popular approach to improving the poor acceptance rate of the basic rejection sampling ABC algorithm is to use sequential Monte Carlo (ABC SMC) to produce a sequence of proposal distributions adapting towards the posterior, instead of generating values from the prior distribution of the model parameters. Proposal distribution for the subsequent iteration is typically obtained from a weighted set of samples, often called particles, of the current iteration of this sequence. Current methods for constructing these proposal distributions treat all the particles equivalently, regardless of the corresponding value generated by the sampler, which may lead to inefficiency when propagating the information across iterations of the algorithm. To improve sampler efficiency, we introduce a modified approach called stratified distance ABC SMC. Our algorithm stratifies particles based on their distance between the corresponding synthetic and observed data, and then constructs distinct proposal distributions for all the strata. Taking into account the distribution of distances across the particle space leads to substantially improved acceptance rate of the rejection sampling. We further show that efficiency can be gained by introducing a novel stopping rule for the sequential process based on the stratified posterior samples and demonstrate these advances by several examples.

The goal of explainable Artificial Intelligence (XAI) is to generate human-interpretable explanations, but there are no computationally precise theories of how humans interpret AI generated explanations. The lack of theory means that validation of XAI must be done empirically, on a case-by-case basis, which prevents systematic theory-building in XAI. We propose a psychological theory of how humans draw conclusions from saliency maps, the most common form of XAI explanation, which for the first time allows for precise prediction of explainee inference conditioned on explanation. Our theory posits that absent explanation humans expect the AI to make similar decisions to themselves, and that they interpret an explanation by comparison to the explanations they themselves would give. Comparison is formalized via Shepard's universal law of generalization in a similarity space, a classic theory from cognitive science. A pre-registered user study on AI image classifications with saliency map explanations demonstrate that our theory quantitatively matches participants' predictions of the AI.

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