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We consider a stationary linear AR($p$) model with unknown mean. The autoregression parameters as well as the distribution function (d.f.) $G$ of innovations are unknown. The observations contain gross errors (outliers). The distribution of outliers is unknown and arbitrary, their intensity is $\gamma n^{-1/2}$ with an unknown $\gamma$, $n$ is the sample size. The assential problem in such situation is to test the normality of innovations. Normality, as is known, ensures the optimality properties of widely used least squares procedures. To construct and study a Pearson chi-square type test for normality we estimate the unknown mean and the autoregression parameters. Then, using the estimates, we find the residuals in the autoregression. Based on them, we construct a kind of empirical distribution function (r.e.d.f.) , which is a counterpart of the (inaccessible) e.d.f. of the autoregression innovations. Our Pearson's satatistic is the functional from r.e.d.f. Its asymptotic distributions under the hypothesis and the local alternatives are determined by the asymptotic behavior of r.e.d.f. %Therefore, the study of the asymptotic properties of r.e.d.f. is a natural and meaningful task. In the present work, we find and substantiate in details the stochastic expansions of the r.e.d.f. in two situations. In the first one d.f. $ G (x) $ of innovations does not depend on $ n $. We need this result to investigate test statistic under the hypothesis. In the second situation $ G (x) $ depends on $ n $ and has the form of a mixture $ G (x) = A_n (x) = (1-n ^ {- 1/2}) G_0 (x) + n ^ { -1/2} H (x). $ We need this result to study the power of test under the local alternatives.

The property of conformal predictors to guarantee the required accuracy rate makes this framework attractive in various practical applications. However, this property is achieved at a price of reduction in precision. In the case of conformal classification, the systems can output multiple class labels instead of one. It is also known from the literature, that the choice of nonconformity function has a major impact on the efficiency of conformal classifiers. Recently, it was shown that different model-agnostic nonconformity functions result in conformal classifiers with different characteristics. For a Neural Network-based conformal classifier, the inverse probability (or hinge loss) allows minimizing the average number of predicted labels, and margin results in a larger fraction of singleton predictions. In this work, we aim to further extend this study. We perform an experimental evaluation using 8 different classification algorithms and discuss when the previously observed relationship holds or not. Additionally, we propose a successful method to combine the properties of these two nonconformity functions. The experimental evaluation is done using 11 real and 5 synthetic datasets.

The class activation mapping, or CAM, has been the cornerstone of feature attribution methods for multiple vision tasks. Its simplicity and effectiveness have led to wide applications in the explanation of visual predictions and weakly-supervised localization tasks. However, CAM has its own shortcomings. The computation of attribution maps relies on ad-hoc calibration steps that are not part of the training computational graph, making it difficult for us to understand the real meaning of the attribution values. In this paper, we improve CAM by explicitly incorporating a latent variable encoding the location of the cue for recognition in the formulation, thereby subsuming the attribution map into the training computational graph. The resulting model, class activation latent mapping, or CALM, is trained with the expectation-maximization algorithm. Our experiments show that CALM identifies discriminative attributes for image classifiers more accurately than CAM and other visual attribution baselines. CALM also shows performance improvements over prior arts on the weakly-supervised object localization benchmarks. Our code is available at //github.com/naver-ai/calm.

Extended differential privacy, a generalization of standard differential privacy (DP) using a general metric, has been widely studied to provide rigorous privacy guarantees while keeping high utility. However, existing works on extended DP are limited to few metrics, such as the Euclidean metric. Consequently, they have only a small number of applications, such as location-based services and document processing. In this paper, we propose a couple of mechanisms providing extended DP with a different metric: angular distance (or cosine distance). Our mechanisms are based on locality sensitive hashing (LSH), which can be applied to the angular distance and work well for personal data in a high-dimensional space. We theoretically analyze the privacy properties of our mechanisms, and prove extended DP for input data by taking into account that LSH preserves the original metric only approximately. We apply our mechanisms to friend matching based on high-dimensional personal data with angular distance in the local model, and evaluate our mechanisms using two real datasets. We show that LDP requires a very large privacy budget and that RAPPOR does not work in this application. Then we show that our mechanisms enable friend matching with high utility and rigorous privacy guarantees based on extended DP.

Federated learning is the distributed machine learning framework that enables collaborative training across multiple parties while ensuring data privacy. Practical adaptation of XGBoost, the state-of-the-art tree boosting framework, to federated learning remains limited due to high cost incurred by conventional privacy-preserving methods. To address the problem, we propose two variants of federated XGBoost with privacy guarantee: FedXGBoost-SMM and FedXGBoost-LDP. Our first protocol FedXGBoost-SMM deploys enhanced secure matrix multiplication method to preserve privacy with lossless accuracy and lower overhead than encryption-based techniques. Developed independently, the second protocol FedXGBoost-LDP is heuristically designed with noise perturbation for local differential privacy, and empirically evaluated on real-world and synthetic datasets.

We propose a general approach for differentially private synthetic data generation, that consists of three steps: (1) select a collection of low-dimensional marginals, (2) measure those marginals with a noise addition mechanism, and (3) generate synthetic data that preserves the measured marginals well. Central to this approach is Private-PGM, a post-processing method that is used to estimate a high-dimensional data distribution from noisy measurements of its marginals. We present two mechanisms, NIST-MST and MST, that are instances of this general approach. NIST-MST was the winning mechanism in the 2018 NIST differential privacy synthetic data competition, and MST is a new mechanism that can work in more general settings, while still performing comparably to NIST-MST. We believe our general approach should be of broad interest, and can be adopted in future mechanisms for synthetic data generation.

In this paper, we outline a way to deploy a privacy-preserving protocol for multiparty Randomized Controlled Trials on the scale of 500 million rows of data and more than a billion gates. Randomized Controlled Trials (RCTs) are widely used to improve business and policy decisions in various sectors such as healthcare, education, criminology, and marketing. A Randomized Controlled Trial is a scientifically rigorous method to measure the effectiveness of a treatment. This is accomplished by randomly allocating subjects to two or more groups, treating them differently, and then comparing the outcomes across groups. In many scenarios, multiple parties hold different parts of the data for conducting and analyzing RCTs. Given privacy requirements and expectations of each of these parties, it is often challenging to have a centralized store of data to conduct and analyze RCTs. We accomplish this by a three-stage solution. The first stage uses the Private Secret Share Set Intersection (PS$^3$I) solution to create a joined set and establish secret shares without revealing membership, while discarding individuals who were placed into more than one group. The second stage runs multiple instances of a general purpose MPC over a sharded database to aggregate statistics about each experimental group while discarding individuals who took an action before they received treatment. The third stage adds distributed and calibrated Differential Privacy (DP) noise to the aggregate statistics and uncertainty measures, providing formal two-sided privacy guarantees. We also evaluate the performance of multiple open source general purpose MPC libraries for this task. We additionally demonstrate how we have used this to create a working ads effectiveness measurement product capable of measuring hundreds of millions of individuals per experiment.

Testing the equality of two proportions is a common procedure in science, especially in medicine and public health. In these domains it is crucial to be able to quantify evidence for the absence of a treatment effect. Bayesian hypothesis testing by means of the Bayes factor provides one avenue to do so, requiring the specification of prior distributions for parameters. The most popular analysis approach views the comparison of proportions from a contingency table perspective, assigning prior distributions directly to the two proportions. Another, less popular approach views the problem from a logistic regression perspective, assigning prior distributions to logit transformed parameters. Reanalyzing 39 null results from the New England Journal of Medicine with both approaches, we find that they can lead to markedly different conclusions, especially when the observed proportions are at the extremes (i.e., very low or very high). We explain these stark differences and provide recommendations for researchers interested in testing the equality of two proportions and users of Bayes factors more generally.

Train machine learning models on sensitive user data has raised increasing privacy concerns in many areas. Federated learning is a popular approach for privacy protection that collects the local gradient information instead of real data. One way to achieve a strict privacy guarantee is to apply local differential privacy into federated learning. However, previous works do not give a practical solution due to three issues. First, the noisy data is close to its original value with high probability, increasing the risk of information exposure. Second, a large variance is introduced to the estimated average, causing poor accuracy. Last, the privacy budget explodes due to the high dimensionality of weights in deep learning models. In this paper, we proposed a novel design of local differential privacy mechanism for federated learning to address the abovementioned issues. It is capable of making the data more distinct from its original value and introducing lower variance. Moreover, the proposed mechanism bypasses the curse of dimensionality by splitting and shuffling model updates. A series of empirical evaluations on three commonly used datasets, MNIST, Fashion-MNIST and CIFAR-10, demonstrate that our solution can not only achieve superior deep learning performance but also provide a strong privacy guarantee at the same time.

Why deep neural networks (DNNs) capable of overfitting often generalize well in practice is a mystery in deep learning. Existing works indicate that this observation holds for both complicated real datasets and simple datasets of one-dimensional (1-d) functions. In this work, for natural images and low-frequency dominant 1-d functions, we empirically found that a DNN with common settings first quickly captures the dominant low-frequency components, and then relatively slowly captures high-frequency ones. We call this phenomenon Frequency Principle (F-Principle). F-Principle can be observed over various DNN setups of different activation functions, layer structures and training algorithms in our experiments. F-Principle can be used to understand (i) the behavior of DNN training in the information plane and (ii) why DNNs often generalize well albeit its ability of overfitting. This F-Principle potentially can provide insights into understanding the general principle underlying DNN optimization and generalization for real datasets.