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In this paper, I present three closed-form approximations of the two-sample Pearson Bayes factor. The techniques rely on some classical asymptotic results about gamma functions. These approximations permit simple closed-form calculation of the Pearson Bayes factor in cases where only the summary statistics are available (i.e., the t-score and degrees of freedom).

We investigate the randomized decision tree complexity of a specific class of read-once threshold functions. A read-once threshold formula can be defined by a rooted tree, every internal node of which is labeled by a threshold function $T_k^n$ (with output 1 only when at least $k$ out of $n$ input bits are 1) and each leaf by a distinct variable. Such a tree defines a Boolean function in a natural way. We focus on the randomized decision tree complexity of such functions, when the underlying tree is a uniform tree with all its internal nodes labeled by the same threshold function. We prove lower bounds of the form $c(k,n)^d$, where $d$ is the depth of the tree. We also treat trees with alternating levels of AND and OR gates separately and show asymptotically optimal bounds, extending the known bounds for the binary case.

Over the last decade, approximating functions in infinite dimensions from samples has gained increasing attention in computational science and engineering, especially in computational uncertainty quantification. This is primarily due to the relevance of functions that are solutions to parametric differential equations in various fields, e.g. chemistry, economics, engineering, and physics. While acquiring accurate and reliable approximations of such functions is inherently difficult, current benchmark methods exploit the fact that such functions often belong to certain classes of holomorphic functions to get algebraic convergence rates in infinite dimensions with respect to the number of (potentially adaptive) samples $m$. Our work focuses on providing theoretical approximation guarantees for the class of $(\boldsymbol{b},\varepsilon)$-holomorphic functions, demonstrating that these algebraic rates are the best possible for Banach-valued functions in infinite dimensions. We establish lower bounds using a reduction to a discrete problem in combination with the theory of $m$-widths, Gelfand widths and Kolmogorov widths. We study two cases, known and unknown anisotropy, in which the relative importance of the variables is known and unknown, respectively. A key conclusion of our paper is that in the latter setting, approximation from finite samples is impossible without some inherent ordering of the variables, even if the samples are chosen adaptively. Finally, in both cases, we demonstrate near-optimal, non-adaptive (random) sampling and recovery strategies which achieve close to same rates as the lower bounds.

We investigate the algebra and geometry of general interventions in discrete DAG models. To this end, we introduce a theory for modeling soft interventions in the more general family of staged tree models and develop the formalism to study these models as parametrized subvarieties of a product of probability simplices. We then consider the problem of finding their defining equations, and we derive a combinatorial criterion for identifying interventional staged tree models for which the defining ideal is toric. We apply these results to the class of discrete interventional DAG models and establish a criteria to determine when these models are toric varieties.

In this paper we show that using implicative algebras one can produce models of set theory generalizing Heyting/Boolean-valued models and realizability models of (I)ZF, both in intuitionistic and classical logic. This has as consequence that any topos which is obtained from a Set-based tripos as the result of the tripos-to-topos construction hosts a model of intuitionistic or classical set theory, provided a large enough strongly inaccessible cardinal exists.

In this paper we consider the numerical solution of fractional differential equations. In particular, we study a step-by-step graded mesh procedure based on an expansion of the vector field using orthonormal Jacobi polynomials. Under mild hypotheses, the proposed procedure is capable of getting spectral accuracy. A few numerical examples are reported to confirm the theoretical findings.

Engineers are often faced with the decision to select the most appropriate model for simulating the behavior of engineered systems, among a candidate set of models. Experimental monitoring data can generate significant value by supporting engineers toward such decisions. Such data can be leveraged within a Bayesian model updating process, enabling the uncertainty-aware calibration of any candidate model. The model selection task can subsequently be cast into a problem of decision-making under uncertainty, where one seeks to select the model that yields an optimal balance between the reward associated with model precision, in terms of recovering target Quantities of Interest (QoI), and the cost of each model, in terms of complexity and compute time. In this work, we examine the model selection task by means of Bayesian decision theory, under the prism of availability of models of various refinements, and thus varying levels of fidelity. In doing so, we offer an exemplary application of this framework on the IMAC-MVUQ Round-Robin Challenge. Numerical investigations show various outcomes of model selection depending on the target QoI.

The accuracy of solving partial differential equations (PDEs) on coarse grids is greatly affected by the choice of discretization schemes. In this work, we propose to learn time integration schemes based on neural networks which satisfy three distinct sets of mathematical constraints, i.e., unconstrained, semi-constrained with the root condition, and fully-constrained with both root and consistency conditions. We focus on the learning of 3-step linear multistep methods, which we subsequently applied to solve three model PDEs, i.e., the one-dimensional heat equation, the one-dimensional wave equation, and the one-dimensional Burgers' equation. The results show that the prediction error of the learned fully-constrained scheme is close to that of the Runge-Kutta method and Adams-Bashforth method. Compared to the traditional methods, the learned unconstrained and semi-constrained schemes significantly reduce the prediction error on coarse grids. On a grid that is 4 times coarser than the reference grid, the mean square error shows a reduction of up to an order of magnitude for some of the heat equation cases, and a substantial improvement in phase prediction for the wave equation. On a 32 times coarser grid, the mean square error for the Burgers' equation can be reduced by up to 35% to 40%.

Due to the lack of corresponding analysis on appropriate mapping operator between two grids, high-order two-grid difference algorithms are rarely studied. In this paper, we firstly discuss the boundedness of a local bi-cubic Lagrange interpolation operator. And then, taking the semilinear parabolic equation as an example, we first construct a variable-step high-order nonlinear difference algorithm using compact difference technique in space and the second-order backward differentiation formula (BDF2) with variable temporal stepsize in time. With the help of discrete orthogonal convolution (DOC) kernels and a cut-off numerical technique, the unique solvability and corresponding error estimates of the high-order nonlinear difference scheme are established under assumptions that the temporal stepsize ratio satisfies rk < 4.8645 and the maximum temporal stepsize satisfies tau = o(h^1/2 ). Then, an efficient two-grid high-order difference algorithm is developed by combining a small-scale variable-step high-order nonlinear difference algorithm on the coarse grid and a large-scale variable-step high-order linearized difference algorithm on the fine grid, in which the constructed piecewise bi-cubic Lagrange interpolation mapping operator is adopted to project the coarse-grid solution to the fine grid. Under the same temporal stepsize ratio restriction rk < 4.8645 and a weaker maximum temporal stepsize condition tau = o(H^1.2 ), optimal fourth-order in space and second-order in time error estimates of the two-grid difference scheme is established if the coarse-fine grid stepsizes satisfy H = O(h^4/7). Finally, several numerical experiments are carried out to demonstrate the effectiveness and efficiency of the proposed scheme.

I propose an alternative algorithm to compute the MMS voting rule. Instead of using linear programming, in this new algorithm the maximin support value of a committee is computed using a sequence of maximum flow problems.