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We prove an estimate of total (viscous plus modelled turbulent) energy dissipation in general eddy viscosity models for shear flows. For general eddy viscosity models, we show that the ratio of the near wall average viscosity to the effective global viscosity is the key parameter. This result is then applied to the 1-equation, URANS model of turbulence for which this ratio depends on the specification of the turbulence length scale. The model, which was derived by Prandtl in 1945, is a component of a 2-equation model derived by Kolmogorov in 1942 and is the core of many unsteady, Reynolds averaged models for prediction of turbulent flows. Away from walls, interpreting an early suggestion of Prandtl, we set \begin{equation*} l=\sqrt{2}k^{+1/2}\tau, \hspace{50mm} \end{equation*} where $\tau =$ selected time scale. In the near wall region analysis suggests replacing the traditional $l=0.41d$ ($d=$ wall normal distance) with $l=0.41d\sqrt{d/L}$ giving, e.g., \begin{equation*} l=\min \left\{ \sqrt{2}k{}^{+1/2}\tau ,\text{ }0.41d\sqrt{\frac{d}{L}} \right\} . \hspace{50mm} \end{equation*} This $l(\cdot )$ results in a simpler model with correct near wall asymptotics. Its energy dissipation rate scales no larger than the physically correct $O(U^{3}/L)$, balancing energy input with energy dissipation.

In this paper, we are interested in nonparametric kernel estimation of a generalized regression function, including conditional cumulative distribution and conditional quantile functions, based on an incomplete sample $(X_t, Y_t, \zeta_t)_{t\in \mathbb{ R}^+}$ copies of a continuous-time stationary ergodic process $(X, Y, \zeta)$. The predictor $X$ is valued in some infinite-dimensional space, whereas the real-valued process $Y$ is observed when $\zeta= 1$ and missing whenever $\zeta = 0$. Pointwise and uniform consistency (with rates) of these estimators as well as a central limit theorem are established. Conditional bias and asymptotic quadratic error are also provided. Asymptotic and bootstrap-based confidence intervals for the generalized regression function are also discussed. A first simulation study is performed to compare the discrete-time to the continuous-time estimations. A second simulation is also conducted to discuss the selection of the optimal sampling mesh in the continuous-time case. Finally, it is worth noting that our results are stated under ergodic assumption without assuming any classical mixing conditions.

Spectral inference on multiple networks is a rapidly-developing subfield of graph statistics. Recent work has demonstrated that joint, or simultaneous, spectral embedding of multiple independent networks can deliver more accurate estimation than individual spectral decompositions of those same networks. Such inference procedures typically rely heavily on independence assumptions across the multiple network realizations, and even in this case, little attention has been paid to the induced network correlation in such joint embeddings. Here, we present a generalized omnibus embedding methodology and provide a detailed analysis of this embedding across both independent and correlated networks, the latter of which significantly extends the reach of such procedures. We describe how this omnibus embedding can itself induce correlation, leading us to distinguish between inherent correlation -- the correlation that arises naturally in multisample network data -- and induced correlation, which is an artifice of the joint embedding methodology. We show that the generalized omnibus embedding procedure is flexible and robust, and prove both consistency and a central limit theorem for the embedded points. We examine how induced and inherent correlation can impact inference for network time series data, and we provide network analogues of classical questions such as the effective sample size for more generally correlated data. Further, we show how an appropriately calibrated generalized omnibus embedding can detect changes in real biological networks that previous embedding procedures could not discern, confirming that the effect of inherent and induced correlation can be subtle and transformative, with import in theory and practice.

In surveys, the interest lies in estimating finite population parameters such as population totals and means. In most surveys, some auxiliary information is available at the estimation stage. This information may be incorporated in the estimation procedures to increase their precision. In this article, we use random forests to estimate the functional relationship between the survey variable and the auxiliary variables. In recent years, random forests have become attractive as National Statistical Offices have now access to a variety of data sources, potentially exhibiting a large number of observations on a large number of variables. We establish the theoretical properties of model-assisted procedures based on random forests and derive corresponding variance estimators. A model-calibration procedure for handling multiple survey variables is also discussed. The results of a simulation study suggest that the proposed point and estimation procedures perform well in term of bias, efficiency, and coverage of normal-based confidence intervals, in a wide variety of settings. Finally, we apply the proposed methods using data on radio audiences collected by M\'ediam\'etrie, a French audience company.

Kernel-based feature selection is an important tool in nonparametric statistics. Despite many practical applications of kernel-based feature selection, there is little statistical theory available to support the method. A core challenge is the objective function of the optimization problems used to define kernel-based feature selection are nonconvex. The literature has only studied the statistical properties of the \emph{global optima}, which is a mismatch, given that the gradient-based algorithms available for nonconvex optimization are only able to guarantee convergence to local minima. Studying the full landscape associated with kernel-based methods, we show that feature selection objectives using the Laplace kernel (and other $\ell_1$ kernels) come with statistical guarantees that other kernels, including the ubiquitous Gaussian kernel (or other $\ell_2$ kernels) do not possess. Based on a sharp characterization of the gradient of the objective function, we show that $\ell_1$ kernels eliminate unfavorable stationary points that appear when using an $\ell_2$ kernel. Armed with this insight, we establish statistical guarantees for $\ell_1$ kernel-based feature selection which do not require reaching the global minima. In particular, we establish model-selection consistency of $\ell_1$-kernel-based feature selection in recovering main effects and hierarchical interactions in the nonparametric setting with $n \sim \log p$ samples.

Over the past several years, we have witnessed impressive progress in the field of learned image compression. Recent learned image codecs are commonly based on autoencoders, that first encode an image into low-dimensional latent representations and then decode them for reconstruction purposes. To capture spatial dependencies in the latent space, prior works exploit hyperprior and spatial context model to build an entropy model, which estimates the bit-rate for end-to-end rate-distortion optimization. However, such an entropy model is suboptimal from two aspects: (1) It fails to capture spatially global correlations among the latents. (2) Cross-channel relationships of the latents are still underexplored. In this paper, we propose the concept of separate entropy coding to leverage a serial decoding process for causal contextual entropy prediction in the latent space. A causal context model is proposed that separates the latents across channels and makes use of cross-channel relationships to generate highly informative contexts. Furthermore, we propose a causal global prediction model, which is able to find global reference points for accurate predictions of unknown points. Both these two models facilitate entropy estimation without the transmission of overhead. In addition, we further adopt a new separate attention module to build more powerful transform networks. Experimental results demonstrate that our full image compression model outperforms standard VVC/H.266 codec on Kodak dataset in terms of both PSNR and MS-SSIM, yielding the state-of-the-art rate-distortion performance.

We consider the estimation of treatment effects in settings when multiple treatments are assigned over time and treatments can have a causal effect on future outcomes or the state of the treated unit. We propose an extension of the double/debiased machine learning framework to estimate the dynamic effects of treatments, which can be viewed as a Neyman orthogonal (locally robust) cross-fitted version of $g$-estimation in the dynamic treatment regime. Our method applies to a general class of non-linear dynamic treatment models known as Structural Nested Mean Models and allows the use of machine learning methods to control for potentially high dimensional state variables, subject to a mean square error guarantee, while still allowing parametric estimation and construction of confidence intervals for the structural parameters of interest. These structural parameters can be used for off-policy evaluation of any target dynamic policy at parametric rates, subject to semi-parametric restrictions on the data generating process. Our work is based on a recursive peeling process, typical in $g$-estimation, and formulates a strongly convex objective at each stage, which allows us to extend the $g$-estimation framework in multiple directions: i) to provide finite sample guarantees, ii) to estimate non-linear effect heterogeneity with respect to fixed unit characteristics, within arbitrary function spaces, enabling a dynamic analogue of the RLearner algorithm for heterogeneous effects, iii) to allow for high-dimensional sparse parameterizations of the target structural functions, enabling automated model selection via a recursive lasso algorithm. We also provide guarantees for data stemming from a single treated unit over a long horizon and under stationarity conditions.

We provide the first stochastic convergence rates for a family of adaptive quadrature rules used to normalize the posterior distribution in Bayesian models. Our results apply to the uniform relative error in the approximate posterior density, the coverage probabilities of approximate credible sets, and approximate moments and quantiles, therefore guaranteeing fast asymptotic convergence of approximate summary statistics used in practice. The family of quadrature rules includes adaptive Gauss-Hermite quadrature, and we apply this rule in two challenging low-dimensional examples. Further, we demonstrate how adaptive quadrature can be used as a crucial component of a modern approximate Bayesian inference procedure for high-dimensional additive models. The method is implemented and made publicly available in the aghq package for the R language, available on CRAN.

Causal inference is a critical research topic across many domains, such as statistics, computer science, education, public policy and economics, for decades. Nowadays, estimating causal effect from observational data has become an appealing research direction owing to the large amount of available data and low budget requirement, compared with randomized controlled trials. Embraced with the rapidly developed machine learning area, various causal effect estimation methods for observational data have sprung up. In this survey, we provide a comprehensive review of causal inference methods under the potential outcome framework, one of the well known causal inference framework. The methods are divided into two categories depending on whether they require all three assumptions of the potential outcome framework or not. For each category, both the traditional statistical methods and the recent machine learning enhanced methods are discussed and compared. The plausible applications of these methods are also presented, including the applications in advertising, recommendation, medicine and so on. Moreover, the commonly used benchmark datasets as well as the open-source codes are also summarized, which facilitate researchers and practitioners to explore, evaluate and apply the causal inference methods.