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Uncertainty quantification is a pivotal field that contributes to the realization of reliable and robust systems. By providing complementary information, it becomes instrumental in fortifying safe decisions, particularly within high-risk applications. Nevertheless, a comprehensive understanding of the advantages and limitations inherent in various methods within the medical imaging field necessitates further research coupled with in-depth analysis. In this paper, we explore Conformal Prediction, an emerging distribution-free uncertainty quantification technique, along with Monte Carlo Dropout and Evidential Deep Learning methods. Our comprehensive experiments provide a comparative performance analysis for skin lesion classification tasks across the three quantification methods. Furthermore, We present insights into the effectiveness of each method in handling Out-of-Distribution samples from domain-shifted datasets. Based on our experimental findings, our conclusion highlights the robustness and consistent performance of conformal prediction across diverse conditions. This positions it as the preferred choice for decision-making in safety-critical applications.

Uncertainty quantification for inverse problems in imaging has drawn much attention lately. Existing approaches towards this task define uncertainty regions based on probable values per pixel, while ignoring spatial correlations within the image, resulting in an exaggerated volume of uncertainty. In this paper, we propose PUQ (Principal Uncertainty Quantification) -- a novel definition and corresponding analysis of uncertainty regions that takes into account spatial relationships within the image, thus providing reduced volume regions. Using recent advancements in generative models, we derive uncertainty intervals around principal components of the empirical posterior distribution, forming an ambiguity region that guarantees the inclusion of true unseen values with a user-defined confidence probability. To improve computational efficiency and interpretability, we also guarantee the recovery of true unseen values using only a few principal directions, resulting in more informative uncertainty regions. Our approach is verified through experiments on image colorization, super-resolution, and inpainting; its effectiveness is shown through comparison to baseline methods, demonstrating significantly tighter uncertainty regions.

Security is an important topic in our contemporary world, and the ability to automate the detection of any events of interest that can take place in a crowd is of great interest to a population. We hypothesize that the detection of events in videos is correlated with significant changes in pedestrian behaviors. In this paper, we examine three different scenarios of crowd behavior, containing both the cases where an event triggers a change in the behavior of the crowd and two video sequences where the crowd and its motion remain mostly unchanged. With both the videos and the tracking of the individual pedestrians (performed in a pre-processed phase), we use Geomind, a software we developed to extract significant data about the scene, in particular, the geometrical features, personalities, and emotions of each person. We then examine the output, seeking a significant change in the way each person acts as a function of the time, that could be used as a basis to identify events or to model realistic crowd actions. When applied to the games area, our method can use the detected events to find some sort of pattern to be then used in agent simulation. Results indicate that our hypothesis seems valid in the sense that the visually observed events could be automatically detected using GeoMind.

The probability of an event is in the range of [0, 1]. In a sample space S, the value of probability determines whether an outcome is true or false. The probability of an event Pr(A) that will never occur = 0. The probability of the event Pr(B) that will certainly occur = 1. This makes both events A and B thus a certainty. Furthermore, the sum of probabilities Pr(E1) + Pr(E2) + ... + Pr(En) of a finite set of events in a given sample space S = 1. Conversely, the difference of the sum of two probabilities that will certainly occur is 0. Firstly, this paper discusses Bayes' theorem, then complement of probability and the difference of probability for occurrences of learning-events, before applying these in the prediction of learning objects in student learning. Given the sum total of 1; to make recommendation for student learning, this paper submits that the difference of argMaxPr(S) and probability of student-performance quantifies the weight of learning objects for students. Using a dataset of skill-set, the computational procedure demonstrates: i) the probability of skill-set events that has occurred that would lead to higher level learning; ii) the probability of the events that has not occurred that requires subject-matter relearning; iii) accuracy of decision tree in the prediction of student performance into class labels; and iv) information entropy about skill-set data and its implication on student cognitive performance and recommendation of learning [1].

In causal inference, it is a fundamental task to estimate the causal effect from observational data. However, latent confounders pose major challenges in causal inference in observational data, for example, confounding bias and M-bias. Recent data-driven causal effect estimators tackle the confounding bias problem via balanced representation learning, but assume no M-bias in the system, thus they fail to handle the M-bias. In this paper, we identify a challenging and unsolved problem caused by a variable that leads to confounding bias and M-bias simultaneously. To address this problem with co-occurring M-bias and confounding bias, we propose a novel Disentangled Latent Representation learning framework for learning latent representations from proxy variables for unbiased Causal effect Estimation (DLRCE) from observational data. Specifically, DLRCE learns three sets of latent representations from the measured proxy variables to adjust for the confounding bias and M-bias. Extensive experiments on both synthetic and three real-world datasets demonstrate that DLRCE significantly outperforms the state-of-the-art estimators in the case of the presence of both confounding bias and M-bias.

Wave propagation problems are typically formulated as partial differential equations (PDEs) on unbounded domains to be solved. The classical approach to solving such problems involves truncating them to problems on bounded domains by designing the artificial boundary conditions or perfectly matched layers, which typically require significant effort, and the presence of nonlinearity in the equation makes such designs even more challenging. Emerging deep learning-based methods for solving PDEs, with the physics-informed neural networks (PINNs) method as a representative, still face significant challenges when directly used to solve PDEs on unbounded domains. Calculations performed in a bounded domain of interest without imposing boundary constraints can lead to a lack of unique solutions thus causing the failure of PINNs. In light of this, this paper proposes a novel and effective operator learning-based method for solving PDEs on unbounded domains. The key idea behind this method is to generate high-quality training data. Specifically, we construct a family of approximate analytical solutions to the target PDE based on its initial condition and source term. Then, using these constructed data comprising exact solutions, initial conditions, and source terms, we train an operator learning model called MIONet, which is capable of handling multiple inputs, to learn the mapping from the initial condition and source term to the PDE solution on a bounded domain of interest. Finally, we utilize the generalization ability of this model to predict the solution of the target PDE. The effectiveness of this method is exemplified by solving the wave equation and the Schrodinger equation defined on unbounded domains. More importantly, the proposed method can deal with nonlinear problems, which has been demonstrated by solving Burger's equation and Korteweg-de Vries (KdV) equation.

In computational social choice, the distortion of a voting rule quantifies the degree to which the rule overcomes limited preference information to select a socially desirable outcome. This concept has been investigated extensively, but only through a worst-case lens. Instead, we study the expected distortion of voting rules with respect to an underlying distribution over voter utilities. Our main contribution is the design and analysis of a novel and intuitive rule, binomial voting, which provides strong distribution-independent guarantees for both expected distortion and expected welfare.

As artificial intelligence (AI) models continue to scale up, they are becoming more capable and integrated into various forms of decision-making systems. For models involved in moral decision-making, also known as artificial moral agents (AMA), interpretability provides a way to trust and understand the agent's internal reasoning mechanisms for effective use and error correction. In this paper, we provide an overview of this rapidly-evolving sub-field of AI interpretability, introduce the concept of the Minimum Level of Interpretability (MLI) and recommend an MLI for various types of agents, to aid their safe deployment in real-world settings.

In pace with developments in the research field of artificial intelligence, knowledge graphs (KGs) have attracted a surge of interest from both academia and industry. As a representation of semantic relations between entities, KGs have proven to be particularly relevant for natural language processing (NLP), experiencing a rapid spread and wide adoption within recent years. Given the increasing amount of research work in this area, several KG-related approaches have been surveyed in the NLP research community. However, a comprehensive study that categorizes established topics and reviews the maturity of individual research streams remains absent to this day. Contributing to closing this gap, we systematically analyzed 507 papers from the literature on KGs in NLP. Our survey encompasses a multifaceted review of tasks, research types, and contributions. As a result, we present a structured overview of the research landscape, provide a taxonomy of tasks, summarize our findings, and highlight directions for future work.

As soon as abstract mathematical computations were adapted to computation on digital computers, the problem of efficient representation, manipulation, and communication of the numerical values in those computations arose. Strongly related to the problem of numerical representation is the problem of quantization: in what manner should a set of continuous real-valued numbers be distributed over a fixed discrete set of numbers to minimize the number of bits required and also to maximize the accuracy of the attendant computations? This perennial problem of quantization is particularly relevant whenever memory and/or computational resources are severely restricted, and it has come to the forefront in recent years due to the remarkable performance of Neural Network models in computer vision, natural language processing, and related areas. Moving from floating-point representations to low-precision fixed integer values represented in four bits or less holds the potential to reduce the memory footprint and latency by a factor of 16x; and, in fact, reductions of 4x to 8x are often realized in practice in these applications. Thus, it is not surprising that quantization has emerged recently as an important and very active sub-area of research in the efficient implementation of computations associated with Neural Networks. In this article, we survey approaches to the problem of quantizing the numerical values in deep Neural Network computations, covering the advantages/disadvantages of current methods. With this survey and its organization, we hope to have presented a useful snapshot of the current research in quantization for Neural Networks and to have given an intelligent organization to ease the evaluation of future research in this area.